Manhattan

MAAC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 312 · Raw net -10.4 · Tempo 68.1 · 31 Division I games · Through 2026-03-05

Record: 11–20; 11 wins
AdjNet: -13.3β; rank 330 of 365
AdjO: 104.7β; rank 255 of 365
AdjD: 117.9β; rank 350 of 365
AdjT: 68.8β
SOS: -5.3β; rank 327 of 363
NCSOS: -2.4β
WAB: -15.0β; rank 316 of 363
RR: 0.8β
Exp. W: 10.2β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	105.0250	115.4328	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	47.9315	53.9297	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	15.6112	16.7174	16.7
Offensive rebound %	28.6246	37.0358	30.6
FTA / FGA %	34.0207	25.711	35.0
Shooting
3P%	32.0280	36.6331	33.9
2P%	47.8316	53.3250	51.7
FT%	79.63	73.6253	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	37.1	38.0	39.5
Assists / FGM %	49.6	61.5	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	6.0	11.0	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	29.0	33.0	31.4
2-pointers %	48.9	52.1	48.8
Free throws %	22.1	14.9	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 7.5
Top Three Share of Minutes: 50%
Bench Share of Minutes: 24%
Players with Logged Minutes: 14

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-09	Southern California	L 83–114	82.2	Away	0–1
11-12	Utah Tech	W 79–75	64.8	Neutral	1–1
11-15	Hawaii	L 56–86	72.4	—	1–2
11-15	Mississippi Val.	W 80–73	64.2	Neutral	2–2
11-21	Texas A&M	L 68–109	74.6	Away	2–3
11-26	Wagner	L 101–103 1OT	77.7	Home	2–4
11-29	Army West Point	L 78–81 1OT	74.0	Away	2–5
12-05	Fairfield	W 70–66	72.2	Home	3–5
12-07	Marist	L 68–80	75.3	Away	3–6
12-13	Fordham	L 53–82	65.1	Away	3–7
12-18	Furman	L 68–75	69.6	Home	3–8
12-21	Presbyterian	W 87–81	70.9	Home	4–8
12-29	Rider	W 74–71	65.5	Away	5–8
01-02	Quinnipiac	W 80–79	71.7	Home	6–8
01-04	Merrimack	L 66–73	67.2	Away	6–9
01-09	Canisius	L 64–70	66.7	Home	6–10
01-11	Niagara	W 79–70	60.2	Home	7–10
01-14	Fairfield	L 62–98	71.9	Away	7–11
01-17	Siena	L 59–74	62.6	Home	7–12
01-19	Quinnipiac	L 92–98 1OT	80.1	Away	7–13
01-24	Iona	L 57–66	64.9	Away	7–14
01-30	Rider	W 95–90	67.3	Home	8–14
02-01	Mount St. Mary's	L 65–72	65.4	Away	8–15
02-05	Saint Peter's	L 75–80	62.5	Home	8–16
02-07	Sacred Heart	W 80–68	71.1	Home	9–16
02-13	Niagara	W 76–69	63.4	Away	10–16
02-15	Canisius	W 69–65	64.8	Away	11–16
02-20	Marist	L 70–84	64.0	Home	11–17
02-27	Saint Peter's	L 65–75	62.8	Away	11–18
03-01	Iona	L 65–69	75.0	Home	11–19
03-05	Fairfield	L 60–71	67.9	Neutral	11–20

Roster · 14 players

Player logs in 31 of 31 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Jaden Winston	31	35:44	88.3%	482	93	119	80	1	73	85	112–229	48.9%	43–116	37.1%	129–156	82.7%	51.2%	58.3%	45.2%	5	35:48 +0:05	89.5%	12.6 −2.9
Devin Dinkins	31	33:49	83.5%	369	50	79	32	1	56	47	58–149	38.9%	46–139	33.1%	115–131	87.8%	44.1%	53.4%	45.5%	5	31:05 −2:44	77.7%	9.2 −2.7
Fraser Roxburgh	31	30:49	76.1%	338	177	35	16	16	49	63	93–173	53.8%	41–130	31.5%	29–38	76.3%	51.0%	52.9%	12.5%	5	33:19 +2:30	83.3%	8.0 −2.9
Terrance Jones	31	28:36	70.6%	384	145	55	49	3	37	48	83–193	43.0%	44–130	33.8%	86–93	92.5%	46.1%	52.8%	28.8%	5	35:21 +6:45	88.4%	20.4 +8.0
Anthony Isaac	31	24:05	59.5%	294	227	27	28	14	36	74	102–202	50.5%	1–12	8.3%†	87–125	69.6%	48.4%	54.6%	58.4%	5	22:03 −2:02	55.1%	9.2 −0.3
Marko Ljubicic	31	20:00	49.4%	172	109	18	15	10	22	62	39–71	54.9%	26–92	28.3%	16–24	66.7%†	47.9%	49.6%	14.7%	5	19:05 −0:55	47.7%	4.6 −0.9
Erik Oliver-Bush	25	16:17	32.4%	80	50	19	11	22	20	38	27–50	54.0%†	4–18	22.2%†	14–21	66.7%†	48.5%†	51.8%†	30.9%†	2	9:12 −7:05	9.2%	0.0 −3.2
Quron Elliott	29	11:26	26.4%	102	34	23	4	0	13	20	32–68	47.1%†	7–19	36.8%†	17–24	70.8%†	48.9%†	52.3%†	27.6%†	5	12:19 +0:53	30.8%	1.8 −1.7
Jackson DelaneyUnder 100 minutes	19	4:20	6.6%	6	11	3	4	4	3	9	0–3	0.0%†	2–8	25.0%†	0–3	0.0%†	27.3%†	24.4%†	27.3%†	4	8:26 +4:06	16.9%	0.0 −0.3
Asier Miguel TorreroFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	8	3:25	2.2%	8	1	1	1	0	3	1	1–1	100.0%†	2–8	25.0%†	0–1	0.0%†	44.4%†	42.4%†	11.1%†	1	0:43 −2:42	0.4%	0.0 −1.0
Brett RumpelFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	3	6:25	1.5%	2	0	0	0	0	1	4	1–4	25.0%†	0–1	0.0%†	0–0	—	20.0%†	20.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Omari MooreFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	7	2:29	1.4%	7	2	0	1	0	1	6	1–4	25.0%†	1–5	20.0%†	2–4	50.0%†	27.8%†	32.5%†	44.4%†	—	—	—	—
Michael LawlorFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	2:23	0.8%	0	3	0	0	0	0	2	0–2	0.0%†	0–0	—	0–2	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	100.0%†	—	—	—	—
Aryan AroraFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	2	0:44	0.1%	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	31 games			2244	1004	380	not published	72	334	not published	549–1149	47.8%	217–678	32.0%	495–622	79.6%	47.9%	53.4%	34.0%
Sum of players				2244	902	380	241	71	314	460	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+102	0	not published	+1	+20	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $180K; 80% Range $67K to $495K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $165K to $240K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 6 floor only

The widest scenario range, $89K to $625K, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Jaden Winston	89.5%	$27K	$2K to $97K	17.7%	$25K to $36K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Devin Dinkins	82.4%	$9K	$1K to $47K	9.3%	$8K to $11K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Fraser Roxburgh	76.2%	$14K	$1K to $59K	12.2%	$13K to $18K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Terrance Jones	70.5%	$37K	$6K to $150K	17.5%	$33K to $48K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Anthony Isaac	59.3%	$24K	$3K to $86K	13.3%	$21K to $32K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Marko Ljubicic	51.0%	$9K	$1K to $38K	7.6%	$8K to $11K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Erik Oliver-Bush	32.5%	$7K	$1K to $31K	5.5%	$6K to $9K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Quron Elliott	26.3%	$5K	$1K to $20K	4.4%	$5K to $7K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jackson Delaney	6.7%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K to $2K	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Asier Miguel Torrero	1.9%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K to $2K	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Brett Rumpel	1.8%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K to $2K	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Omari Moore	1.1%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K to $2K	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Michael Lawlor	0.6%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K to $2K	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Aryan Arora	0.1%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K to $2K	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$180K	$67K to $495K	100%	$165K to $240K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Manhattan University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,453,965
Men's basketball expenses	$2,412,158
Athletics department expenses	$12,204,231
Athletics department revenue	$12,605,470

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 31 games, 2,137 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,244	2,467
Field goals made	766	914
Field goals attempted	1,827	1,946
3-pointers made	217	271
3-pointers attempted	678	740
Free throws made	495	368
Free throws attempted	622	500
Offensive rebounds	320	401
Defensive rebounds	684	800
Total rebounds	1,004	1,201
Assists	380	562
Blocks	72	126
Turnovers	334	356
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 241.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 460.
Minutes (derived)	6,275	not published

31 of 31 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,244	2,244	0	±11.2	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	766	766	0	±3.8	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,827	1,827	0	±9.1	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	217	217	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	678	678	0	±3.4	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	495	495	0	±2.5	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	622	622	0	±3.1	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,004	902	+102	±80.3	0
Assists	Reconciled	380	380	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	72	71	+1	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	334	314	+20	±10.0	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	241	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	460	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,275	6,260	+14.8	±125.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Jaden Winston	89.5%	-0.6range -1.3 to +0.2Sufficient evidence
Devin Dinkins	82.4%	-1.8range -2.9 to -0.9Sufficient evidence
Fraser Roxburgh	76.2%	-1.2range -2.1 to -0.4Sufficient evidence
Terrance Jones	70.5%	+0.1range -1.2 to +1.4Sufficient evidence
Anthony Isaac	59.3%	-0.2range -1.3 to +0.8Sufficient evidence
Marko Ljubicic	51.0%	-1.4range -2.3 to -0.4Sufficient evidence
Erik Oliver-Bush	32.5%	-1.3range -2.3 to -0.2Sufficient evidence
Quron Elliott	26.3%	-1.3range -2.3 to -0.3Sufficient evidence
Jackson Delaney	6.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Asier Miguel Torrero	1.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Brett Rumpel	1.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Omari Moore	1.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Michael Lawlor	0.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Aryan Arora	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +8.3range +7.5 to +9.2Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

8 valued players hold 97.5% of on-court time. 6 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 2.5%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value