Merrimack

MAAC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 121 · Raw net 3.2 · Tempo 63.7 · 34 Division I games · Through 2026-03-10

Record: 23–11; 23 wins
AdjNet: 0.6β; rank 165 of 365
AdjO: 106.6β; rank 210 of 365
AdjD: 106.0β; rank 114 of 365
AdjT: 64.9β
SOS: -2.6β; rank 252 of 363
NCSOS: 4.2β
WAB: -4.5β; rank 95 of 363
RR: 3.2β
Exp. W: 19.8β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	106.4220	103.262	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	49.1287	46.717	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	14.856	20.417	16.7
Offensive rebound %	24.8343	39.9365	30.6
FTA / FGA %	38.298	37.1239	35.0
Shooting
3P%	32.7244	30.312	33.9
2P%	49.1278	47.335	51.7
FT%	78.88	73.5249	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	46.1	32.6	39.5
Assists / FGM %	56.0	56.9	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	13.9	13.3	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	35.3	24.6	31.4
2-pointers %	41.3	52.8	48.8
Free throws %	23.4	22.6	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 6.7
Top Three Share of Minutes: 54%
Bench Share of Minutes: 18%
Players with Logged Minutes: 12

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	South Dakota St.	L 66–75	70.1	Neutral	0–1
11-06	Auburn	L 57–95	67.5	Away	0–2
11-11	Tarleton St.	L 62–76	73.6	Away	0–3
11-15	Boston U.	W 91–79	64.3	Away	1–3
11-19	Maine	W 72–65	62.0	Home	2–3
11-21	Florida	L 45–80	65.6	Away	2–4
11-28	Penn	L 65–77	68.0	Away	2–5
11-29	Hofstra	L 58–78	67.1	Neutral	2–6
11-30	La Salle	W 66–60	63.4	Neutral	3–6
12-04	Rider	W 68–66	62.9	Home	4–6
12-07	Fairfield	W 74–63	64.2	Home	5–6
12-10	Princeton	W 59–56	57.7	Away	6–6
12-14	Vermont	L 59–66	58.5	Away	6–7
12-29	Sacred Heart	W 80–72	66.0	Away	7–7
01-02	Mount St. Mary's	W 75–65	69.7	Home	8–7
01-04	Manhattan	W 73–66	67.2	Home	9–7
01-09	Siena	W 63–59	54.2	Away	10–7
01-11	Saint Peter's	L 63–76	61.6	Away	10–8
01-17	Quinnipiac	W 83–71	67.1	Home	11–8
01-19	Marist	W 68–55	64.6	Away	12–8
01-22	Iona	L 60–61	60.4	Away	12–9
01-24	Saint Peter's	W 67–59	63.1	Home	13–9
02-01	Sacred Heart	W 75–58	63.8	Home	14–9
02-05	Mount St. Mary's	W 87–70	70.8	Away	15–9
02-07	Rider	W 73–47	57.5	Away	16–9
02-12	Marist	W 81–56	66.3	Home	17–9
02-15	Quinnipiac	W 56–49	65.3	Away	18–9
02-20	Siena	W 79–72 1OT	63.4	Home	19–9
02-22	Iona	W 88–86 2OT	73.9	Home	20–9
02-27	Canisius	L 62–67	60.7	Away	20–10
03-01	Niagara	W 73–66	60.6	Away	21–10
03-06	Sacred Heart	W 70–48	61.1	Neutral	22–10
03-08	Marist	W 58–57	63.9	Neutral	23–10
03-10	Siena	L 54–64	63.6	Neutral	23–11

Roster · 12 players

Player logs in 34 of 34 team games

Team roster, per game
Column groups	Minutes			Per Game							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Kevair Kennedy	34	36:48	91.0%	18.4	4.6	4.2	1.9	0.1	3.0	1.9	182–392	46.4%	13–40	32.5%†	224–277	80.9%	46.6%	56.6%	64.1%	5	37:38 +0:50	94.1%	19.2 +0.8
Ernest Shelton	34	36:42	90.7%	15.9	3.1	0.9	1.2	0.5	1.1	2.1	51–103	49.5%	99–286	34.6%	143–164	87.2%	51.3%	58.8%	42.2%	5	37:50 +1:08	94.6%	15.4 −0.5
Tye Dorset	34	36:20	89.9%	11.7	3.1	2.2	1.8	0.4	0.9	2.0	82–163	50.3%	59–183	32.2%	58–75	77.3%	49.3%	52.6%	21.7%	5	34:42 −1:38	86.8%	13.2 +1.5
Todd Brogna	34	29:11	72.2%	6.1	4.7	2.4	0.9	1.3	1.5	3.4	26–53	49.1%	46–131	35.1%	17–24	70.8%†	51.6%	53.2%	13.0%	5	34:45 +5:34	86.9%	8.0 +1.9
Andres Marrero	34	27:21	67.6%	7.9	2.0	1.4	1.3	0.1	0.5	0.9	32–58	55.2%	53–166	31.9%	46–55	83.6%	49.8%	54.2%	24.6%	5	31:09 +3:49	77.9%	4.8 −3.1
KC Ugwuakazi	32	19:01	44.3%	5.2	5.1	0.6	0.7	2.2	0.7	3.5	68–116	58.6%	0–1	0.0%†	29–52	55.8%	58.1%	59.0%	44.4%	3	21:42 +2:41	32.5%	1.3 −3.8
Dylan Veillette	33	8:01	19.2%	1.9	1.8	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.3	1.6	23–41	56.1%†	1–11	9.1%†	15–22	68.2%†	47.1%†	51.9%†	42.3%†	4	10:04 +2:03	20.1%	2.0 +0.1
Jaylen Stinson	24	5:23	9.4%	1.0	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.0	0.5	0.5	5–14	35.7%†	2–7	28.6%†	9–12	75.0%†	38.1%†	47.6%†	57.1%†	3	1:56 −3:27	2.9%	0.0 −1.0
Aliou CisseUnder 100 minutes	13	6:58	6.6%	1.2	1.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.9	6–15	40.0%†	1–7	14.3%†	1–7	14.3%†	34.1%†	31.9%†	31.8%†	2	1:07 −5:52	1.1%	0.0 −1.2
Malik EdmeadFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	7	9:37	4.9%	1.1	1.0	0.7	0.1	0.3	1.4	0.6	3–16	18.8%†	0–0	—	2–3	66.7%†	18.8%†	23.1%†	18.8%†	—	—	—	—
Brendan JohnsonUnder 100 minutes	11	3:09	2.5%	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.6	3–8	37.5%†	0–5	0.0%†	2–2	100.0%†	23.1%†	28.8%†	15.4%†	2	1:07 −2:03	1.1%	1.0 +0.3
Brandon LegrisFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	1:27	0.5%	0.0	0.4	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.4	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	2	1:07 −0:21	1.1%	0.0 0.0
Team, games with logs · per game	34 games			68.5	28.7	12.4	not published	5.2	9.6	not published	481–979	49.1%	274–837	32.7%	546–693	78.8%	49.1%	54.9%	38.2%
Sum of players				68.5	25.2	12.4	8.2	5.1	8.9	16.3	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0.0	+3.4	0.0	not published	+0.0	+0.7	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $265K; 80% Range $97K to $700K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $230K to $275K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 4 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Ernest Shelton	91.3%	$25K	$4K to $83K	12.5%	$23K to $27K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kevair Kennedy	90.9%	$46K	$16K to $135K	18.4%	$40K to $49K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tye Dorset	90.7%	$43K	$13K to $120K	17.5%	$38K to $45K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Todd Brogna	71.9%	$32K	$9K to $96K	13.4%	$28K to $34K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Andres Marrero	67.2%	$33K	$9K to $105K	13.0%	$29K to $35K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
KC Ugwuakazi	44.9%	$42K	$13K to $140K	14.5%	$37K to $44K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dylan Veillette	18.2%	$7K	$2K to $23K	3.4%	$7K to $8K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaylen Stinson	9.6%	$4K	$1K to $12K	1.6%	$3K to $4K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Aliou Cisse	6.9%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Malik Edmead	5.3%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Brendan Johnson	2.6%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Brandon Legris	0.5%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$265K	$97K to $700K	100%	$230K to $275K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Merrimack College (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,309,371	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,309,371
Athletics department expenses	$31,668,878
Athletics department revenue	$31,668,878

Team Totalsβ

Season per game, 34 games, 2,190 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	68.5	66.5
Field goals made	22.2	23.0
Field goals attempted	53.4	55.1
3-pointers made	8.1	5.4
3-pointers attempted	24.6	18.0
Free throws made	16.1	15.0
Free throws attempted	20.4	20.4
Offensive rebounds	8.1	13.6
Defensive rebounds	20.6	24.6
Total rebounds	28.7	38.2
Assists	12.4	13.1
Blocks	5.2	3.8
Turnovers	9.6	13.1
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 279.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 555.
Minutes (derived)	202.2	not published

34 of 34 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,330	2,330	0	±11.7	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	755	755	0	±3.8	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,816	1,816	0	±9.1	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	274	274	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	837	837	0	±4.2	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	546	546	0	±2.7	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	693	693	0	±3.5	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	975	858	+117	±78.0	0
Assists	Reconciled	423	423	0	±2.1	0
Blocks	Reconciled	176	175	+1	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	325	302	+23	±9.8	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	279	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	555	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,875	6,858	+16.7	±137.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Ernest Shelton	91.3%	+0.1range -1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence
Kevair Kennedy	90.9%	+1.7range +0.7 to +2.8Sufficient evidence
Tye Dorset	90.7%	+1.4range +0.6 to +2.4Sufficient evidence
Todd Brogna	71.9%	+1.3range +0.2 to +2.4Sufficient evidence
Andres Marrero	67.2%	+1.6range +0.0 to +3.1Sufficient evidence
KC Ugwuakazi	44.9%	+3.6range +1.9 to +5.1Sufficient evidence
Dylan Veillette	18.2%	+0.3range -0.8 to +1.6Sufficient evidence
Jaylen Stinson	9.6%	-0.9range -1.9 to +0.4Limited evidence
Aliou Cisse	6.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Malik Edmead	5.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Brendan Johnson	2.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Brandon Legris	0.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.5range +9.7 to +11.4Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

8 valued players hold 96.9% of on-court time. 4 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 3.1%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 1.9%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value