Algosys College Basketball

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Southern California

B10 · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 191 · Raw net -0.8 · Tempo 71.0 · 31 Division I games · Through 2026-03-11

All seasons
Record
17–14
17 wins
AdjNet
6.0β
rank 92 of 365
AdjO
110.2β
rank 131 of 365
AdjD
104.1β
rank 77 of 365
AdjT
71.2β
SOS
8.1β
rank 37 of 363
NCSOS
-2.4β
WAB
-1.8β
rank 70 of 363
RR
3.1β
Exp. W
13.9β

Scouting Report

CategoryOffenseDefenseD-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.107.5198108.3174108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%50.422549.78951.4
TO / 100 poss.17.422816.319816.7
Offensive rebound %32.411432.226930.6
FTA / FGA %44.2833.413935.0
Shooting
3P%31.730030.93033.9
2P%51.817552.019651.7
FT%72.618477.736172.5
Style
3PA / FGA %34.140.439.5
Assists / FGM %56.554.152.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %15.08.39.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %24.429.931.4
2-pointers %51.549.448.8
Free throws %24.220.719.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size
10.4
Top Three Share of Minutes
42%
Bench Share of Minutes
41%
Players with Logged Minutes
17

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

DateOpponentResultPoss.SiteRecord
11-03Cal PolyW 94–6482.8Home1–0
11-09ManhattanW 114–8382.2Home2–0
11-14Illinois St.W 87–6768.9Neutral3–0
11-20TroyW 107–106 3OT100.7Home4–0
11-24Boise St.W 70–6769.7Neutral5–0
11-25Seton HallW 83–8169.3Neutral6–0
11-26Arizona St.W 88–7566.2Neutral7–0
12-02OregonW 82–7768.6Away8–0
12-06WashingtonL 76–8473.1Home8–1
12-09San DiegoW 94–8178.5Away9–1
12-14Washington St.W 68–6170.4Home10–1
12-17UTSAW 97–7074.1Home11–1
01-02MichiganL 66–9683.6Away11–2
01-05Michigan St.L 51–8071.1Away11–3
01-09MinnesotaW 70–69 1OT65.6Away12–3
01-13MarylandW 88–7167.7Home13–3
01-17PurdueL 64–6969.1Home13–4
01-21NorthwesternL 68–7467.5Home13–5
01-25WisconsinW 73–7164.2Away14–5
01-28IowaL 72–7368.0Away14–6
01-31RutgersW 78–7570.5Home15–6
02-03IndianaW 81–7572.7Home16–6
02-08Penn St.W 77–7572.3Away17–6
02-11Ohio St.L 82–8973.3Away17–7
02-18IllinoisL 65–10171.4Home17–8
02-21OregonL 70–7170.1Home17–9
02-24UCLAL 62–8165.6Away17–10
02-28NebraskaL 67–8268.8Home17–11
03-04WashingtonL 72–9176.0Away17–12
03-07UCLAL 68–8962.6Home17–13
03-11WashingtonL 79–83 1OT80.8Neutral17–14

Roster · 17 players

Player logs in 31 of 31 team games

MinutesPer GameShootingLast Five Team Games
PlayerGMPGTeam Min%PtsRebAstStlBlkTOPF2P2P%3P3P%FTFT%eFG%TS%FTA/FGAGMPGMin%Pts/G
Jacob Cofie3131:1076.4%9.86.82.00.91.71.63.196–17056.5%21–6532.3%49–7962.0%54.3%56.3%33.6%528:34 −2:3569.7%9.4 −0.4
Ezra Ausar3129:4172.7%14.86.61.71.00.52.13.5152–26258.0%0–20.0%†154–23067.0%57.6%62.7%87.1%531:47 +2:0677.5%10.0 −4.8
Chad Baker-Mazara2529:5559.1%18.64.12.70.71.32.42.685–17050.0%60–15738.2%115–12889.8%53.5%60.7%39.1%226:58 −2:5826.3%19.5 +0.9
Kam Woods1931:5147.8%9.34.24.01.60.12.02.161–11752.1%7–4017.5%†33–5263.5%45.5%48.9%33.1%533:54 +2:0382.7%11.0 +1.7
Jerry Easter II2817:2038.4%4.33.00.90.50.30.91.040–8845.5%4–1723.5%†29–3974.4%43.8%49.5%37.1%416:11 −1:1031.6%3.8 −0.6
Jordan Marsh2717:4037.7%7.21.91.80.60.11.11.928–6642.4%30–8236.6%48–6178.7%49.3%55.5%41.2%422:17 +4:3743.5%9.0 +1.8
Terrance Williams II3013:1231.3%2.11.80.60.30.00.10.910–3033.3%†8–2828.6%†20–3164.5%37.9%†44.7%†53.4%†513:04 −0:0831.9%1.0 −1.1
Alijah Arenas1427:5630.9%14.12.92.10.90.52.32.149–12140.5%13–6121.3%61–7779.2%37.6%45.9%42.3%526:55 −1:0165.7%13.8 −0.3
Jaden Brownell2911:3626.6%5.01.80.30.30.40.61.328–4858.3%24–8328.9%16–1984.2%†48.9%51.7%14.5%511:50 +0:1428.9%3.2 −1.8
Gabe Dynes2911:2826.3%2.52.20.40.10.90.71.133–4278.6%†0–0—6–1735.3%†78.6%†72.8%†40.5%†47:24 −4:0414.4%1.0 −1.5
Ryan Cornish2411:0020.9%2.30.70.80.10.10.51.27–1450.0%†10–3231.3%†12–1392.3%†47.8%†54.1%†28.3%†412:52 +1:5125.1%3.0 +0.7
Rodney Rice634:0116.1%20.33.36.01.20.21.81.724–5642.9%†15–3938.5%†29–3974.4%48.9%†54.4%†41.1%†————
Amarion Dickerson821:3913.7%4.63.41.10.80.91.02.57–1353.8%†4–944.4%†11–1861.1%†59.1%†61.8%†81.8%†————
EJ Neal71:370.9%0.30.10.00.00.00.30.61–1100.0%†0–40.0%†0–0—20.0%†20.0%†0.0%†30:19 −1:180.5%0.0 −0.3
Brit Burden10:320.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.01.00–0—0–0—0–0————————
Jonah Goorin10:320.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00–0—0–0—0–0————————
Patrick O'Brien10:320.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00–0—0–0—0–0————————
Team, games with logs · per game31 games77.836.014.95.612.6621–119851.8%196–61931.7%583–80372.6%50.4%55.6%44.2%
Sum of players77.832.614.96.25.512.118.8Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players0.0+3.30.0+0.0+0.5

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool
$3.55M
80% Range $2.60M to $4.95M
Tier
Power 4
medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4
$3.55M in all four
Scenario medians
Players with Figures
17
4 floor only
Players in possession-share order
PlayerPoss. ShareSpeculative Best Guess80% RangeRange GraphicMedian % of Team PoolScenarios Z1 to Z4Floor PartEvidence and Flags
Jacob Cofie75.7%$815K$490K to $1.45M22.2%$815K in all four$20KSufficient evidence
Ezra Ausar73.7%$475K$205K to $735K13.9%$475K in all four$20KSufficient evidence
Chad Baker-Mazara57.5%$650K$400K to $1.20M17.9%$650K in all four$20KSufficient evidence
Kam Woods45.8%$145K$18K to $310K4.5%$145K in all four$20KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jerry Easter II39.0%$90K$16K to $230K2.8%$90K in all four$20KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jordan Marsh38.9%$130K$19K to $265K3.9%$130K in all four$20KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Terrance Williams II32.7%$67K$15K to $190K2.0%$67K in all four$20KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Alijah Arenas30.2%$120K$22K to $230K3.7%$120K in all four$20KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaden Brownell26.5%$150K$48K to $245K4.6%$150K in all four$20KSufficient evidence
Gabe Dynes26.4%$215K$120K to $355K6.0%$215K in all four$20KSufficient evidence
Ryan Cornish20.6%$62K$16K to $140K1.9%$62K in all four$20KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Rodney Rice17.4%$250K$150K to $510K7.0%$250K in all four$20KSufficient evidence
Amarion Dickerson14.3%$100K$49K to $160K3.0%$100K in all four$20KSufficient evidence
EJ Neal1.0%$20K$12K to $33K0.6%$20K in all four$20KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Brit Burden0.0%$20K$12K to $33K0.6%$20K in all four$20KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Jonah Goorin0.0%$20K$12K to $33K0.6%$20K in all four$20KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Patrick O'Brien0.0%$20K$12K to $33K0.6%$20K in all four$20KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool—$3.55M$2.60M to $4.95M100%$3.55M in all four—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Southern California (NCAA Division I-FBS)
MeasureSchool-Reported AmountNote
Men's basketball revenue$13,074,782Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses$13,074,782
Athletics department expenses$234,029,848
Athletics department revenue$234,029,848

Team Totalsβ

Season per game, 31 games, 2,245 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

StatisticTeamOpponents
Points77.878.4
Field goals made26.427.2
Field goals attempted58.662.5
3-pointers made6.37.8
3-pointers attempted20.025.3
Free throws made18.816.2
Free throws attempted25.920.9
Offensive rebounds11.111.8
Defensive rebounds24.923.1
Total rebounds36.035.0
Assists14.914.7
Blocks5.63.2
Turnovers12.611.8
StealsNo team figure. Players sum to 191.
Personal foulsNo team figure. Players sum to 582.
Minutes (derived)204.0

31 of 31 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

StatisticStatusTeam Total, Logged GamesSum of PlayersResidualToleranceTeam Total, Games Without Logs
PointsReconciled2,4132,4130±12.10
Field goals madeReconciled8178170±4.10
Field goals attemptedReconciled1,8171,8170±9.10
3-pointers madeReconciled1961960±2.00
3-pointers attemptedReconciled6196190±3.10
Free throws madeReconciled5835830±2.90
Free throws attemptedReconciled8038030±4.00
Offensive reboundsNo player split
Defensive reboundsNo player split
Total reboundsResidual shown1,1151,012+103±89.20
AssistsReconciled4624620±2.30
BlocksReconciled173172+1±2.00
TurnoversResidual shown390375+15±11.70
StealsNo team figure191
Personal foulsNo team figure582
Minutes (derived)Reconciled6,3256,312+12.7±126.50

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
PlayerPoss. ShareNet and RangeβRange Graphic
Jacob Cofie75.7%+3.3range +2.0 to +4.6Sufficient evidence
Ezra Ausar73.7%+1.5range +0.4 to +2.5Sufficient evidence
Chad Baker-Mazara57.5%+3.6range +2.2 to +4.9Sufficient evidence
Kam Woods45.8%-0.7range -1.8 to +0.3Sufficient evidence
Jerry Easter II39.0%-1.3range -2.7 to -0.3Sufficient evidence
Jordan Marsh38.9%-0.6range -1.8 to +0.4Sufficient evidence
Terrance Williams II32.7%-1.6range -2.6 to -0.7Sufficient evidence
Alijah Arenas30.2%-0.4range -1.4 to +0.9Sufficient evidence
Jaden Brownell26.5%+0.7range -0.1 to +1.6Sufficient evidence
Gabe Dynes26.4%+2.2range +0.8 to +3.2Sufficient evidence
Ryan Cornish20.6%-1.1range -2.1 to -0.2Sufficient evidence
Rodney Rice17.4%+4.4range +3.4 to +5.3Sufficient evidence
Amarion Dickerson14.3%+1.3range +0.5 to +1.9Sufficient evidence
EJ Neal1.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Jonah Goorin0.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Brit Burden0.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Patrick O'Brien0.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions
+10.6range +9.7 to +11.4Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

13 valued players hold 99.8% of on-court time. 4 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.2%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value