Algosys College Basketball

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Kentucky

SEC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 61 · Raw net 8.8 · Tempo 69.7 · 36 Division I games · Through 2026-03-22

All seasons
Record
22–14
22 wins
AdjNet
17.6β
rank 27 of 365
AdjO
117.9β
rank 38 of 365
AdjD
100.3β
rank 30 of 365
AdjT
69.1β
SOS
11.1β
rank 6 of 363
NCSOS
1.3β
WAB
3.4β
rank 29 of 363
RR
0.9β
Exp. W
21.1β

Scouting Report

CategoryOffenseDefenseD-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.115.258106.3113108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%53.38848.96251.4
TO / 100 poss.15.49715.525016.7
Offensive rebound %33.28430.015830.6
FTA / FGA %37.411836.422335.0
Shooting
3P%34.215931.85633.9
2P%54.76749.78951.7
FT%72.718173.323472.5
Style
3PA / FGA %39.739.939.5
Assists / FGM %56.955.452.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %12.88.59.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %30.430.631.4
2-pointers %49.348.048.8
Free throws %20.321.419.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size
9.1
Top Three Share of Minutes
45%
Bench Share of Minutes
34%
Players with Logged Minutes
14

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

DateOpponentResultPoss.SiteRecord
11-04NichollsW 77–5170.0Home1–0
11-07ValparaisoW 107–5974.9Home2–0
11-11LouisvilleL 88–9676.7Away2–1
11-14Eastern Ill.W 99–5367.8Home3–1
11-18Michigan St.L 66–8371.1Neutral3–2
11-21Loyola MarylandW 88–4672.0Home4–2
11-26Tennessee TechW 104–5472.8Home5–2
12-02North CarolinaL 64–6763.8Home5–3
12-05GonzagaL 59–9470.5Neutral5–4
12-09N.C. CentralW 103–6771.9Home6–4
12-13IndianaW 72–6066.9Home7–4
12-20St. John's (NY)W 78–6669.3Neutral8–4
12-23BellarmineW 99–8566.8Home9–4
01-03AlabamaL 74–8971.7Away9–5
01-07MissouriL 68–7368.0Home9–6
01-10Mississippi St.W 92–6868.7Home10–6
01-14LSUW 75–7466.9Away11–6
01-17TennesseeW 80–7863.4Away12–6
01-21TexasW 85–8069.1Home13–6
01-24Ole MissW 72–6367.0Home14–6
01-27VanderbiltL 55–8070.0Away14–7
01-31ArkansasW 85–7766.8Away15–7
02-04OklahomaW 94–7865.4Home16–7
02-07TennesseeW 74–7167.7Home17–7
02-14FloridaL 83–9276.5Away17–8
02-17GeorgiaL 78–8667.3Home17–9
02-21AuburnL 74–7570.7Away17–10
02-24South CarolinaW 72–6371.8Away18–10
02-28VanderbiltW 91–7768.0Home19–10
03-03Texas A&ML 85–9675.4Away19–11
03-07FloridaL 77–8471.6Home19–12
03-11LSUW 87–8270.2Neutral20–12
03-12MissouriW 78–7268.9Neutral21–12
03-13FloridaL 63–7173.1Neutral21–13
03-20Santa ClaraW 89–84 1OT74.6—22–13
03-22Iowa St.L 63–8269.2—22–14

Roster · 14 players

Player logs in 36 of 36 team games

MinutesPer GameShootingLast Five Team Games
PlayerGMPGTeam Min%PtsRebAstStlBlkTOPF2P2P%3P3P%FTFT%eFG%TS%FTA/FGAGMPGMin%Pts/G
Otega Oweh3632:4081.4%18.64.82.71.80.32.12.7189–36851.4%45–13533.3%158–21673.1%51.0%56.1%42.9%538:03 +5:2492.8%21.4 +2.8
Denzel Aberdeen3630:3576.2%13.52.53.40.70.11.31.9100–20349.3%62–17136.3%99–12479.8%51.6%56.6%33.2%535:57 +5:2287.7%17.0 +3.5
Collin Chandler3627:0667.5%9.72.82.31.20.31.12.240–8248.8%73–17841.0%50–6083.3%57.5%60.9%23.1%532:47 +5:4180.0%8.0 −1.7
Malachi Moreno3622:3856.4%7.86.31.80.51.51.32.196–16259.3%0–30.0%†88–12669.8%58.2%63.5%76.4%521:01 −1:3851.2%4.8 −3.0
Mouhamed Dioubate3121:2646.0%8.85.51.01.01.00.82.691–15160.3%6–2821.4%†73–11265.2%55.9%59.8%62.6%522:32 +1:0654.9%10.2 +1.4
Brandon Garrison3616:1140.3%4.74.11.10.50.81.02.565–10760.7%4–1723.5%†26–4459.1%57.3%58.6%35.5%520:15 +4:0549.4%6.4 +1.7
Andrija Jelavic3215:3834.6%5.54.00.70.40.30.81.352–7767.5%21–7627.6%8–1553.3%†54.6%54.8%9.8%514:32 −1:0535.5%3.4 −2.1
Kam Williams2418:3230.8%6.02.11.00.60.30.61.820–2969.0%28–7835.9%21–2295.5%†57.9%62.1%20.6%513:16 −5:1632.3%2.8 −3.2
Jasper Johnson3511:5428.8%4.91.11.60.10.11.01.229–5949.2%31–9134.1%22–2588.0%50.3%53.7%16.7%55:50 −6:0414.2%2.0 −2.9
Trent Noah2710:3319.7%3.02.30.50.40.10.31.05–1145.5%†17–5133.3%19–2382.6%†49.2%†55.5%†37.1%†12:36 −7:571.3%0.0 −3.0
Jaland Lowe918:3611.6%8.02.12.40.70.20.91.319–4344.2%†5–2420.8%†19–2770.4%39.6%†45.6%†40.3%†————
Jayden Quaintance416:424.6%5.05.00.50.50.81.51.38–1457.1%†0–0—4–1330.8%†57.1%†50.7%†92.9%†————
Walker Horn70:510.4%0.40.10.10.00.00.30.00–0—1–616.7%†0–0—25.0%†25.0%†0.0%†————
Zach Tow70:510.4%0.60.00.00.00.00.00.10–0—1–1100.0%†1–250.0%†150.0%†106.4%†200.0%†————
Team, games with logs · per game36 games80.537.415.94.610.8714–130654.7%294–85934.2%588–80972.7%53.3%57.5%37.4%
Sum of players80.534.015.97.04.610.218.4Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players0.0+3.40.0+0.0+0.6

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool
$3.60M
80% Range $2.55M to $5.00M
Tier
Power 4
medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4
$3.60M in all four
Scenario medians
Players with Figures
14
3 floor only
Players in possession-share order
PlayerPoss. ShareSpeculative Best Guess80% RangeRange GraphicMedian % of Team PoolScenarios Z1 to Z4Floor PartEvidence and Flags
Otega Oweh81.8%$545K$320K to $830K15.7%$545K in all four$25KSufficient evidence
Denzel Aberdeen76.5%$695K$450K to $1.15M18.7%$695K in all four$25KSufficient evidence
Collin Chandler68.1%$295K$69K to $520K8.9%$295K in all four$25KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Malachi Moreno56.9%$530K$340K to $850K14.3%$530K in all four$25KSufficient evidence
Mouhamed Dioubate45.7%$420K$250K to $725K11.4%$420K in all four$25KSufficient evidence
Brandon Garrison40.0%$110K$22K to $240K3.2%$110K in all four$25KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Andrija Jelavic35.2%$135K$32K to $250K4.0%$135K in all four$25KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kam Williams30.4%$300K$185K to $530K8.1%$300K in all four$25KSufficient evidence
Jasper Johnson28.7%$120K$33K to $215K3.6%$120K in all four$25KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Trent Noah19.6%$145K$88K to $220K4.2%$145K in all four$25KSufficient evidence
Jaland Lowe11.8%$90K$51K to $140K2.6%$90K in all four$25KLimited evidence
Jayden Quaintance4.7%$25K$14K to $41K0.7%$25K in all four$25KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Walker Horn0.4%$25K$14K to $41K0.7%$25K in all four$25KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Zach Tow0.4%$25K$14K to $41K0.7%$25K in all four$25KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool—$3.60M$2.55M to $5.00M100%$3.60M in all four—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Kentucky (NCAA Division I-FBS)
MeasureSchool-Reported AmountNote
Men's basketball revenue$21,370,744Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses$21,370,744
Athletics department expenses$186,609,679
Athletics department revenue$186,609,679

Team Totalsβ

Season per game, 36 games, 2,516 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

StatisticTeamOpponents
Points80.574.3
Field goals made28.025.4
Field goals attempted60.159.7
3-pointers made8.27.6
3-pointers attempted23.923.8
Free throws made16.315.9
Free throws attempted22.521.7
Offensive rebounds11.711.0
Defensive rebounds25.723.4
Total rebounds37.434.4
Assists15.914.1
Blocks4.63.1
Turnovers10.810.8
StealsNo team figure. Players sum to 252.
Personal foulsNo team figure. Players sum to 662.
Minutes (derived)200.7

36 of 36 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

StatisticStatusTeam Total, Logged GamesSum of PlayersResidualToleranceTeam Total, Games Without Logs
PointsReconciled2,8982,8980±14.50
Field goals madeReconciled1,0081,0080±5.00
Field goals attemptedReconciled2,1652,1650±10.80
3-pointers madeReconciled2942940±2.00
3-pointers attemptedReconciled8598590±4.30
Free throws madeReconciled5885880±2.90
Free throws attemptedReconciled8098090±4.00
Offensive reboundsNo player split
Defensive reboundsNo player split
Total reboundsResidual shown1,3451,223+122±107.60
AssistsReconciled5745740±2.90
BlocksReconciled165164+1±2.00
TurnoversResidual shown388367+21±11.60
StealsNo team figure252
Personal foulsNo team figure662
Minutes (derived)Reconciled7,2257,206+18.6±144.50

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
PlayerPoss. ShareNet and RangeβRange Graphic
Otega Oweh81.8%+3.1range +1.7 to +4.1Sufficient evidence
Denzel Aberdeen76.5%+4.3range +3.1 to +5.5Sufficient evidence
Collin Chandler68.1%+1.2range -0.1 to +2.7Sufficient evidence
Malachi Moreno56.9%+4.5range +3.0 to +5.6Sufficient evidence
Mouhamed Dioubate45.7%+4.4range +2.7 to +5.9Sufficient evidence
Brandon Garrison40.0%-0.4range -1.8 to +0.8Sufficient evidence
Andrija Jelavic35.2%+0.6range -0.8 to +1.7Sufficient evidence
Kam Williams30.4%+4.7range +2.9 to +6.3Sufficient evidence
Jasper Johnson28.7%+0.9range -0.7 to +1.9Sufficient evidence
Trent Noah19.6%+2.9range +1.6 to +4.2Sufficient evidence
Jaland Lowe11.8%+2.5range +1.2 to +3.7Limited evidence
Jayden Quaintance4.7%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Walker Horn0.4%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Zach Tow0.4%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions
+12.1range +11.2 to +13.1Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

11 valued players hold 98.9% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.1%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 2.4%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value