Wake Forest

ACC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 132 · Raw net 2.7 · Tempo 69.4 · 35 Division I games · Through 2026-03-22

Record: 18–17; 18 wins
AdjNet: 9.0β; rank 72 of 365
AdjO: 114.5β; rank 68 of 365
AdjD: 105.5β; rank 103 of 365
AdjT: 69.2β
SOS: 7.7β; rank 43 of 363
NCSOS: 1.1β
WAB: -3.5β; rank 83 of 363
RR: -0.1β
Exp. W: 18.1β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	112.496	109.7213	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	52.7118	51.8203	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	15.5107	17.7115	16.7
Offensive rebound %	30.1197	33.0299	30.6
FTA / FGA %	35.2170	35.7203	35.0
Shooting
3P%	34.1167	32.9117	33.9
2P%	53.989	53.9273	51.7
FT%	77.622	74.0266	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	43.6	46.6	39.5
Assists / FGM %	53.5	56.9	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	11.2	8.3	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	33.6	35.4	31.4
2-pointers %	45.8	44.3	48.8
Free throws %	20.6	20.3	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.7
Top Three Share of Minutes: 45%
Bench Share of Minutes: 35%
Players with Logged Minutes: 15

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	American	W 88–74	75.5	Home	1–0
11-07	Morehead St.	W 81–65	79.7	Home	2–0
11-11	Michigan	L 84–85 1OT	86.3	Neutral	2–1
11-16	UMass Lowell	W 109–75	76.0	Home	3–1
11-20	Texas Tech	L 83–84	75.2	Neutral	3–2
11-21	Memphis	W 69–68	67.3	Neutral	4–2
11-25	Campbell	W 99–51	71.9	Home	5–2
11-28	Northeastern	W 86–73	73.3	Home	6–2
12-02	Oklahoma	L 68–86	72.2	Home	6–3
12-06	West Virginia	W 75–66	60.8	Neutral	7–3
12-14	Queens (NC)	W 111–73	71.8	Home	8–3
12-17	Longwood	W 71–68	73.1	Home	9–3
12-21	Vanderbilt	L 67–98	72.9	Home	9–4
12-31	NC State	L 57–70	71.6	Away	9–5
01-03	Virginia Tech	W 81–78	74.2	Home	10–5
01-07	Miami (FL)	L 77–81	68.5	Home	10–6
01-10	North Carolina	L 84–87	71.2	Away	10–7
01-17	Florida St.	W 69–68	65.9	Away	11–7
01-20	SMU	L 79–91	75.5	Home	11–8
01-24	Duke	L 69–90	64.8	Away	11–9
01-27	Pittsburgh	L 76–80 1OT	72.0	Away	11–10
01-31	NC State	L 78–96	69.5	Home	11–11
02-07	Louisville	L 80–88	70.8	Home	11–12
02-11	Georgia Tech	W 83–67	65.4	Away	12–12
02-14	Stanford	W 68–63	62.9	Home	13–12
02-18	Clemson	W 85–77	66.6	Home	14–12
02-21	Virginia Tech	L 63–82	60.6	Away	14–13
02-25	Boston College	L 67–68	63.6	Away	14–14
02-28	Syracuse	W 88–83	65.1	Home	15–14
03-03	Virginia	L 70–75	68.0	Away	15–15
03-07	California	W 80–73	73.0	Home	16–15
03-10	Virginia Tech	W 95–89 1OT	75.0	Neutral	17–15
03-11	Clemson	L 62–71	59.6	Neutral	17–16
03-18	Navy	W 82–72	66.1	—	18–16
03-22	Illinois St.	L 75–78	69.5	—	18–17

Roster · 15 players

Player logs in 35 of 35 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Juke Harris	35	35:10	87.0%	750	229	68	44	7	58	72	147–265	55.5%	87–262	33.2%	195–249	78.3%	52.7%	58.9%	47.2%	5	40:16 +5:06	98.2%	21.8 +0.4
Tre'Von Spillers	35	29:08	72.0%	393	203	61	35	53	41	104	150–251	59.8%	12–33	36.4%†	57–75	76.0%	59.2%	62.0%	26.4%	5	29:44 +0:36	72.5%	14.4 +3.2
Myles Colvin	35	27:02	66.9%	405	153	48	41	11	61	74	64–141	45.4%	59–164	36.0%	100–115	87.0%	50.0%	56.9%	37.7%	5	26:26 −0:36	64.5%	8.6 −3.0
Omaha Biliew	35	20:17	50.2%	220	85	18	21	13	25	94	37–63	58.7%	32–87	36.8%	50–63	79.4%	56.7%	61.9%	42.0%	5	26:29 +6:12	64.6%	9.2 +2.9
Cooper Schwieger	34	20:07	48.3%	172	84	31	17	20	27	71	54–96	56.3%	12–35	34.3%†	28–38	73.7%	55.0%	58.2%	29.0%	5	19:06 −1:02	46.6%	5.0 −0.1
Mekhi Mason	34	19:59	48.0%	250	90	46	32	8	35	73	35–72	48.6%	46–136	33.8%	42–62	67.7%	50.0%	53.1%	29.8%	5	20:47 +0:48	50.7%	5.2 −2.2
Nate Calmese	26	24:42	45.4%	267	50	116	33	3	48	32	60–116	51.7%	41–103	39.8%	24–31	77.4%	55.5%	57.4%	14.2%	4	22:48 −1:54	44.5%	11.0 +0.7
Sebastian Akins	35	15:08	37.4%	184	51	65	26	2	41	48	54–106	50.9%	9–50	18.0%	49–63	77.8%	43.3%	50.1%	40.4%	5	17:28 +2:20	42.6%	4.2 −1.1
Isaac Carr	26	11:13	20.6%	57	43	31	8	0	16	36	16–34	47.1%†	5–16	31.3%†	10–16	62.5%†	47.0%†	50.0%†	32.0%†	3	9:51 −1:22	14.4%	2.0 −0.2
Marqus Marion	20	11:57	16.9%	29	45	14	9	7	5	30	9–14	64.3%†	1–11	9.1%†	8–13	61.5%†	42.0%†	47.2%†	52.0%†	—	—	—	—
Jaylen CrossUnder 100 minutes	13	4:57	4.6%	24	13	5	2	0	6	10	5–14	35.7%†	3–5	60.0%†	5–7	71.4%†	50.0%†	54.3%†	36.8%†	—	—	—	—
Vincent RicchiutiFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	1:39	0.5%	6	0	0	1	0	1	1	0–0	—	2–4	50.0%†	0–0	—	75.0%†	75.0%†	0.0%†	1	0:15 −1:24	0.1%	0.0 −1.5
Will UnderwoodFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	1:14	0.3%	0	2	0	1	0	0	3	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	1	0:15 −0:59	0.1%	0.0 0.0
Anson Beard Jr.Few gamesUnder 100 minutes	3	1:34	0.3%	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Owen KmetyFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	2	0:11	0.0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1–1	100.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	100.0%†	100.0%†	0.0%†	2	0:11 0:00	0.2%	1.0 0.0
Team, games with logs · season totals	35 games			2759	1165	503	not published	124	381	not published	632–1173	53.9%	309–906	34.1%	568–732	77.6%	52.7%	57.5%	35.2%
Sum of players				2759	1049	503	270	124	365	649	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+116	0	not published	0	+16	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $3.55M; 80% Range $2.55M to $4.95M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.55M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 15; 5 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Juke Harris	88.2%	$785K	$500K to $1.30M	21.3%	$785K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidence
Tre'Von Spillers	72.3%	$705K	$440K to $1.30M	19.0%	$705K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidence
Myles Colvin	66.7%	$225K	$22K to $465K	6.8%	$225K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Omaha Biliew	50.6%	$330K	$96K to $580K	9.4%	$330K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cooper Schwieger	49.4%	$210K	$27K to $385K	6.4%	$210K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mekhi Mason	48.3%	$225K	$30K to $415K	6.8%	$225K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nate Calmese	44.7%	$375K	$215K to $635K	10.1%	$375K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidence
Sebastian Akins	37.7%	$185K	$35K to $320K	5.5%	$185K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaac Carr	20.5%	$110K	$31K to $185K	3.4%	$110K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidence
Marqus Marion	16.5%	$155K	$88K to $280K	4.3%	$155K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidence
Jaylen Cross	4.4%	$23K	$13K to $37K	0.7%	$23K in all four	$23K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Vincent Ricchiuti	0.2%	$23K	$13K to $37K	0.7%	$23K in all four	$23K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Will Underwood	0.2%	$23K	$13K to $37K	0.7%	$23K in all four	$23K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Anson Beard Jr.	0.2%	$23K	$13K to $37K	0.7%	$23K in all four	$23K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Owen Kmety	0.0%	$23K	$13K to $37K	0.7%	$23K in all four	$23K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.55M	$2.55M to $4.95M	100%	$3.55M in all four	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Wake Forest University (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$13,055,099	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$13,055,099
Athletics department expenses	$114,628,069
Athletics department revenue	$114,628,069

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 35 games, 2,455 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,759	2,693
Field goals made	941	914
Field goals attempted	2,079	2,071
3-pointers made	309	318
3-pointers attempted	906	966
Free throws made	568	547
Free throws attempted	732	739
Offensive rebounds	354	399
Defensive rebounds	811	823
Total rebounds	1,165	1,222
Assists	503	520
Blocks	124	97
Turnovers	381	434
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 270.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 649.
Minutes (derived)	7,075	not published

35 of 35 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,759	2,759	0	±13.8	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	941	941	0	±4.7	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	2,079	2,079	0	±10.4	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	309	309	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	906	906	0	±4.5	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	568	568	0	±2.8	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	732	732	0	±3.7	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,165	1,049	+116	±93.2	0
Assists	Reconciled	503	503	0	±2.5	0
Blocks	Reconciled	124	124	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	381	365	+16	±11.4	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	270	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	649	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	7,075	7,054	+21.4	±141.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Juke Harris	88.2%	+2.3range +1.2 to +3.4Sufficient evidence
Tre'Von Spillers	72.3%	+2.6range +1.2 to +4.0Sufficient evidence
Myles Colvin	66.7%	-0.6range -1.9 to +0.5Sufficient evidence
Omaha Biliew	50.6%	+1.1range -0.5 to +2.5Sufficient evidence
Cooper Schwieger	49.4%	-0.2range -1.5 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
Mekhi Mason	48.3%	+0.0range -1.5 to +1.6Sufficient evidence
Nate Calmese	44.7%	+1.9range +0.6 to +3.3Sufficient evidence
Sebastian Akins	37.7%	+0.2range -0.8 to +1.3Sufficient evidence
Isaac Carr	20.5%	+0.1range -0.8 to +1.3Sufficient evidence
Marqus Marion	16.5%	+2.1range +0.6 to +3.4Sufficient evidence
Jaylen Cross	4.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Will Underwood	0.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Vincent Ricchiuti	0.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Anson Beard Jr.	0.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Owen Kmety	0.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.4range +9.6 to +11.3Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 99.0% of on-court time. 5 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.0%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value