UMass Lowell

AE · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 290 · Raw net -8.3 · Tempo 68.9 · 30 Division I games · Through 2026-03-10

Record: 12–18; 12 wins
AdjNet: -10.8β; rank 310 of 365
AdjO: 103.7β; rank 281 of 365
AdjD: 114.4β; rank 319 of 365
AdjT: 69.8β
SOS: -4.5β; rank 306 of 363
NCSOS: 4.6β
WAB: -12.3β; rank 265 of 363
RR: 0.3β
Exp. W: 11.7β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	104.1267	112.4279	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	49.8246	53.5284	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	18.0272	14.2330	16.7
Offensive rebound %	32.798	29.4127	30.6
FTA / FGA %	34.9183	28.334	35.0
Shooting
3P%	32.2269	34.6225	33.9
2P%	50.5240	54.4290	51.7
FT%	65.7355	71.6130	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	31.3	35.0	39.5
Assists / FGM %	45.4	47.5	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	7.6	10.4	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	24.7	28.5	31.4
2-pointers %	56.6	55.5	48.8
Free throws %	18.7	15.9	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.3
Top Three Share of Minutes: 48%
Bench Share of Minutes: 30%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-07	UConn	L 47–110	74.8	Away	0–1
11-10	New Haven	L 67–73	68.5	Home	0–2
11-13	Columbia	L 72–86	69.5	Away	0–3
11-16	Wake Forest	L 75–109	76.0	Away	0–4
11-19	Bradley	L 77–87	67.3	Away	0–5
11-22	Saint Peter's	L 66–68	71.2	Away	0–6
11-26	Stonehill	W 75–64	68.6	Away	1–6
12-06	Massachusetts	L 60–80	76.5	Away	1–7
12-13	Quinnipiac	L 71–75	75.0	Away	1–8
12-16	Sacred Heart	W 87–82	73.4	Home	2–8
12-21	Boston U.	L 76–88	65.2	Away	2–9
12-29	Iowa	L 62–90	65.5	Away	2–10
01-03	UAlbany	W 83–71	67.1	Home	3–10
01-08	Bryant	W 77–63	64.7	Away	4–10
01-10	Binghamton	W 73–68	69.1	Away	5–10
01-15	NJIT	L 64–73	70.1	Home	5–11
01-22	Vermont	L 68–77	67.5	Home	5–12
01-24	UMBC	L 56–79	66.4	Away	5–13
01-29	New Hampshire	L 61–66	69.1	Away	5–14
01-31	Maine	W 91–77	71.1	Home	6–14
02-05	NJIT	L 56–81	68.2	Away	6–15
02-07	UAlbany	W 89–79	69.5	Away	7–15
02-12	Bryant	W 88–69	65.3	Home	8–15
02-19	New Hampshire	W 78–56	70.5	Home	9–15
02-21	Binghamton	W 92–79	64.7	Home	10–15
02-26	Vermont	L 64–66	65.0	Away	10–16
02-28	UMBC	L 60–84	65.4	Home	10–17
03-03	Maine	W 67–56	65.7	Away	11–17
03-07	UAlbany	W 81–76	67.5	Home	12–17
03-10	UMBC	L 69–91	67.8	Away	12–18

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 30 of 30 team games

Team roster, per game
Column groups	Minutes			Per Game							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Xavier Spencer	30	34:57	87.4%	12.4	4.5	3.1	1.3	0.2	2.0	2.5	84–167	50.3%	49–136	36.0%	58–75	77.3%	52.0%	55.5%	24.8%	5	36:20 +1:24	90.8%	11.0 −1.4
Darrel Yepdo	30	32:10	80.4%	10.6	3.2	3.3	0.8	0.1	2.3	2.5	58–144	40.3%	50–137	36.5%	51–67	76.1%	47.3%	51.0%	23.8%	5	33:54 +1:45	84.8%	9.6 −1.0
Angel Montas Jr.	27	30:44	69.2%	16.8	5.1	1.5	0.9	0.4	1.9	1.0	150–263	57.0%	30–91	33.0%	64–99	64.6%	55.1%	57.1%	28.0%	5	38:00 +7:15	95.0%	21.2 +4.4
Shawn Simmons II	26	26:09	56.7%	6.7	5.2	1.2	0.6	1.4	1.5	1.7	55–109	50.5%	7–21	33.3%†	42–63	66.7%	50.4%	54.8%	48.5%	5	29:06 +2:57	72.8%	7.2 +0.5
Austin Green	24	28:10	56.3%	12.5	7.3	1.0	0.5	0.4	1.5	1.7	110–199	55.3%	0–2	0.0%†	81–135	60.0%	54.7%	57.8%	67.2%	3	28:55 +0:44	43.4%	9.7 −2.9
Victor Okojie	27	17:39	39.7%	4.3	4.6	0.7	0.5	0.3	1.0	2.5	30–64	46.9%	13–48	27.1%†	18–35	51.4%	44.2%	45.9%	31.3%	5	22:26 +4:47	56.1%	4.0 −0.3
JJ Massaquoi	27	16:52	38.0%	8.0	2.8	0.4	0.3	0.1	1.1	1.6	87–170	51.2%	0–10	0.0%†	43–68	63.2%	48.3%	51.7%	37.8%	4	13:38 −3:14	27.3%	7.8 −0.3
Khalil Farmer	30	13:42	34.3%	3.5	1.5	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.5	1.6	17–47	36.2%†	16–51	31.4%	22–36	61.1%	41.8%†	45.7%†	36.7%†	5	8:58 −4:45	22.4%	2.6 −0.9
Jared Frey	22	12:39	23.2%	3.0	1.1	1.0	0.2	0.1	0.7	0.7	9–19	47.4%†	11–42	26.2%†	14–14	100.0%†	41.8%†	48.4%†	23.0%†	1	12:26 −0:13	6.2%	3.0 0.0
Isaiah WalterUnder 100 minutes	10	7:40	6.4%	1.6	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.7	0.6	4–7	57.1%†	1–10	10.0%†	5–9	55.6%†	32.4%†	38.2%†	52.9%†	—	—	—	—
Jerrell Roberson IIFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	9	6:14	4.7%	1.2	1.1	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.3	1.0	4–14	28.6%†	0–0	—	3–8	37.5%†	28.6%†	31.4%†	57.1%†	—	—	—	—
Kris JohnsonFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	3:53	1.3%	1.0	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	1–3	33.3%†	0–1	0.0%†	2–2	100.0%†	25.0%†	41.0%†	50.0%†	—	—	—	—
Keenan BeyFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	1:46	0.7%	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.2	0.2	0–1	0.0%†	0–0	—	0–2	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	200.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · per game	30 games			71.7	35.7	11.9	not published	3.0	12.4	not published	609–1207	50.5%	177–549	32.2%	403–613	65.7%	49.8%	53.1%	34.9%
Sum of players				71.7	32.2	11.9	5.1	3.0	11.8	15.0	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0.0	+3.5	0.0	not published	0.0	+0.6	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $235K; 80% Range $88K to $630K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $230K to $240K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 4 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Xavier Spencer	87.2%	$28K	$2K to $100K	16.0%	$27K to $28K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Darrel Yepdo	80.4%	$12K	$1K to $61K	8.8%	$12K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Angel Montas Jr.	65.8%	$39K	$9K to $140K	16.1%	$38K to $40K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Austin Green	58.8%	$51K	$13K to $190K	18.7%	$50K to $52K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Shawn Simmons II	54.0%	$28K	$5K to $99K	12.4%	$28K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
JJ Massaquoi	39.7%	$4K	$1K to $20K	1.1%	$4K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Victor Okojie	37.6%	$12K	$1K to $47K	6.8%	$12K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Khalil Farmer	35.8%	$4K	$1K to $22K	1.2%	$4K to $5K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jared Frey	25.6%	$5K	$1K to $19K	2.4%	$4K to $5K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaiah Walter	7.2%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Jerrell Roberson II	5.6%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Kris Johnson	1.5%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Keenan Bey	0.8%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$235K	$88K to $630K	100%	$230K to $240K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Massachusetts-Lowell (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,343,038	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,343,038
Athletics department expenses	$24,927,009
Athletics department revenue	$25,150,715

Team Totalsβ

Season per game, 30 games, 2,066 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	71.7	77.4
Field goals made	26.2	28.9
Field goals attempted	58.5	60.8
3-pointers made	5.9	7.4
3-pointers attempted	18.3	21.3
Free throws made	13.4	12.3
Free throws attempted	20.4	17.2
Offensive rebounds	11.7	10.0
Defensive rebounds	24.1	24.0
Total rebounds	35.7	34.0
Assists	11.9	13.7
Blocks	3.0	4.2
Turnovers	12.4	9.8
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 154.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 449.
Minutes (derived)	200.0	not published

30 of 30 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,152	2,152	0	±10.8	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	786	786	0	±3.9	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,756	1,756	0	±8.8	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	177	177	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	549	549	0	±2.7	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	403	403	0	±2.0	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	613	613	0	±3.1	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,072	967	+105	±85.8	0
Assists	Reconciled	357	357	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	90	90	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	372	354	+18	±11.2	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	154	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	449	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,000	5,978	+22.3	±120.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Xavier Spencer	87.2%	-0.6range -1.9 to +0.8Sufficient evidence
Darrel Yepdo	80.4%	-1.7range -2.6 to -0.6Sufficient evidence
Angel Montas Jr.	65.8%	+0.5range -0.7 to +1.9Sufficient evidence
Austin Green	58.8%	+1.1range -0.3 to +2.6Sufficient evidence
Shawn Simmons II	54.0%	+0.1range -1.2 to +1.6Sufficient evidence
JJ Massaquoi	39.7%	-3.5range -4.6 to -2.4Sufficient evidence
Victor Okojie	37.6%	-0.8range -2.1 to +0.4Sufficient evidence
Khalil Farmer	35.8%	-2.8range -3.9 to -1.7Sufficient evidence
Jared Frey	25.6%	-2.3range -3.5 to -0.9Sufficient evidence
Isaiah Walter	7.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Jerrell Roberson II	5.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Kris Johnson	1.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Keenan Bey	0.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +8.4range +7.4 to +9.2Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

9 valued players hold 97.0% of on-court time. 4 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 3.0%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value