American

Pat · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 200 · Raw net -1.0 · Tempo 66.7 · 30 Division I games · Through 2026-03-05

Record: 14–16; 14 wins
AdjNet: -4.6β; rank 239 of 365
AdjO: 106.2β; rank 220 of 365
AdjD: 110.8β; rank 238 of 365
AdjT: 67.7β
SOS: -4.6β; rank 309 of 363
NCSOS: 1.2β
WAB: -10.6β; rank 234 of 363
RR: -1.6β
Exp. W: 15.6β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	107.9184	109.0194	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	51.5169	54.4312	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	15.6115	19.240	16.7
Offensive rebound %	26.9300	29.4128	30.6
FTA / FGA %	28.7335	42.1324	35.0
Shooting
3P%	33.0235	35.5283	33.9
2P%	53.3116	55.1311	51.7
FT%	75.858	72.2168	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	46.5	37.0	39.5
Assists / FGM %	49.5	53.7	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	4.4	10.2	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	36.8	28.3	31.4
2-pointers %	45.8	49.8	48.8
Free throws %	17.4	21.8	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.2
Top Three Share of Minutes: 44%
Bench Share of Minutes: 32%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Wake Forest	L 74–88	75.5	Away	0–1
11-09	Penn	W 84–78	77.1	Home	1–1
11-12	George Washington	L 67–107	75.7	Away	1–2
11-18	Rutgers	L 71–80	70.5	Away	1–3
11-28	Maine	W 74–61	66.6	Home	2–3
11-29	Siena	L 55–59	69.8	Home	2–4
11-30	Longwood	W 92–66	72.1	Home	3–4
12-03	Drexel	W 75–73	67.0	Home	4–4
12-06	UMES	W 78–60	62.3	Home	5–4
12-18	VCU	L 83–105	70.5	Away	5–5
12-22	Virginia	L 51–95	63.7	Away	5–6
12-31	Loyola Maryland	W 84–69	67.1	Home	6–6
01-03	Boston U.	W 64–62	58.9	Away	7–6
01-07	Colgate	L 62–64	59.4	Away	7–7
01-10	Holy Cross	L 73–84	71.0	Home	7–8
01-12	Navy	W 65–51	62.3	Home	8–8
01-18	Army West Point	W 78–67	63.1	Away	9–8
01-21	Colgate	W 70–66	67.3	Home	10–8
01-24	Holy Cross	W 76–67	64.7	Away	11–8
01-28	Loyola Maryland	L 68–77	74.2	Away	11–9
01-31	Lafayette	L 65–67	63.6	Home	11–10
02-04	Bucknell	L 59–60	59.2	Home	11–11
02-07	Navy	L 73–82	64.5	Away	11–12
02-11	Lehigh	L 82–90	74.2	Away	11–13
02-14	Army West Point	W 75–63	65.8	Home	12–13
02-18	Bucknell	W 75–57	64.7	Away	13–13
02-22	Lafayette	W 75–61	58.9	Away	14–13
02-25	Lehigh	L 73–78	66.4	Home	14–14
02-28	Boston U.	L 65–68	64.3	Home	14–15
03-05	Boston U.	L 73–75	60.1	Away	14–16

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 30 of 30 team games

Team roster, per game
Column groups	Minutes			Per Game							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Greg Jones	30	31:04	77.6%	12.4	4.9	2.0	0.9	0.0	1.5	2.4	86–183	47.0%	29–105	27.6%	112–138	81.2%	45.0%	53.2%	47.9%	5	30:33 −0:30	76.4%	13.6 +1.2
Matt Mayock	29	29:27	71.2%	8.4	3.7	1.6	0.9	0.3	1.0	1.9	60–107	56.1%	28–88	31.8%	41–49	83.7%	52.3%	56.6%	25.1%	5	31:02 +1:35	77.6%	9.4 +1.0
Geoff Sprouse	30	27:46	69.4%	9.5	2.3	1.9	1.1	0.0	0.8	1.9	22–45	48.9%	75–188	39.9%	17–23	73.9%†	57.7%	58.8%	9.9%	5	31:25 +3:39	78.5%	10.4 +0.9
Julen Iturbe	30	26:21	65.9%	10.4	4.6	2.2	0.8	0.3	1.7	3.0	75–128	58.6%	42–122	34.4%	35–50	70.0%	55.2%	57.2%	20.0%	5	29:11 +2:50	73.0%	10.8 +0.4
Wyatt Nausadis	30	22:44	56.8%	7.5	1.4	1.5	0.9	0.1	1.4	1.7	42–86	48.8%	36–105	34.3%	34–50	68.0%	50.3%	53.1%	26.2%	5	20:03 −2:40	50.1%	4.4 −3.1
Madden Collins	30	21:56	54.8%	13.2	4.7	1.9	1.2	0.4	1.6	2.8	131–216	60.6%	20–88	22.7%	74–104	71.2%	53.0%	56.6%	34.2%	5	20:50 −1:06	52.1%	13.0 −0.2
Kade Sebastian	30	21:35	54.0%	5.1	2.7	1.1	1.0	0.1	0.7	2.3	17–34	50.0%	28–79	35.4%	34–43	79.1%	52.2%	57.6%	38.1%	5	22:48 +1:13	57.0%	8.0 +2.9
Chris Eagan	30	10:49	27.0%	3.5	1.4	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.8	1.7	42–96	43.8%	0–4	0.0%†	20–24	83.3%†	42.0%	47.0%	24.0%	5	9:46 −1:03	24.4%	2.6 −0.9
Dean Hogans	21	5:44	10.0%	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.3	0.8	4–7	57.1%†	7–21	33.3%†	0–2	0.0%†	51.8%†	50.2%†	7.1%†	5	3:31 −2:13	8.8%	0.0 −1.4
Luke BrownUnder 100 minutes	18	4:12	6.3%	0.6	0.9	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.4	4–9	44.4%†	0–2	0.0%†	2–2	100.0%†	36.4%†	42.1%†	18.2%†	1	1:37 −2:35	0.8%	0.0 −0.6
Carson McDonaldFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	3	18:17	4.6%	9.7	6.0	0.3	1.3	0.7	1.0	2.3	11–15	73.3%†	0–1	0.0%†	7–11	63.6%†	68.8%†	69.6%†	68.8%†	—	—	—	—
Jack AndersonFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	1:24	0.6%	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0–0	—	0–1	0.0%†	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Matthew CaseyFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	0:50	0.3%	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.0	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · per game	30 games			72.0	30.5	12.5	not published	1.4	10.4	not published	494–926	53.3%	265–804	33.0%	376–496	75.8%	51.5%	55.4%	28.7%
Sum of players				72.0	27.3	12.5	7.3	1.4	9.9	18.7	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0.0	+3.2	0.0	not published	0.0	+0.5	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $0 (assumed opted out); 80% Range $0 to $0 (assumed)
Tier: Low and other; low evidence

Assumed from one unverified press article that names schools that did not opt in. Methodology

No player figures. The Team Pool is $0.

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

No modelled Team Pool (opted out). Enter a pool of your own.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, American University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,085,642	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,085,642
Athletics department expenses	$20,299,662
Athletics department revenue	$20,299,662

Team Totalsβ

Season per game, 30 games, 2,000 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	72.0	72.7
Field goals made	25.3	25.0
Field goals attempted	57.7	52.2
3-pointers made	8.8	6.9
3-pointers attempted	26.8	19.3
Free throws made	12.5	15.9
Free throws attempted	16.5	22.0
Offensive rebounds	9.2	8.9
Defensive rebounds	21.3	24.9
Total rebounds	30.5	33.8
Assists	12.5	13.4
Blocks	1.4	3.1
Turnovers	10.4	12.8
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 219.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 561.
Minutes (derived)	200.0	not published

30 of 30 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,159	2,159	0	±10.8	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	759	759	0	±3.8	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,730	1,730	0	±8.7	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	265	265	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	804	804	0	±4.0	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	376	376	0	±2.0	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	496	496	0	±2.5	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	914	818	+96	±73.1	0
Assists	Reconciled	376	376	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	43	43	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	313	298	+15	±9.4	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	219	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	561	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,000	5,983	+17.0	±120.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Greg Jones	77.9%	+1.1range -0.4 to +2.5Sufficient evidence
Matt Mayock	71.1%	-0.2range -1.7 to +1.3Sufficient evidence
Geoff Sprouse	69.6%	-0.2range -1.3 to +1.2Sufficient evidence
Julen Iturbe	66.2%	+0.9range -0.1 to +2.2Sufficient evidence
Wyatt Nausadis	57.4%	-1.2range -2.7 to +0.3Sufficient evidence
Madden Collins	54.5%	+0.1range -1.3 to +1.7Sufficient evidence
Kade Sebastian	53.9%	+2.1range +0.8 to +3.3Sufficient evidence
Chris Eagan	26.7%	-2.8range -3.8 to -1.7Sufficient evidence
Dean Hogans	10.3%	-2.4range -3.2 to -1.6Limited evidence
Luke Brown	6.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Carson McDonald	5.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Jack Anderson	0.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Matthew Casey	0.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +9.4range +8.6 to +10.4Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

9 valued players hold 97.5% of on-court time. 4 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 2.5%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 2.1%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value