Algosys College Basketball

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Merrimack

MAAC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 121 · Raw net 3.2 · Tempo 63.7 · 34 Division I games · Through 2026-03-10

All seasons
Record
23–11
23 wins
AdjNet
0.6β
rank 165 of 365
AdjO
106.6β
rank 210 of 365
AdjD
106.0β
rank 114 of 365
AdjT
64.9β
SOS
-2.6β
rank 252 of 363
NCSOS
4.2β
WAB
-4.5β
rank 95 of 363
RR
3.2β
Exp. W
19.8β

Scouting Report

CategoryOffenseDefenseD-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.106.4220103.262108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%49.128746.71751.4
TO / 100 poss.14.85620.41716.7
Offensive rebound %24.834339.936530.6
FTA / FGA %38.29837.123935.0
Shooting
3P%32.724430.31233.9
2P%49.127847.33551.7
FT%78.8873.524972.5
Style
3PA / FGA %46.132.639.5
Assists / FGM %56.056.952.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %13.913.39.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %35.324.631.4
2-pointers %41.352.848.8
Free throws %23.422.619.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size
6.7
Top Three Share of Minutes
54%
Bench Share of Minutes
18%
Players with Logged Minutes
12

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

DateOpponentResultPoss.SiteRecord
11-03South Dakota St.L 66–7570.1Neutral0–1
11-06AuburnL 57–9567.5Away0–2
11-11Tarleton St.L 62–7673.6Away0–3
11-15Boston U.W 91–7964.3Away1–3
11-19MaineW 72–6562.0Home2–3
11-21FloridaL 45–8065.6Away2–4
11-28PennL 65–7768.0Away2–5
11-29HofstraL 58–7867.1Neutral2–6
11-30La SalleW 66–6063.4Neutral3–6
12-04RiderW 68–6662.9Home4–6
12-07FairfieldW 74–6364.2Home5–6
12-10PrincetonW 59–5657.7Away6–6
12-14VermontL 59–6658.5Away6–7
12-29Sacred HeartW 80–7266.0Away7–7
01-02Mount St. Mary'sW 75–6569.7Home8–7
01-04ManhattanW 73–6667.2Home9–7
01-09SienaW 63–5954.2Away10–7
01-11Saint Peter'sL 63–7661.6Away10–8
01-17QuinnipiacW 83–7167.1Home11–8
01-19MaristW 68–5564.6Away12–8
01-22IonaL 60–6160.4Away12–9
01-24Saint Peter'sW 67–5963.1Home13–9
02-01Sacred HeartW 75–5863.8Home14–9
02-05Mount St. Mary'sW 87–7070.8Away15–9
02-07RiderW 73–4757.5Away16–9
02-12MaristW 81–5666.3Home17–9
02-15QuinnipiacW 56–4965.3Away18–9
02-20SienaW 79–72 1OT63.4Home19–9
02-22IonaW 88–86 2OT73.9Home20–9
02-27CanisiusL 62–6760.7Away20–10
03-01NiagaraW 73–6660.6Away21–10
03-06Sacred HeartW 70–4861.1Neutral22–10
03-08MaristW 58–5763.9Neutral23–10
03-10SienaL 54–6463.6Neutral23–11

Roster · 12 players

Player logs in 34 of 34 team games

MinutesPer 40 MinutesShootingLast Five Team Games
PlayerGMPGTeam Min%PtsRebAstStlBlkTOPF2P2P%3P3P%FTFT%eFG%TS%FTA/FGAGMPGMin%Pts/G
Kevair Kennedy3436:4891.0%20.05.14.62.00.13.32.0182–39246.4%13–4032.5%†224–27780.9%46.6%56.6%64.1%537:38 +0:5094.1%19.2 +0.8
Ernest Shelton3436:4290.7%17.43.41.01.30.61.22.251–10349.5%99–28634.6%143–16487.2%51.3%58.8%42.2%537:50 +1:0894.6%15.4 −0.5
Tye Dorset3436:2089.9%12.93.42.41.90.41.02.282–16350.3%59–18332.2%58–7577.3%49.3%52.6%21.7%534:42 −1:3886.8%13.2 +1.5
Todd Brogna3429:1172.2%8.36.43.31.31.72.04.726–5349.1%46–13135.1%17–2470.8%†51.6%53.2%13.0%534:45 +5:3486.9%8.0 +1.9
Andres Marrero3427:2167.6%11.63.02.11.90.20.81.432–5855.2%53–16631.9%46–5583.6%49.8%54.2%24.6%531:09 +3:4977.9%4.8 −3.1
KC Ugwuakazi3219:0144.3%10.810.71.31.54.51.47.468–11658.6%0–10.0%†29–5255.8%58.1%59.0%44.4%321:42 +2:4132.5%1.3 −3.8
Dylan Veillette338:0119.2%9.79.10.81.22.61.48.023–4156.1%†1–119.1%†15–2268.2%†47.1%†51.9%†42.3%†410:04 +2:0320.1%2.0 +0.1
Jaylen Stinson245:239.4%7.74.04.01.90.04.04.05–1435.7%†2–728.6%†9–1275.0%†38.1%†47.6%†57.1%†31:56 −3:272.9%0.0 −1.0
Aliou Cisse136:586.6%7.16.60.90.91.32.65.36–1540.0%†1–714.3%†1–714.3%†34.1%†31.9%†31.8%†21:07 −5:521.1%0.0 −1.2
Malik Edmead79:374.9%4.84.23.00.61.25.92.43–1618.8%†0–0—2–366.7%†18.8%†23.1%†18.8%†————
Brendan Johnson113:092.5%9.21.20.01.20.02.38.13–837.5%†0–50.0%†2–2100.0%†23.1%†28.8%†15.4%†21:07 −2:031.1%1.0 +0.3
Brandon Legris51:270.5%0.011.00.00.05.55.511.00–0—0–0—0–0————21:07 −0:211.1%0.0 0.0
Team, games with logs · per 40 team minutes34 games67.828.412.35.19.5481–97949.1%274–83732.7%546–69378.8%49.1%54.9%38.2%
Sum of players67.825.012.38.15.18.816.1Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players0.0+3.40.0+0.0+0.7

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool
$265K
80% Range $97K to $700K
Tier
Low and other
low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4
$230K to $275K
Scenario medians
Players with Figures
12
4 floor only
Players in possession-share order
PlayerPoss. ShareSpeculative Best Guess80% RangeRange GraphicMedian % of Team PoolScenarios Z1 to Z4Floor PartEvidence and Flags
Ernest Shelton91.3%$25K$4K to $83K12.5%$23K to $27K$2KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kevair Kennedy90.9%$46K$16K to $135K18.4%$40K to $49K$2KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tye Dorset90.7%$43K$13K to $120K17.5%$38K to $45K$2KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Todd Brogna71.9%$32K$9K to $96K13.4%$28K to $34K$2KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Andres Marrero67.2%$33K$9K to $105K13.0%$29K to $35K$2KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
KC Ugwuakazi44.9%$42K$13K to $140K14.5%$37K to $44K$2KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dylan Veillette18.2%$7K$2K to $23K3.4%$7K to $8K$2KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaylen Stinson9.6%$4K$1K to $12K1.6%$3K to $4K$2KLimited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Aliou Cisse6.9%$2K$1K to $6K0.8%$2K in all four$2KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Malik Edmead5.3%$2K$1K to $6K0.8%$2K in all four$2KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Brendan Johnson2.6%$2K$1K to $6K0.8%$2K in all four$2KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Brandon Legris0.5%$2K$1K to $6K0.8%$2K in all four$2KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool—$265K$97K to $700K100%$230K to $275K—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Merrimack College (NCAA Division I-FCS)
MeasureSchool-Reported AmountNote
Men's basketball revenue$2,309,371Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses$2,309,371
Athletics department expenses$31,668,878
Athletics department revenue$31,668,878

Team Totalsβ

Season per 40 minutes, 34 games, 2,190 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Per 40 uses 1375 game minutes, 5 per overtime period. Definitions

StatisticTeamOpponents
Points67.865.7
Field goals made22.022.7
Field goals attempted52.854.5
3-pointers made8.05.4
3-pointers attempted24.317.8
Free throws made15.914.9
Free throws attempted20.220.2
Offensive rebounds8.013.5
Defensive rebounds20.324.3
Total rebounds28.437.8
Assists12.312.9
Blocks5.13.8
Turnovers9.513.0
StealsNo team figure. Players sum to 279.
Personal foulsNo team figure. Players sum to 555.
Minutes (derived)200.0

34 of 34 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

StatisticStatusTeam Total, Logged GamesSum of PlayersResidualToleranceTeam Total, Games Without Logs
PointsReconciled2,3302,3300±11.70
Field goals madeReconciled7557550±3.80
Field goals attemptedReconciled1,8161,8160±9.10
3-pointers madeReconciled2742740±2.00
3-pointers attemptedReconciled8378370±4.20
Free throws madeReconciled5465460±2.70
Free throws attemptedReconciled6936930±3.50
Offensive reboundsNo player split
Defensive reboundsNo player split
Total reboundsResidual shown975858+117±78.00
AssistsReconciled4234230±2.10
BlocksReconciled176175+1±2.00
TurnoversResidual shown325302+23±9.80
StealsNo team figure279
Personal foulsNo team figure555
Minutes (derived)Reconciled6,8756,858+16.7±137.50

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
PlayerPoss. ShareNet and RangeβRange Graphic
Ernest Shelton91.3%+0.1range -1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence
Kevair Kennedy90.9%+1.7range +0.7 to +2.8Sufficient evidence
Tye Dorset90.7%+1.4range +0.6 to +2.4Sufficient evidence
Todd Brogna71.9%+1.3range +0.2 to +2.4Sufficient evidence
Andres Marrero67.2%+1.6range +0.0 to +3.1Sufficient evidence
KC Ugwuakazi44.9%+3.6range +1.9 to +5.1Sufficient evidence
Dylan Veillette18.2%+0.3range -0.8 to +1.6Sufficient evidence
Jaylen Stinson9.6%-0.9range -1.9 to +0.4Limited evidence
Aliou Cisse6.9%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Malik Edmead5.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Brendan Johnson2.6%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Brandon Legris0.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions
+10.5range +9.7 to +11.4Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

8 valued players hold 96.9% of on-court time. 4 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 3.1%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 1.9%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value