Jaylen Stinson
Merrimack · 2025–26 · 24 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
129:02 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 24
- Minutes per game
- 5:23
- Points per game
- 1.0
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 0.5 / 0.5
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Per 40 minutes | 7.7 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Season totals | 25 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 13 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 7–21 | 33.3%† | 0.9 | 6.5 |
| 2P | 5–14 | 35.7%† | 0.6 | 4.3 |
| 3P | 2–7 | 28.6%† | 0.3 | 2.2 |
| FT | 9–12 | 75.0%† | 0.5 | 3.7 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.1%† | 47.6%† | 33.3%† | 57.1%† | 1.00 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25); the field-goal floor applies to the derived rates above. Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Merrimack · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $4K
- 80% range $1K to $12K
- Median share of team pool
- 1.6%
- team pool $265K, 80% range $97K to $700K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $3K to $4K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 9.6%
- Limited evidence
- Limited evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Merrimack: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Merrimack | $4Kspeculative | $1K to $12K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -0.9 | -1.9 to +0.4 | Limited evidence | -0.9 | -0.0 | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7 | 408 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail | |
| 2024 | Merrimack | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -1.7 | -3.0 to -0.2 | Sufficient evidence | -1.7 | -0.0 | +1.2range +0.8 to +1.6 | 1,549 | Season detail | |
| 2023 | Merrimack | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -3.3 | -4.5 to -2.1 | Sufficient evidence | -2.4 | -0.9 | +0.9range +0.5 to +1.5 | 1,226 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 2:52 | 5:23 | 0:09–13:31 | |
| Points | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0–6.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 25.0% | 37.1% | 0.0%–150.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | Sacred Heart | W 70–48 | 2:18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-03-01 | Niagara | W 73–66 | 0:54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-27 | Canisius | L 62–67 | 2:36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-12 | Marist | W 81–56 | 2:22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | Rider | W 73–47 | 6:08 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-05 | Mount St. Mary's | W 87–70 | 1:49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-01-22 | Iona | L 60–61 | 4:51 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-19 | Marist | W 68–55 | 0:45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-01-17 | Quinnipiac | W 83–71 | 0:09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-01-11 | Saint Peter's | L 63–76 | 10:27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-09 | Siena | W 63–59 | 7:07 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | — |
| 2026-01-02 | Mount St. Mary's | W 75–65 | 3:21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-29 | Sacred Heart | W 80–72 | 4:51 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-12-14 | Vermont | L 59–66 | 7:34 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-12-10 | Princeton | W 59–56 | 2:57 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-07 | Fairfield | W 74–63 | 4:41 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | — |
| 2025-12-04 | Rider | W 68–66 | 4:15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-30 | La Salle | W 66–60 | 3:50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-29 | Hofstra | L 58–78 | 13:31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-28 | Penn | L 65–77 | 12:19 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 100.0% |
| 2025-11-21 | Florida | L 45–80 | 7:51 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-11 | Tarleton St. | L 62–76 | 4:45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-06 | Auburn | L 57–95 | 13:04 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 33.3% |
| 2025-11-03 | South Dakota St. | L 66–75 | 6:37 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 150.0% |