Notre Dame

ACC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 203 · Raw net -1.3 · Tempo 66.7 · 31 Division I games · Through 2026-03-07

Record: 13–18; 13 wins
AdjNet: 5.0β; rank 100 of 365
AdjO: 112.6β; rank 87 of 365
AdjD: 107.6β; rank 159 of 365
AdjT: 67.1β
SOS: 7.1β; rank 52 of 363
NCSOS: 0.9β
WAB: -6.0β; rank 131 of 363
RR: -0.7β
Exp. W: 13.7β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	109.9136	111.2252	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	52.3133	51.8201	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	17.0202	14.0337	16.7
Offensive rebound %	31.2154	26.728	30.6
FTA / FGA %	34.1205	36.2213	35.0
Shooting
3P%	35.681	33.2137	33.9
2P%	51.4197	53.6260	51.7
FT%	69.7279	75.2319	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	43.5	47.4	39.5
Assists / FGM %	47.4	55.4	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	7.5	8.9	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	36.3	36.1	31.4
2-pointers %	45.2	43.1	48.8
Free throws %	18.5	20.8	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 9.3
Top Three Share of Minutes: 42%
Bench Share of Minutes: 36%
Players with Logged Minutes: 14

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	LIU	W 89–67	71.0	Home	1–0
11-07	Detroit Mercy	W 102–70	76.1	Home	2–0
11-11	Eastern Ill.	W 78–58	60.9	Home	3–0
11-16	Ohio St.	L 63–64	66.7	Away	3–1
11-19	Bellarmine	W 86–79	69.5	Home	4–1
11-24	Kansas	L 61–71	65.7	Neutral	4–2
11-25	Rutgers	W 68–63	62.2	Neutral	5–2
11-26	Houston	L 56–66	59.0	Neutral	5–3
12-02	Missouri	W 76–71	68.7	Home	6–3
12-05	TCU	W 87–85 1OT	74.7	Away	7–3
12-10	Idaho	W 80–65	62.8	Home	8–3
12-13	Evansville	W 82–58	66.6	Home	9–3
12-21	Purdue Fort Wayne	L 69–72	69.6	Home	9–4
12-30	Stanford	W 47–40	58.2	Away	10–4
01-02	California	L 71–72	63.0	Away	10–5
01-10	Clemson	L 61–76	64.0	Home	10–6
01-13	Miami (FL)	L 69–81	67.8	Home	10–7
01-17	Virginia Tech	L 76–89	71.1	Away	10–8
01-21	North Carolina	L 69–91	69.0	Away	10–9
01-24	Boston College	W 68–64	64.0	Home	11–9
01-27	Virginia	L 97–100 2OT	78.4	Home	11–10
01-31	Syracuse	L 72–86	67.2	Away	11–11
02-04	Louisville	L 65–76	69.1	Away	11–12
02-07	Florida St.	L 79–82	72.4	Home	11–13
02-10	SMU	L 81–89	69.1	Away	11–14
02-14	Georgia Tech	W 89–74	68.8	Home	12–14
02-21	Pittsburgh	L 68–73	62.7	Away	12–15
02-24	Duke	L 56–100	71.5	Home	12–16
02-28	NC State	W 96–90 1OT	71.4	Home	13–16
03-04	Stanford	L 78–86	63.5	Home	13–17
03-07	Boston College	L 69–77	75.2	Away	13–18

Roster · 14 players

Player logs in 31 of 31 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Braeden Shrewsberry	31	32:25	79.8%	370	95	60	13	4	35	40	32–89	36.0%	88–219	40.2%	42–54	77.8%	53.2%	55.8%	17.5%	5	35:55 +3:30	87.6%	10.0 −1.9
Cole Certa	31	26:50	66.0%	398	54	26	11	0	21	47	32–81	39.5%	81–221	36.7%	91–102	89.2%	50.8%	57.4%	33.8%	5	35:16 +8:26	86.0%	17.8 +5.0
Carson Towt	31	26:01	64.0%	184	279	52	20	11	39	94	83–136	61.0%	0–0	—	18–56	32.1%	61.0%	57.3%	41.2%	5	26:50 +0:49	65.4%	3.8 −2.1
Jalen Haralson	27	26:30	56.8%	437	107	69	14	7	74	66	150–276	54.3%	5–25	20.0%†	122–181	67.4%	52.3%	57.4%	60.1%	3	26:40 +0:10	39.0%	21.7 +5.5
Logan Imes	31	21:05	51.9%	146	99	52	20	4	37	48	30–69	43.5%	25–77	32.5%	11–21	52.4%†	46.2%	47.0%	14.4%	5	27:07 +6:03	66.2%	7.8 +3.1
Garrett Sundra	31	17:48	43.8%	108	98	14	7	11	13	53	24–38	63.2%†	16–52	30.8%	12–19	63.2%†	53.3%†	54.9%†	21.1%†	5	13:18 −4:30	32.4%	1.6 −1.9
Sir Mohammed	31	16:19	40.2%	178	81	48	15	4	46	47	59–127	46.5%	12–42	28.6%†	24–44	54.5%	45.6%	47.2%	26.0%	5	17:53 +1:34	43.6%	6.8 +1.1
Brady Koehler	30	16:00	38.1%	167	97	10	20	22	26	74	35–69	50.7%	21–55	38.2%	34–46	73.9%	53.6%	57.9%	37.1%	5	19:46 +3:46	48.2%	7.6 +2.0
Markus Burton	10	29:59	23.8%	185	28	37	16	1	26	29	54–97	55.7%	11–36	30.6%†	44–48	91.7%	53.0%	60.0%	36.1%	—	—	—	—
Kebba Njie	17	11:31	15.5%	42	57	3	1	4	11	31	12–18	66.7%†	0–1	0.0%†	18–25	72.0%	63.2%†	70.0%†	131.6%†	—	—	—	—
Ryder Frost	26	6:06	12.6%	71	20	6	1	0	5	16	3–5	60.0%†	20–52	38.5%	5–8	62.5%†	57.9%†	58.7%†	14.0%†	5	9:18 +3:12	22.7%	3.6 +0.9
Matthew MacLellanFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	9	4:32	3.2%	17	11	1	0	1	1	7	6–7	85.7%†	0–0	—	5–7	71.4%†	85.7%†	84.3%†	100.0%†	2	5:03 +0:31	4.9%	3.0 +1.1
Mark Zackery IVFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	4:38	1.5%	2	3	1	0	0	1	1	1–2	50.0%†	0–2	0.0%†	0–0	—	25.0%†	25.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Brady StevensFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	2:17	0.9%	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	1–2	50.0%†	0–1	0.0%†	1–2	50.0%†	33.3%†	38.7%†	66.7%†	1	4:02 +1:45	2.0%	1.0 +0.4
Team, games with logs · season totals	31 games			2308	1135	380	not published	70	356	not published	522–1016	51.4%	279–783	35.6%	427–613	69.7%	52.3%	55.8%	34.1%
Sum of players				2308	1031	380	138	69	336	554	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+104	0	not published	+1	+20	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $3.60M; 80% Range $2.55M to $4.95M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.60M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 3 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Braeden Shrewsberry	82.2%	$825K	$525K to $1.40M	22.3%	$825K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidence
Cole Certa	66.8%	$375K	$59K to $630K	11.4%	$375K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Carson Towt	64.9%	$365K	$46K to $635K	11.0%	$365K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jalen Haralson	56.8%	$195K	$22K to $410K	6.1%	$195K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Logan Imes	50.5%	$200K	$25K to $395K	6.1%	$200K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Garrett Sundra	42.5%	$465K	$285K to $900K	12.5%	$465K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidence
Brady Koehler	40.5%	$185K	$27K to $340K	5.7%	$185K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Sir Mohammed	40.5%	$96K	$18K to $260K	2.9%	$96K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Markus Burton	22.9%	$295K	$180K to $595K	8.0%	$295K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidence
Kebba Njie	14.9%	$225K	$130K to $535K	6.1%	$225K in all four	$25K	Limited evidence
Ryder Frost	11.1%	$61K	$23K to $105K	1.9%	$61K in all four	$25K	Limited evidence
Matthew MacLellan	3.8%	$25K	$14K to $40K	0.7%	$25K in all four	$25K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Mark Zackery IV	1.5%	$25K	$14K to $40K	0.7%	$25K in all four	$25K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Brady Stevens	1.1%	$25K	$14K to $40K	0.7%	$25K in all four	$25K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.60M	$2.55M to $4.95M	100%	$3.60M in all four	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Notre Dame (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$13,245,301	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$13,245,301
Athletics department expenses	$244,698,449
Athletics department revenue	$289,616,198

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 31 games, 2,100 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,308	2,335
Field goals made	801	784
Field goals attempted	1,799	1,785
3-pointers made	279	281
3-pointers attempted	783	846
Free throws made	427	486
Free throws attempted	613	646
Offensive rebounds	343	288
Defensive rebounds	792	755
Total rebounds	1,135	1,043
Assists	380	434
Blocks	70	90
Turnovers	356	293
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 138.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 554.
Minutes (derived)	6,300	not published

31 of 31 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,308	2,308	0	±11.5	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	801	801	0	±4.0	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,799	1,799	0	±9.0	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	279	279	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	783	783	0	±3.9	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	427	427	0	±2.1	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	613	613	0	±3.1	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,135	1,031	+104	±90.8	0
Assists	Reconciled	380	380	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	70	69	+1	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	356	336	+20	±10.7	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	138	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	554	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,300	6,276	+24.4	±126.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Braeden Shrewsberry	82.2%	+2.3range +1.2 to +3.2Sufficient evidence
Cole Certa	66.8%	+0.5range -1.0 to +1.6Sufficient evidence
Carson Towt	64.9%	+0.4range -1.0 to +1.8Sufficient evidence
Jalen Haralson	56.8%	-0.9range -2.4 to +0.2Sufficient evidence
Logan Imes	50.5%	-0.6range -1.9 to +0.7Sufficient evidence
Garrett Sundra	42.5%	+2.7range +1.3 to +3.7Sufficient evidence
Brady Koehler	40.5%	-0.3range -1.5 to +0.9Sufficient evidence
Sir Mohammed	40.5%	-1.7range -3.3 to -0.4Sufficient evidence
Markus Burton	22.9%	+3.0range +2.1 to +3.6Sufficient evidence
Kebba Njie	14.9%	+3.5range +2.2 to +4.7Limited evidence
Ryder Frost	11.1%	-0.5range -1.3 to +0.2Limited evidence
Matthew MacLellan	3.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Mark Zackery IV	1.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Brady Stevens	1.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.0range +9.0 to +10.9Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

11 valued players hold 98.7% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.3%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 5.2%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value