Wisconsin

B10 · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 53 · Raw net 9.8 · Tempo 69.0 · 35 Division I games · Through 2026-03-19

Record: 24–11; 24 wins
AdjNet: 17.0β; rank 29 of 365
AdjO: 120.7β; rank 13 of 365
AdjD: 103.7β; rank 71 of 365
AdjT: 69.4β
SOS: 9.5β; rank 20 of 363
NCSOS: -2.2β
WAB: 4.0β; rank 25 of 363
RR: 2.0β
Exp. W: 22.0β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	118.626	108.8190	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	54.552	51.4178	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	12.84	14.3329	16.7
Offensive rebound %	29.1232	28.274	30.6
FTA / FGA %	31.5267	29.858	35.0
Shooting
3P%	36.251	33.4153	33.9
2P%	54.765	52.2206	51.7
FT%	78.86	72.8201	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	52.1	40.6	39.5
Assists / FGM %	57.3	50.8	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	8.6	12.6	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	42.3	32.8	31.4
2-pointers %	39.2	49.8	48.8
Free throws %	18.6	17.5	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.5
Top Three Share of Minutes: 45%
Bench Share of Minutes: 32%
Players with Logged Minutes: 14

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Campbell	W 96–64	71.1	Home	1–0
11-07	NIU	W 97–72	73.7	Home	2–0
11-11	Ball St.	W 86–55	68.4	Home	3–0
11-17	SIUE	W 94–69	66.3	Home	4–0
11-21	BYU	L 70–98	74.6	Neutral	4–1
11-27	Providence	W 104–83	81.8	Neutral	5–1
11-28	TCU	L 63–74	74.1	Neutral	5–2
12-03	Northwestern	W 85–73	69.4	Home	6–2
12-06	Marquette	W 96–76	78.4	Home	7–2
12-10	Nebraska	L 60–90	69.7	Away	7–3
12-19	Villanova	L 66–76 1OT	68.9	Neutral	7–4
12-22	Central Mich.	W 88–61	67.2	Home	8–4
12-30	Milwaukee	W 80–60	74.6	Home	9–4
01-03	Purdue	L 73–89	71.7	Home	9–5
01-06	UCLA	W 80–72	71.4	Home	10–5
01-10	Michigan	W 91–88	72.2	Away	11–5
01-13	Minnesota	W 78–75	64.5	Away	12–5
01-17	Rutgers	W 96–87	72.9	Home	13–5
01-22	Penn St.	W 98–71	71.0	Away	14–5
01-25	Southern California	L 71–73	64.2	Home	14–6
01-28	Minnesota	W 67–63	63.8	Home	15–6
01-31	Ohio St.	W 92–82	70.3	Home	16–6
02-07	Indiana	L 77–78 1OT	68.4	Away	16–7
02-10	Illinois	W 92–90 1OT	73.3	Away	17–7
02-13	Michigan St.	W 92–71	68.3	Home	18–7
02-17	Ohio St.	L 69–86	68.8	Away	18–8
02-22	Iowa	W 84–71	64.4	Home	19–8
02-25	Oregon	L 71–85	69.2	Away	19–9
02-28	Washington	W 90–73	70.5	Away	20–9
03-04	Maryland	W 78–45	57.8	Home	21–9
03-07	Purdue	W 97–93	65.7	Away	22–9
03-12	Washington	W 85–82	66.2	Neutral	23–9
03-13	Illinois	W 91–88 1OT	75.2	Neutral	24–9
03-14	Michigan	L 65–68	67.5	Neutral	24–10
03-19	High Point	L 82–83	73.0	—	24–11

Roster · 14 players

Player logs in 35 of 35 team games

Team roster, per 40 minutes
Column groups	Minutes			Per 40 Minutes							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
John Blackwell	34	33:49	81.0%	22.6	6.0	2.7	1.3	0.1	2.0	2.9	102–214	47.7%	96–247	38.9%	158–184	85.9%	53.4%	60.0%	39.9%	5	38:07 +4:18	93.0%	25.0 +5.9
Nick Boyd	35	31:54	78.6%	26.0	4.8	5.3	1.3	0.0	2.1	2.4	191–358	53.4%	61–167	36.5%	161–194	83.0%	53.8%	59.5%	37.0%	5	36:18 +4:24	88.5%	25.0 +4.3
Nolan Winter	31	30:46	67.2%	17.0	11.0	2.0	0.6	1.6	1.0	2.5	122–174	70.1%	31–95	32.6%	69–93	74.2%	62.6%	65.5%	34.6%	1	20:37 −10:09	10.1%	8.0 −5.1
Andrew Rohde	34	26:35	63.6%	8.6	3.1	4.3	1.9	0.3	1.6	3.4	24–50	48.0%	42–132	31.8%	21–27	77.8%	47.8%	50.3%	14.8%	5	29:37 +3:02	72.2%	4.0 −1.7
Aleksas Bieliauskas	35	20:09	49.7%	9.7	8.7	1.7	0.3	1.2	1.6	4.4	34–63	54.0%	28–81	34.6%	19–30	63.3%	52.8%	54.4%	20.8%	5	34:22 +14:12	83.8%	8.4 +3.5
Austin Rapp	30	23:20	49.3%	16.6	6.8	2.7	0.8	0.9	1.4	3.3	38–69	55.1%	58–160	36.3%	41–48	85.4%	54.6%	58.2%	21.0%	5	30:37 +7:16	74.7%	11.6 +1.9
Braeden Carrington	34	18:01	43.1%	18.3	5.4	2.4	0.8	0.7	1.2	3.0	15–34	44.1%	69–172	40.1%	44–57	77.2%	57.5%	60.8%	27.7%	5	21:04 +3:03	51.4%	6.4 −1.9
Jack Janicki	26	16:23	30.0%	5.4	4.8	2.7	1.6	0.5	1.4	4.1	8–18	44.4%†	13–47	27.7%†	3–5	60.0%†	42.3%†	43.2%†	7.7%†	—	—	—	—
Will Garlock	30	6:38	14.0%	6.4	6.4	4.0	0.4	1.0	2.2	8.4	13–18	72.2%†	0–0	—	6–15	40.0%†	72.2%†	65.0%†	83.3%†	4	5:12 −1:27	10.1%	1.3 +0.2
Hayden Jones	27	7:02	13.4%	9.5	5.9	2.3	1.1	0.4	2.9	5.3	15–24	62.5%†	1–2	50.0%†	12–22	54.5%†	63.5%†	63.1%†	84.6%†	4	7:51 +0:49	15.3%	1.3 −0.4
Zach KinzigerUnder 100 minutes	16	4:41	5.3%	11.2	2.1	4.8	2.7	0.0	0.5	6.4	4–9	44.4%†	4–16	25.0%†	1–2	50.0%†	40.0%†	40.6%†	8.0%†	1	1:39 −3:02	0.8%	0.0 −1.3
Jack RobisonUnder 100 minutes	17	1:32	1.8%	26.0	12.2	1.5	3.1	1.5	6.1	3.1	3–4	75.0%†	3–4	75.0%†	2–3	66.7%†	93.8%†	91.2%†	37.5%†	—	—	—	—
Riccardo GreppiUnder 100 minutes	14	1:02	1.0%	0.0	13.9	5.6	0.0	0.0	5.6	0.0	0–4	0.0%†	0–2	0.0%†	0–2	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	33.3%†	—	—	—	—
Isaac GardUnder 100 minutes	14	0:52	0.8%	36.5	9.9	3.3	0.0	0.0	6.6	3.3	0–1	0.0%†	3–6	50.0%†	2–2	100.0%†	64.3%†	69.8%†	28.6%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · per 40 team minutes	35 games			81.8	35.0	15.8	not published	3.1	8.8	not published	569–1040	54.7%	409–1131	36.2%	539–684	78.8%	54.5%	58.7%	31.5%
Sum of players				81.8	31.6	15.8	5.5	3.1	8.4	16.8	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0.0	+3.4	0.0	not published	0.0	+0.5	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $3.60M; 80% Range $2.60M to $4.95M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.60M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 4 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
John Blackwell	81.5%	$780K	$530K to $1.20M	21.5%	$780K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidence
Nick Boyd	78.8%	$575K	$370K to $865K	16.2%	$575K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidence
Nolan Winter	65.8%	$765K	$480K to $1.35M	20.9%	$765K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidence
Andrew Rohde	63.7%	$225K	$45K to $420K	6.8%	$225K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Aleksas Bieliauskas	52.7%	$300K	$120K to $485K	8.8%	$300K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidence
Austin Rapp	49.0%	$305K	$165K to $480K	9.0%	$305K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidence
Braeden Carrington	43.2%	$180K	$41K to $320K	5.3%	$180K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jack Janicki	29.4%	$155K	$60K to $255K	4.6%	$155K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidence
Will Garlock	13.7%	$52K	$20K to $99K	1.5%	$52K in all four	$25K	Limited evidence
Hayden Jones	13.2%	$43K	$18K to $88K	1.2%	$43K in all four	$25K	Limited evidence
Zach Kinziger	5.8%	$25K	$14K to $40K	0.7%	$25K in all four	$25K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Jack Robison	1.6%	$25K	$14K to $40K	0.7%	$25K in all four	$25K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Riccardo Greppi	0.9%	$25K	$14K to $40K	0.7%	$25K in all four	$25K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Isaac Gard	0.7%	$25K	$14K to $40K	0.7%	$25K in all four	$25K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.60M	$2.60M to $4.95M	100%	$3.60M in all four	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Wisconsin-Madison (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$19,869,281
Men's basketball expenses	$12,464,124
Athletics department expenses	$180,525,755
Athletics department revenue	$190,503,289

Team Totalsβ

Season per 40 minutes, 35 games, 2,448 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Per 40 uses 1420 game minutes, 5 per overtime period. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	81.8	75.0
Field goals made	27.5	26.9
Field goals attempted	61.2	60.3
3-pointers made	11.5	8.2
3-pointers attempted	31.9	24.5
Free throws made	15.2	13.1
Free throws attempted	19.3	18.0
Offensive rebounds	10.1	9.8
Defensive rebounds	24.9	24.6
Total rebounds	35.0	34.4
Assists	15.8	13.7
Blocks	3.1	3.7
Turnovers	8.8	9.8
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 195.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 596.
Minutes (derived)	200.0	not published

35 of 35 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,904	2,904	0	±14.5	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	978	978	0	±4.9	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	2,171	2,171	0	±10.9	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	409	409	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	1,131	1,131	0	±5.7	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	539	539	0	±2.7	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	684	684	0	±3.4	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,244	1,123	+121	±99.5	0
Assists	Reconciled	560	560	0	±2.8	0
Blocks	Reconciled	109	109	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	314	298	+16	±9.4	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	195	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	596	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	7,100	7,084	+15.8	±142.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
John Blackwell	81.5%	+5.1range +3.8 to +6.1Sufficient evidence
Nick Boyd	78.8%	+3.7range +2.5 to +4.9Sufficient evidence
Nolan Winter	65.8%	+6.0range +4.6 to +7.3Sufficient evidence
Andrew Rohde	63.7%	+0.7range -0.5 to +2.0Sufficient evidence
Aleksas Bieliauskas	52.7%	+2.3range +1.0 to +3.8Sufficient evidence
Austin Rapp	49.0%	+2.9range +1.4 to +4.2Sufficient evidence
Braeden Carrington	43.2%	+1.0range -0.4 to +2.5Sufficient evidence
Jack Janicki	29.4%	+1.7range +0.6 to +2.9Sufficient evidence
Will Garlock	13.7%	-0.5range -1.5 to +0.5Limited evidence
Hayden Jones	13.2%	-1.3range -2.0 to -0.4Limited evidence
Zach Kinziger	5.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Jack Robison	1.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Riccardo Greppi	0.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Isaac Gard	0.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +12.3range +11.2 to +13.1Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 98.2% of on-court time. 4 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.8%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 5.4%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value