John Blackwell
Wisconsin · 2025–26 · 34 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
1149:32 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 34
- Minutes per game
- 33:49
- Points per game
- 19.1
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 5.1 / 2.3
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 19.1 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| Per 40 minutes | 22.6 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 2.9 |
| Season totals | 650 | 172 | 79 | 38 | 3 | 57 | 84 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 198–461 | 43.0% | 13.6 | 16.0 |
| 2P | 102–214 | 47.7% | 6.3 | 7.4 |
| 3P | 96–247 | 38.9% | 7.3 | 8.6 |
| FT | 158–184 | 85.9% | 5.4 | 6.4 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.4% | 60.0% | 53.6% | 39.9% | 1.39 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Wisconsin · Power 4 · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $780K
- 80% range $530K to $1.20M
- Median share of team pool
- 21.5%
- team pool $3.60M, 80% range $2.60M to $4.95M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $780K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $25K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 81.5%
- Sufficient evidence
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. House-settlement $20.5M cap (College Sports Commission, 2026-10-01) times a modelled utilisation of about 97 percent times a men's basketball share of about 18 percent (school statements and an industry study); Power 4 schools are at or near the cap nationally.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Wisconsin: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Wisconsin | $780Kspeculative | $530K to $1.20M | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +5.1 | +3.8 to +6.1 | Sufficient evidence | +3.5 | +1.5 | +7.9range +7.0 to +8.5 | 3,530 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Wisconsin | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +4.8 | +3.7 to +5.9 | Sufficient evidence | +2.8 | +2.0 | +7.1range +6.3 to +7.9 | 3,747 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Wisconsin | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +2.1 | +0.6 to +3.2 | Sufficient evidence | +1.9 | +0.2 | +2.9range +2.3 to +3.4 | 1,991 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 38:07 | 33:49 | 23:25–44:05 | |
| Points | 25.0 | 19.1 | 7.0–34.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 64.5% | 51.9% | 13.6%–77.8% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | High Point | L 82–83 | 37:08 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 59.4% |
| 2026-03-14 | Michigan | L 65–68 | 35:22 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 54.5% |
| 2026-03-13 | Illinois | W 91–88 | 44:05 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9-17 | 4-12 | 9-9 | 64.7% |
| 2026-03-12 | Washington | W 85–82 | 36:36 | 34 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14-24 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 70.8% |
| 2026-03-07 | Purdue | W 97–93 | 37:24 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 6-7 | 73.1% |
| 2026-03-04 | Maryland | W 78–45 | 27:42 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 77.8% |
| 2026-02-28 | Washington | W 90–73 | 33:40 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 38.9% |
| 2026-02-25 | Oregon | L 71–85 | 37:16 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6-18 | 6-14 | 4-5 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-22 | Iowa | W 84–71 | 29:53 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 31.3% |
| 2026-02-17 | Ohio St. | L 69–86 | 32:23 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 54.5% |
| 2026-02-13 | Michigan St. | W 92–71 | 27:45 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 8-8 | 57.1% |
| 2026-02-10 | Illinois | W 92–90 | 43:03 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9-22 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 52.3% |
| 2026-02-07 | Indiana | L 77–78 | 43:59 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 44.1% |
| 2026-01-31 | Ohio St. | W 92–82 | 35:51 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 65.4% |
| 2026-01-28 | Minnesota | W 67–63 | 37:57 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4-13 | 4-9 | 11-14 | 46.2% |
| 2026-01-25 | Southern California | L 71–73 | 35:25 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 26.9% |
| 2026-01-22 | Penn St. | W 98–71 | 26:50 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 65.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Rutgers | W 96–87 | 32:49 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-13 | Minnesota | W 78–75 | 34:26 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8-14 | 5-7 | 6-6 | 75.0% |
| 2026-01-10 | Michigan | W 91–88 | 39:15 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 68.8% |
| 2026-01-06 | UCLA | W 80–72 | 38:54 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6-15 | 1-9 | 4-4 | 43.3% |
| 2026-01-03 | Purdue | L 73–89 | 27:33 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 36.4% |
| 2025-12-30 | Milwaukee | W 80–60 | 27:23 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 40.0% |
| 2025-12-19 | Villanova | L 66–76 | 37:55 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 42.9% |
| 2025-12-10 | Nebraska | L 60–90 | 34:54 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-11 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 13.6% |
| 2025-12-06 | Marquette | W 96–76 | 30:58 | 30 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8-17 | 6-12 | 8-10 | 64.7% |
| 2025-12-03 | Northwestern | W 85–73 | 37:02 | 26 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8-18 | 5-10 | 5-5 | 58.3% |
| 2025-11-28 | TCU | L 63–74 | 33:52 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8-22 | 3-8 | 11-12 | 43.2% |
| 2025-11-27 | Providence | W 104–83 | 23:25 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 6-8 | 25.0% |
| 2025-11-21 | BYU | L 70–98 | 33:49 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 7-12 | 26.9% |
| 2025-11-17 | SIUE | W 94–69 | 30:22 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 7-8 | 77.3% |
| 2025-11-11 | Ball St. | W 86–55 | 26:16 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-07 | NIU | W 97–72 | 24:20 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-03 · NCAA | Campbell | W 96–64 | 34:00 | 31 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10-19 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 68.4% |