Syracuse

ACC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 159 · Raw net 1.1 · Tempo 67.8 · 32 Division I games · Through 2026-03-10

Record: 15–17; 15 wins
AdjNet: 6.9β; rank 83 of 365
AdjO: 111.9β; rank 93 of 365
AdjD: 105.0β; rank 91 of 365
AdjT: 68.3β
SOS: 7.0β; rank 55 of 363
NCSOS: -0.8β
WAB: -4.5β; rank 96 of 363
RR: -0.4β
Exp. W: 15.4β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	108.5173	107.4146	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	52.6123	50.3115	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	16.0137	17.4124	16.7
Offensive rebound %	29.2227	33.6310	30.6
FTA / FGA %	35.1171	32.6117	35.0
Shooting
3P%	32.9240	34.1187	33.9
2P%	54.574	49.892	51.7
FT%	64.8360	72.1159	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	37.2	35.9	39.5
Assists / FGM %	47.1	53.0	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	15.4	8.0	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	28.6	29.5	31.4
2-pointers %	53.6	51.5	48.8
Free throws %	17.8	18.9	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.4
Top Three Share of Minutes: 45%
Bench Share of Minutes: 31%
Players with Logged Minutes: 14

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Binghamton	W 85–47	69.0	Home	1–0
11-08	Delaware St.	W 83–43	71.5	Home	2–0
11-15	Drexel	W 80–50	64.4	Neutral	3–0
11-18	Monmouth	W 78–73	70.8	Home	4–0
11-24	Houston	L 74–78 1OT	75.3	Neutral	4–1
11-25	Kansas	L 60–71	65.2	Neutral	4–2
11-26	Iowa St.	L 64–95	72.0	Neutral	4–3
12-02	Tennessee	W 62–60	68.8	Home	5–3
12-11	Saint Joseph's	W 71–63	69.6	Home	6–3
12-13	Hofstra	L 69–70	58.2	Home	6–4
12-17	Mercyhurst	W 76–62	71.2	Home	7–4
12-20	Northeastern	W 91–83	69.7	Home	8–4
12-22	Stonehill	W 77–48	61.9	Home	9–4
12-31	Clemson	L 61–64	66.6	Home	9–5
01-06	Georgia Tech	W 82–72	75.5	Away	10–5
01-10	Pittsburgh	W 83–72	66.4	Away	11–5
01-13	Florida St.	W 94–86	73.0	Home	12–5
01-17	Boston College	L 73–81 1OT	76.6	Away	12–6
01-21	Virginia Tech	L 74–76	70.4	Home	12–7
01-24	Miami (FL)	L 76–85	69.1	Home	12–8
01-27	NC State	L 68–88	70.1	Away	12–9
01-31	Notre Dame	W 86–72	67.2	Home	13–9
02-02	North Carolina	L 77–87	72.3	Away	13–10
02-07	Virginia	L 59–72	62.0	Away	13–11
02-11	California	W 107–100 2OT	90.4	Home	14–11
02-14	SMU	W 79–78	65.3	Home	15–11
02-16	Duke	L 64–101	64.2	Away	15–12
02-21	North Carolina	L 64–77	67.9	Home	15–13
02-28	Wake Forest	L 83–88	65.1	Away	15–14
03-03	Louisville	L 62–77	67.7	Away	15–15
03-07	Pittsburgh	L 69–71 1OT	68.3	Home	15–16
03-10	SMU	L 69–86	66.1	Neutral	15–17

Roster · 14 players

Player logs in 32 of 32 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Naithan George	32	31:59	78.4%	348	96	174	47	10	98	66	75–151	49.7%	36–123	29.3%	90–108	83.3%	47.1%	54.1%	39.4%	5	37:07 +5:08	90.5%	13.6 +2.7
Nate Kingz	32	31:19	76.8%	390	116	40	28	19	23	63	78–113	69.0%	65–177	36.7%	39–63	61.9%	60.5%	61.4%	21.7%	5	31:45 +0:26	77.4%	15.4 +3.2
William Kyle III	32	28:10	69.1%	270	226	29	32	81	33	61	109–165	66.1%	0–0	—	52–106	49.1%	66.1%	63.8%	64.2%	5	27:26 −0:44	66.9%	5.2 −3.2
JJ Starling	30	29:08	67.0%	328	80	72	26	6	41	50	111–239	46.4%	24–83	28.9%	34–62	54.8%	45.7%	47.0%	19.3%	5	25:18 −3:49	61.7%	5.6 −5.3
Donnie Freeman	23	31:06	54.8%	380	166	31	18	21	57	62	100–180	55.6%	26–86	30.2%	102–133	76.7%	52.3%	58.5%	50.0%	5	34:19 +3:13	83.7%	14.4 −2.1
Tyler Betsey	31	17:48	42.3%	207	87	11	10	5	13	58	18–46	39.1%	50–123	40.7%	21–33	63.6%	55.0%	56.4%	19.5%	5	19:24 +1:36	47.3%	6.2 −0.5
Kiyan Anthony	29	18:31	41.1%	231	40	26	9	6	28	18	59–122	48.4%	18–71	25.4%	59–94	62.8%	44.6%	49.3%	48.7%	3	13:19 −5:12	19.5%	2.0 −6.0
Sadiq White Jr.	31	15:02	35.7%	189	102	13	17	20	29	78	74–129	57.4%	7–19	36.8%†	20–39	51.3%	57.1%	57.2%	26.4%	4	16:06 +1:04	31.4%	8.3 +2.2
Ibrahim Souare	29	8:15	18.3%	25	54	5	5	18	10	53	10–14	71.4%†	0–1	0.0%†	5–13	38.5%†	66.7%†	60.3%†	86.7%†	5	5:17 −2:58	12.9%	0.8 −0.1
Bryce Zephir	21	5:24	8.7%	16	8	6	3	1	6	12	6–10	60.0%†	1–4	25.0%†	1–4	25.0%†	53.6%†	50.8%†	28.6%†	3	5:00 −0:24	7.3%	0.7 −0.1
Luke FennellUnder 100 minutes	10	6:27	4.9%	11	6	4	2	0	2	2	1–6	16.7%†	2–8	25.0%†	3–3	100.0%†	28.6%†	35.9%†	21.4%†	—	—	—	—
Tiefing DiawaraFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	2:02	0.6%	2	3	0	0	2	0	1	1–1	100.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	100.0%†	100.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Noah LobdellFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	0:48	0.2%	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0–0	—	0–2	0.0%†	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Calvin Russell IIIFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	1	1:40	0.1%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	1–3	33.3%†	0–0	—	1–1	100.0%†	33.3%†	43.6%†	33.3%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	32 games			2400	1093	411	not published	189	353	not published	643–1179	54.5%	229–697	32.9%	427–659	64.8%	52.6%	55.4%	35.1%
Sum of players				2400	985	411	198	189	341	526	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+108	0	not published	0	+12	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $3.55M; 80% Range $2.55M to $4.90M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.55M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 4 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Naithan George	79.2%	$750K	$470K to $1.30M	20.2%	$750K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidence
Nate Kingz	77.5%	$860K	$535K to $1.60M	23.3%	$860K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidence
William Kyle III	69.8%	$435K	$140K to $710K	12.8%	$435K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidence
JJ Starling	69.4%	$335K	$43K to $595K	10.1%	$335K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Donnie Freeman	54.0%	$355K	$165K to $585K	10.4%	$355K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidence
Tyler Betsey	42.2%	$170K	$27K to $315K	5.2%	$170K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kiyan Anthony	40.0%	$96K	$19K to $245K	2.9%	$96K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Sadiq White Jr.	36.4%	$160K	$30K to $280K	4.9%	$160K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ibrahim Souare	18.0%	$125K	$50K to $200K	3.7%	$125K in all four	$25K	Sufficient evidence
Bryce Zephir	7.8%	$41K	$18K to $74K	1.2%	$41K in all four	$25K	Limited evidence
Luke Fennell	4.8%	$25K	$14K to $40K	0.7%	$25K in all four	$25K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Tiefing Diawara	0.6%	$25K	$14K to $40K	0.7%	$25K in all four	$25K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Noah Lobdell	0.2%	$25K	$14K to $40K	0.7%	$25K in all four	$25K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Calvin Russell III	0.1%	$25K	$14K to $40K	0.7%	$25K in all four	$25K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.55M	$2.55M to $4.90M	100%	$3.55M in all four	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Syracuse University (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$31,587,705
Men's basketball expenses	$15,936,295
Athletics department expenses	$108,994,576
Athletics department revenue	$120,839,134

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 32 games, 2,212 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,400	2,376
Field goals made	872	846
Field goals attempted	1,876	1,916
3-pointers made	229	234
3-pointers attempted	697	687
Free throws made	427	450
Free throws attempted	659	624
Offensive rebounds	329	387
Defensive rebounds	764	796
Total rebounds	1,093	1,183
Assists	411	448
Blocks	189	94
Turnovers	353	385
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 198.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 526.
Minutes (derived)	6,525	not published

32 of 32 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,400	2,400	0	±12.0	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	872	872	0	±4.4	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,876	1,876	0	±9.4	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	229	229	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	697	697	0	±3.5	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	427	427	0	±2.1	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	659	659	0	±3.3	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,093	985	+108	±87.4	0
Assists	Reconciled	411	411	0	±2.1	0
Blocks	Reconciled	189	189	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	353	341	+12	±10.6	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	198	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	526	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,525	6,502	+23.5	±130.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Naithan George	79.2%	+2.6range +1.5 to +3.7Sufficient evidence
Nate Kingz	77.5%	+3.1range +1.9 to +4.2Sufficient evidence
William Kyle III	69.8%	+1.2range -0.2 to +2.5Sufficient evidence
JJ Starling	69.4%	+0.3range -0.9 to +1.8Sufficient evidence
Donnie Freeman	54.0%	+1.3range +0.2 to +2.3Sufficient evidence
Tyler Betsey	42.2%	-0.3range -1.6 to +0.7Sufficient evidence
Kiyan Anthony	40.0%	-1.4range -2.8 to -0.3Sufficient evidence
Sadiq White Jr.	36.4%	-0.1range -1.3 to +0.8Sufficient evidence
Ibrahim Souare	18.0%	+0.9range -0.3 to +1.9Sufficient evidence
Bryce Zephir	7.8%	-1.1range -2.1 to -0.4Limited evidence
Luke Fennell	4.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Tiefing Diawara	0.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Noah Lobdell	0.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Calvin Russell III	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.5range +9.6 to +11.2Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 98.9% of on-court time. 4 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.1%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 1.6%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value