Wofford

SC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 183 · Raw net -0.3 · Tempo 68.4 · 30 Division I games · Through 2026-03-07

Record: 17–13; 17 wins
AdjNet: -4.5β; rank 237 of 365
AdjO: 109.3β; rank 150 of 365
AdjD: 113.8β; rank 304 of 365
AdjT: 68.7β
SOS: -4.9β; rank 319 of 363
NCSOS: -2.2β
WAB: -7.9β; rank 180 of 363
RR: 1.3β
Exp. W: 15.7β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	114.170	114.4315	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	52.5127	53.8293	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	13.413	14.9292	16.7
Offensive rebound %	29.8212	29.0102	30.6
FTA / FGA %	36.2145	36.8232	35.0
Shooting
3P%	35.0119	36.4321	33.9
2P%	52.5149	53.4253	51.7
FT%	70.9242	76.1347	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	43.1	38.0	39.5
Assists / FGM %	51.2	50.6	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	8.7	9.5	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	34.6	30.5	31.4
2-pointers %	45.8	48.8	48.8
Free throws %	19.7	20.7	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 7.9
Top Three Share of Minutes: 48%
Bench Share of Minutes: 28%
Players with Logged Minutes: 12

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	George Mason	L 46–70	65.1	Away	0–1
11-08	Milwaukee	W 86–76	74.1	Home	1–1
11-11	Auburn	L 62–93	71.2	Away	1–2
11-15	Bellarmine	W 94–86	70.6	Away	2–2
11-19	North Florida	W 86–78	72.8	Home	3–2
11-26	Northern Ky.	L 83–93	74.3	Away	3–3
11-29	Eastern Ky.	W 83–77	71.9	Away	4–3
12-03	Presbyterian	W 63–56	63.1	Home	5–3
12-06	Elon	L 52–73	60.9	Home	5–4
12-15	Gardner-Webb	W 83–57	69.3	Away	6–4
12-17	Wichita St.	L 73–84	66.0	Away	6–5
12-31	Western Caro.	W 79–74	71.3	Away	7–5
01-03	The Citadel	W 95–86	66.5	Away	8–5
01-07	UNC Greensboro	W 97–85	69.2	Home	9–5
01-10	Mercer	L 97–109	76.6	Away	9–6
01-14	Chattanooga	L 67–76	69.0	Home	9–7
01-17	Furman	W 74–70	63.6	Away	10–7
01-21	Samford	W 88–78	65.5	Home	11–7
01-24	Mercer	W 80–77	69.8	Home	12–7
01-29	Chattanooga	W 81–55	66.3	Away	13–7
02-01	ETSU	L 72–86	64.9	Home	13–8
02-04	VMI	W 81–67	67.7	Away	14–8
02-07	Western Caro.	W 77–66	68.7	Home	15–8
02-11	Samford	L 80–97	72.9	Away	15–9
02-14	UNC Greensboro	L 89–99	70.2	Away	15–10
02-18	VMI	W 82–76	68.9	Home	16–10
02-21	Furman	L 67–76	64.1	Home	16–11
02-25	ETSU	W 72–69	66.5	Away	17–11
02-28	The Citadel	L 90–93 1OT	73.7	Home	17–12
03-07	UNC Greensboro	L 72–75	65.6	Neutral	17–13

Roster · 12 players

Player logs in 30 of 30 team games

Team roster, per game
Column groups	Minutes			Per Game							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Nils Machowski	30	34:40	86.3%	17.8	5.9	2.6	0.6	0.5	1.8	2.0	84–171	49.1%	89–229	38.9%	98–124	79.0%	54.4%	58.6%	31.0%	5	39:08 +4:28	95.4%	19.4 +1.6
Cayden Vasko	30	32:42	81.4%	11.0	4.7	4.1	1.1	0.3	1.1	2.5	59–117	50.4%	54–163	33.1%	50–62	80.6%	50.0%	53.7%	22.1%	5	34:41 +1:58	84.6%	9.8 −1.2
Kahmare Holmes	25	32:01	66.4%	19.8	5.8	2.7	1.9	0.3	1.8	2.4	122–224	54.5%	45–126	35.7%	116–177	65.5%	54.1%	57.8%	50.6%	5	36:21 +4:20	88.6%	21.6 +1.8
Chace Watley	30	25:01	62.3%	9.7	3.3	1.2	0.6	0.1	1.1	2.4	67–146	45.9%	28–90	31.1%	73–93	78.5%	46.2%	52.5%	39.4%	5	29:16 +4:15	71.4%	7.2 −2.5
Brian Sumpter	29	22:35	54.3%	6.6	4.8	0.8	0.3	1.3	0.9	2.3	78–125	62.4%	1–11	9.1%†	31–49	63.3%	58.5%	60.3%	36.0%	4	15:13 −7:22	29.7%	3.0 −3.6
Luke Flynn	19	26:39	42.0%	5.6	3.9	1.3	0.7	0.1	0.5	1.6	8–26	30.8%†	23–66	34.8%	21–27	77.8%	46.2%†	51.0%†	29.3%†	1	10:00 −16:39	4.9%	0.0 −5.6
Rex Stirling	28	14:53	34.6%	4.9	2.9	0.9	0.3	0.3	0.9	2.0	58–104	55.8%	0–0	—	21–35	60.0%	55.8%	57.4%	33.7%	5	22:11 +7:18	54.1%	7.6 +2.7
Brendan Rigsbee	24	14:49	29.5%	4.0	1.7	0.7	0.2	0.2	0.5	1.6	30–43	69.8%†	7–30	23.3%†	16–24	66.7%†	55.5%†	58.0%†	32.9%†	5	10:18 −4:31	25.1%	5.0 +1.0
Jayden Tyler	24	12:20	24.6%	4.1	0.9	0.4	0.6	0.2	0.3	1.6	13–33	39.4%†	19–46	41.3%†	16–32	50.0%	52.5%†	53.2%†	40.5%†	5	13:34 +1:14	33.1%	2.8 −1.3
Callum RichardFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	7	4:07	2.4%	0.9	0.9	0.3	0.0	0.3	0.6	0.6	3–5	60.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	60.0%†	60.0%†	0.0%†	1	0:00 −4:07	0.0%	0.0 −0.9
Davis MillerFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	1	1:38	0.1%	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Grayson CollinsFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	1	1:38	0.1%	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0–0	—	0–1	0.0%†	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · per game	30 games			78.4	34.5	13.8	not published	3.1	9.2	not published	538–1024	52.5%	271–775	35.0%	462–652	70.9%	52.5%	56.4%	36.2%
Sum of players				76.1	30.8	13.5	5.5	3.1	8.3	16.9	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				+2.2	+3.8	+0.3	not published	+0.1	+0.9	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $270K; 80% Range $98K to $710K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $245K to $285K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 4 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Nils Machowski	91.8%	$66K	$23K to $180K	23.5%	$59K to $69K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cayden Vasko	83.4%	$63K	$22K to $180K	22.1%	$57K to $66K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kahmare Holmes	79.7%	$50K	$17K to $135K	18.0%	$45K to $52K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Chace Watley	68.0%	$13K	$2K to $56K	7.2%	$11K to $13K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brian Sumpter	55.6%	$24K	$7K to $69K	10.4%	$22K to $25K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Rex Stirling	36.2%	$11K	$2K to $38K	5.3%	$10K to $11K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Luke Flynn	31.6%	$11K	$2K to $35K	5.0%	$10K to $11K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jayden Tyler	27.7%	$7K	$1K to $26K	3.5%	$6K to $7K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brendan Rigsbee	24.0%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Callum Richard	1.0%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Davis Miller	0.5%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Grayson Collins	0.5%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$270K	$98K to $710K	100%	$245K to $285K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Wofford College (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,442,245	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,442,245
Athletics department expenses	$32,651,311
Athletics department revenue	$32,651,311

Team Totalsβ

Season per game, 30 games, 2,060 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	78.4	78.6
Field goals made	27.0	27.2
Field goals attempted	60.0	57.9
3-pointers made	9.0	8.0
3-pointers attempted	25.8	22.0
Free throws made	15.4	16.2
Free throws attempted	21.7	21.3
Offensive rebounds	10.7	9.7
Defensive rebounds	23.8	25.3
Total rebounds	34.5	35.0
Assists	13.8	13.7
Blocks	3.1	3.2
Turnovers	9.2	10.3
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 164.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 507.
Minutes (derived)	200.8	not published

30 of 30 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Residual shown	2,351	2,284	+67	±11.8	0
Field goals made	Residual shown	809	788	+21	±4.0	0
Field goals attempted	Residual shown	1,799	1,756	+43	±9.0	0
3-pointers made	Residual shown	271	266	+5	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Residual shown	775	762	+13	±3.9	0
Free throws made	Residual shown	462	442	+20	±2.3	0
Free throws attempted	Residual shown	652	623	+29	±3.3	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,036	923	+113	±82.9	0
Assists	Residual shown	414	406	+8	±2.1	0
Blocks	Reconciled	94	92	+2	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	276	248	+28	±8.3	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	164	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	507	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Residual shown	6,025	5,835	+190.4	±120.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Nils Machowski	91.8%	+1.8range +0.9 to +2.8Sufficient evidence
Cayden Vasko	83.4%	+2.0range +1.0 to +3.0Sufficient evidence
Kahmare Holmes	79.7%	+1.4range +0.6 to +2.3Sufficient evidence
Chace Watley	68.0%	-0.9range -2.1 to +0.4Sufficient evidence
Brian Sumpter	55.6%	+0.7range -0.2 to +1.5Sufficient evidence
Rex Stirling	36.2%	-0.3range -0.9 to +0.5Limited evidence
Luke Flynn	31.6%	-0.1range -0.6 to +0.5Limited evidence
Jayden Tyler	27.7%	-0.7range -1.2 to -0.2Limited evidence
Brendan Rigsbee	24.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Callum Richard	1.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Grayson Collins	0.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Davis Miller	0.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +9.8range +8.7 to +10.7Limited evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

8 valued players hold 94.8% of on-court time. 4 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 5.2%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 19.1%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value