Texas Southern

SWAC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 292 · Raw net -8.5 · Tempo 70.6 · 28 Division I games · Through 2026-03-12

Record: 10–18; 10 wins
AdjNet: -12.6β; rank 326 of 365
AdjO: 101.6β; rank 312 of 365
AdjD: 114.3β; rank 314 of 365
AdjT: 69.5β
SOS: -6.6β; rank 347 of 363
NCSOS: 10.0β
WAB: -12.9β; rank 279 of 363
RR: -1.7β
Exp. W: 11.7β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	102.9292	111.3256	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	49.7250	52.5239	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	18.5298	16.5187	16.7
Offensive rebound %	28.8237	31.2213	30.6
FTA / FGA %	38.295	44.0346	35.0
Shooting
3P%	33.1224	34.1190	33.9
2P%	49.8262	53.5257	51.7
FT%	71.9211	70.984	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	32.5	43.2	39.5
Assists / FGM %	43.2	55.3	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	10.1	7.7	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	25.4	32.4	31.4
2-pointers %	53.0	44.7	48.8
Free throws %	21.7	22.9	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 10.5
Top Three Share of Minutes: 36%
Bench Share of Minutes: 41%
Players with Logged Minutes: 15

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Gonzaga	L 43–98	72.5	Away	0–1
11-06	Texas A&M	L 70–104	77.2	Away	0–2
11-12	Samford	L 90–93 1OT	77.4	Home	0–3
11-15	Texas St.	L 67–77	71.0	Away	0–4
11-20	Vanderbilt	L 74–109	74.6	Away	0–5
12-06	Sam Houston	L 70–82	79.3	Home	0–6
12-14	Minnesota	L 53–89	69.5	Away	0–7
12-17	NC State	L 72–108	71.2	Away	0–8
12-22	Abilene Christian	L 68–75	69.4	Home	0–9
01-03	Southern U.	L 73–84	78.7	Away	0–10
01-05	Grambling	L 67–84	69.8	Away	0–11
01-10	Ark.-Pine Bluff	L 66–74	69.3	Home	0–12
01-12	Mississippi Val.	W 84–51	68.2	Home	1–12
01-17	Alcorn	W 72–71	64.8	Away	2–12
01-19	Jackson St.	L 89–94	72.8	Away	2–13
01-24	Alabama A&M	W 89–74	67.5	Home	3–13
01-27	Alabama St.	W 96–64	73.1	Home	4–13
01-31	Prairie View	L 78–85	73.3	Away	4–14
02-07	Florida A&M	W 62–57	63.9	Away	5–14
02-09	Bethune-Cookman	L 69–79 1OT	74.2	Away	5–15
02-14	Grambling	W 82–79	70.4	Home	6–15
02-16	Southern U.	W 74–73	72.8	Home	7–15
02-19	Ark.-Pine Bluff	W 83–64	68.3	Away	8–15
02-21	Mississippi Val.	L 71–72	68.4	Away	8–16
02-26	Alcorn	W 92–87 1OT	79.6	Home	9–16
02-28	Jackson St.	W 82–57	71.0	Home	10–16
03-05	Prairie View	L 59–70	67.0	Home	10–17
03-12	Alabama A&M	L 74–85 1OT	76.2	Neutral	10–18

Roster · 15 players

Player logs in 28 of 28 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Zaire Hayes	26	27:43	63.2%	259	48	30	23	4	35	57	50–106	47.2%	38–99	38.4%	45–53	84.9%	52.2%	56.7%	25.9%	5	25:35 −2:08	60.9%	7.0 −3.0
Troy Hupstead	23	29:49	60.2%	325	205	27	12	14	39	57	98–178	55.1%	17–57	29.8%	78–118	66.1%	52.6%	56.6%	50.2%	1	7:05 −22:44	3.4%	2.0 −12.1
Bryce Roberts	23	28:31	57.5%	256	49	44	28	1	25	29	43–93	46.2%	49–131	37.4%	23–29	79.3%	52.0%	54.1%	12.9%	5	29:47 +1:16	70.9%	9.4 −1.7
Alex Anderson	28	23:14	57.1%	275	101	54	24	4	42	46	83–152	54.6%	3–15	20.0%†	100–139	71.9%	52.4%	60.3%	83.2%	5	25:31 +2:17	60.8%	10.8 +1.0
Jaylen Wysinger	27	22:43	53.8%	270	59	53	44	5	54	55	54–117	46.2%	35–103	34.0%	57–70	81.4%	48.4%	53.8%	31.8%	5	28:18 +5:35	67.4%	11.4 +1.4
Duane Posey	25	20:32	45.0%	210	137	14	11	9	27	77	74–145	51.0%	1–4	25.0%†	59–77	76.6%	50.7%	57.4%	51.7%	5	29:29 +8:57	70.2%	13.2 +4.8
Zytarious Mortle	26	18:39	42.5%	210	91	38	21	6	40	67	62–128	48.4%	17–66	25.8%	35–51	68.6%	45.1%	48.5%	26.3%	5	25:37 +6:58	61.0%	14.4 +6.3
Jordan Gorecki	25	17:27	38.3%	58	77	16	3	34	22	67	23–38	60.5%†	0–0	—	12–24	50.0%†	60.5%†	59.7%†	63.2%†	5	23:03 +5:36	54.9%	3.0 +0.7
Anthony Andrews	23	13:22	27.0%	67	39	15	4	7	16	19	20–47	42.6%†	6–14	42.9%†	9–15	60.0%†	47.5%†	49.6%†	24.6%†	4	14:09 +0:47	26.9%	3.5 +0.6
Josh Akpovwa	22	9:29	18.3%	39	34	6	1	7	15	43	14–32	43.8%†	0–1	0.0%†	11–21	52.4%†	42.4%†	46.2%†	63.6%†	5	9:27 −0:02	22.5%	3.2 +1.4
Ahmed Nedal Abdelrahman	11	10:33	10.2%	24	10	5	5	0	4	10	1–4	25.0%†	6–21	28.6%†	4–7	57.1%†	40.0%†	42.7%†	28.0%†	1	0:20 −10:13	0.2%	0.0 −2.2
Cameron PattersonFew games	7	16:22	10.0%	45	14	7	3	1	7	11	17–32	53.1%†	2–4	50.0%†	5–6	83.3%†	55.6%†	58.2%†	16.7%†	—	—	—	—
Oumar KoureissiFew games	7	15:16	9.4%	22	13	2	3	1	9	15	8–22	36.4%†	0–7	0.0%†	6–9	66.7%†	27.6%†	33.4%†	31.0%†	—	—	—	—
Kolby GrangerFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	13:18	4.7%	9	7	1	2	0	7	4	1–3	33.3%†	1–5	20.0%†	4–4	100.0%†	31.3%†	46.1%†	50.0%†	—	—	—	—
Jordan HamiltonFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	2	7:01	1.2%	0	3	0	0	0	2	1	0–4	0.0%†	0–2	0.0%†	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	28 games			2069	971	312	not published	94	373	not published	548–1101	49.8%	175–529	33.1%	448–623	71.9%	49.7%	54.3%	38.2%
Sum of players				2069	887	312	184	93	344	558	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+84	0	not published	+1	+29	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $175K; 80% Range $65K to $465K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $165K to $200K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 15; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Zaire Hayes	63.5%	$5K	$1K to $29K	4.1%	$4K to $5K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Troy Hupstead	60.8%	$25K	$4K to $83K	14.4%	$24K to $28K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Bryce Roberts	57.6%	$18K	$2K to $62K	11.8%	$17K to $20K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Alex Anderson	56.8%	$23K	$4K to $83K	13.1%	$22K to $26K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaylen Wysinger	53.6%	$5K	$1K to $28K	5.1%	$5K to $6K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Duane Posey	44.9%	$4K	$1K to $23K	3.7%	$4K to $5K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Zytarious Mortle	42.5%	$18K	$3K to $64K	10.1%	$17K to $21K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jordan Gorecki	38.3%	$23K	$6K to $88K	11.7%	$22K to $26K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Anthony Andrews	27.0%	$3K	$1K to $12K	1.3%	$2K to $3K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Josh Akpovwa	18.5%	$3K	$1K to $12K	2.3%	$3K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cameron Patterson	10.4%	$4K	$1K to $12K	2.6%	$4K in all four	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ahmed Nedal Abdelrahman	10.4%	$3K	$1K to $9K	2.0%	$3K in all four	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Oumar Koureissi	9.6%	$2K	$0 to $5K	0.9%	$2K in all four	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kolby Granger	4.9%	$1K	$0 to $3K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Jordan Hamilton	1.2%	$1K	$0 to $3K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$175K	$65K to $465K	100%	$165K to $200K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Texas Southern University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,649,116	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$1,649,116
Athletics department expenses	$12,453,738
Athletics department revenue	$12,453,738

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 28 games, 2,011 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,069	2,239
Field goals made	723	742
Field goals attempted	1,630	1,644
3-pointers made	175	242
3-pointers attempted	529	710
Free throws made	448	513
Free throws attempted	623	724
Offensive rebounds	284	311
Defensive rebounds	687	702
Total rebounds	971	1,013
Assists	312	410
Blocks	94	85
Turnovers	373	331
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 184.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 558.
Minutes (derived)	5,700	not published

28 of 28 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,069	2,069	0	±10.3	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	723	723	0	±3.6	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,630	1,630	0	±8.2	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	175	175	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	529	529	0	±2.6	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	448	448	0	±2.2	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	623	623	0	±3.1	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	971	887	+84	±77.7	0
Assists	Reconciled	312	312	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	94	93	+1	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	373	344	+29	±11.2	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	184	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	558	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	5,700	5,681	+18.8	±114.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Zaire Hayes	63.5%	-2.4range -3.8 to -1.1Sufficient evidence
Troy Hupstead	60.8%	+0.2range -1.0 to +1.5Sufficient evidence
Bryce Roberts	57.6%	-0.2range -1.7 to +1.0Sufficient evidence
Alex Anderson	56.8%	+0.1range -1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence
Jaylen Wysinger	53.6%	-1.9range -3.2 to -0.8Sufficient evidence
Duane Posey	44.9%	-2.1range -3.8 to -0.7Sufficient evidence
Zytarious Mortle	42.5%	+0.3range -0.9 to +1.5Sufficient evidence
Jordan Gorecki	38.3%	+1.0range -0.4 to +2.4Sufficient evidence
Anthony Andrews	27.0%	-3.0range -4.6 to -1.5Sufficient evidence
Josh Akpovwa	18.5%	-1.7range -3.0 to -0.8Sufficient evidence
Cameron Patterson	10.4%	-0.4range -0.9 to +0.2Limited evidence
Ahmed Nedal Abdelrahman	10.4%	-1.2range -2.1 to -0.3Limited evidence
Oumar Koureissi	9.6%	-4.4range -5.4 to -3.4Limited evidence
Kolby Granger	4.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Jordan Hamilton	1.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +8.5range +7.5 to +9.2Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

13 valued players hold 98.8% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.2%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 6.1%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value