Duane Posey
Texas Southern · 2025–26 · 25 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
513:10 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 25
- Minutes per game
- 20:32
- Points per game
- 8.4
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 5.5 / 0.6
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 8.4 | 5.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 3.1 |
| Per 40 minutes | 16.4 | 10.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 6.0 |
| Season totals | 210 | 137 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 27 | 77 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 75–149 | 50.3% | 6.0 | 11.6 |
| 2P | 74–145 | 51.0% | 5.8 | 11.3 |
| 3P | 1–4 | 25.0%† | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| FT | 59–77 | 76.6% | 3.1 | 6.0 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.7% | 57.4% | 2.7% | 51.7% | 0.52 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
TX Southern · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $4K
- 80% range $1K to $23K
- Median share of team pool
- 3.7%
- team pool $175K, 80% range $65K to $465K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $4K to $5K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $1K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 44.9%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
TX Southern: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | TX Southern | $4Kspeculative | $1K to $23K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -2.1 | -3.8 to -0.7 | Sufficient evidence | +0.3 | -2.4 | +1.9range +1.4 to +2.2 | 1,807 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | TX Southern | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -1.0 | -2.1 to +0.2 | Sufficient evidence | -0.3 | -0.8 | +1.1range +0.9 to +1.4 | 1,024 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Northwestern LA | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -1.7 | -2.7 to -0.6 | Sufficient evidence | -1.9 | +0.3 | +0.9range +0.7 to +1.2 | 963 | Season detail | |
| 2023 | Alabama St | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.7 | -1.9 to +0.4 | Sufficient evidence | -0.9 | +0.2 | +1.3range +1.0 to +1.6 | 1,322 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 29:29 | 20:32 | 4:34–38:10 | |
| Points | 13.2 | 8.4 | 0.0–17.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 69.8% | 52.0% | 0.0%–100.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | Alabama A&M | L 74–85 | 35:45 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 55.6% |
| 2026-03-05 | Prairie View | L 59–70 | 18:16 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 100.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Jackson St. | W 82–57 | 22:21 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 60.0% |
| 2026-02-26 | Alcorn | W 92–87 | 38:10 | 16 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 58.3% |
| 2026-02-21 | Mississippi Val. | L 71–72 | 32:51 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 75.0% |
| 2026-02-19 | Ark.-Pine Bluff | W 83–64 | 13:12 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 75.0% |
| 2026-02-16 | Southern U. | W 74–73 | 9:56 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-09 | Bethune-Cookman | L 69–79 | 26:30 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | Florida A&M | W 62–57 | 20:58 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 33.3% |
| 2026-01-31 | Prairie View | L 78–85 | 16:22 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 66.7% |
| 2026-01-27 | Alabama St. | W 96–64 | 18:58 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 83.3% |
| 2026-01-24 | Alabama A&M | W 89–74 | 22:33 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2026-01-19 | Jackson St. | L 89–94 | 18:05 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Alcorn | W 72–71 | 4:34 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2026-01-05 | Grambling | L 67–84 | 23:07 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 40.0% |
| 2026-01-03 | Southern U. | L 73–84 | 8:59 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 100.0% |
| 2025-12-22 | Abilene Christian | L 68–75 | 22:46 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-12-17 | NC State | L 72–108 | 23:02 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 45.5% |
| 2025-12-14 | Minnesota | L 53–89 | 11:35 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-06 | Sam Houston | L 70–82 | 28:11 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-20 | Vanderbilt | L 74–109 | 16:33 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-15 | Texas St. | L 67–77 | 15:13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 20.0% |
| 2025-11-12 | Samford | L 90–93 | 29:45 | 16 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 55.6% |
| 2025-11-06 | Texas A&M | L 70–104 | 21:01 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 37.5% |
| 2025-11-03 | Gonzaga | L 43–98 | 14:27 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 60.0% |