Algosys College Basketball

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Bradley

MVC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 111 · Raw net 3.9 · Tempo 67.6 · 33 Division I games · Through 2026-03-18

All seasons
Record
20–13
20 wins
AdjNet
3.7β
rank 115 of 365
AdjO
110.8β
rank 118 of 365
AdjD
107.0β
rank 146 of 365
AdjT
68.1β
SOS
0.5β
rank 142 of 363
NCSOS
-4.9β
WAB
-5.2β
rank 110 of 363
RR
1.2β
Exp. W
18.8β

Scouting Report

CategoryOffenseDefenseD-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.110.2132106.2110108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%51.118952.825951.4
TO / 100 poss.13.92019.05316.7
Offensive rebound %27.428527.86230.6
FTA / FGA %35.915738.226635.0
Shooting
3P%36.15436.633333.9
2P%49.128251.415851.7
FT%74.013570.88272.5
Style
3PA / FGA %40.539.939.5
Assists / FGM %50.854.052.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %9.58.89.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %34.033.131.4
2-pointers %45.446.548.8
Free throws %20.620.419.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size
8.6
Top Three Share of Minutes
43%
Bench Share of Minutes
34%
Players with Logged Minutes
13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

DateOpponentResultPoss.SiteRecord
11-03St. BonaventureL 63–6966.1Neutral0–1
11-08Central Mich.W 85–5468.5Home1–1
11-12UT MartinL 67–7873.3Home1–2
11-15San FranciscoL 64–7567.9Away1–3
11-19UMass LowellW 87–7767.3Home2–3
11-24PrincetonW 88–6469.7Neutral3–3
11-25UC San DiegoL 77–8769.9Neutral3–4
11-26LibertyW 74–6464.3Neutral4–4
12-02Washington St.W 64–6068.6Home5–4
12-06NIUW 84–5572.7Home6–4
12-18Indiana St.W 108–99 3OT94.6Away7–4
12-21Southern Ill.W 73–6971.5Home8–4
12-29EvansvilleW 76–6868.8Home9–4
01-01BelmontL 78–8869.7Away9–5
01-04Murray St.L 66–8668.6Away9–6
01-07DrakeW 93–6674.3Home10–6
01-10UNIW 75–6966.9Home11–6
01-13EvansvilleW 94–90 1OT76.0Away12–6
01-17Illinois St.L 62–8866.5Away12–7
01-21Indiana St.W 75–6871.2Home13–7
01-24UICL 70–8565.5Home13–8
01-31DrakeW 87–7365.0Away14–8
02-03ValparaisoW 72–6565.2Home15–8
02-06UNIL 49–6159.6Away15–9
02-09BelmontW 95–84 1OT77.4Home16–9
02-15Southern Ill.W 70–6069.2Away17–9
02-18ValparaisoL 72–7966.4Away17–10
02-21Illinois St.W 74–6064.2Home18–10
02-24UICL 86–93 2OT78.3Away18–11
03-01Murray St.W 87–7867.2Home19–11
03-06ValparaisoW 90–84 2OT87.7Neutral20–11
03-07UNIL 69–7363.3Neutral20–12
03-18DaytonL 66–8059.8—20–13

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 33 of 33 team games

MinutesPer GameShootingLast Five Team Games
PlayerGMPGTeam Min%PtsRebAstStlBlkTOPF2P2P%3P3P%FTFT%eFG%TS%FTA/FGAGMPGMin%Pts/G
Alex Huibregtse3331:3076.2%12.83.11.70.80.21.01.642–9544.2%102–23044.3%33–4082.5%60.0%61.7%12.3%534:05 +2:3577.4%15.6 +2.8
Jaquan Johnson3330:2273.4%16.84.03.62.40.01.42.4115–26443.6%52–13638.2%168–21378.9%48.3%56.1%53.3%532:10 +1:4873.1%15.2 −1.6
AJ Smith3325:5162.5%8.55.41.31.30.51.02.557–12147.1%34–9237.0%65–8675.6%50.7%56.0%40.4%535:29 +9:3880.6%11.6 +3.1
Ahmet Jonovic3325:0260.5%8.15.41.40.51.41.52.792–17353.2%1–520.0%†79–10674.5%52.5%59.2%59.6%528:44 +3:4265.3%10.4 +2.3
Timoty van der Knaap3323:0055.6%6.54.80.40.60.20.82.365–12153.7%15–6523.1%41–6464.1%47.0%50.4%34.4%522:18 −0:4250.7%6.0 −0.5
Montana Wheeler3322:1153.6%8.41.22.80.50.01.01.964–13148.9%32–9832.7%52–7074.3%48.9%53.1%30.6%521:39 −0:3249.2%8.0 −0.4
Corey Thomas3318:1744.2%5.43.40.80.60.60.72.345–7163.4%20–5933.9%27–3675.0%57.7%60.7%27.7%522:56 +4:4052.1%6.6 +1.2
Demarion Burch2522:5642.0%9.02.10.90.60.20.92.059–12846.1%25–7732.5%31–5358.5%47.1%49.1%25.9%214:10 −8:4612.9%3.0 −6.0
Kai Yu288:1817.0%2.62.00.40.20.10.41.222–4055.0%†5–1827.8%†15–2171.4%†50.9%†55.0%†36.2%†58:58 +0:4020.4%3.0 +0.4
Dietrich Richardson176:428.3%2.20.70.50.30.11.10.613–2748.1%†1–119.1%†8–1266.7%†38.2%†42.7%†31.6%†47:30 +0:4713.6%2.0 −0.2
Matthew Zobrist124:233.8%1.00.20.00.00.10.00.62–366.7%†1–616.7%†5–771.4%†38.9%†49.7%†77.8%†17:17 +2:543.3%2.0 +1.0
Handy Toussaint III41:420.5%0.00.50.00.00.00.00.30–0—0–0—0–0————————
Gus Rugaard61:080.5%0.00.20.00.00.00.00.00–0—0–10.0%†0–0—0.0%†0.0%†0.0%†10:11 −0:570.1%0.0 0.0
Team, games with logs · per game33 games77.034.113.33.29.7576–117449.1%288–79836.1%524–70874.0%51.1%55.6%35.9%
Sum of players77.031.113.37.53.29.018.8Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players0.0+3.00.00.0+0.7

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool
$590K
80% Range $255K to $1.30M
Tier
Mid and high major
low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4
$565K to $675K
Scenario medians
Players with Figures
13
3 floor only

The widest scenario range, $295K to $1.50M, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
PlayerPoss. ShareSpeculative Best Guess80% RangeRange GraphicMedian % of Team PoolScenarios Z1 to Z4Floor PartEvidence and Flags
Alex Huibregtse76.5%$86K$24K to $215K15.3%$82K to $98K$4KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaquan Johnson73.9%$140K$53K to $350K21.7%$130K to $155K$4KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
AJ Smith63.2%$81K$30K to $205K13.8%$77K to $92K$4KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ahmet Jonovic61.7%$75K$25K to $195K13.1%$72K to $86K$4KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Timoty van der Knaap56.0%$19K$3K to $77K4.2%$19K to $22K$4KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Montana Wheeler53.4%$39K$7K to $110K8.2%$38K to $45K$4KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Corey Thomas44.7%$55K$19K to $135K9.5%$53K to $63K$4KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Demarion Burch41.5%$15K$3K to $56K3.2%$14K to $17K$4KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kai Yu17.3%$13K$4K to $35K2.6%$12K to $15K$4KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dietrich Richardson8.2%$6K$2K to $15K1.0%$6K to $7K$4KLimited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Matthew Zobrist2.9%$4K$2K to $11K0.8%$4K to $5K$4KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Gus Rugaard0.4%$4K$2K to $11K0.8%$4K to $5K$4KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Handy Toussaint III0.3%$4K$2K to $11K0.8%$4K to $5K$4KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool—$590K$255K to $1.30M100%$565K to $675K—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Bradley University (NCAA Division I without football)
MeasureSchool-Reported AmountNote
Men's basketball revenue$3,870,120Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses$3,870,120
Athletics department expenses$20,541,032
Athletics department revenue$20,541,032

Team Totalsβ

Season per game, 33 games, 2,306 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

StatisticTeamOpponents
Points77.074.2
Field goals made26.225.5
Field goals attempted59.855.9
3-pointers made8.78.2
3-pointers attempted24.222.3
Free throws made15.915.1
Free throws attempted21.521.4
Offensive rebounds9.99.3
Defensive rebounds24.226.4
Total rebounds34.135.7
Assists13.313.8
Blocks3.23.1
Turnovers9.713.2
StealsNo team figure. Players sum to 246.
Personal foulsNo team figure. Players sum to 622.
Minutes (derived)206.8

33 of 33 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

StatisticStatusTeam Total, Logged GamesSum of PlayersResidualToleranceTeam Total, Games Without Logs
PointsReconciled2,5402,5400±12.70
Field goals madeReconciled8648640±4.30
Field goals attemptedReconciled1,9721,9720±9.90
3-pointers madeReconciled2882880±2.00
3-pointers attemptedReconciled7987980±4.00
Free throws madeReconciled5245240±2.60
Free throws attemptedReconciled7087080±3.50
Offensive reboundsNo player split
Defensive reboundsNo player split
Total reboundsResidual shown1,1261,027+99±90.10
AssistsReconciled4394390±2.20
BlocksReconciled1051050±2.00
TurnoversResidual shown321297+24±9.60
StealsNo team figure246
Personal foulsNo team figure622
Minutes (derived)Reconciled6,8256,800+24.8±136.50

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
PlayerPoss. ShareNet and RangeβRange Graphic
Alex Huibregtse76.5%+1.6range -0.3 to +3.4Sufficient evidence
Jaquan Johnson73.9%+3.2range +2.1 to +4.3Sufficient evidence
AJ Smith63.2%+1.9range +0.7 to +3.3Sufficient evidence
Ahmet Jonovic61.7%+1.7range +0.4 to +3.3Sufficient evidence
Timoty van der Knaap56.0%-1.1range -3.1 to +0.2Sufficient evidence
Montana Wheeler53.4%+0.4range -1.0 to +1.6Sufficient evidence
Corey Thomas44.7%+1.8range +0.6 to +2.9Sufficient evidence
Demarion Burch41.5%-1.3range -2.5 to -0.0Sufficient evidence
Kai Yu17.3%-0.2range -1.1 to +0.8Sufficient evidence
Dietrich Richardson8.2%-3.1range -4.2 to -2.0Limited evidence
Matthew Zobrist2.9%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Gus Rugaard0.4%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Handy Toussaint III0.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions
+10.5range +9.7 to +11.2Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 99.3% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.7%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 1.6%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value