Grand Canyon

MWC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 47 · Raw net 10.1 · Tempo 69.0 · 32 Division I games · Through 2026-03-12

Record: 20–12; 20 wins
AdjNet: 10.0β; rank 65 of 365
AdjO: 109.4β; rank 147 of 365
AdjD: 99.4β; rank 25 of 365
AdjT: 68.9β
SOS: 1.6β; rank 121 of 363
NCSOS: -4.3β
WAB: -2.8β; rank 80 of 363
RR: -1.1β
Exp. W: 21.1β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	109.2153	99.120	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	51.7162	47.428	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	17.6247	17.3129	16.7
Offensive rebound %	31.3148	25.312	30.6
FTA / FGA %	39.566	39.0286	35.0
Shooting
3P%	31.8286	31.962	33.9
2P%	54.280	47.232	51.7
FT%	75.373	73.2230	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	38.9	38.2	39.5
Assists / FGM %	49.6	50.1	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	10.5	7.9	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	27.9	29.6	31.4
2-pointers %	49.8	47.2	48.8
Free throws %	22.4	23.1	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.3
Top Three Share of Minutes: 45%
Bench Share of Minutes: 31%
Players with Logged Minutes: 12

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Purdue Fort Wayne	W 90–71	75.1	Home	1–0
11-07	Youngstown St.	L 81–90	72.3	Home	1–1
11-10	NIU	W 88–59	72.0	Home	2–1
11-15	Saint Louis	L 64–78	74.8	Away	2–2
11-21	Northwestern St.	W 85–72	69.0	Home	3–2
11-26	Utah	W 68–58	67.4	—	4–2
11-26	Iowa	L 46–59	60.4	Neutral	4–3
12-02	Stetson	W 67–45	66.3	Home	5–3
12-06	Oklahoma St.	L 78–84	70.2	Neutral	5–4
12-13	Coastal Carolina	W 82–61	67.7	Home	6–4
12-20	Wyoming	W 82–70	73.4	Away	7–4
12-22	IU Indy	W 91–78	75.2	Home	8–4
01-03	Colorado St.	L 60–70	62.5	Home	8–5
01-07	Boise St.	W 75–58	67.8	Away	9–5
01-10	San Jose St.	W 76–58	70.0	Home	10–5
01-13	New Mexico	L 64–87	73.2	Away	10–6
01-17	Utah St.	W 84–74	65.8	Home	11–6
01-21	San Diego St.	W 70–69	70.7	Home	12–6
01-24	Fresno St.	W 68–57	66.1	Away	13–6
01-27	Nevada	L 60–66 1OT	72.2	Away	13–7
01-30	Boise St.	W 86–69	66.4	Home	14–7
02-03	Air Force	W 81–57	68.8	Home	15–7
02-07	UNLV	L 78–80	71.8	Away	15–8
02-11	New Mexico	L 64–70	68.5	Home	15–9
02-14	San Jose St.	W 94–79	65.0	Away	16–9
02-17	San Diego St.	W 73–63	71.2	Away	17–9
02-21	Wyoming	L 65–70	67.5	Home	17–10
02-25	UNLV	W 80–67	69.5	Home	18–10
02-28	Utah St.	L 69–74	63.6	Away	18–11
03-03	Air Force	W 86–60	68.7	Away	19–11
03-07	Fresno St.	W 85–60	72.7	Home	20–11
03-12	Nevada	L 80–84	70.4	Neutral	20–12

Roster · 12 players

Player logs in 32 of 32 team games

Team roster, per game
Column groups	Minutes			Per Game							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Nana Owusu-Anane	32	32:35	81.1%	9.3	8.5	1.8	1.4	0.8	1.2	2.5	63–125	50.4%	42–117	35.9%	45–62	72.6%	52.1%	55.1%	25.6%	5	33:38 +1:03	84.1%	9.2 −0.1
Jaden Henley	32	31:24	78.2%	17.7	5.7	2.9	1.6	0.3	2.8	2.2	156–283	55.1%	33–123	26.8%	155–205	75.6%	50.6%	57.0%	50.5%	5	30:25 −1:00	76.0%	19.4 +1.7
Makaih Williams	32	27:04	67.4%	14.0	2.7	2.5	0.9	0.2	1.7	2.7	88–168	52.4%	56–167	33.5%	103–131	78.6%	51.3%	56.9%	39.1%	5	30:03 +2:59	75.1%	14.2 +0.2
Brian Moore Jr.	29	27:34	62.2%	9.5	2.4	2.6	0.7	0.1	1.6	2.0	77–149	51.7%	20–49	40.8%†	62–89	69.7%	54.0%	58.2%	44.9%	5	31:46 +4:12	79.4%	12.2 +2.7
Efe Demirel	32	22:32	56.1%	8.5	5.3	0.3	0.5	1.1	1.3	2.8	102–162	63.0%	0–0	—	69–92	75.0%	63.0%	67.4%	56.8%	5	23:58 +1:25	59.9%	8.0 −0.5
Dusty Stromer	32	22:30	56.0%	6.4	2.7	1.1	0.5	0.1	1.0	1.8	27–70	38.6%	38–114	33.3%	36–45	80.0%	45.7%	50.0%	24.5%	5	20:19 −2:11	50.8%	7.4 +1.0
Caleb Shaw	21	20:43	33.9%	7.8	3.8	1.4	0.5	0.0	1.3	1.9	36–57	63.2%	27–73	37.0%	11–17	64.7%†	58.8%	59.6%	13.1%	2	13:12 −7:31	13.2%	3.5 −4.3
Wilhelm Breidenbach	29	12:22	27.9%	2.7	2.3	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.6	2.3	20–33	60.6%†	4–30	13.3%†	25–31	80.6%	41.3%†	50.2%†	49.2%†	2	6:04 −6:18	6.1%	0.0 −2.7
Dennis Evans	25	8:17	16.1%	2.6	1.9	0.0	0.2	1.2	0.4	0.9	24–36	66.7%†	0–0	—	18–24	75.0%†	66.7%†	70.9%†	66.7%†	5	11:40 +3:22	29.1%	6.0 +3.4
Kaleb Smith	22	7:54	13.5%	1.4	1.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.4	0.7	5–19	26.3%†	2–19	10.5%†	14–18	77.8%†	21.1%†	32.7%†	47.4%†	3	9:29 +1:35	14.2%	2.0 +0.6
Evan BoisdurUnder 100 minutes	15	4:44	5.5%	1.1	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.3	0.6	4–9	44.4%†	2–12	16.7%†	3–4	75.0%†	33.3%†	37.3%†	19.0%†	4	4:39 −0:05	9.3%	0.5 −0.6
Cole PepeFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	8	1:04	0.7%	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0–0	—	1–3	33.3%†	0–0	—	50.0%†	50.0%†	0.0%†	2	2:17 +1:13	2.3%	1.5 +1.1
Team, games with logs · per game	32 games			75.6	36.2	12.8	not published	3.6	12.2	not published	602–1111	54.2%	225–707	31.8%	541–718	75.3%	51.7%	56.7%	39.5%
Sum of players				75.6	34.1	12.8	6.6	3.6	11.5	18.5	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0.0	+2.1	0.0	not published	0.0	+0.7	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $775K; 80% Range $335K to $1.75M
Tier: Mid and high major; low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $720K to $965K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 2 floor only

The widest scenario range, $410K to $2.15M, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Nana Owusu-Anane	82.4%	$180K	$73K to $445K	22.1%	$165K to $225K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaden Henley	78.6%	$160K	$66K to $385K	19.7%	$150K to $200K	$6K	Sufficient evidence
Makaih Williams	67.5%	$115K	$46K to $285K	14.9%	$110K to $145K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brian Moore Jr.	65.7%	$59K	$13K to $160K	9.0%	$55K to $74K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Efe Demirel	57.6%	$68K	$21K to $170K	9.8%	$63K to $84K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dusty Stromer	54.7%	$39K	$8K to $115K	6.3%	$37K to $49K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Caleb Shaw	34.1%	$42K	$13K to $105K	6.1%	$39K to $52K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Wilhelm Breidenbach	26.9%	$23K	$6K to $65K	3.6%	$22K to $29K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dennis Evans	16.5%	$31K	$13K to $75K	4.0%	$29K to $38K	$6K	Sufficient evidence
Kaleb Smith	11.4%	$9K	$3K to $24K	1.2%	$8K to $11K	$6K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Evan Boisdur	4.0%	$6K	$2K to $15K	0.8%	$6K to $8K	$6K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Cole Pepe	0.6%	$6K	$2K to $15K	0.8%	$6K to $8K	$6K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$775K	$335K to $1.75M	100%	$720K to $965K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Grand Canyon University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$7,913,665	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$7,913,665
Athletics department expenses	$33,277,918
Athletics department revenue	$33,277,918

Team Totalsβ

Season per game, 32 games, 2,216 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	75.6	68.7
Field goals made	25.8	23.0
Field goals attempted	56.8	55.6
3-pointers made	7.0	6.8
3-pointers attempted	22.1	21.3
Free throws made	16.9	15.9
Free throws attempted	22.4	21.7
Offensive rebounds	10.3	8.8
Defensive rebounds	25.9	22.6
Total rebounds	36.2	31.4
Assists	12.8	11.5
Blocks	3.6	2.8
Turnovers	12.2	12.0
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 211.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 593.
Minutes (derived)	200.8	not published

32 of 32 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,420	2,420	0	±12.1	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	827	827	0	±4.1	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,818	1,818	0	±9.1	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	225	225	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	707	707	0	±3.5	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	541	541	0	±2.7	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	718	718	0	±3.6	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Reconciled	1,158	1,091	+67	±92.6	0
Assists	Reconciled	410	410	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	115	115	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	391	369	+22	±11.7	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	211	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	593	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,425	6,408	+16.7	±128.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Nana Owusu-Anane	82.4%	+3.9range +2.9 to +4.8Sufficient evidence
Jaden Henley	78.6%	+3.6range +2.6 to +4.5Sufficient evidence
Makaih Williams	67.5%	+3.0range +1.8 to +4.1Sufficient evidence
Brian Moore Jr.	65.7%	+0.7range -0.4 to +2.1Sufficient evidence
Efe Demirel	57.6%	+1.6range +0.4 to +3.0Sufficient evidence
Dusty Stromer	54.7%	+0.3range -0.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidence
Caleb Shaw	34.1%	+1.6range +0.2 to +2.9Sufficient evidence
Wilhelm Breidenbach	26.9%	+0.3range -0.8 to +1.4Sufficient evidence
Dennis Evans	16.5%	+2.6range +1.5 to +3.6Sufficient evidence
Kaleb Smith	11.4%	-2.6range -3.2 to -1.9Limited evidence
Evan Boisdur	4.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Cole Pepe	0.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +11.5range +10.5 to +12.4Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 99.1% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.9%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 2.3%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value