Colorado St.

MWC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 100 · Raw net 4.7 · Tempo 64.5 · 32 Division I games · Through 2026-03-18

Record: 19–13; 19 wins
AdjNet: 6.0β; rank 93 of 365
AdjO: 115.6β; rank 57 of 365
AdjD: 109.6β; rank 211 of 365
AdjT: 64.7β
SOS: 2.4β; rank 99 of 363
NCSOS: -2.4β
WAB: -3.7β; rank 86 of 363
RR: 0.8β
Exp. W: 18.2β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	115.850	111.1249	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	57.212	53.1271	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	18.5296	15.7238	16.7
Offensive rebound %	30.3189	29.1114	30.6
FTA / FGA %	38.587	35.0176	35.0
Shooting
3P%	38.49	34.3205	33.9
2P%	56.732	54.3283	51.7
FT%	76.737	69.846	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	49.5	43.0	39.5
Assists / FGM %	63.1	46.8	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	6.2	9.3	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	39.6	33.9	31.4
2-pointers %	39.8	47.4	48.8
Free throws %	20.5	18.7	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 9.0
Top Three Share of Minutes: 42%
Bench Share of Minutes: 35%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	UIW	W 98–64	65.6	Home	1–0
11-09	Omaha	W 97–74	65.4	Home	2–0
11-12	Cal Poly	W 93–79	75.0	Home	3–0
11-16	Loyola Chicago	W 80–67	60.2	Away	4–0
11-21	Denver	L 81–83	60.0	Home	4–1
11-26	Virginia Tech	L 64–66	62.2	Neutral	4–2
11-27	Wichita St.	W 76–70	58.7	Neutral	5–2
11-28	South Fla.	W 83–68	68.7	Neutral	6–2
12-06	Colorado	W 91–86	67.1	Home	7–2
12-09	Dartmouth	W 76–55	63.1	Home	8–2
12-20	Utah St.	L 58–100	63.7	Away	8–3
12-30	Nevada	L 62–75	63.3	Home	8–4
01-03	Grand Canyon	W 70–60	62.5	Away	9–4
01-06	New Mexico	L 70–80	65.6	Home	9–5
01-09	UNLV	W 70–62	64.1	Home	10–5
01-13	Fresno St.	L 69–79	62.5	Away	10–6
01-16	Boise St.	L 73–79	62.2	Away	10–7
01-20	Air Force	W 81–52	65.3	Home	11–7
01-23	Utah St.	L 61–65	62.1	Home	11–8
01-28	San Diego St.	L 50–73	60.9	Away	11–9
01-31	Wyoming	L 57–68	58.6	Away	11–10
02-07	San Jose St.	W 65–57	65.9	Home	12–10
02-10	Air Force	W 91–74	65.3	Away	13–10
02-18	UNLV	W 91–86	65.4	Away	14–10
02-21	San Diego St.	W 83–74	67.6	Home	15–10
02-24	Fresno St.	W 74–70	66.7	Home	16–10
02-28	San Jose St.	W 85–73	63.6	Away	17–10
03-04	New Mexico	W 82–74	72.6	Away	18–10
03-07	Boise St.	L 67–78	61.3	Home	18–11
03-11	Fresno St.	W 67–63	63.0	Neutral	19–11
03-12	San Diego St.	L 62–71	69.6	Neutral	19–12
03-18	Saint Joseph's	L 64–69	67.0	—	19–13

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 32 of 32 team games

Team roster, per game
Column groups	Minutes			Per Game							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Jevin Muniz	32	30:38	76.6%	9.4	4.0	4.9	0.9	0.2	1.6	2.2	72–131	55.0%	35–100	35.0%	52–75	69.3%	53.9%	57.0%	32.5%	5	35:06 +4:28	87.7%	7.2 −2.2
Brandon Rechsteiner	32	27:52	69.7%	12.0	2.1	2.6	0.8	0.0	1.8	1.5	53–96	55.2%	81–201	40.3%	36–45	80.0%	58.8%	60.8%	15.2%	5	28:40 +0:48	71.7%	10.0 −2.0
Jase Butler	32	25:45	64.4%	9.1	3.1	1.7	0.6	0.1	1.1	2.1	41–81	50.6%	43–108	39.8%	81–100	81.0%	55.8%	62.7%	52.9%	5	34:20 +8:35	85.8%	14.2 +5.1
Carey Booth	32	24:44	61.8%	10.9	5.7	0.7	0.4	0.9	1.1	1.0	77–130	59.2%	34–83	41.0%	92–110	83.6%	60.1%	66.6%	51.6%	5	27:12 +2:28	68.0%	11.4 +0.5
Josh Pascarelli	25	27:30	53.7%	10.5	2.9	1.4	0.7	0.0	0.9	1.7	34–61	55.7%	58–140	41.4%	20–23	87.0%†	60.2%	62.1%	11.4%	2	10:35 −16:55	10.6%	2.5 −8.0
Kyle Jorgensen	27	25:26	53.6%	11.6	4.4	2.2	0.7	0.5	1.4	2.2	68–110	61.8%	40–100	40.0%	56–70	80.0%	61.0%	64.8%	33.3%	5	27:55 +2:30	69.8%	10.8 −0.8
Augustinas Kiudulas	32	14:28	36.2%	6.0	2.7	0.8	0.5	0.0	1.1	1.8	47–78	60.3%	13–32	40.6%†	58–83	69.9%	60.5%	65.2%	75.5%	5	11:41 −2:47	29.2%	4.8 −1.2
Jojo McIver	31	11:47	28.5%	2.5	1.8	1.0	0.3	0.0	0.9	1.9	18–34	52.9%†	6–29	20.7%†	25–33	75.8%	42.9%†	51.0%†	52.4%†	5	12:01 +0:14	30.0%	3.6 +1.1
Rashaan Mbemba	20	17:33	27.4%	7.8	3.5	0.9	0.3	0.3	1.4	2.8	45–76	59.2%†	5–10	50.0%†	51–72	70.8%	61.0%†	66.3%†	83.7%†	5	12:42 −4:51	31.7%	5.4 −2.4
Nikola Djapa	18	9:02	12.7%	1.8	1.7	0.7	0.3	0.2	0.9	1.7	12–18	66.7%†	1–4	25.0%†	6–14	42.9%†	61.4%†	58.6%†	63.6%†	—	—	—	—
Darnez Slater	22	6:15	10.7%	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.8	6–15	40.0%†	0–9	0.0%†	6–7	85.7%†	25.0%†	33.2%†	29.2%†	5	5:33 −0:42	13.9%	0.0 −0.8
Jon MekonnenUnder 100 minutes	10	3:41	2.9%	1.0	0.7	0.0	0.4	0.0	0.2	0.6	1–6	16.7%†	0–6	0.0%†	8–8	100.0%†	8.3%†	32.2%†	66.7%†	—	—	—	—
Charlie DortchFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	1:17	0.4%	1.0	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.0	2–3	66.7%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	66.7%†	66.7%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · per game	32 games			74.7	32.1	15.6	not published	1.9	11.9	not published	476–839	56.7%	316–822	38.4%	491–640	76.7%	57.2%	61.5%	38.5%
Sum of players				74.7	29.0	15.6	5.3	1.9	10.9	17.0	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0.0	+3.1	0.0	not published	0.0	+1.0	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $930K; 80% Range $420K to $2.05M
Tier: Mid and high major; low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $910K to $940K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Jevin Muniz	77.3%	$155K	$60K to $360K	16.1%	$150K to $155K	$7K	Sufficient evidence
Brandon Rechsteiner	70.5%	$89K	$18K to $235K	11.4%	$87K to $90K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jase Butler	65.8%	$130K	$47K to $315K	13.8%	$125K to $130K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Carey Booth	61.8%	$90K	$23K to $225K	11.0%	$88K to $91K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kyle Jorgensen	53.5%	$165K	$64K to $455K	16.2%	$160K to $165K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Josh Pascarelli	52.8%	$56K	$10K to $160K	7.6%	$54K to $56K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Augustinas Kiudulas	37.0%	$81K	$30K to $205K	8.4%	$79K to $81K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jojo McIver	28.3%	$28K	$6K to $81K	3.8%	$27K to $28K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Rashaan Mbemba	27.7%	$27K	$6K to $79K	3.6%	$26K to $27K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nikola Djapa	12.1%	$20K	$7K to $49K	2.5%	$19K to $20K	$7K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Darnez Slater	10.0%	$10K	$3K to $26K	1.1%	$10K in all four	$7K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jon Mekonnen	2.8%	$7K	$3K to $16K	0.8%	$7K in all four	$7K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Charlie Dortch	0.3%	$7K	$3K to $16K	0.8%	$7K in all four	$7K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$930K	$420K to $2.05M	100%	$910K to $940K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Colorado State University-Fort Collins (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$6,966,054	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$6,966,054
Athletics department expenses	$55,794,198
Athletics department revenue	$55,794,198

Team Totalsβ

Season per game, 32 games, 2,065 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	74.7	71.7
Field goals made	24.8	25.1
Field goals attempted	51.9	54.9
3-pointers made	9.9	8.1
3-pointers attempted	25.7	23.6
Free throws made	15.3	13.4
Free throws attempted	20.0	19.2
Offensive rebounds	8.9	9.5
Defensive rebounds	23.2	20.6
Total rebounds	32.1	30.1
Assists	15.6	11.8
Blocks	1.9	2.4
Turnovers	11.9	10.1
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 168.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 543.
Minutes (derived)	200.0	not published

32 of 32 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,391	2,391	0	±12.0	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	792	792	0	±4.0	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,661	1,661	0	±8.3	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	316	316	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	822	822	0	±4.1	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	491	491	0	±2.5	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	640	640	0	±3.2	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,028	929	+99	±82.2	0
Assists	Reconciled	500	500	0	±2.5	0
Blocks	Reconciled	62	62	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	382	349	+33	±11.5	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	168	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	543	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,400	6,383	+17.4	±128.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Jevin Muniz	77.3%	+1.6range +0.6 to +2.7Sufficient evidence
Brandon Rechsteiner	70.5%	+0.4range -0.7 to +1.5Sufficient evidence
Jase Butler	65.8%	+1.6range +0.3 to +2.8Sufficient evidence
Carey Booth	61.8%	+0.7range -0.6 to +1.9Sufficient evidence
Kyle Jorgensen	53.5%	+2.8range +1.8 to +4.0Sufficient evidence
Josh Pascarelli	52.8%	-0.1range -1.0 to +1.0Sufficient evidence
Augustinas Kiudulas	37.0%	+1.7range +0.6 to +2.9Sufficient evidence
Jojo McIver	28.3%	-0.4range -1.5 to +0.7Sufficient evidence
Rashaan Mbemba	27.7%	-0.4range -1.5 to +0.4Sufficient evidence
Nikola Djapa	12.1%	+0.3range -0.7 to +1.3Limited evidence
Darnez Slater	10.0%	-3.0range -4.0 to -2.1Limited evidence
Jon Mekonnen	2.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Charlie Dortch	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.3range +9.5 to +11.2Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

11 valued players hold 99.4% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.6%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 4.4%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value