Boise St.

MWC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 83 · Raw net 6.2 · Tempo 66.6 · 30 Division I games · Through 2026-03-11

Record: 19–11; 19 wins
AdjNet: 10.2β; rank 62 of 365
AdjO: 114.8β; rank 60 of 365
AdjD: 104.6β; rank 85 of 365
AdjT: 66.9β
SOS: 5.6β; rank 73 of 363
NCSOS: 6.0β
WAB: -0.8β; rank 56 of 363
RR: 1.4β
Exp. W: 17.6β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	113.478	107.2137	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	52.2138	52.7250	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	16.9200	14.5317	16.7
Offensive rebound %	33.285	23.63	30.6
FTA / FGA %	42.723	32.1108	35.0
Shooting
3P%	34.3151	34.4214	33.9
2P%	52.7141	53.3248	51.7
FT%	78.79	71.092	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	43.1	36.8	39.5
Assists / FGM %	49.5	45.1	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	5.9	9.8	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	32.2	29.6	31.4
2-pointers %	43.5	52.6	48.8
Free throws %	24.3	17.8	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.8
Top Three Share of Minutes: 42%
Bench Share of Minutes: 35%
Players with Logged Minutes: 14

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-08	Utah Valley	W 101–77	74.8	Home	1–0
11-11	UTRGV	W 85–65	75.6	Home	2–0
11-15	Montana St.	W 62–58	63.3	Home	3–0
11-18	Wichita St.	W 62–59	64.0	Home	4–0
11-24	Southern California	L 67–70	69.7	Neutral	4–1
11-25	NC State	L 70–81	70.1	Neutral	4–2
12-06	Butler	W 77–68	67.2	Away	5–2
12-10	Duquesne	W 86–64	70.5	Home	6–2
12-14	Saint Mary's (CA)	W 68–67	69.0	Neutral	7–2
12-20	Nevada	L 66–81	62.4	Away	7–3
12-30	New Mexico	W 62–53	70.2	Home	8–3
01-03	San Diego St.	L 107–110 3OT	96.0	Away	8–4
01-07	Grand Canyon	L 58–75	67.8	Home	8–5
01-10	Utah St.	L 68–93	65.4	Home	8–6
01-13	UNLV	L 85–89 1OT	80.0	Away	8–7
01-16	Colorado St.	W 79–73	62.2	Home	9–7
01-20	Wyoming	W 81–65	64.9	Away	10–7
01-24	Air Force	W 96–54	62.0	Home	11–7
01-27	San Jose St.	W 89–58	66.7	Away	12–7
01-30	Grand Canyon	L 69–86	66.4	Away	12–8
02-03	Nevada	W 91–87 1OT	74.3	Home	13–8
02-07	New Mexico	W 91–90	67.4	Away	14–8
02-13	UNLV	L 83–86 1OT	69.5	Home	14–9
02-18	Utah St.	L 56–75	60.2	Away	14–10
02-21	San Jose St.	W 84–69	65.7	Home	15–10
02-24	Wyoming	W 72–62	63.7	Home	16–10
02-28	Fresno St.	W 69–53	60.0	Away	17–10
03-03	San Diego St.	W 86–77	68.1	Home	18–10
03-07	Colorado St.	W 78–67	61.3	Away	19–10
03-11	San Jose St.	L 74–84	69.8	Neutral	19–11

Roster · 14 players

Player logs in 30 of 30 team games

Team roster, per game
Column groups	Minutes			Per Game							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Andrew Meadow	30	30:01	73.2%	12.0	3.3	1.0	0.6	0.0	0.9	1.3	84–137	61.3%	41–106	38.7%	69–106	65.1%	59.9%	62.1%	43.6%	5	32:28 +2:28	81.2%	12.8 +0.8
Dylan Andrews	30	29:23	71.7%	12.6	2.5	2.9	0.6	0.1	2.0	0.9	63–143	44.1%	42–135	31.1%	125–141	88.7%	45.3%	55.4%	50.7%	5	30:32 +1:08	76.3%	14.2 +1.6
Javan Buchanan	29	28:08	66.3%	12.8	5.1	1.6	0.7	0.2	1.1	2.2	85–173	49.1%	30–97	30.9%	112–133	84.2%	48.1%	56.6%	49.3%	5	30:40 +2:32	76.7%	18.4 +5.6
Drew Fielder	30	23:44	57.9%	14.4	5.4	1.1	0.4	0.5	1.7	2.1	115–199	57.8%	37–90	41.1%	90–116	77.6%	59.0%	63.4%	40.1%	5	27:30 +3:46	68.7%	17.2 +2.8
RJ Keene	29	22:31	53.1%	2.6	4.7	1.9	0.7	0.3	0.6	2.1	9–22	40.9%†	18–51	35.3%	3–6	50.0%†	49.3%†	49.6%†	8.2%†	5	29:41 +7:10	74.2%	3.4 +0.8
Aginaldo Neto	30	19:16	47.0%	4.2	1.3	1.9	0.4	0.1	1.6	2.2	21–58	36.2%	15–44	34.1%†	38–54	70.4%	42.6%	49.7%	52.9%	5	15:46 −3:30	39.4%	0.8 −3.4
Pearson Carmichael	29	19:18	45.5%	7.8	3.1	0.7	0.3	0.1	1.0	2.3	38–67	56.7%	35–111	31.5%	46–54	85.2%	50.8%	56.3%	30.3%	4	10:22 −8:57	20.7%	3.0 −4.8
Dominic Parolin	30	17:01	41.5%	5.5	4.6	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.8	2.0	47–83	56.6%	7–23	30.4%†	49–60	81.7%	54.2%	61.9%	56.6%	5	12:51 −4:09	32.1%	3.8 −1.7
Spencer Ahrens	30	12:59	31.7%	4.7	2.2	0.7	0.3	0.4	0.9	1.6	32–61	52.5%	18–55	32.7%	23–32	71.9%	50.9%	54.2%	27.6%	5	9:09 −3:50	22.9%	2.2 −2.5
Bhan BuomUnder 100 minutes	21	4:03	6.9%	1.4	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.8	7–9	77.8%†	3–9	33.3%†	7–12	58.3%†	63.9%†	64.4%†	66.7%†	4	2:59 −1:05	6.0%	0.8 −0.7
Julian BowieFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	6	5:00	2.4%	1.3	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.3	0.2	1–2	50.0%†	2–3	66.7%†	0–0	—	80.0%†	80.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Ethan LathanFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	2:02	0.7%	1.8	0.8	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.5	2–3	66.7%†	0–0	—	3–4	75.0%†	66.7%†	73.5%†	133.3%†	—	—	—	—
Rayzhon BergersenFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	1:35	0.6%	0.4	0.2	0.4	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	1–1	100.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	100.0%†	100.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Brennan RamirezFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	2	1:19	0.2%	1.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0–0	—	1–1	100.0%†	0–0	—	150.0%†	150.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · per game	30 games			77.4	35.5	12.4	not published	2.1	11.6	not published	505–958	52.7%	249–725	34.3%	565–718	78.7%	52.2%	58.1%	42.7%
Sum of players				77.4	32.5	12.4	4.6	2.1	10.7	17.1	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0.0	+3.0	0.0	not published	0.0	+0.8	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $980K; 80% Range $410K to $2.15M
Tier: Mid and high major; low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $785K to $1.05M; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 5 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Andrew Meadow	73.4%	$115K	$32K to $290K	13.1%	$91K to $120K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dylan Andrews	72.2%	$61K	$7K to $195K	8.1%	$50K to $67K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Javan Buchanan	65.4%	$175K	$70K to $425K	17.3%	$140K to $190K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Drew Fielder	58.6%	$175K	$70K to $435K	17.0%	$140K to $190K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
RJ Keene	52.2%	$120K	$43K to $325K	12.4%	$98K to $130K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Aginaldo Neto	47.7%	$48K	$7K to $145K	6.1%	$39K to $51K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Pearson Carmichael	46.1%	$89K	$26K to $240K	9.5%	$71K to $94K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dominic Parolin	42.0%	$66K	$20K to $170K	7.8%	$54K to $72K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Spencer Ahrens	31.7%	$19K	$4K to $70K	2.3%	$15K to $20K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Bhan Buom	6.5%	$7K	$3K to $16K	0.7%	$5K to $7K	$7K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Julian Bowie	2.6%	$7K	$3K to $16K	0.7%	$5K to $7K	$7K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Rayzhon Bergersen	0.7%	$7K	$3K to $16K	0.7%	$5K to $7K	$7K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Ethan Lathan	0.5%	$7K	$3K to $16K	0.7%	$5K to $7K	$7K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Brennan Ramirez	0.2%	$7K	$3K to $16K	0.7%	$5K to $7K	$7K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$980K	$410K to $2.15M	100%	$785K to $1.05M	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Boise State University (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$6,124,714
Men's basketball expenses	$5,295,924
Athletics department expenses	$69,810,118
Athletics department revenue	$89,699,430

Team Totalsβ

Season per game, 30 games, 2,048 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	77.4	73.2
Field goals made	25.1	26.5
Field goals attempted	56.1	57.1
3-pointers made	8.3	7.2
3-pointers attempted	24.2	21.0
Free throws made	18.8	13.0
Free throws attempted	23.9	18.4
Offensive rebounds	10.6	7.7
Defensive rebounds	24.9	21.3
Total rebounds	35.5	29.0
Assists	12.4	11.9
Blocks	2.1	3.1
Turnovers	11.6	9.9
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 139.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 514.
Minutes (derived)	205.0	not published

30 of 30 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,322	2,322	0	±11.6	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	754	754	0	±3.8	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,683	1,683	0	±8.4	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	249	249	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	725	725	0	±3.6	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	565	565	0	±2.8	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	718	718	0	±3.6	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,064	974	+90	±85.1	0
Assists	Reconciled	373	373	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	64	64	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	347	322	+25	±10.4	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	139	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	514	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,150	6,134	+15.6	±123.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Andrew Meadow	73.4%	+1.3range +0.0 to +2.4Sufficient evidence
Dylan Andrews	72.2%	-0.2range -1.8 to +1.3Sufficient evidence
Javan Buchanan	65.4%	+3.1range +2.0 to +3.9Sufficient evidence
Drew Fielder	58.6%	+3.5range +2.3 to +4.6Sufficient evidence
RJ Keene	52.2%	+2.7range +0.8 to +4.2Sufficient evidence
Aginaldo Neto	47.7%	-0.0range -1.5 to +1.5Sufficient evidence
Pearson Carmichael	46.1%	+1.8range +0.1 to +3.7Sufficient evidence
Dominic Parolin	42.0%	+1.2range +0.1 to +2.2Sufficient evidence
Spencer Ahrens	31.7%	-1.6range -3.2 to -0.0Sufficient evidence
Bhan Buom	6.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Julian Bowie	2.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Rayzhon Bergersen	0.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Ethan Lathan	0.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Brennan Ramirez	0.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.7range +9.8 to +11.5Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

9 valued players hold 97.9% of on-court time. 5 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 2.1%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value