Boston College

ACC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 250 · Raw net -4.8 · Tempo 66.4 · 31 Division I games · Through 2026-03-07

Record: 11–20; 11 wins
AdjNet: -0.4β; rank 180 of 365
AdjO: 102.6β; rank 297 of 365
AdjD: 103.0β; rank 54 of 365
AdjT: 67.1β
SOS: 4.4β; rank 81 of 363
NCSOS: -6.4β
WAB: -9.8β; rank 223 of 363
RR: -1.3β
Exp. W: 12.3β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	100.0326	104.884	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	47.0338	48.961	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	15.495	14.9300	16.7
Offensive rebound %	28.3253	28.687	30.6
FTA / FGA %	32.4250	34.6163	35.0
Shooting
3P%	29.4349	31.961	33.9
2P%	49.1277	49.683	51.7
FT%	65.3358	67.12	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	42.4	39.0	39.5
Assists / FGM %	47.4	48.6	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	11.9	10.0	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	32.4	30.8	31.4
2-pointers %	49.2	50.0	48.8
Free throws %	18.4	19.2	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.3
Top Three Share of Minutes: 44%
Bench Share of Minutes: 32%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Fla. Atlantic	L 78–83 1OT	80.1	Away	0–1
11-06	The Citadel	W 76–47	65.9	Home	1–1
11-11	Central Conn. St.	L 59–60	65.5	Home	1–2
11-15	Temple	W 76–71	68.7	Away	2–2
11-18	Hampton	W 63–52	64.8	Home	3–2
11-21	Davidson	L 49–59	57.9	Neutral	3–3
11-23	Tulane	L 90–93 1OT	78.6	Neutral	3–4
11-26	Harvard	W 73–60	64.8	Home	4–4
12-03	LSU	L 69–78 1OT	75.7	Home	4–5
12-06	New Haven	W 67–63	62.2	Home	5–5
12-10	Massachusetts	L 74–76	70.5	Neutral	5–6
12-22	FDU	W 72–61	60.3	Home	6–6
12-28	Le Moyne	W 72–64	73.0	Home	7–6
01-03	Georgia Tech	L 53–65	70.6	Away	7–7
01-06	NC State	L 71–79	60.6	Home	7–8
01-10	Louisville	L 62–75	69.7	Away	7–9
01-13	Clemson	L 50–74	65.5	Away	7–10
01-17	Syracuse	W 81–73 1OT	76.6	Home	8–10
01-21	Pittsburgh	W 65–62	63.6	Home	9–10
01-24	Notre Dame	L 64–68	64.0	Away	9–11
01-31	Virginia	L 66–73	65.4	Home	9–12
02-03	Duke	L 49–67	61.4	Away	9–13
02-07	Miami (FL)	L 68–74	69.8	Home	9–14
02-11	Stanford	L 64–70	68.5	Home	9–15
02-14	California	L 75–86	64.6	Home	9–16
02-17	Florida St.	L 72–80	66.9	Away	9–17
02-21	SMU	L 70–94	65.7	Away	9–18
02-25	Wake Forest	W 68–67	63.6	Home	10–18
02-28	Miami (FL)	L 54–76	64.6	Away	10–19
03-03	Virginia Tech	L 63–72	66.2	Away	10–20
03-07	Notre Dame	W 77–69	75.2	Home	11–20

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 31 of 31 team games

Team roster, per 40 minutes
Column groups	Minutes			Per 40 Minutes							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Fred Payne	31	34:35	85.1%	18.3	4.9	3.1	1.3	0.2	1.6	1.8	114–241	47.3%	67–213	31.5%	61–79	77.2%	47.2%	50.1%	17.4%	5	36:34 +1:59	91.4%	18.8 +3.0
Donald Hand Jr.	28	30:42	68.2%	16.2	5.8	1.7	0.7	0.1	2.2	1.8	72–172	41.9%	33–146	22.6%	105–147	71.4%	38.2%	45.5%	46.2%	4	16:32 −14:10	33.1%	4.3 −8.2
Boden Kapke	31	26:37	65.5%	16.0	8.6	1.1	0.5	0.5	1.9	3.4	95–172	55.2%	29–87	33.3%	53–75	70.7%	53.5%	56.5%	29.0%	5	31:08 +4:31	77.8%	15.4 +4.8
Aidan Shaw	31	25:03	61.6%	7.2	9.8	1.1	0.9	2.0	1.5	4.2	52–89	58.4%	2–15	13.3%†	30–50	60.0%	52.9%	55.6%	48.1%	5	23:38 −1:25	59.1%	6.4 +1.9
Chase Forte	31	23:07	56.9%	10.4	4.1	4.9	1.7	0.4	2.2	2.7	37–90	41.1%	22–87	25.3%	47–79	59.5%	39.5%	44.2%	44.6%	5	31:12 +8:06	78.0%	6.4 +0.4
Jayden Hastings	31	22:52	56.3%	11.7	9.9	1.3	1.0	2.7	1.8	5.8	80–128	62.5%	0–3	0.0%†	47–94	50.0%	61.1%	60.0%	71.8%	5	23:54 +1:02	59.8%	8.0 +1.3
Luka Toews	29	21:36	49.7%	11.7	2.9	4.1	0.8	0.3	2.4	3.7	41–93	44.1%	31–79	39.2%	8–14	57.1%†	50.9%	51.4%	8.1%	5	24:23 +2:47	61.0%	3.2 −3.1
Caleb Steger	31	11:13	27.6%	11.6	3.7	0.7	0.7	0.2	1.7	3.7	8–18	44.4%†	23–75	30.7%	16–24	66.7%†	45.7%†	48.8%†	25.8%†	5	11:00 −0:14	27.5%	2.8 −0.5
Jason Asemota	21	7:52	13.1%	15.8	10.7	0.5	0.7	1.9	1.9	5.1	8–17	47.1%†	13–34	38.2%†	10–16	62.5%†	53.9%†	56.0%†	31.4%†	2	11:10 +3:18	11.2%	5.0 +1.9
Marko Radunovic	18	9:09	13.1%	9.5	7.8	1.0	0.5	0.5	3.4	3.6	7–26	26.9%†	6–26	23.1%†	7–10	70.0%†	30.8%†	34.6%†	19.2%†	—	—	—	—
Kany TchandaFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	4:14	1.3%	0.0	9.4	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.4	4.7	0–0	—	0–3	0.0%†	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Jack DiDonnaFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	1	0:36	0.0%	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	66.7	0.0	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Will EggemeierFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	1	0:36	0.0%	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0–0	—	0–1	0.0%†	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · per 40 team minutes	31 games			66.3	36.0	11.1	not published	4.2	10.2	not published	514–1046	49.1%	226–769	29.4%	384–588	65.3%	47.0%	50.4%	32.4%
Sum of players				66.3	32.7	11.1	4.8	4.1	9.8	16.5	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0.0	+3.4	0.0	not published	+0.1	+0.4	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $3.55M; 80% Range $2.60M to $4.95M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.55M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 3 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Fred Payne	84.8%	$565K	$205K to $905K	16.3%	$565K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Donald Hand Jr.	67.6%	$210K	$21K to $465K	6.3%	$210K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Boden Kapke	64.6%	$330K	$35K to $560K	10.0%	$330K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Aidan Shaw	63.3%	$410K	$95K to $700K	12.0%	$410K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Chase Forte	57.2%	$360K	$105K to $605K	10.7%	$360K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Jayden Hastings	56.3%	$830K	$440K to $2.20M	22.2%	$830K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Luka Toews	50.5%	$310K	$76K to $510K	9.3%	$310K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Caleb Steger	28.1%	$120K	$22K to $250K	3.6%	$120K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Marko Radunovic	13.8%	$56K	$20K to $115K	1.7%	$56K in all four	$27K	Limited evidence
Jason Asemota	12.3%	$93K	$37K to $150K	2.8%	$93K in all four	$27K	Limited evidence
Kany Tchanda	1.5%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Jack DiDonna	0.1%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Will Eggemeier	0.1%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.55M	$2.60M to $4.95M	100%	$3.55M in all four	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Boston College (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$9,971,317
Men's basketball expenses	$10,805,531
Athletics department expenses	$142,122,049
Athletics department revenue	$142,122,049

Team Totalsβ

Season per 40 minutes, 31 games, 2,091 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Per 40 uses 1260 game minutes, 5 per overtime period. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	66.3	69.6
Field goals made	23.5	24.5
Field goals attempted	57.6	57.5
3-pointers made	7.2	7.1
3-pointers attempted	24.4	22.4
Free throws made	12.2	13.3
Free throws attempted	18.7	19.9
Offensive rebounds	10.5	10.2
Defensive rebounds	25.5	26.7
Total rebounds	36.0	36.9
Assists	11.1	11.9
Blocks	4.2	3.3
Turnovers	10.2	9.9
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 150.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 520.
Minutes (derived)	200.0	not published

31 of 31 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,090	2,090	0	±10.5	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	740	740	0	±3.7	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,815	1,815	0	±9.1	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	226	226	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	769	769	0	±3.8	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	384	384	0	±2.0	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	588	588	0	±2.9	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,135	1,029	+106	±90.8	0
Assists	Reconciled	351	351	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Residual shown	131	128	+3	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	322	310	+12	±9.7	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	150	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	520	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,300	6,281	+18.8	±126.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Fred Payne	84.8%	+0.5range -0.2 to +1.4Sufficient evidence
Donald Hand Jr.	67.6%	-1.3range -2.7 to -0.0Sufficient evidence
Boden Kapke	64.6%	-0.1range -1.2 to +0.8Sufficient evidence
Aidan Shaw	63.3%	+0.4range -0.5 to +1.5Sufficient evidence
Chase Forte	57.2%	+0.5range -0.5 to +1.4Sufficient evidence
Jayden Hastings	56.3%	+3.0range +1.9 to +4.2Sufficient evidence
Luka Toews	50.5%	+0.2range -0.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
Caleb Steger	28.1%	-1.0range -2.9 to +0.7Sufficient evidence
Marko Radunovic	13.8%	-1.3range -2.0 to -0.7Limited evidence
Jason Asemota	12.3%	+0.2range -0.7 to +1.2Limited evidence
Kany Tchanda	1.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Jack DiDonna	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Will Eggemeier	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +9.7range +8.9 to +10.5Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 99.7% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.3%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 5.2%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value