Murray St.

MVC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 109 · Raw net 4.0 · Tempo 72.3 · 33 Division I games · Through 2026-03-18

Record: 20–13; 20 wins
AdjNet: 4.3β; rank 106 of 365
AdjO: 114.7β; rank 61 of 365
AdjD: 110.4β; rank 234 of 365
AdjT: 72.1β
SOS: 0.9β; rank 131 of 363
NCSOS: -3.7β
WAB: -4.3β; rank 93 of 363
RR: 1.5β
Exp. W: 18.5β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	115.061	111.0244	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	53.870	52.4236	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	16.3157	15.8231	16.7
Offensive rebound %	32.6100	31.3216	30.6
FTA / FGA %	38.684	32.2109	35.0
Shooting
3P%	35.0120	36.2309	33.9
2P%	55.057	51.7174	51.7
FT%	75.568	71.8141	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	44.8	27.4	39.5
Assists / FGM %	49.1	44.1	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	9.0	8.1	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	34.4	23.2	31.4
2-pointers %	44.3	58.7	48.8
Free throws %	21.3	18.1	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 9.6
Top Three Share of Minutes: 38%
Bench Share of Minutes: 40%
Players with Logged Minutes: 11

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Omaha	W 85–77	79.1	Neutral	1–0
11-07	Mississippi Val.	W 108–60	77.4	Home	2–0
11-11	SMU	L 91–102	81.3	Away	2–1
11-15	Nicholls	W 99–79	75.7	Home	3–1
11-18	Little Rock	W 89–68	66.3	Home	4–1
11-23	Middle Tenn.	L 87–90	75.7	Neutral	4–2
11-24	McNeese	L 60–73	74.2	Neutral	4–3
11-25	George Washington	W 96–95	72.3	Neutral	5–3
12-02	Morehead St.	W 84–52	67.3	Home	6–3
12-06	Bellarmine	W 81–68	65.4	Home	7–3
12-13	Akron	W 115–100	82.4	Neutral	8–3
12-18	Drake	W 81–72	66.8	Home	9–3
12-21	Valparaiso	W 85–79	71.7	Away	10–3
12-29	Southern Ill.	W 84–81	74.5	Home	11–3
01-01	UIC	W 81–77	73.4	Away	12–3
01-04	Bradley	W 86–66	68.6	Home	13–3
01-07	Evansville	W 79–69	71.4	Away	14–3
01-10	Valparaiso	W 92–79	74.7	Home	15–3
01-17	Indiana St.	W 85–81	72.0	Home	16–3
01-21	Drake	L 90–101	81.9	Away	16–4
01-24	UNI	L 76–81	66.2	Away	16–5
01-28	Illinois St.	L 65–70	68.9	Home	16–6
01-31	Belmont	L 86–103	70.6	Away	16–7
02-03	UIC	W 81–74	75.1	Home	17–7
02-06	Southern Ill.	W 91–81	73.1	Away	18–7
02-09	UNI	L 60–89	65.3	Home	18–8
02-12	Indiana St.	W 74–72	64.9	Away	19–8
02-15	Belmont	L 70–87	73.2	Home	19–9
02-18	Illinois St.	L 61–78	64.9	Away	19–10
02-21	Evansville	W 88–75	72.1	Home	20–10
03-01	Bradley	L 78–87	67.2	Away	20–11
03-06	UIC	L 79–92	78.9	Neutral	20–12
03-18	Nevada	L 75–89	72.2	—	20–13

Roster · 11 players

Player logs in 33 of 33 team games

Team roster, per 40 minutes
Column groups	Minutes			Per 40 Minutes							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Javon Jackson	33	25:40	64.2%	25.6	3.5	4.5	1.8	0.1	3.7	4.2	130–283	45.9%	55–149	36.9%	118–138	85.5%	49.2%	55.1%	31.9%	5	29:51 +4:11	74.6%	15.4 −1.1
Roman Domon	33	24:58	62.4%	22.8	8.3	2.6	1.7	0.2	2.7	2.7	87–157	55.4%	42–114	36.8%	169–220	76.8%	55.4%	63.8%	81.2%	5	34:33 +9:35	86.4%	17.2 +3.0
Fredrick King	32	24:53	60.3%	21.1	13.5	1.3	1.1	3.4	3.1	4.1	158–242	65.3%	6–11	54.5%†	86–140	61.4%	66.0%	66.8%	55.3%	5	25:49 +0:56	64.6%	12.6 −0.5
Layne Taylor	31	24:34	57.7%	13.0	4.4	5.3	1.2	0.1	1.6	2.6	35–64	54.7%	49–142	34.5%	30–38	78.9%	52.7%	55.5%	18.4%	3	20:34 −4:00	30.9%	5.3 −2.6
Mason Miller	32	22:45	55.2%	10.3	6.6	0.8	0.8	0.4	0.8	3.5	9–23	39.1%	47–120	39.2%	29–37	78.4%	55.6%	59.0%	25.9%	5	19:07 −3:38	47.8%	4.4 −1.5
JJ Traynor	32	22:41	55.0%	13.1	6.2	1.3	0.8	1.4	2.1	3.5	72–120	60.0%	22–75	29.3%	27–39	69.2%	53.8%	55.9%	20.0%	4	21:40 −1:02	43.3%	5.3 −2.2
KJ Tenner	33	16:29	41.2%	14.5	3.7	5.0	1.5	0.1	2.1	5.7	47–99	47.5%	20–47	42.6%†	43–58	74.1%	52.7%	57.4%	39.7%	5	26:29 +10:00	66.2%	8.6 +2.6
Mathis Courbon	32	15:32	37.7%	11.9	5.2	3.1	1.0	0.5	2.2	3.1	25–53	47.2%	20–49	40.8%†	38–48	79.2%	53.9%	60.1%	47.1%	4	13:10 −2:22	26.3%	4.0 −0.6
Brayden Shorter	33	14:32	36.3%	15.8	4.9	1.3	0.7	0.3	1.4	2.7	15–19	78.9%	44–155	28.4%	27–30	90.0%	46.6%	50.5%	17.2%	5	15:15 +0:43	38.1%	5.2 −0.5
Dylan Anderson	31	6:56	16.3%	8.4	9.7	2.4	0.6	1.9	3.0	5.9	12–21	57.1%†	5–25	20.0%†	6–10	60.0%†	42.4%†	44.6%†	21.7%†	3	3:42 −3:14	5.6%	1.0 −0.5
Brock Vice	30	5:16	12.0%	14.9	13.9	1.3	1.5	1.8	2.5	6.8	18–25	72.0%†	4–11	36.4%†	11–16	68.8%†	66.7%†	68.5%†	44.4%†	4	6:54 +1:37	13.8%	2.0 0.0
Team, games with logs · per 40 team minutes	33 games			83.1	36.3	13.7	not published	4.1	11.8	not published	608–1106	55.0%	314–898	35.0%	584–774	75.5%	53.8%	58.5%	38.6%
Sum of players				83.1	33.7	13.7	5.9	4.1	11.4	18.4	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0.0	+2.6	0.0	not published	+0.0	+0.4	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $545K; 80% Range $250K to $1.20M
Tier: Mid and high major; low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $535K to $565K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 11

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Javon Jackson	64.5%	$33K	$5K to $96K	7.7%	$33K to $34K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Roman Domon	62.7%	$89K	$35K to $215K	15.2%	$87K to $92K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Fredrick King	59.8%	$105K	$43K to $275K	18.0%	$105K to $110K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Layne Taylor	57.3%	$90K	$36K to $220K	15.4%	$89K to $93K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
JJ Traynor	55.4%	$15K	$3K to $64K	3.5%	$15K to $16K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mason Miller	54.9%	$50K	$18K to $125K	10.3%	$49K to $52K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
KJ Tenner	41.9%	$33K	$8K to $86K	7.0%	$32K to $34K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mathis Courbon	37.8%	$36K	$13K to $89K	7.3%	$36K to $38K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brayden Shorter	37.1%	$28K	$8K to $72K	6.1%	$27K to $29K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dylan Anderson	17.2%	$12K	$4K to $34K	2.7%	$12K to $13K	$5K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brock Vice	11.3%	$16K	$6K to $36K	3.0%	$15K to $16K	$5K	Limited evidence
Team Pool	—	$545K	$250K to $1.20M	100%	$535K to $565K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Murray State University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$4,312,531
Men's basketball expenses	$2,785,564
Athletics department expenses	$18,970,072
Athletics department revenue	$22,048,782

Team Totalsβ

Season per 40 minutes, 33 games, 2,385 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Per 40 uses 1320 game minutes, 5 per overtime period. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	83.1	80.2
Field goals made	27.9	29.8
Field goals attempted	60.7	62.7
3-pointers made	9.5	6.2
3-pointers attempted	27.2	17.2
Free throws made	17.7	14.5
Free throws attempted	23.5	20.2
Offensive rebounds	11.6	11.2
Defensive rebounds	24.7	23.9
Total rebounds	36.3	35.1
Assists	13.7	13.1
Blocks	4.1	2.7
Turnovers	11.8	11.4
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 194.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 608.
Minutes (derived)	200.0	not published

33 of 33 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,742	2,742	0	±13.7	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	922	922	0	±4.6	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	2,004	2,004	0	±10.0	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	314	314	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	898	898	0	±4.5	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	584	584	0	±2.9	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	774	774	0	±3.9	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Reconciled	1,198	1,112	+86	±95.8	0
Assists	Reconciled	453	453	0	±2.3	0
Blocks	Reconciled	135	134	+1	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	389	377	+12	±11.7	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	194	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	608	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,600	6,577	+22.7	±132.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Javon Jackson	64.5%	-0.2range -1.3 to +0.7Sufficient evidence
Roman Domon	62.7%	+2.3range +1.3 to +3.6Sufficient evidence
Fredrick King	59.8%	+3.1range +1.8 to +4.5Sufficient evidence
Layne Taylor	57.3%	+2.7range +1.4 to +4.1Sufficient evidence
JJ Traynor	55.4%	-1.5range -2.7 to -0.5Sufficient evidence
Mason Miller	54.9%	+1.2range +0.2 to +2.1Sufficient evidence
KJ Tenner	41.9%	+0.6range -0.6 to +1.5Sufficient evidence
Mathis Courbon	37.8%	+1.1range +0.2 to +2.0Sufficient evidence
Brayden Shorter	37.1%	+0.4range -0.4 to +1.5Sufficient evidence
Dylan Anderson	17.2%	-0.1range -1.1 to +0.6Sufficient evidence
Brock Vice	11.3%	+1.4range +0.7 to +2.2Limited evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.6range +9.7 to +11.4Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

11 valued players hold 100.0% of on-court time. 0 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.0%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 2.3%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value