Algosys College Basketball

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Middle Tenn.

CUSA · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 205 · Raw net -1.7 · Tempo 66.5 · 29 Division I games · Through 2026-03-12

All seasons
Record
14–15
14 wins
AdjNet
0.4β
rank 171 of 365
AdjO
108.7β
rank 165 of 365
AdjD
108.2β
rank 180 of 365
AdjT
66.8β
SOS
2.2β
rank 101 of 363
NCSOS
11.9β
WAB
-7.6β
rank 169 of 363
RR
0.2β
Exp. W
13.8β

Scouting Report

CategoryOffenseDefenseD-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.107.6193109.3206108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%51.616751.015551.4
TO / 100 poss.17.121415.029016.7
Offensive rebound %30.717128.58330.6
FTA / FGA %32.724535.720435.0
Shooting
3P%33.818433.918033.9
2P%52.315851.013851.7
FT%70.226774.530272.5
Style
3PA / FGA %45.335.339.5
Assists / FGM %53.447.352.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %10.78.39.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %36.528.031.4
2-pointers %45.351.348.8
Free throws %18.220.719.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size
8.7
Top Three Share of Minutes
42%
Bench Share of Minutes
34%
Players with Logged Minutes
11

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

DateOpponentResultPoss.SiteRecord
11-12EvansvilleW 77–7271.2Away1–0
11-19MichiganL 61–8678.5Away1–1
11-23Murray St.W 90–8775.7Neutral2–1
11-24George WashingtonL 79–9271.7Neutral2–2
11-25McNeeseL 62–7256.8Neutral2–3
12-01UABW 76–6166.2Home3–3
12-07BelmontL 62–8370.4Home3–4
12-17Kennesaw St.W 68–6769.3Home4–4
12-29HoustonL 60–6959.5Away4–5
01-02Louisiana TechW 88–5158.4Home5–5
01-04Sam HoustonW 68–6768.2Home6–5
01-08UTEPL 80–83 1OT71.6Away6–6
01-10New Mexico St.W 59–5564.9Away7–6
01-14Louisiana TechL 58–5964.8Away7–7
01-17Missouri St.W 90–87 2OT76.1Home8–7
01-23Jacksonville St.L 58–7560.8Away8–8
01-29LibertyL 65–8161.2Home8–9
01-31Western Ky.L 60–6566.3Home8–10
02-04FIUL 84–88 1OT82.1Home8–11
02-07DelawareL 88–89 1OT68.5Away8–12
02-12Kennesaw St.W 90–8770.1Away9–12
02-14Western Ky.L 80–8270.7Away9–13
02-18Sam HoustonL 70–7869.6Away9–14
02-21DelawareW 78–6662.0Home10–14
02-26UTEPW 77–6768.3Home11–14
02-28New Mexico St.W 86–85 1OT75.2Home12–14
03-05FIUW 73–6768.8Away13–14
03-07Missouri St.W 75–6366.3Away14–14
03-12Louisiana TechL 69–8066.3Neutral14–15

Roster · 11 players

Player logs in 29 of 29 team games

MinutesPer GameShootingLast Five Team Games
PlayerGMPGTeam Min%PtsRebAstStlBlkTOPF2P2P%3P3P%FTFT%eFG%TS%FTA/FGAGMPGMin%Pts/G
Torey Alston2930:1873.8%13.38.01.40.51.12.02.6132–22658.4%2–1711.8%†115–18163.5%55.6%59.7%74.5%533:54 +3:3682.7%12.8 −0.5
Kamari Lands2929:5072.7%13.33.62.10.90.41.42.171–14549.0%56–17831.5%76–9580.0%48.0%52.9%29.4%525:28 −4:2162.1%11.4 −1.9
Jahvin Carter2926:4265.1%10.33.23.50.70.01.61.368–15743.3%40–11933.6%44–5875.9%46.4%49.7%21.0%525:17 −1:2561.7%15.2 +4.9
Chris Loofe2925:2662.0%7.16.20.70.21.11.83.565–10959.6%8–3522.9%†52–8263.4%53.5%57.2%56.9%527:21 +1:5566.7%7.0 −0.1
Alec Oglesby2824:2657.5%8.01.80.80.70.10.71.616–4040.0%56–13541.5%25–3669.4%57.1%58.9%20.6%421:52 −2:3442.7%6.3 −1.8
Sean Smith2922:5655.9%9.22.23.41.30.41.61.878–15849.4%26–7236.1%33–4475.0%50.9%53.5%19.1%521:51 −1:0553.3%6.4 −2.8
Tre Green2818:1242.8%6.82.10.50.60.00.61.310–2540.0%48–13635.3%26–2989.7%50.9%54.7%18.0%525:11 +6:5961.4%13.2 +6.4
Luka Jovanovic2813:5232.6%2.12.90.40.30.50.41.326–3868.4%†0–0—7–1353.8%†68.4%†67.5%†34.2%†511:02 −2:5126.9%0.8 −1.3
Marcus Whitlock1811:0716.8%4.01.20.60.60.30.31.16–966.7%†18–4341.9%†6–875.0%†63.5%†64.8%†15.4%†510:40 −0:2726.0%2.8 −1.2
James Dent Jr.189:5214.9%1.21.30.70.30.10.31.46–1060.0%†2–219.5%†4–757.1%†29.0%†32.3%†22.6%†37:27 −2:2610.9%0.0 −1.2
Jarred Hall96:294.9%2.10.90.30.20.20.72.25–771.4%†3–1030.0%†0–0—55.9%†55.9%†0.0%†19:28 +2:594.6%7.0 +4.9
Team, games with logs · per game29 games73.535.513.74.011.7483–92452.3%259–76633.8%388–55370.2%51.6%55.1%32.7%
Sum of players73.531.613.75.84.010.717.4Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players0.0+4.0−0.00.0+1.0

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool
$300K
80% Range $110K to $770K
Tier
Low and other
low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4
$280K to $310K
Scenario medians
Players with Figures
11
1 floor only
Players in possession-share order
PlayerPoss. ShareSpeculative Best Guess80% RangeRange GraphicMedian % of Team PoolScenarios Z1 to Z4Floor PartEvidence and Flags
Torey Alston74.2%$48K$12K to $150K16.2%$45K to $50K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kamari Lands73.0%$18K$2K to $68K8.5%$17K to $19K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jahvin Carter64.7%$37K$11K to $110K13.1%$35K to $39K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Chris Loofe62.4%$21K$3K to $69K9.3%$19K to $21K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Alec Oglesby57.4%$34K$9K to $105K12.0%$32K to $36K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Sean Smith56.1%$56K$18K to $180K16.7%$52K to $58K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tre Green43.4%$11K$2K to $42K5.1%$10K to $11K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Luka Jovanovic32.0%$21K$6K to $63K7.1%$20K to $22K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Marcus Whitlock16.8%$15K$5K to $42K4.5%$13K to $15K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
James Dent Jr.14.9%$7K$2K to $23K2.9%$7K to $8K$3KLimited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jarred Hall5.2%$3K$1K to $7K0.9%$2K to $3K$3KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool—$300K$110K to $770K100%$280K to $310K—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Middle Tennessee State University (NCAA Division I-FBS)
MeasureSchool-Reported AmountNote
Men's basketball revenue$3,283,470Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses$3,283,470
Athletics department expenses$40,006,612
Athletics department revenue$40,006,612

Team Totalsβ

Season per game, 29 games, 1,980 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

StatisticTeamOpponents
Points73.574.6
Field goals made25.626.1
Field goals attempted58.358.1
3-pointers made8.97.0
3-pointers attempted26.420.5
Free throws made13.415.4
Free throws attempted19.120.7
Offensive rebounds10.89.9
Defensive rebounds24.824.3
Total rebounds35.534.2
Assists13.712.3
Blocks4.02.7
Turnovers11.710.2
StealsNo team figure. Players sum to 167.
Personal foulsNo team figure. Players sum to 505.
Minutes (derived)205.2

29 of 29 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

StatisticStatusTeam Total, Logged GamesSum of PlayersResidualToleranceTeam Total, Games Without Logs
PointsReconciled2,1312,1310±10.70
Field goals madeReconciled7427420±3.70
Field goals attemptedReconciled1,6901,6900±8.40
3-pointers madeReconciled2592590±2.00
3-pointers attemptedReconciled7667660±3.80
Free throws madeReconciled3883880±2.00
Free throws attemptedReconciled5535530±2.80
Offensive reboundsNo player split
Defensive reboundsNo player split
Total reboundsResidual shown1,030915+115±82.40
AssistsReconciled396397−1±2.00
BlocksReconciled1161160±2.00
TurnoversResidual shown339309+30±10.20
StealsNo team figure167
Personal foulsNo team figure505
Minutes (derived)Reconciled5,9505,939+11.3±119.00

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
PlayerPoss. ShareNet and RangeβRange Graphic
Torey Alston74.2%+1.2range -0.3 to +2.6Sufficient evidence
Kamari Lands73.0%-0.7range -1.9 to +0.3Sufficient evidence
Jahvin Carter64.7%+0.9range -0.0 to +1.8Sufficient evidence
Chris Loofe62.4%-0.0range -1.2 to +0.8Sufficient evidence
Alec Oglesby57.4%+1.1range -0.1 to +2.2Sufficient evidence
Sean Smith56.1%+2.4range +1.1 to +3.6Sufficient evidence
Tre Green43.4%-0.8range -2.0 to +0.1Sufficient evidence
Luka Jovanovic32.0%+1.0range +0.1 to +2.2Sufficient evidence
Marcus Whitlock16.8%+1.4range +0.9 to +2.2Sufficient evidence
James Dent Jr.14.9%-0.0range -1.1 to +1.0Limited evidence
Jarred Hall5.2%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions
+10.0range +9.2 to +10.8Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 99.0% of on-court time. 1 without a value (under 300 possessions) holds 1.0%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 3.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value