Memphis

AAC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 220 · Raw net -2.5 · Tempo 71.5 · 31 Division I games · Through 2026-03-11

Record: 12–19; 12 wins
AdjNet: 1.6β; rank 149 of 365
AdjO: 107.1β; rank 200 of 365
AdjD: 105.4β; rank 99 of 365
AdjT: 70.7β
SOS: 4.4β; rank 82 of 363
NCSOS: 7.5β
WAB: -9.1β; rank 210 of 363
RR: -1.5β
Exp. W: 13.5β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	105.1247	107.6150	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	48.6300	49.171	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	18.6304	18.387	16.7
Offensive rebound %	35.244	35.9352	30.6
FTA / FGA %	34.8186	43.2341	35.0
Shooting
3P%	31.7297	31.135	33.9
2P%	49.2276	51.0136	51.7
FT%	73.2166	73.3236	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	33.6	43.6	39.5
Assists / FGM %	49.3	55.1	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	12.9	10.3	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	26.0	31.3	31.4
2-pointers %	53.2	44.3	48.8
Free throws %	20.8	24.4	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 10.8
Top Three Share of Minutes: 36%
Bench Share of Minutes: 46%
Players with Logged Minutes: 15

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-08	San Francisco	W 76–70	74.1	Home	1–0
11-11	Ole Miss	L 77–83	67.6	Away	1–1
11-16	UNLV	L 78–92	79.8	Home	1–2
11-20	Purdue	L 71–80	67.5	Neutral	1–3
11-21	Wake Forest	L 68–69	67.3	Neutral	1–4
11-26	Southern Ill.	W 74–58	70.1	Home	2–4
12-03	LSU New Orleans	W 86–70	70.3	Home	3–4
12-06	Baylor	W 78–71	70.9	Home	4–4
12-13	Louisville	L 73–99	71.7	Away	4–5
12-17	Vanderbilt	L 70–77 1OT	85.7	Home	4–6
12-20	Mississippi St.	L 66–71	70.2	Away	4–7
12-22	Alabama St.	W 88–67	73.0	Home	5–7
01-03	Rice	W 76–70	65.3	Away	6–7
01-11	Fla. Atlantic	L 78–89	78.1	Away	6–8
01-14	Temple	W 55–53	64.6	Home	7–8
01-18	UTSA	W 95–69	72.4	Home	8–8
01-21	Tulsa	L 66–83	65.9	Away	8–9
01-24	Wichita St.	L 59–74	72.0	Away	8–10
01-29	Fla. Atlantic	W 92–65	77.8	Home	9–10
02-01	Tulane	L 76–78	69.2	Home	9–11
02-05	UAB	W 90–80	79.8	Away	10–11
02-08	Charlotte	W 77–54	69.4	Home	11–11
02-12	North Texas	L 69–76	68.8	Away	11–12
02-14	Utah St.	L 75–99	71.6	Away	11–13
02-19	South Fla.	L 66–87	70.1	Away	11–14
02-22	UAB	L 67–78	71.8	Home	11–15
02-26	Wichita St.	L 82–88	71.9	Home	11–16
03-01	East Carolina	L 68–84	73.5	Away	11–17
03-05	South Fla.	L 89–96	77.5	Home	11–18
03-08	Tulane	W 96–95 1OT	77.3	Away	12–18
03-11	Tulane	L 69–81	70.5	Neutral	12–19

Roster · 15 players

Player logs in 31 of 31 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Dug McDaniel	31	34:21	85.2%	437	114	141	60	2	80	51	117–256	45.7%	47–141	33.3%	62–73	84.9%	47.2%	50.9%	18.4%	5	38:49 +4:28	94.7%	20.0 +5.9
Curtis Givens III	24	25:48	49.6%	231	50	54	18	4	37	32	45–89	50.6%	34–93	36.6%	39–56	69.6%	52.7%	55.9%	30.8%	5	27:12 +1:24	66.4%	7.8 −1.8
Sincere Parker	30	19:37	47.1%	343	111	34	21	11	26	67	92–211	43.6%	28–84	33.3%	75–92	81.5%	45.4%	51.1%	31.2%	5	19:47 +0:10	48.2%	8.6 −2.8
Zach Davis	28	20:49	46.6%	197	116	32	29	9	51	60	53–105	50.5%	18–67	26.9%	37–49	75.5%	46.5%	50.9%	28.5%	5	28:03 +7:14	68.4%	9.2 +2.2
Aaron Bradshaw	28	18:58	42.5%	245	120	15	15	16	40	86	79–138	57.2%	9–27	33.3%†	60–77	77.9%	56.1%	61.6%	46.7%	4	21:36 +2:38	42.1%	5.8 −3.0
Julius Thedford	26	20:25	42.5%	220	132	19	28	7	23	63	60–111	54.1%	15–43	34.9%†	55–81	67.9%	53.6%	58.0%	52.6%	5	18:37 −1:47	45.4%	8.0 −0.5
Quante Berry	29	18:08	42.1%	184	73	37	31	10	28	68	36–73	49.3%	25–84	29.8%	37–51	72.5%	46.8%	51.3%	32.5%	5	24:42 +6:33	60.2%	12.2 +5.9
Ashton Hardaway	24	19:34	37.6%	136	60	36	17	17	29	37	28–60	46.7%	22–64	34.4%	14–19	73.7%†	49.2%	51.4%	15.3%	—	—	—	—
Thierno Sylla	23	13:54	25.6%	88	58	7	4	19	16	51	32–58	55.2%†	0–5	0.0%†	24–40	60.0%	50.8%†	54.6%†	63.5%†	5	18:36 +4:42	45.4%	8.2 +4.4
Simon Majok	24	12:43	24.4%	72	61	4	10	14	16	39	19–38	50.0%†	2–7	28.6%†	28–39	71.8%	48.9%†	57.9%†	86.7%†	2	11:42 −1:01	11.4%	1.0 −2.0
Hasan Abdul Hakim	12	22:07	21.2%	76	49	21	14	6	28	18	25–51	49.0%†	3–19	15.8%†	17–26	65.4%	42.1%†	46.7%†	37.1%†	—	—	—	—
Tariq Ingraham	24	9:17	17.8%	80	41	5	7	5	11	34	26–49	53.1%†	0–2	0.0%†	28–42	66.7%	51.0%†	57.6%†	82.4%†	2	11:06 +1:48	10.8%	3.5 +0.2
William Whorton	18	8:57	12.9%	32	28	3	3	12	8	21	11–26	42.3%†	0–1	0.0%†	10–18	55.6%†	40.7%†	45.8%†	66.7%†	2	5:22 −3:35	5.2%	1.0 −0.8
Arop AropFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	9	2:18	1.7%	6	6	0	0	1	1	4	2–5	40.0%†	0–1	0.0%†	2–4	50.0%†	33.3%†	38.7%†	66.7%†	1	0:36 −1:42	0.3%	0.0 −0.7
Mason MatthewsFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	7	2:56	1.6%	3	1	1	0	0	0	4	0–1	0.0%†	1–6	16.7%†	0–0	—	21.4%†	21.4%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	31 games			2350	1141	409	not published	135	415	not published	625–1271	49.2%	204–644	31.7%	488–667	73.2%	48.6%	53.2%	34.8%
Sum of players				2350	1020	409	257	133	394	635	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+121	0	not published	+2	+21	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $1.00M; 80% Range $455K to $2.20M
Tier: Mid and high major; low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $1.00M to $1.05M; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 15; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Dug McDaniel	86.0%	$170K	$55K to $425K	17.3%	$170K to $175K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Curtis Givens III	51.3%	$42K	$5K to $145K	5.5%	$41K to $43K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Sincere Parker	46.9%	$120K	$49K to $300K	11.2%	$115K to $120K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Zach Davis	45.9%	$38K	$5K to $125K	5.3%	$38K to $40K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Aaron Bradshaw	44.3%	$100K	$33K to $285K	9.8%	$99K to $105K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Julius Thedford	43.5%	$115K	$44K to $295K	10.5%	$110K to $115K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Quante Berry	42.3%	$43K	$7K to $130K	5.8%	$43K to $45K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ashton Hardaway	38.5%	$73K	$24K to $180K	7.7%	$72K to $75K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Thierno Sylla	27.1%	$62K	$22K to $165K	6.2%	$61K to $64K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Simon Majok	23.1%	$54K	$19K to $140K	5.3%	$53K to $56K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Hasan Abdul Hakim	19.7%	$24K	$6K to $67K	3.0%	$24K to $25K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tariq Ingraham	17.5%	$46K	$18K to $115K	4.3%	$45K to $47K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
William Whorton	11.6%	$14K	$4K to $41K	1.7%	$14K to $15K	$6K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mason Matthews	1.3%	$6K	$3K to $15K	0.7%	$6K to $7K	$6K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Arop Arop	1.1%	$6K	$3K to $15K	0.7%	$6K to $7K	$6K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$1.00M	$455K to $2.20M	100%	$1.00M to $1.05M	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Memphis (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$9,300,094	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$9,300,094
Athletics department expenses	$65,857,423
Athletics department revenue	$65,857,423

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 31 games, 2,236 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,350	2,406
Field goals made	829	784
Field goals attempted	1,915	1,853
3-pointers made	204	251
3-pointers attempted	644	807
Free throws made	488	587
Free throws attempted	667	801
Offensive rebounds	406	412
Defensive rebounds	735	748
Total rebounds	1,141	1,160
Assists	409	432
Blocks	135	131
Turnovers	415	409
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 257.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 635.
Minutes (derived)	6,250	not published

31 of 31 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,350	2,350	0	±11.8	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	829	829	0	±4.1	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,915	1,915	0	±9.6	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	204	204	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	644	644	0	±3.2	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	488	488	0	±2.4	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	667	667	0	±3.3	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,141	1,020	+121	±91.3	0
Assists	Reconciled	409	409	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	135	133	+2	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	415	394	+21	±12.4	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	257	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	635	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,250	6,228	+21.7	±125.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Dug McDaniel	86.0%	+1.0range -0.0 to +2.2Sufficient evidence
Curtis Givens III	51.3%	-1.0range -2.2 to +0.2Sufficient evidence
Sincere Parker	46.9%	+1.6range +0.6 to +2.5Sufficient evidence
Zach Davis	45.9%	-0.9range -1.8 to +0.2Sufficient evidence
Aaron Bradshaw	44.3%	+1.5range -0.0 to +2.7Sufficient evidence
Julius Thedford	43.5%	+1.6range +0.6 to +2.8Sufficient evidence
Quante Berry	42.3%	-0.4range -1.5 to +0.7Sufficient evidence
Ashton Hardaway	38.5%	+0.7range -0.4 to +1.9Sufficient evidence
Thierno Sylla	27.1%	+1.2range -0.0 to +2.4Sufficient evidence
Simon Majok	23.1%	+1.2range -0.0 to +2.4Sufficient evidence
Hasan Abdul Hakim	19.7%	-0.4range -1.3 to +0.4Sufficient evidence
Tariq Ingraham	17.5%	+1.3range +0.5 to +2.3Sufficient evidence
William Whorton	11.6%	-0.9range -1.6 to -0.2Limited evidence
Mason Matthews	1.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Arop Arop	1.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.0range +9.1 to +10.8Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

13 valued players hold 99.5% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.5%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 2.3%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value