Julius Thedford
Memphis · 2025–26 · 26 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
530:42 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 26
- Minutes per game
- 20:25
- Points per game
- 8.5
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 5.1 / 0.7
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 8.5 | 5.1 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.4 |
| Per 40 minutes | 16.6 | 9.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 4.7 |
| Season totals | 220 | 132 | 19 | 28 | 7 | 23 | 63 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 75–154 | 48.7% | 5.9 | 11.6 |
| 2P | 60–111 | 54.1% | 4.3 | 8.4 |
| 3P | 15–43 | 34.9%† | 1.7 | 3.2 |
| FT | 55–81 | 67.9% | 3.1 | 6.1 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.6% | 58.0% | 27.9% | 52.6% | 0.83 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Memphis · Mid and high major · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $115K
- 80% range $44K to $295K
- Median share of team pool
- 10.5%
- team pool $1.00M, 80% range $455K to $2.20M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $110K to $115K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $6K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 43.5%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Memphis: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Memphis | $115Kspeculative | $44K to $295K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +1.6 | +0.6 to +2.8 | Sufficient evidence | +1.0 | +0.6 | +3.1range +2.7 to +3.5 | 1,883 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | WKU | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +0.8 | -0.1 to +1.8 | Sufficient evidence | +0.9 | -0.0 | +1.6range +1.4 to +1.9 | 1,207 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 18:37 | 20:25 | 10:44–30:15 | |
| Points | 8.0 | 8.5 | 0.0–16.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 48.0% | 52.4% | 0.0%–108.3% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Tulane | L 69–81 | 14:54 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 100.0% |
| 2026-03-08 | Tulane | W 96–95 | 12:22 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-05 | South Fla. | L 89–96 | 25:52 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 40.0% |
| 2026-03-01 | East Carolina | L 68–84 | 25:22 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-26 | Wichita St. | L 82–88 | 14:37 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-22 | UAB | L 67–78 | 30:15 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 55.6% |
| 2026-02-19 | South Fla. | L 66–87 | 28:22 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 55.6% |
| 2026-02-14 | Utah St. | L 75–99 | 24:11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 27.3% |
| 2026-02-12 | North Texas | L 69–76 | 29:21 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 71.4% |
| 2026-02-08 | Charlotte | W 77–54 | 24:43 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 57.1% |
| 2026-02-05 | UAB | W 90–80 | 19:23 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 66.7% |
| 2026-02-01 | Tulane | L 76–78 | 28:28 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 37.5% |
| 2026-01-29 | Fla. Atlantic | W 92–65 | 19:29 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-24 | Wichita St. | L 59–74 | 23:38 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 37.5% |
| 2026-01-21 | Tulsa | L 66–83 | 16:12 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 64.3% |
| 2026-01-11 | Fla. Atlantic | L 78–89 | 13:05 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 57.1% |
| 2026-01-03 | Rice | W 76–70 | 17:22 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-22 | Alabama St. | W 88–67 | 23:00 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 40.0% |
| 2025-12-20 | Mississippi St. | L 66–71 | 21:59 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-03 | LSU New Orleans | W 86–70 | 10:44 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 108.3% |
| 2025-11-26 | Southern Ill. | W 74–58 | 23:54 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 75.0% |
| 2025-11-21 | Wake Forest | L 68–69 | 15:22 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 70.0% |
| 2025-11-20 | Purdue | L 71–80 | 16:39 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-16 | UNLV | L 78–92 | 23:07 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 62.5% |
| 2025-11-11 | Ole Miss | L 77–83 | 11:19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-08 | San Francisco | W 76–70 | 17:02 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 35.7% |