Bradley

MVC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 111 · Raw net 3.9 · Tempo 67.6 · 33 Division I games · Through 2026-03-18

Record: 20–13; 20 wins
AdjNet: 3.7β; rank 115 of 365
AdjO: 110.8β; rank 118 of 365
AdjD: 107.0β; rank 146 of 365
AdjT: 68.1β
SOS: 0.5β; rank 142 of 363
NCSOS: -4.9β
WAB: -5.2β; rank 110 of 363
RR: 1.2β
Exp. W: 18.8β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	110.2132	106.2110	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	51.1189	52.8259	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	13.920	19.053	16.7
Offensive rebound %	27.4285	27.862	30.6
FTA / FGA %	35.9157	38.2266	35.0
Shooting
3P%	36.154	36.6333	33.9
2P%	49.1282	51.4158	51.7
FT%	74.0135	70.882	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	40.5	39.9	39.5
Assists / FGM %	50.8	54.0	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	9.5	8.8	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	34.0	33.1	31.4
2-pointers %	45.4	46.5	48.8
Free throws %	20.6	20.4	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.6
Top Three Share of Minutes: 43%
Bench Share of Minutes: 34%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	St. Bonaventure	L 63–69	66.1	Neutral	0–1
11-08	Central Mich.	W 85–54	68.5	Home	1–1
11-12	UT Martin	L 67–78	73.3	Home	1–2
11-15	San Francisco	L 64–75	67.9	Away	1–3
11-19	UMass Lowell	W 87–77	67.3	Home	2–3
11-24	Princeton	W 88–64	69.7	Neutral	3–3
11-25	UC San Diego	L 77–87	69.9	Neutral	3–4
11-26	Liberty	W 74–64	64.3	Neutral	4–4
12-02	Washington St.	W 64–60	68.6	Home	5–4
12-06	NIU	W 84–55	72.7	Home	6–4
12-18	Indiana St.	W 108–99 3OT	94.6	Away	7–4
12-21	Southern Ill.	W 73–69	71.5	Home	8–4
12-29	Evansville	W 76–68	68.8	Home	9–4
01-01	Belmont	L 78–88	69.7	Away	9–5
01-04	Murray St.	L 66–86	68.6	Away	9–6
01-07	Drake	W 93–66	74.3	Home	10–6
01-10	UNI	W 75–69	66.9	Home	11–6
01-13	Evansville	W 94–90 1OT	76.0	Away	12–6
01-17	Illinois St.	L 62–88	66.5	Away	12–7
01-21	Indiana St.	W 75–68	71.2	Home	13–7
01-24	UIC	L 70–85	65.5	Home	13–8
01-31	Drake	W 87–73	65.0	Away	14–8
02-03	Valparaiso	W 72–65	65.2	Home	15–8
02-06	UNI	L 49–61	59.6	Away	15–9
02-09	Belmont	W 95–84 1OT	77.4	Home	16–9
02-15	Southern Ill.	W 70–60	69.2	Away	17–9
02-18	Valparaiso	L 72–79	66.4	Away	17–10
02-21	Illinois St.	W 74–60	64.2	Home	18–10
02-24	UIC	L 86–93 2OT	78.3	Away	18–11
03-01	Murray St.	W 87–78	67.2	Home	19–11
03-06	Valparaiso	W 90–84 2OT	87.7	Neutral	20–11
03-07	UNI	L 69–73	63.3	Neutral	20–12
03-18	Dayton	L 66–80	59.8	—	20–13

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 33 of 33 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Alex Huibregtse	33	31:30	76.2%	423	103	56	26	6	32	53	42–95	44.2%	102–230	44.3%	33–40	82.5%	60.0%	61.7%	12.3%	5	34:05 +2:35	77.4%	15.6 +2.8
Jaquan Johnson	33	30:22	73.4%	554	131	119	79	1	47	79	115–264	43.6%	52–136	38.2%	168–213	78.9%	48.3%	56.1%	53.3%	5	32:10 +1:48	73.1%	15.2 −1.6
AJ Smith	33	25:51	62.5%	281	177	43	43	15	32	82	57–121	47.1%	34–92	37.0%	65–86	75.6%	50.7%	56.0%	40.4%	5	35:29 +9:38	80.6%	11.6 +3.1
Ahmet Jonovic	33	25:02	60.5%	266	179	46	18	45	51	90	92–173	53.2%	1–5	20.0%†	79–106	74.5%	52.5%	59.2%	59.6%	5	28:44 +3:42	65.3%	10.4 +2.3
Timoty van der Knaap	33	23:00	55.6%	216	160	14	20	7	26	76	65–121	53.7%	15–65	23.1%	41–64	64.1%	47.0%	50.4%	34.4%	5	22:18 −0:42	50.7%	6.0 −0.5
Montana Wheeler	33	22:11	53.6%	276	38	93	17	0	33	63	64–131	48.9%	32–98	32.7%	52–70	74.3%	48.9%	53.1%	30.6%	5	21:39 −0:32	49.2%	8.0 −0.4
Corey Thomas	33	18:17	44.2%	177	113	27	19	21	23	76	45–71	63.4%	20–59	33.9%	27–36	75.0%	57.7%	60.7%	27.7%	5	22:56 +4:40	52.1%	6.6 +1.2
Demarion Burch	25	22:56	42.0%	224	53	23	14	5	23	51	59–128	46.1%	25–77	32.5%	31–53	58.5%	47.1%	49.1%	25.9%	2	14:10 −8:46	12.9%	3.0 −6.0
Kai Yu	28	8:18	17.0%	74	56	10	5	2	11	34	22–40	55.0%†	5–18	27.8%†	15–21	71.4%†	50.9%†	55.0%†	36.2%†	5	8:58 +0:40	20.4%	3.0 +0.4
Dietrich Richardson	17	6:42	8.3%	37	12	8	5	2	19	10	13–27	48.1%†	1–11	9.1%†	8–12	66.7%†	38.2%†	42.7%†	31.6%†	4	7:30 +0:47	13.6%	2.0 −0.2
Matthew ZobristUnder 100 minutes	12	4:23	3.8%	12	2	0	0	1	0	7	2–3	66.7%†	1–6	16.7%†	5–7	71.4%†	38.9%†	49.7%†	77.8%†	1	7:17 +2:54	3.3%	2.0 +1.0
Handy Toussaint IIIFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	1:42	0.5%	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Gus RugaardFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	6	1:08	0.5%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0–0	—	0–1	0.0%†	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	1	0:11 −0:57	0.1%	0.0 0.0
Team, games with logs · season totals	33 games			2540	1126	439	not published	105	321	not published	576–1174	49.1%	288–798	36.1%	524–708	74.0%	51.1%	55.6%	35.9%
Sum of players				2540	1027	439	246	105	297	622	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+99	0	not published	0	+24	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $590K; 80% Range $255K to $1.30M
Tier: Mid and high major; low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $565K to $675K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 3 floor only

The widest scenario range, $295K to $1.50M, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Alex Huibregtse	76.5%	$86K	$24K to $215K	15.3%	$82K to $98K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaquan Johnson	73.9%	$140K	$53K to $350K	21.7%	$130K to $155K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
AJ Smith	63.2%	$81K	$30K to $205K	13.8%	$77K to $92K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ahmet Jonovic	61.7%	$75K	$25K to $195K	13.1%	$72K to $86K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Timoty van der Knaap	56.0%	$19K	$3K to $77K	4.2%	$19K to $22K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Montana Wheeler	53.4%	$39K	$7K to $110K	8.2%	$38K to $45K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Corey Thomas	44.7%	$55K	$19K to $135K	9.5%	$53K to $63K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Demarion Burch	41.5%	$15K	$3K to $56K	3.2%	$14K to $17K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kai Yu	17.3%	$13K	$4K to $35K	2.6%	$12K to $15K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dietrich Richardson	8.2%	$6K	$2K to $15K	1.0%	$6K to $7K	$4K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Matthew Zobrist	2.9%	$4K	$2K to $11K	0.8%	$4K to $5K	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Gus Rugaard	0.4%	$4K	$2K to $11K	0.8%	$4K to $5K	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Handy Toussaint III	0.3%	$4K	$2K to $11K	0.8%	$4K to $5K	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$590K	$255K to $1.30M	100%	$565K to $675K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Bradley University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$3,870,120	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$3,870,120
Athletics department expenses	$20,541,032
Athletics department revenue	$20,541,032

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 33 games, 2,306 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,540	2,449
Field goals made	864	840
Field goals attempted	1,972	1,846
3-pointers made	288	270
3-pointers attempted	798	737
Free throws made	524	499
Free throws attempted	708	705
Offensive rebounds	328	308
Defensive rebounds	798	870
Total rebounds	1,126	1,178
Assists	439	454
Blocks	105	103
Turnovers	321	437
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 246.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 622.
Minutes (derived)	6,825	not published

33 of 33 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,540	2,540	0	±12.7	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	864	864	0	±4.3	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,972	1,972	0	±9.9	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	288	288	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	798	798	0	±4.0	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	524	524	0	±2.6	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	708	708	0	±3.5	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,126	1,027	+99	±90.1	0
Assists	Reconciled	439	439	0	±2.2	0
Blocks	Reconciled	105	105	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	321	297	+24	±9.6	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	246	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	622	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,825	6,800	+24.8	±136.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Alex Huibregtse	76.5%	+1.6range -0.3 to +3.4Sufficient evidence
Jaquan Johnson	73.9%	+3.2range +2.1 to +4.3Sufficient evidence
AJ Smith	63.2%	+1.9range +0.7 to +3.3Sufficient evidence
Ahmet Jonovic	61.7%	+1.7range +0.4 to +3.3Sufficient evidence
Timoty van der Knaap	56.0%	-1.1range -3.1 to +0.2Sufficient evidence
Montana Wheeler	53.4%	+0.4range -1.0 to +1.6Sufficient evidence
Corey Thomas	44.7%	+1.8range +0.6 to +2.9Sufficient evidence
Demarion Burch	41.5%	-1.3range -2.5 to -0.0Sufficient evidence
Kai Yu	17.3%	-0.2range -1.1 to +0.8Sufficient evidence
Dietrich Richardson	8.2%	-3.1range -4.2 to -2.0Limited evidence
Matthew Zobrist	2.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Gus Rugaard	0.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Handy Toussaint III	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.5range +9.7 to +11.2Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 99.3% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.7%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 1.6%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value