Rider

MAAC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 357 · Raw net -21.5 · Tempo 65.7 · 28 Division I games · Through 2026-03-01

Record: 3–25; 3 wins
AdjNet: -19.5β; rank 355 of 365
AdjO: 97.5β; rank 351 of 365
AdjD: 117.0β; rank 347 of 365
AdjT: 66.8β
SOS: -1.8β; rank 218 of 363
NCSOS: 6.4β
WAB: -18.5β; rank 352 of 363
RR: -2.2β
Exp. W: 5.2β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	95.4355	116.9342	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	42.8365	55.2336	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	16.9195	15.3269	16.7
Offensive rebound %	32.6101	32.8295	30.6
FTA / FGA %	30.1307	32.5116	35.0
Shooting
3P%	27.7365	37.9355	33.9
2P%	43.3362	54.0276	51.7
FT%	70.1270	71.4120	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	27.5	39.9	39.5
Assists / FGM %	44.3	54.4	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	9.3	8.4	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	21.4	34.0	31.4
2-pointers %	58.8	48.6	48.8
Free throws %	19.8	17.4	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 9.2
Top Three Share of Minutes: 47%
Bench Share of Minutes: 33%
Players with Logged Minutes: 14

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Virginia	L 53–87	64.0	Away	0–1
11-05	Rutgers	L 53–81	66.6	Away	0–2
11-18	Texas	L 65–99	74.8	Away	0–3
11-20	Houston	L 45–91	67.3	Away	0–4
11-25	Coppin St.	L 65–68	70.9	Home	0–5
12-04	Merrimack	L 66–68	62.9	Away	0–6
12-07	Quinnipiac	L 58–72	68.5	Away	0–7
12-09	Bucknell	L 38–51	61.0	Home	0–8
12-16	Delaware	L 57–65	62.4	Away	0–9
12-22	VCU	L 79–100	72.2	Away	0–10
12-29	Manhattan	L 71–74	65.5	Home	0–11
01-04	Siena	L 65–74	59.8	Home	0–12
01-09	Fairfield	L 62–68	62.5	Away	0–13
01-11	Marist	L 49–71	66.4	Home	0–14
01-14	Iona	W 72–68	60.5	Home	1–14
01-17	Saint Peter's	L 58–69	62.1	Away	1–15
01-19	Sacred Heart	L 85–105	77.2	Home	1–16
01-24	Mount St. Mary's	L 61–71	61.0	Away	1–17
01-30	Manhattan	L 90–95	67.3	Away	1–18
02-01	Saint Peter's	W 81–78	65.3	Home	2–18
02-05	Marist	L 52–81	59.0	Away	2–19
02-07	Merrimack	L 47–73	57.5	Home	2–20
02-13	Mount St. Mary's	L 55–65	64.9	Home	2–21
02-15	Sacred Heart	L 75–86	69.1	Away	2–22
02-20	Canisius	L 66–72	67.5	Home	2–23
02-22	Niagara	W 67–62	64.9	Home	3–23
02-27	Iona	L 58–80	71.7	Away	3–24
03-01	Siena	L 61–76	66.6	Away	3–25

Roster · 14 players

Player logs in 28 of 28 team games

Team roster, per 40 minutes
Column groups	Minutes			Per 40 Minutes							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Flash Burton	28	32:27	81.1%	18.4	3.9	3.5	1.5	0.2	2.7	2.2	100–234	42.7%	44–143	30.8%	85–109	78.0%	44.0%	49.1%	28.9%	5	35:00 +2:33	87.5%	19.2 +4.3
Zion Cruz	26	32:50	76.2%	16.7	3.6	2.4	1.1	0.2	1.8	2.1	100–240	41.7%	40–135	29.6%	36–50	72.0%	42.7%	44.8%	13.3%	5	32:40 −0:10	81.7%	17.4 +3.7
Caleb Smith	28	30:00	75.0%	9.4	9.4	1.9	1.5	0.2	1.6	3.2	58–142	40.8%	6–26	23.1%†	64–94	68.1%	39.9%	47.3%	56.0%	5	33:34 +3:35	83.9%	7.2 +0.1
Shemani Fuller	28	21:46	54.4%	12.2	10.8	1.6	0.6	1.8	2.0	4.4	72–147	49.0%	0–2	0.0%†	42–64	65.6%	48.3%	52.5%	43.0%	5	20:54 −0:52	52.3%	7.6 +1.0
Davis Bynum	27	19:13	46.3%	12.6	7.6	1.0	1.1	1.2	1.9	3.2	64–149	43.0%	2–9	22.2%†	30–42	71.4%	42.4%	46.5%	26.6%	5	24:07 +4:54	60.3%	5.6 −0.5
AB Coulibaly	28	11:58	29.9%	10.4	5.5	1.4	1.4	0.5	1.6	1.9	21–54	38.9%†	11–36	30.6%†	12–20	60.0%†	41.7%†	44.0%†	22.2%†	5	15:42 +3:45	39.3%	0.8 −2.3
Cole McCabe	27	12:14	29.5%	7.5	5.9	0.8	1.0	1.3	1.3	5.4	17–43	39.5%†	4–23	17.4%†	16–20	80.0%†	34.8%†	41.4%†	30.3%†	5	8:38 −3:36	21.6%	1.6 −0.7
Antwan Wilson	25	11:58	26.7%	10.3	5.1	2.1	0.9	0.9	2.1	4.4	19–52	36.5%†	8–35	22.9%†	15–20	75.0%†	35.6%†	40.2%†	23.0%†	5	7:16 −4:42	18.2%	2.2 −0.9
Jamir McNeil	28	9:05	22.7%	5.8	2.5	2.5	2.2	0.2	2.4	3.6	11–31	35.5%†	2–4	50.0%†	9–16	56.3%†	40.0%†	44.0%†	45.7%†	5	8:58 −0:07	22.4%	0.8 −0.5
Daniel Helterhoff	23	9:10	18.8%	15.7	7.2	1.3	0.0	0.2	3.0	4.4	28–45	62.2%†	0–4	0.0%†	27–35	77.1%	57.1%†	64.4%†	71.4%†	5	8:30 −0:40	21.2%	2.6 −1.0
Kristupas Kepezinskas	17	9:27	14.3%	6.7	2.0	1.5	0.7	0.2	3.2	3.7	4–10	40.0%†	4–19	21.1%†	7–13	53.8%†	34.5%†	38.9%†	44.8%†	1	2:39 −6:48	1.3%	0.0 −1.6
Mohamad Diallo	18	8:43	14.0%	10.7	11.2	1.0	0.5	2.0	3.6	5.6	20–38	52.6%†	0–0	—	2–10	20.0%†	52.6%†	49.5%†	26.3%†	3	4:51 −3:52	7.3%	0.7 −1.7
Devean WilliamsFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	8	11:46	8.4%	6.4	4.7	3.8	2.5	0.0	1.7	0.8	2–6	33.3%†	3–12	25.0%†	2–2	100.0%†	36.1%†	39.7%†	11.1%†	—	—	—	—
Maurizio D'AlessandroFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	2:12	0.8%	13.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0–2	0.0%†	1–4	25.0%†	0–0	—	25.0%†	25.0%†	0.0%†	1	2:39 +0:27	1.3%	0.0 −0.8
Team, games with logs · per 40 team minutes	28 games			62.6	34.5	10.1	not published	3.2	11.1	not published	516–1193	43.3%	125–452	27.7%	347–495	70.1%	42.8%	47.1%	30.1%
Sum of players				62.6	31.3	10.1	5.9	3.2	10.4	16.1	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0.0	+3.2	0.0	not published	0.0	+0.8	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $195K; 80% Range $75K to $545K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $180K to $235K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 2 floor only

The widest scenario range, $90K to $635K, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Flash Burton	82.0%	$6K	$1K to $47K	3.8%	$5K to $7K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Zion Cruz	77.1%	$7K	$1K to $51K	8.5%	$7K to $9K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Caleb Smith	76.2%	$11K	$1K to $60K	10.8%	$10K to $13K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Shemani Fuller	55.4%	$48K	$8K to $240K	18.9%	$44K to $57K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Davis Bynum	48.0%	$9K	$1K to $45K	8.3%	$9K to $11K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
AB Coulibaly	30.1%	$13K	$1K to $74K	7.2%	$12K to $15K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cole McCabe	29.8%	$4K	$1K to $19K	2.1%	$3K to $4K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Antwan Wilson	25.9%	$4K	$1K to $21K	3.8%	$4K to $5K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jamir McNeil	21.8%	$4K	$1K to $20K	3.1%	$4K to $5K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Daniel Helterhoff	18.0%	$4K	$1K to $16K	2.8%	$3K to $4K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mohamad Diallo	13.8%	$5K	$1K to $21K	3.3%	$5K to $6K	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kristupas Kepezinskas	13.1%	$4K	$1K to $19K	3.0%	$4K to $5K	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Devean Williams	8.3%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K to $2K	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Maurizio D'Alessandro	0.6%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K to $2K	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$195K	$75K to $545K	100%	$180K to $235K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Rider University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,394,999	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,394,999
Athletics department expenses	$17,018,223
Athletics department revenue	$17,018,223

Team Totalsβ

Season per 40 minutes, 28 games, 1,840 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Per 40 uses 1120 game minutes, 5 per overtime period. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	62.6	76.8
Field goals made	22.9	27.4
Field goals attempted	58.8	57.5
3-pointers made	4.5	8.7
3-pointers attempted	16.1	23.0
Free throws made	12.4	13.4
Free throws attempted	17.7	18.7
Offensive rebounds	12.6	10.7
Defensive rebounds	21.9	26.0
Total rebounds	34.5	36.7
Assists	10.1	14.9
Blocks	3.2	3.6
Turnovers	11.1	10.0
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 165.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 450.
Minutes (derived)	200.0	not published

28 of 28 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	1,754	1,754	0	±8.8	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	641	641	0	±3.2	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,645	1,645	0	±8.2	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	125	125	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	452	452	0	±2.3	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	347	347	0	±2.0	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	495	495	0	±2.5	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	966	877	+89	±77.3	0
Assists	Reconciled	284	284	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	90	90	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	311	290	+21	±9.3	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	165	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	450	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	5,600	5,581	+18.9	±112.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Flash Burton	82.0%	-3.3range -4.2 to -2.0Sufficient evidence
Zion Cruz	77.1%	-2.5range -3.3 to -1.6Sufficient evidence
Caleb Smith	76.2%	-2.3range -3.4 to -1.0Sufficient evidence
Shemani Fuller	55.4%	+0.0range -1.3 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
Davis Bynum	48.0%	-1.8range -2.6 to -0.8Sufficient evidence
AB Coulibaly	30.1%	-1.0range -2.1 to +0.2Sufficient evidence
Cole McCabe	29.8%	-3.0range -4.0 to -2.0Sufficient evidence
Antwan Wilson	25.9%	-2.3range -3.0 to -1.4Sufficient evidence
Jamir McNeil	21.8%	-2.4range -3.6 to -1.1Sufficient evidence
Daniel Helterhoff	18.0%	-2.4range -3.1 to -1.4Sufficient evidence
Mohamad Diallo	13.8%	-1.4range -2.3 to -0.4Limited evidence
Kristupas Kepezinskas	13.1%	-1.4range -2.4 to -0.5Limited evidence
Devean Williams	8.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Maurizio D'Alessandro	0.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +7.2range +6.4 to +8.1Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

12 valued players hold 98.2% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.8%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 5.4%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value