Illinois

B10 · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 7 · Raw net 21.7 · Tempo 65.7 · 37 Division I games · Through 2026-04-04

Record: 28–9; 28 wins
AdjNet: 27.7β; rank 5 of 365
AdjO: 126.6β; rank 2 of 365
AdjD: 98.9β; rank 19 of 365
AdjT: 66.5β
SOS: 10.1β; rank 15 of 363
NCSOS: 2.3β
WAB: 7.5β; rank 11 of 363
RR: -1.8β
Exp. W: 29.8β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	125.01	103.366	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	54.746	47.326	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	13.110	11.6365	16.7
Offensive rebound %	39.23	26.729	30.6
FTA / FGA %	33.2233	19.71	35.0
Shooting
3P%	34.5142	31.337	33.9
2P%	57.524	47.739	51.7
FT%	78.016	73.8258	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	49.7	43.4	39.5
Assists / FGM %	50.0	52.0	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	13.0	8.2	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	38.1	37.3	31.4
2-pointers %	42.7	49.4	48.8
Free throws %	19.2	13.3	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.2
Top Three Share of Minutes: 43%
Bench Share of Minutes: 33%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Jackson St.	W 113–55	75.5	Home	1–0
11-07	FGCU	W 113–70	74.9	Home	2–0
11-11	Texas Tech	W 81–77	71.9	Home	3–0
11-14	Colgate	W 84–65	66.8	Home	4–0
11-19	Alabama	L 86–90	78.7	Neutral	4–1
11-22	LIU	W 98–58	71.2	Home	5–1
11-24	UTRGV	W 87–73	70.0	Home	6–1
11-28	UConn	L 61–74	66.3	Neutral	6–2
12-06	Tennessee	W 75–62	61.6	Neutral	7–2
12-09	Ohio St.	W 88–80	69.6	Away	8–2
12-13	Nebraska	L 80–83	63.1	Home	8–3
12-22	Missouri	W 91–48	62.3	Neutral	9–3
12-29	Southern U.	W 90–55	64.7	Home	10–3
01-03	Penn St.	W 73–65	67.5	Away	11–3
01-08	Rutgers	W 81–55	64.4	Home	12–3
01-11	Iowa	W 75–69	66.0	Away	13–3
01-14	Northwestern	W 79–68	59.4	Away	14–3
01-17	Minnesota	W 77–67	61.7	Home	15–3
01-21	Maryland	W 89–70	67.9	Home	16–3
01-24	Purdue	W 88–82	63.3	Away	17–3
01-29	Washington	W 75–66	61.2	Home	18–3
02-01	Nebraska	W 78–69	63.4	Away	19–3
02-04	Northwestern	W 84–44	63.3	Home	20–3
02-07	Michigan St.	L 82–85 1OT	71.2	Away	20–4
02-10	Wisconsin	L 90–92 1OT	73.3	Home	20–5
02-15	Indiana	W 71–51	56.6	Home	21–5
02-18	Southern California	W 101–65	71.4	Away	22–5
02-21	UCLA	L 94–95 1OT	72.9	Away	22–6
02-27	Michigan	L 70–84	66.4	Home	22–7
03-03	Oregon	W 80–54	68.5	Home	23–7
03-08	Maryland	W 78–72	61.2	Away	24–7
03-13	Wisconsin	L 88–91 1OT	75.2	Neutral	24–8
03-19	Penn	W 105–70	68.0	—	25–8
03-21	VCU	W 76–55	66.0	—	26–8
03-26	Houston	W 65–55	58.5	—	27–8
03-28	Iowa	W 71–59	54.8	—	28–8
04-04	UConn	L 62–71	63.5	—	28–9

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 36 of 37 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Keaton Wagler	36	33:56	81.4%	641	181	154	34	14	66	72	109–229	47.6%	86–216	39.8%	165–209	78.9%	53.5%	59.7%	47.0%	5	35:05 +1:09	87.7%	18.0 +0.2
David Mirkovic	36	29:33	70.9%	476	286	94	16	13	69	72	114–204	55.9%	57–149	38.3%	77–103	74.8%	56.5%	59.8%	29.2%	5	30:24 +0:51	76.0%	13.0 −0.2
Kylan Boswell	29	30:14	58.5%	337	110	87	22	0	32	58	83–155	53.5%	31–107	29.0%	78–101	77.2%	49.4%	55.0%	38.5%	5	28:30 −1:44	71.2%	7.8 −3.8
Andrej Stojakovic	33	26:16	57.8%	450	149	31	13	15	41	48	145–247	58.7%	19–79	24.1%	103–127	81.1%	53.2%	58.9%	39.0%	5	24:20 −1:56	60.8%	13.8 +0.2
Tomislav Ivisic	34	25:16	57.3%	354	192	53	10	20	46	68	81–111	73.0%	50–160	31.3%	42–54	77.8%	57.6%	60.0%	19.9%	5	25:41 +0:25	64.2%	12.8 +2.4
Ben Humrichous	36	22:35	54.2%	207	140	28	15	24	7	43	11–23	47.8%	56–153	36.6%	17–22	77.3%†	54.0%	55.7%	12.5%	5	23:17 +0:41	58.2%	4.2 −1.5
Jake Davis	36	19:25	46.6%	195	79	25	12	8	6	47	9–14	64.3%	53–129	41.1%	18–24	75.0%†	61.9%	63.5%	16.8%	5	15:07 −4:18	37.8%	2.2 −3.2
Zvonimir Ivisic	36	16:46	40.2%	222	158	10	8	65	17	44	56–68	82.4%	25–94	26.6%	35–51	68.6%	57.7%	60.2%	31.5%	5	13:24 −3:22	33.5%	2.8 −3.4
Mihailo Petrovic	19	5:31	7.0%	31	14	21	3	0	13	7	10–26	38.5%†	2–10	20.0%†	5–6	83.3%†	36.1%†	40.1%†	16.7%†	2	2:12 −3:19	2.2%	0.0 −1.6
Brandon LeeUnder 100 minutes	18	4:10	5.0%	30	6	3	2	0	5	14	8–17	47.1%†	0–1	0.0%†	14–15	93.3%†	44.4%†	61.0%†	83.3%†	2	2:12 −1:58	2.2%	2.0 +0.3
Jason JakstysFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	8	4:26	2.4%	8	16	1	1	3	0	5	2–3	66.7%†	0–0	—	4–6	66.7%†	66.7%†	70.9%†	200.0%†	—	—	—	—
Blake FagbemiUnder 100 minutes	10	3:15	2.2%	2	10	2	1	0	2	1	1–5	20.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	20.0%†	20.0%†	0.0%†	2	1:41 −1:34	1.7%	0.0 −0.2
AJ ReddUnder 100 minutes	10	2:18	1.5%	13	5	0	0	0	1	2	4–8	50.0%†	1–3	33.3%†	2–4	50.0%†	50.0%†	50.9%†	36.4%†	2	1:41 −0:36	1.7%	1.0 −0.3
Team, games with logs · season totals	36 games			2966	1468	509	not published	163	316	not published	633–1110	57.0%	380–1101	34.5%	560–722	77.6%	54.4%	58.6%	32.7%
Sum of players				2966	1346	509	137	162	305	481	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+122	0	not published	+1	+11	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $3.55M; 80% Range $2.55M to $4.95M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.55M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 5 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Keaton Wagler	85.6%	$780K	$525K to $1.20M	21.1%	$780K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
David Mirkovic	74.3%	$605K	$410K to $885K	16.5%	$605K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Kylan Boswell	59.7%	$380K	$220K to $580K	11.0%	$380K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Andrej Stojakovic	59.0%	$340K	$195K to $520K	10.0%	$340K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Tomislav Ivisic	58.7%	$340K	$195K to $520K	9.9%	$340K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Ben Humrichous	55.2%	$335K	$195K to $515K	9.8%	$335K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Jake Davis	49.6%	$265K	$135K to $415K	7.8%	$265K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Zvonimir Ivisic	41.4%	$350K	$240K to $510K	9.5%	$350K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Mihailo Petrovic	5.5%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Brandon Lee	4.1%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Jason Jakstys	2.7%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Blake Fagbemi	2.5%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
AJ Redd	1.8%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.55M	$2.55M to $4.95M	100%	$3.55M in all four	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$34,764,436
Men's basketball expenses	$20,565,967
Athletics department expenses	$174,612,181
Athletics department revenue	$174,612,181

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 37 games, 2,462 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	3,079	2,544
Field goals made	1,049	945
Field goals attempted	2,276	2,330
3-pointers made	391	316
3-pointers attempted	1,132	1,011
Free throws made	590	338
Free throws attempted	756	458
Offensive rebounds	494	373
Defensive rebounds	1,025	767
Total rebounds	1,519	1,140
Assists	524	491
Blocks	172	94
Turnovers	323	286
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 137.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 481.
Minutes (derived)	7,500	not published

36 of 37 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,966	2,966	0	±14.8	113
Field goals made	Reconciled	1,013	1,013	0	±5.1	36
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	2,211	2,211	0	±11.1	65
3-pointers made	Reconciled	380	380	0	±2.0	11
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	1,101	1,101	0	±5.5	31
Free throws made	Reconciled	560	560	0	±2.8	30
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	722	722	0	±3.6	34
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,468	1,346	+122	±117.4	51
Assists	Reconciled	509	509	0	±2.5	15
Blocks	Reconciled	163	162	+1	±2.0	9
Turnovers	Residual shown	316	305	+11	±9.5	7
Steals	No team figure	not published	137	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	481	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	7,300	7,274	+25.5	±146.0	200

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Keaton Wagler	85.6%	+6.4range +5.0 to +7.8Sufficient evidence
David Mirkovic	74.3%	+5.8range +4.4 to +7.0Sufficient evidence
Kylan Boswell	59.7%	+4.3range +2.8 to +5.6Sufficient evidence
Andrej Stojakovic	59.0%	+3.8range +2.5 to +5.1Sufficient evidence
Tomislav Ivisic	58.7%	+3.8range +2.6 to +4.9Sufficient evidence
Ben Humrichous	55.2%	+4.0range +2.7 to +5.2Sufficient evidence
Jake Davis	49.6%	+3.5range +2.0 to +4.8Sufficient evidence
Zvonimir Ivisic	41.4%	+5.7range +4.5 to +6.8Sufficient evidence
Mihailo Petrovic	5.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Brandon Lee	4.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Jason Jakstys	2.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Blake Fagbemi	2.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
AJ Redd	1.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +13.8range +12.8 to +14.5Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

8 valued players hold 96.7% of on-court time. 5 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 3.3%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value