Chattanooga

SC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 261 · Raw net -5.8 · Tempo 67.6 · 29 Division I games · Through 2026-03-06

Record: 10–19; 10 wins
AdjNet: -8.8β; rank 289 of 365
AdjO: 106.1β; rank 224 of 365
AdjD: 114.9β; rank 321 of 365
AdjT: 68.0β
SOS: -4.5β; rank 305 of 363
NCSOS: -1.0β
WAB: -13.9β; rank 302 of 363
RR: -2.0β
Exp. W: 12.0β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	109.7139	115.5331	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	54.260	51.7197	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	14.438	13.2350	16.7
Offensive rebound %	21.8358	31.7240	30.6
FTA / FGA %	29.7317	42.6335	35.0
Shooting
3P%	35.0116	34.2195	33.9
2P%	55.845	52.1199	51.7
FT%	77.426	70.989	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	49.2	44.2	39.5
Assists / FGM %	55.6	53.3	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	7.6	7.7	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	39.3	33.9	31.4
2-pointers %	43.2	43.5	48.8
Free throws %	17.5	22.6	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 9.7
Top Three Share of Minutes: 42%
Bench Share of Minutes: 35%
Players with Logged Minutes: 15

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-07	Saint Mary's (CA)	L 66–87	67.4	Away	0–1
11-08	UNLV	L 69–101	67.8	Away	0–2
11-15	FGCU	L 73–91	69.2	Away	0–3
11-19	South Carolina St.	W 78–66	72.4	Away	1–3
11-22	North Ala.	W 71–57	60.4	Home	2–3
11-30	Tennessee St.	L 64–70	65.4	Home	2–4
12-06	Southeast Mo. St.	L 70–74	66.2	Home	2–5
12-13	Auburn	L 78–92	70.0	Neutral	2–6
12-17	Bellarmine	L 64–79	67.8	Away	2–7
12-21	Alabama A&M	W 73–66	63.8	Away	3–7
01-01	UNC Greensboro	L 72–77	67.0	Away	3–8
01-03	VMI	L 71–79	69.6	Away	3–9
01-07	Furman	L 67–78	68.7	Home	3–10
01-10	Samford	W 88–79	73.3	Home	4–10
01-14	Wofford	W 76–67	69.0	Away	5–10
01-17	Western Caro.	W 90–82	65.0	Away	6–10
01-21	ETSU	L 66–67	67.2	Home	6–11
01-24	Samford	L 64–75	62.0	Away	6–12
01-29	Wofford	L 55–81	66.3	Home	6–13
02-01	Furman	L 70–75	65.8	Away	6–14
02-05	Mercer	W 79–75	72.2	Home	7–14
02-07	The Citadel	L 71–78	68.0	Home	7–15
02-11	ETSU	L 61–73	66.2	Away	7–16
02-14	Western Caro.	L 76–81	68.9	Home	7–17
02-19	Mercer	W 94–90	65.0	Away	8–17
02-21	The Citadel	W 93–72	72.1	Away	9–17
02-26	UNC Greensboro	L 80–85	76.7	Home	9–18
02-28	VMI	W 86–79	63.4	Home	10–18
03-06	The Citadel	L 85–88	63.5	Neutral	10–19

Roster · 15 players

Player logs in 29 of 29 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Jordan Frison	29	31:25	78.6%	478	98	120	23	4	53	71	135–226	59.7%	42–100	42.0%	82–99	82.8%	60.7%	64.7%	30.4%	5	35:19 +3:53	88.3%	23.6 +7.1
Tate Darner	27	28:24	66.1%	265	116	49	20	3	29	36	47–83	56.6%	44–124	35.5%	39–52	75.0%	54.6%	57.6%	25.1%	5	32:28 +4:04	81.1%	9.8 0.0
Brennan Watkins	29	25:49	64.5%	288	84	49	16	0	36	67	25–53	47.2%	59–132	44.7%	61–68	89.7%	61.4%	67.0%	36.8%	5	31:13 +5:25	78.1%	13.8 +3.9
Billy Smith	29	23:39	59.1%	237	83	31	14	5	28	56	24–55	43.6%	57–169	33.7%	18–26	69.2%	48.9%	50.3%	11.6%	5	28:18 +4:38	70.7%	12.4 +4.2
Teddy Washington, Jr.	28	22:21	53.9%	254	90	35	28	4	30	55	71–130	54.6%	18–85	21.2%	58–75	77.3%	45.6%	51.2%	34.9%	5	24:30 +2:09	61.2%	10.0 +0.9
Collin Mulholland	23	17:10	34.0%	174	78	39	5	11	23	52	52–87	59.8%	13–60	21.7%	31–38	81.6%	48.6%	53.1%	25.9%	5	19:40 +2:31	49.2%	10.2 +2.6
Makai Richards	29	12:31	31.3%	87	76	24	5	12	23	62	33–59	55.9%†	1–3	33.3%†	18–24	75.0%†	55.6%†	60.0%†	38.7%†	5	13:43 +1:13	34.3%	4.0 +1.0
Jikari Johnson	26	12:36	28.3%	165	49	13	9	7	13	33	21–39	53.8%	28–69	40.6%	39–50	78.0%	58.3%	63.5%	46.3%	2	3:24 −9:12	3.4%	1.5 −4.8
Josh Bowman	22	11:38	22.1%	66	47	18	2	23	12	44	25–46	54.3%†	2–8	25.0%†	10–26	38.5%	51.9%†	50.4%†	48.1%†	4	6:52 −4:46	13.7%	2.8 −0.3
Houston Holland	25	9:51	21.2%	45	40	13	5	2	9	21	8–16	50.0%†	8–17	47.1%†	5–6	83.3%†	60.6%†	63.1%†	18.2%†	4	9:30 −0:21	19.0%	1.3 −0.6
Parker Robison	24	9:38	19.9%	25	29	13	9	1	5	36	10–14	71.4%†	0–12	0.0%†	5–8	62.5%†	38.5%†	42.3%†	30.8%†	1	0:36 −9:02	0.3%	0.0 −1.0
Sebastian HartmannFew games	5	24:27	10.5%	41	25	4	5	0	6	15	5–11	45.5%†	8–17	47.1%†	7–9	77.8%†	60.7%†	64.1%†	32.1%†	—	—	—	—
Latif DioufFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	12:48	4.4%	15	4	5	1	0	3	11	5–9	55.6%†	1–4	25.0%†	2–4	50.0%†	50.0%†	50.8%†	30.8%†	—	—	—	—
Sean CusanoFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	12:38	4.4%	10	5	2	2	0	0	12	3–3	100.0%†	1–5	20.0%†	1–1	100.0%†	56.3%†	59.2%†	12.5%†	—	—	—	—
Ryan LopezFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	1:25	0.5%	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0–0	—	0–1	0.0%†	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	29 games			2150	900	415	not published	72	282	not published	464–831	55.8%	282–806	35.0%	376–486	77.4%	54.2%	58.1%	29.7%
Sum of players				2150	827	415	144	72	270	571	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+73	0	not published	0	+12	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $240K; 80% Range $91K to $645K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $230K to $245K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 15; 3 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Jordan Frison	79.5%	$32K	$3K to $110K	15.4%	$30K to $32K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tate Darner	67.2%	$42K	$12K to $145K	16.4%	$40K to $43K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brennan Watkins	66.1%	$15K	$1K to $59K	9.2%	$14K to $15K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Billy Smith	59.2%	$9K	$1K to $43K	5.8%	$9K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Teddy Washington, Jr.	53.4%	$11K	$1K to $48K	6.9%	$11K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Collin Mulholland	33.3%	$27K	$8K to $97K	10.1%	$26K to $28K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Makai Richards	31.7%	$6K	$1K to $25K	3.5%	$6K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jikari Johnson	28.3%	$12K	$2K to $40K	5.9%	$12K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Josh Bowman	22.9%	$8K	$2K to $26K	4.4%	$8K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Houston Holland	22.0%	$19K	$6K to $68K	7.0%	$18K to $20K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Parker Robison	19.2%	$4K	$1K to $17K	2.3%	$4K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Sebastian Hartmann	8.6%	$9K	$3K to $31K	3.4%	$9K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Latif Diouf	4.7%	$2K	$1K to $4K	0.7%	$1K to $2K	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Sean Cusano	3.2%	$2K	$1K to $4K	0.7%	$1K to $2K	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Ryan Lopez	0.5%	$2K	$1K to $4K	0.7%	$1K to $2K	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$240K	$91K to $645K	100%	$230K to $245K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, The University of Tennessee-Chattanooga (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,295,183	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,295,183
Athletics department expenses	$26,447,806
Athletics department revenue	$26,447,806

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 29 games, 1,960 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,150	2,264
Field goals made	746	748
Field goals attempted	1,637	1,694
3-pointers made	282	256
3-pointers attempted	806	749
Free throws made	376	512
Free throws attempted	486	722
Offensive rebounds	200	325
Defensive rebounds	700	719
Total rebounds	900	1,044
Assists	415	399
Blocks	72	64
Turnovers	282	258
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 144.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 571.
Minutes (derived)	5,800	not published

29 of 29 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,150	2,150	0	±10.8	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	746	746	0	±3.7	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,637	1,637	0	±8.2	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	282	282	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	806	806	0	±4.0	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	376	376	0	±2.0	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	486	486	0	±2.4	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	900	827	+73	±72.0	0
Assists	Reconciled	415	415	0	±2.1	0
Blocks	Reconciled	72	72	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	282	270	+12	±8.5	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	144	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	571	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	5,800	5,786	+13.7	±116.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Jordan Frison	79.5%	+0.1range -1.2 to +1.4Sufficient evidence
Tate Darner	67.2%	+0.8range -0.3 to +1.8Sufficient evidence
Brennan Watkins	66.1%	-1.0range -2.4 to +0.3Sufficient evidence
Billy Smith	59.2%	-1.6range -2.9 to -0.5Sufficient evidence
Teddy Washington, Jr.	53.4%	-1.2range -2.6 to +0.1Sufficient evidence
Collin Mulholland	33.3%	+1.2range +0.2 to +2.5Sufficient evidence
Makai Richards	31.7%	-1.6range -2.9 to -0.3Sufficient evidence
Jikari Johnson	28.3%	-0.2range -1.1 to +0.9Sufficient evidence
Josh Bowman	22.9%	-0.4range -1.0 to +0.2Sufficient evidence
Houston Holland	22.0%	+1.4range +0.4 to +2.3Sufficient evidence
Parker Robison	19.2%	-1.7range -3.2 to -0.3Sufficient evidence
Sebastian Hartmann	8.6%	+1.6range +0.9 to +2.2Limited evidence
Latif Diouf	4.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Sean Cusano	3.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Ryan Lopez	0.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +9.0range +8.2 to +9.8Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

12 valued players hold 98.3% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.7%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 1.7%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value