Louisiana Tech

CUSA · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 176 · Raw net 0.1 · Tempo 64.7 · 31 Division I games · Through 2026-03-14

Record: 17–14; 17 wins
AdjNet: -2.1β; rank 209 of 365
AdjO: 103.0β; rank 288 of 365
AdjD: 105.2β; rank 94 of 365
AdjT: 65.4β
SOS: -2.6β; rank 251 of 363
NCSOS: -7.0β
WAB: -8.3β; rank 191 of 363
RR: 1.2β
Exp. W: 15.8β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	103.6277	103.568	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	47.4329	48.753	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	18.3285	17.8105	16.7
Offensive rebound %	36.421	31.6232	30.6
FTA / FGA %	33.1235	36.3222	35.0
Shooting
3P%	28.5359	33.9178	33.9
2P%	49.7265	46.724	51.7
FT%	67.2341	71.093	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	33.4	46.8	39.5
Assists / FGM %	48.0	55.8	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	15.8	10.3	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	24.4	38.7	31.4
2-pointers %	56.6	40.4	48.8
Free throws %	19.0	20.9	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 9.0
Top Three Share of Minutes: 44%
Bench Share of Minutes: 35%
Players with Logged Minutes: 14

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-04	Nevada	L 50–77	62.7	Away	0–1
11-15	Jackson St.	W 68–51	68.4	Home	1–1
11-19	Indiana St.	L 51–60	71.6	Away	1–2
11-26	Indiana St.	W 75–73	66.5	Home	2–2
11-29	Alcorn	W 83–58	63.1	Home	3–2
12-03	Ga. Southern	L 69–77	66.8	Away	3–3
12-13	Louisiana	W 65–44	60.1	Home	4–3
12-17	Tulane	L 53–61	58.6	Away	4–4
12-29	UTEP	W 75–63	64.4	Home	5–4
01-02	Middle Tenn.	L 51–88	58.4	Away	5–5
01-04	Western Ky.	L 61–66	65.0	Away	5–6
01-08	Liberty	L 56–72	60.9	Home	5–7
01-10	Delaware	W 70–68 1OT	66.2	Home	6–7
01-14	Middle Tenn.	W 59–58	64.8	Home	7–7
01-17	Jacksonville St.	L 60–64	58.4	Away	7–8
01-23	Kennesaw St.	W 82–76	65.5	Home	8–8
01-28	UTEP	W 69–59	64.8	Away	9–8
01-31	Sam Houston	L 67–83	65.1	Away	9–9
02-04	New Mexico St.	L 63–72	63.5	Home	9–10
02-07	Sam Houston	W 87–78	76.3	Home	10–10
02-12	Missouri St.	W 79–78 2OT	85.9	Away	11–10
02-14	FIU	L 64–77	67.6	Away	11–11
02-18	Jacksonville St.	W 77–71	70.2	Home	12–11
02-21	Kennesaw St.	L 55–58	67.8	Away	12–12
02-26	Missouri St.	W 72–70	66.4	Home	13–12
02-28	FIU	L 76–84	69.6	Home	13–13
03-05	Liberty	W 76–71	59.8	Away	14–13
03-07	Delaware	W 81–38	63.0	Away	15–13
03-12	Middle Tenn.	W 80–69	66.3	Neutral	16–13
03-13	Missouri St.	W 69–66	56.8	Neutral	17–13
03-14	Kennesaw St.	L 60–71	64.5	Neutral	17–14

Roster · 14 players

Player logs in 31 of 31 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
AJ Bates	31	34:03	84.1%	381	83	179	37	2	75	65	99–239	41.4%	32–121	26.4%	87–111	78.4%	40.8%	46.6%	30.8%	5	37:59 +3:56	94.9%	21.0 +8.7
DJ Dudley	31	30:51	76.2%	441	87	57	26	7	70	41	106–226	46.9%	56–153	36.6%	61–88	69.3%	50.1%	52.8%	23.2%	5	26:14 −4:37	65.6%	10.0 −4.2
Avery Thomas II	30	25:26	60.8%	249	207	18	33	15	25	83	59–125	47.2%	27–105	25.7%	50–63	79.4%	43.3%	48.3%	27.4%	5	33:42 +8:17	84.3%	12.8 +4.5
Kaden Cooper	26	25:36	53.0%	221	196	28	37	14	37	36	64–127	50.4%	17–60	28.3%	42–64	65.6%	47.9%	51.4%	34.2%	5	24:47 −0:49	62.0%	9.2 +0.7
Jaylen Fenner	29	21:47	50.3%	154	83	23	29	8	30	58	39–88	44.3%	12–45	26.7%†	40–62	64.5%	42.9%	48.0%	46.6%	5	28:12 +6:25	70.5%	7.0 +1.7
Scooter Williams Jr.	26	20:58	43.4%	262	80	32	15	11	21	42	74–141	52.5%	18–74	24.3%	60–89	67.4%	47.0%	51.5%	41.4%	3	12:02 −8:57	18.0%	4.0 −6.1
Will Allen	30	16:07	38.5%	93	98	10	18	10	26	74	28–48	58.3%†	5–20	25.0%†	22–37	59.5%	52.2%†	55.2%†	54.4%†	5	19:42 +3:36	49.3%	4.0 +0.9
Melian Martinez	28	16:18	36.4%	123	88	6	3	52	21	43	59–79	74.7%†	0–0	—	5–16	31.3%†	74.7%†	71.5%†	20.3%†	5	14:50 −1:28	37.1%	3.2 −1.2
Sir Issac Herron	24	12:52	24.6%	109	51	9	7	13	18	29	45–70	64.3%†	1–3	33.3%†	16–28	57.1%	63.7%†	63.9%†	38.4%†	3	9:00 −3:52	13.5%	5.0 +0.5
Kylan Howze	22	9:42	17.0%	42	45	5	5	6	10	23	15–30	50.0%†	0–0	—	12–28	42.9%	50.0%†	49.6%†	93.3%†	2	1:13 −8:29	1.2%	0.0 −1.9
William JeffressFew games	8	13:43	8.7%	17	24	1	0	1	3	10	5–16	31.3%†	1–12	8.3%†	4–6	66.7%†	23.2%†	27.7%†	21.4%†	—	—	—	—
Jermaurhiyun AndersonFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	3	16:28	3.9%	5	10	0	1	3	0	3	2–7	28.6%†	0–2	0.0%†	1–3	33.3%†	22.2%†	24.2%†	33.3%†	—	—	—	—
Keegan RowellUnder 100 minutes	10	1:52	1.5%	6	2	0	0	0	2	4	0–0	—	2–4	50.0%†	0–0	—	75.0%†	75.0%†	0.0%†	2	1:13 −0:39	1.2%	1.5 +0.9
Lachlan ThompsonFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	2	1:13	0.2%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	2	1:13 0:00	1.2%	0.0 0.0
Team, games with logs · season totals	31 games			2103	1156	368	not published	143	371	not published	595–1196	49.7%	171–599	28.5%	400–595	67.2%	47.4%	51.1%	33.1%
Sum of players				2103	1054	368	211	142	338	511	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+102	0	not published	+1	+33	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $275K; 80% Range $100K to $725K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $245K to $285K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 3 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
AJ Bates	84.5%	$54K	$17K to $160K	19.0%	$49K to $56K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
DJ Dudley	75.8%	$17K	$2K to $67K	9.4%	$16K to $18K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Avery Thomas II	61.2%	$30K	$8K to $95K	11.9%	$27K to $31K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kaden Cooper	53.2%	$39K	$11K to $125K	13.3%	$35K to $41K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaylen Fenner	50.5%	$20K	$4K to $66K	8.9%	$18K to $21K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Scooter Williams Jr.	43.4%	$23K	$6K to $70K	8.9%	$20K to $23K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Will Allen	38.1%	$22K	$6K to $68K	8.2%	$20K to $23K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Melian Martinez	37.0%	$20K	$5K to $62K	7.7%	$18K to $20K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Sir Issac Herron	24.7%	$5K	$1K to $20K	2.2%	$4K to $5K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kylan Howze	17.1%	$6K	$2K to $20K	2.7%	$5K to $6K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
William Jeffress	8.8%	$3K	$1K to $10K	1.3%	$3K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jermaurhiyun Anderson	4.2%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Keegan Rowell	1.4%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Lachlan Thompson	0.2%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$275K	$100K to $725K	100%	$245K to $285K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Louisiana Tech University (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,572,343	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,572,343
Athletics department expenses	$33,952,161
Athletics department revenue	$33,952,161

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 31 games, 2,029 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,103	2,101
Field goals made	766	695
Field goals attempted	1,795	1,706
3-pointers made	171	271
3-pointers attempted	599	799
Free throws made	400	440
Free throws attempted	595	620
Offensive rebounds	408	345
Defensive rebounds	748	714
Total rebounds	1,156	1,059
Assists	368	388
Blocks	143	123
Turnovers	371	362
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 211.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 511.
Minutes (derived)	6,275	not published

31 of 31 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,103	2,103	0	±10.5	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	766	766	0	±3.8	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,795	1,795	0	±9.0	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	171	171	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	599	599	0	±3.0	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	400	400	0	±2.0	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	595	595	0	±3.0	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,156	1,054	+102	±92.5	0
Assists	Reconciled	368	368	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	143	142	+1	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	371	338	+33	±11.1	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	211	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	511	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,275	6,260	+14.9	±125.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
AJ Bates	84.5%	+1.4range +0.3 to +2.3Sufficient evidence
DJ Dudley	75.8%	-0.5range -1.6 to +0.4Sufficient evidence
Avery Thomas II	61.2%	+0.7range -0.4 to +1.8Sufficient evidence
Kaden Cooper	53.2%	+1.7range +0.0 to +3.2Sufficient evidence
Jaylen Fenner	50.5%	+0.3range -1.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidence
Scooter Williams Jr.	43.4%	+0.8range -0.4 to +2.0Sufficient evidence
Will Allen	38.1%	+0.9range -0.2 to +2.3Sufficient evidence
Melian Martinez	37.0%	+0.8range -0.4 to +1.8Sufficient evidence
Sir Issac Herron	24.7%	-1.5range -2.6 to -0.6Sufficient evidence
Kylan Howze	17.1%	-0.4range -1.1 to +0.2Sufficient evidence
William Jeffress	8.8%	-1.2range -2.1 to -0.5Limited evidence
Jermaurhiyun Anderson	4.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Keegan Rowell	1.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Lachlan Thompson	0.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +9.9range +8.9 to +10.6Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

11 valued players hold 98.8% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.2%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 1.8%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value