Butler

BE · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 133 · Raw net 2.6 · Tempo 70.0 · 32 Division I games · Through 2026-03-11

Record: 16–16; 16 wins
AdjNet: 6.9β; rank 84 of 365
AdjO: 113.5β; rank 77 of 365
AdjD: 106.7β; rank 133 of 365
AdjT: 69.6β
SOS: 5.7β; rank 72 of 363
NCSOS: -2.7β
WAB: -4.7β; rank 101 of 363
RR: -0.3β
Exp. W: 16.3β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	111.7106	109.1195	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	50.9198	51.9209	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	15.9133	15.1276	16.7
Offensive rebound %	34.656	30.0163	30.6
FTA / FGA %	42.130	24.96	35.0
Shooting
3P%	32.7243	33.3140	33.9
2P%	51.9173	53.1242	51.7
FT%	71.9210	71.8145	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	34.9	37.5	39.5
Assists / FGM %	57.2	53.7	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	8.2	12.0	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	26.0	30.8	31.4
2-pointers %	51.1	54.5	48.8
Free throws %	22.9	14.7	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.5
Top Three Share of Minutes: 48%
Bench Share of Minutes: 33%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-05	Southern Ind.	W 88–58	74.9	Home	1–0
11-08	IU Indy	W 112–80	90.3	Home	2–0
11-11	Chicago St.	W 98–66	73.2	Home	3–0
11-15	SMU	L 85–87	74.5	Away	3–1
11-21	South Carolina	W 79–72	68.8	Neutral	4–1
11-23	Virginia	W 80–73	69.0	Neutral	5–1
11-28	Wright St.	W 94–69	75.4	Home	6–1
12-02	Eastern Mich.	W 84–68	65.1	Home	7–1
12-06	Boise St.	L 68–77	67.2	Home	7–2
12-13	Providence	W 113–110 2OT	85.8	Home	8–2
12-16	UConn	L 60–79	69.8	Away	8–3
12-20	Northwestern	W 61–58	67.0	Neutral	9–3
12-22	NJIT	W 101–52	72.7	Home	10–3
12-30	Creighton	L 85–89	72.6	Away	10–4
01-03	Villanova	L 67–85	71.1	Home	10–5
01-06	St. John's (NY)	L 70–84	71.3	Home	10–6
01-14	Xavier	L 75–89	72.9	Away	10–7
01-17	Seton Hall	W 77–66	67.2	Away	11–7
01-20	DePaul	W 87–80	71.8	Home	12–7
01-23	Marquette	W 87–76	70.2	Home	13–7
01-28	St. John's (NY)	L 70–92	62.5	Away	13–8
01-31	Georgetown	L 64–77	64.6	Home	13–9
02-04	Providence	L 87–97 2OT	78.8	Away	13–10
02-07	Marquette	L 55–70	66.9	Away	13–11
02-11	UConn	L 70–80	60.4	Home	13–12
02-15	Seton Hall	L 56–63	67.0	Home	13–13
02-18	Georgetown	W 93–89	68.2	Away	14–13
02-21	Xavier	W 80–75	67.9	Home	15–13
02-25	Villanova	L 73–82	70.2	Away	15–14
03-04	Creighton	L 59–76	70.8	Home	15–15
03-07	DePaul	W 81–71	73.4	Away	16–15
03-11	Providence	L 81–91	72.6	Neutral	16–16

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 32 of 32 team games

Team roster, per game
Column groups	Minutes			Per Game							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Michael Ajayi	32	33:35	82.6%	16.4	11.1	3.2	1.1	0.9	2.7	2.5	171–346	49.4%	18–69	26.1%	130–199	65.3%	47.7%	52.3%	48.0%	5	35:07 +1:32	87.8%	20.4 +4.0
Finley Bizjack	31	33:53	80.8%	17.1	2.2	2.5	0.7	0.1	1.7	1.3	95–188	50.5%	68–195	34.9%	136–160	85.0%	51.4%	58.4%	41.8%	5	36:32 +2:38	91.3%	15.2 −1.9
Jamie Kaiser, Jr.	30	29:02	67.0%	9.5	4.3	1.0	1.2	0.1	0.7	1.9	58–109	53.2%	40–116	34.5%	50–66	75.8%	52.4%	56.3%	29.3%	5	31:35 +2:32	78.9%	8.0 −1.5
Drayton Jones	32	19:30	48.0%	6.3	4.6	1.4	0.4	0.9	0.7	1.6	68–115	59.1%	0–1	0.0%†	67–93	72.0%	58.6%	64.7%	80.2%	5	18:03 −1:27	45.1%	3.4 −2.9
Yohan Traore	32	19:26	47.8%	8.3	3.0	0.8	0.3	0.3	0.6	0.8	91–157	58.0%	3–15	20.0%†	73–103	70.9%	55.5%	60.7%	59.9%	5	21:25 +1:58	53.5%	12.4 +4.2
Evan Haywood	29	19:17	43.0%	7.2	1.9	1.2	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.7	16–45	35.6%	55–153	35.9%	12–16	75.0%†	49.7%	51.0%	8.1%	3	15:53 −3:24	23.8%	4.7 −2.5
Yame Butler	31	13:43	32.7%	4.2	1.2	1.4	0.4	0.3	0.7	1.5	35–64	54.7%	11–38	28.9%†	26–35	74.3%	50.5%	54.9%	34.3%	5	13:11 −0:32	33.0%	4.0 −0.2
Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor	25	16:23	31.5%	5.0	2.2	2.0	0.8	0.3	1.4	1.5	41–86	47.7%	2–19	10.5%†	36–58	62.1%	41.9%	47.5%	55.2%	5	22:57 +6:35	57.4%	7.8 +2.8
Azavier Robinson	22	18:14	30.9%	6.1	1.9	2.5	1.5	0.3	1.9	2.8	34–70	48.6%	13–30	43.3%†	27–38	71.1%	53.5%	57.4%	38.0%	—	—	—	—
Jackson Keith	26	8:30	17.0%	2.0	1.7	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.9	14–26	53.8%†	5–17	29.4%†	8–14	57.1%†	50.0%†	51.9%†	32.6%†	5	10:28 +1:57	26.2%	0.8 −1.2
Jalen JacksonFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	1	25:37	2.0%	17.0	8.0	3.0	4.0	0.0	5.0	1.0	5–9	55.6%†	1–1	100.0%†	4–7	57.1%†	65.0%†	65.0%†	70.0%†	—	—	—	—
Jack McCafferyFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	1	15:18	1.2%	9.0	6.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	2.0	1.0	4–5	80.0%†	0–3	0.0%†	1–2	50.0%†	50.0%†	50.7%†	25.0%†	—	—	—	—
Ethan McCombFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	6	1:05	0.5%	0.3	0.0	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	1–1	100.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	100.0%†	100.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · per game	32 games			79.4	37.8	15.5	not published	3.3	11.3	not published	649–1251	51.9%	220–672	32.7%	582–809	71.9%	50.9%	55.7%	42.1%
Sum of players				77.6	32.8	14.8	6.3	3.1	10.2	14.9	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				+1.8	+5.0	+0.8	not published	+0.1	+1.2	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $2.80M; 80% Range $1.55M to $5.00M
Tier: Big East and Gonzaga; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $2.75M to $2.90M; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 3 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Michael Ajayi	85.4%	$455K	$190K to $885K	16.8%	$440K to $465K	$21K	Sufficient evidence
Finley Bizjack	82.4%	$335K	$58K to $695K	13.9%	$325K to $340K	$21K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jamie Kaiser, Jr.	70.0%	$300K	$73K to $625K	12.3%	$290K to $310K	$21K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Yohan Traore	50.9%	$100K	$15K to $310K	4.4%	$96K to $100K	$21K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Drayton Jones	45.8%	$520K	$235K to $1.35M	17.0%	$505K to $530K	$21K	Sufficient evidence
Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor	42.0%	$245K	$94K to $535K	8.9%	$240K to $255K	$21K	Sufficient evidence
Evan Haywood	39.8%	$93K	$16K to $265K	4.1%	$91K to $96K	$21K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Yame Butler	32.7%	$190K	$82K to $380K	7.0%	$185K to $195K	$21K	Sufficient evidence
Jackson Keith	21.6%	$140K	$53K to $300K	5.0%	$135K to $140K	$21K	Limited evidence
Azavier Robinson	21.2%	$170K	$84K to $335K	5.6%	$165K to $175K	$21K	Limited evidence
Jalen Jackson	4.9%	$21K	$10K to $41K	0.8%	$20K to $22K	$21K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Jack McCaffery	3.0%	$21K	$10K to $41K	0.8%	$20K to $22K	$21K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Ethan McComb	0.3%	$21K	$10K to $41K	0.8%	$20K to $22K	$21K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$2.80M	$1.55M to $5.00M	100%	$2.75M to $2.90M	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Butler University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$12,918,057
Men's basketball expenses	$9,560,281
Athletics department expenses	$36,379,181
Athletics department revenue	$36,948,732

Team Totalsβ

Season per game, 32 games, 2,274 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	79.4	77.5
Field goals made	27.2	29.1
Field goals attempted	60.1	63.7
3-pointers made	6.9	8.0
3-pointers attempted	21.0	23.9
Free throws made	18.2	11.4
Free throws attempted	25.3	15.8
Offensive rebounds	12.4	10.9
Defensive rebounds	25.4	23.4
Total rebounds	37.8	34.3
Assists	15.5	15.6
Blocks	3.3	4.7
Turnovers	11.3	10.8
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 203.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 476.
Minutes (derived)	203.1	not published

32 of 32 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Residual shown	2,540	2,484	+56	±12.7	0
Field goals made	Residual shown	869	849	+20	±4.3	0
Field goals attempted	Residual shown	1,923	1,878	+45	±9.6	0
3-pointers made	Residual shown	220	216	+4	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Residual shown	672	657	+15	±3.4	0
Free throws made	Residual shown	582	570	+12	±2.9	0
Free throws attempted	Residual shown	809	791	+18	±4.0	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,209	1,049	+160	±96.7	0
Assists	Residual shown	497	473	+24	±2.5	0
Blocks	Residual shown	104	100	+4	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	362	325	+37	±10.9	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	203	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	476	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Residual shown	6,500	6,305	+194.6	±130.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Michael Ajayi	85.4%	+0.8range +0.1 to +1.6Sufficient evidence
Finley Bizjack	82.4%	+0.2range -0.9 to +1.3Sufficient evidence
Jamie Kaiser, Jr.	70.0%	+0.3range -0.7 to +1.5Sufficient evidence
Yohan Traore	50.9%	-1.3range -2.2 to -0.5Sufficient evidence
Drayton Jones	45.8%	+2.9range +1.8 to +4.0Sufficient evidence
Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor	42.0%	+0.9range -0.1 to +1.8Sufficient evidence
Evan Haywood	39.8%	-1.1range -2.5 to -0.0Sufficient evidence
Yame Butler	32.7%	+0.8range +0.0 to +1.6Sufficient evidence
Jackson Keith	21.6%	+0.9range -0.1 to +1.9Limited evidence
Azavier Robinson	21.2%	+1.5range +0.5 to +2.7Limited evidence
Jalen Jackson	4.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Jack McCaffery	3.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Ethan McComb	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +9.8range +8.9 to +10.6Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 98.4% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.6%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 8.6%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value