Mount St. Mary's

MAAC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 243 · Raw net -4.6 · Tempo 67.7 · 31 Division I games · Through 2026-03-07

Record: 14–17; 14 wins
AdjNet: -7.2β; rank 269 of 365
AdjO: 100.5β; rank 327 of 365
AdjD: 107.7β; rank 161 of 365
AdjT: 68.6β
SOS: -4.1β; rank 291 of 363
NCSOS: 1.8β
WAB: -11.4β; rank 245 of 363
RR: 0.3β
Exp. W: 13.7β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	99.9327	104.578	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	50.6208	47.223	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	22.4364	15.3261	16.7
Offensive rebound %	32.3116	29.1113	30.6
FTA / FGA %	33.3230	37.3247	35.0
Shooting
3P%	32.7245	32.382	33.9
2P%	51.8176	46.216	51.7
FT%	67.4337	75.3322	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	42.6	44.9	39.5
Assists / FGM %	55.2	52.9	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	9.2	8.5	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	33.8	35.6	31.4
2-pointers %	48.1	41.5	48.8
Free throws %	18.1	22.9	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 9.4
Top Three Share of Minutes: 43%
Bench Share of Minutes: 36%
Players with Logged Minutes: 14

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-04	West Virginia	L 54–70	67.3	Away	0–1
11-07	Bucknell	L 62–73	65.4	Home	0–2
11-11	Saint Francis	W 74–66	69.0	Away	1–2
11-16	Cincinnati	L 55–72	73.0	Away	1–3
11-19	Maryland	L 90–95 1OT	78.5	Away	1–4
11-23	Western Mich.	L 60–83	67.9	Away	1–5
11-25	Ohio St.	L 60–113	73.3	Away	1–6
11-29	Howard	W 79–75	70.8	Home	2–6
12-03	Sacred Heart	L 80–87	67.5	Home	2–7
12-05	Marist	L 56–64	71.6	Away	2–8
12-13	Loyola Maryland	W 81–73	74.7	Away	3–8
12-19	Drexel	L 67–75	71.7	Away	3–9
12-29	Iona	W 66–59	74.4	Home	4–9
01-02	Merrimack	L 65–75	69.7	Away	4–10
01-04	Quinnipiac	L 69–80	70.8	Away	4–11
01-09	Saint Peter's	W 70–65	68.5	Home	5–11
01-11	Siena	L 50–67	61.5	Home	5–12
01-17	Canisius	W 78–68	67.2	Away	6–12
01-19	Niagara	W 68–58	61.0	Away	7–12
01-22	Quinnipiac	L 62–77	70.0	Home	7–13
01-24	Rider	W 71–61	61.0	Home	8–13
01-30	Saint Peter's	L 58–66	61.5	Away	8–14
02-01	Manhattan	W 72–65	65.4	Home	9–14
02-05	Merrimack	L 70–87	70.8	Home	9–15
02-07	Iona	W 83–76	63.3	Away	10–15
02-13	Rider	W 65–55	64.9	Away	11–15
02-20	Niagara	W 76–63	69.9	Home	12–15
02-22	Canisius	W 68–47	62.6	Home	13–15
02-27	Sacred Heart	L 69–77	65.9	Away	13–16
03-01	Fairfield	W 69–47	66.8	Away	14–16
03-07	Siena	L 58–63	60.3	Neutral	14–17

Roster · 14 players

Player logs in 31 of 31 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Xavier Lipscomb	31	32:45	81.6%	290	144	120	35	1	79	64	35–75	46.7%	40–113	35.4%	100–113	88.5%	50.5%	61.0%	60.1%	5	31:51 −0:54	79.6%	7.8 −1.6
Arlandus Keyes	29	29:36	68.9%	368	98	85	47	13	63	81	45–103	43.7%	83–226	36.7%	29–45	64.4%	51.5%	52.8%	13.7%	5	32:58 +3:22	82.4%	15.2 +2.5
Luke McEldon	30	25:49	62.2%	352	186	40	12	17	58	65	160–244	65.6%	0–4	0.0%†	32–76	42.1%	64.5%	62.5%	30.6%	5	27:56 +2:07	69.8%	15.6 +3.9
Trey Deveaux	27	26:31	57.5%	302	114	23	15	8	46	53	77–158	48.7%	25–75	33.3%	73–98	74.5%	49.1%	54.7%	42.1%	4	22:59 −3:32	46.0%	10.0 −1.2
Justin Amadi	29	20:53	48.6%	207	126	11	12	17	43	68	71–135	52.6%	1–6	16.7%†	62–105	59.0%	51.4%	55.3%	74.5%	5	17:40 −3:13	44.2%	5.6 −1.5
Mason So	30	17:59	43.3%	116	70	64	12	4	54	52	19–40	47.5%†	21–59	35.6%	15–19	78.9%†	51.0%†	54.0%†	19.2%†	5	8:28 −9:30	21.2%	1.4 −2.5
Abdou Khadre Kébé	21	21:58	37.0%	157	121	18	18	7	27	40	34–65	52.3%	20–75	26.7%	29–42	69.0%	45.7%	49.5%	30.0%	4	20:19 −1:39	40.6%	4.5 −3.0
Anthony Arrington, Jr.	21	18:44	31.6%	116	44	22	12	1	37	43	35–87	40.2%	12–52	23.1%	10–18	55.6%†	38.1%	39.5%	12.9%	5	19:12 +0:28	48.0%	4.2 −1.3
Anastasios Rozakeas	23	14:10	26.2%	79	46	13	7	0	14	29	7–22	31.8%†	20–65	30.8%	5–6	83.3%†	42.5%†	44.1%†	6.9%†	3	5:46 −8:24	8.7%	2.7 −0.8
Yakhya Diop	31	8:40	21.6%	56	87	3	4	19	24	50	17–34	50.0%†	0–0	—	22–34	64.7%	50.0%†	57.2%†	100.0%†	5	9:49 +1:09	24.5%	2.2 +0.4
Patrick Haigh	18	10:56	15.8%	54	12	6	3	0	5	11	4–6	66.7%†	15–47	31.9%†	1–2	50.0%†	50.0%†	50.1%†	3.8%†	5	10:58 +0:02	27.4%	2.4 −0.6
Elijah EspinosaUnder 100 minutes	14	3:32	4.0%	7	9	4	0	2	6	6	2–7	28.6%†	0–0	—	3–7	42.9%†	28.6%†	34.7%†	100.0%†	4	2:27 −1:05	4.9%	0.5 0.0
John Miller IVFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	1:18	0.5%	1	1	1	2	0	1	2	0–1	0.0%†	0–3	0.0%†	1–2	50.0%†	0.0%†	10.2%†	50.0%†	3	0:58 −0:20	1.4%	0.0 −0.2
Noah RogersFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	0:20	0.1%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	2	0:17 −0:02	0.3%	0.0 0.0
Team, games with logs · season totals	31 games			2105	1149	410	not published	91	472	not published	506–977	51.8%	237–725	32.7%	382–567	67.4%	50.6%	53.9%	33.3%
Sum of players				2105	1059	410	179	89	457	564	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+90	0	not published	+2	+15	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $235K; 80% Range $84K to $620K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $230K to $250K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 3 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Xavier Lipscomb	81.8%	$34K	$6K to $105K	16.1%	$33K to $35K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Arlandus Keyes	69.5%	$32K	$5K to $110K	14.5%	$31K to $34K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Luke McEldon	62.5%	$45K	$13K to $150K	17.2%	$44K to $47K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Trey Deveaux	57.0%	$8K	$1K to $38K	4.9%	$7K to $8K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Justin Amadi	47.9%	$22K	$4K to $77K	10.0%	$21K to $23K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mason So	43.8%	$8K	$1K to $33K	4.8%	$7K to $8K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Abdou Khadre Kébé	37.5%	$22K	$5K to $75K	9.0%	$21K to $23K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Anthony Arrington, Jr.	32.0%	$6K	$1K to $24K	3.5%	$6K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Anastasios Rozakeas	27.8%	$5K	$1K to $21K	2.9%	$5K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Yakhya Diop	21.9%	$9K	$2K to $28K	4.4%	$9K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Patrick Haigh	14.1%	$5K	$1K to $16K	2.6%	$5K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Elijah Espinosa	3.5%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
John Miller IV	0.5%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Noah Rogers	0.1%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$235K	$84K to $620K	100%	$230K to $250K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Mount St. Mary's University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,656,697	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,656,697
Athletics department expenses	$23,218,652
Athletics department revenue	$23,218,652

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 31 games, 2,107 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,105	2,202
Field goals made	743	718
Field goals attempted	1,702	1,797
3-pointers made	237	261
3-pointers attempted	725	807
Free throws made	382	505
Free throws attempted	567	671
Offensive rebounds	334	335
Defensive rebounds	815	700
Total rebounds	1,149	1,035
Assists	410	380
Blocks	91	83
Turnovers	472	323
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 179.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 564.
Minutes (derived)	6,225	not published

31 of 31 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,105	2,105	0	±10.5	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	743	743	0	±3.7	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,702	1,702	0	±8.5	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	237	237	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	725	725	0	±3.6	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	382	382	0	±2.0	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	567	567	0	±2.8	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Reconciled	1,149	1,059	+90	±91.9	0
Assists	Reconciled	410	410	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	91	89	+2	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	472	457	+15	±14.2	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	179	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	564	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,225	6,212	+12.8	±124.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Xavier Lipscomb	81.8%	+0.3range -0.8 to +1.6Sufficient evidence
Arlandus Keyes	69.5%	+0.6range -1.0 to +2.2Sufficient evidence
Luke McEldon	62.5%	+1.4range +0.4 to +2.7Sufficient evidence
Trey Deveaux	57.0%	-1.8range -3.2 to -0.3Sufficient evidence
Justin Amadi	47.9%	+0.6range -0.9 to +1.5Sufficient evidence
Mason So	43.8%	-1.4range -2.9 to +0.0Sufficient evidence
Abdou Khadre Kébé	37.5%	+0.8range -0.7 to +2.4Sufficient evidence
Anthony Arrington, Jr.	32.0%	-1.5range -2.7 to -0.3Sufficient evidence
Anastasios Rozakeas	27.8%	-1.8range -3.1 to -0.2Sufficient evidence
Yakhya Diop	21.9%	-0.1range -1.1 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
Patrick Haigh	14.1%	-0.7range -1.7 to +0.5Limited evidence
Elijah Espinosa	3.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
John Miller IV	0.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Noah Rogers	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +9.3range +8.4 to +10.2Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

11 valued players hold 99.2% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.8%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 2.8%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value