Elijah Espinosa
Mount St. Mary's · 2025–26 · 14 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
49:30 minutes logged Under 100 minutes
- Games logged
- 14
- Minutes per game
- 3:32
- Points per game
- 0.5
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 0.6 / 0.3
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Per 40 minutes | 5.7 | 7.3 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 4.8 | 4.8 |
| Season totals | 7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 2–7 | 28.6%† | 0.5 | 5.7 |
| 2P | 2–7 | 28.6%† | 0.5 | 5.7 |
| 3P | 0–0 | — | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| FT | 3–7 | 42.9%† | 0.5 | 5.7 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.6%† | 34.7%† | 0.0%† | 100.0%† | 0.67 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25); the field-goal floor applies to the derived rates above. Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Mt St Mary's · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $2K
- 80% range $1K to $5K
- Median share of team pool
- 0.7%
- team pool $235K, 80% range $84K to $620K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $2K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 3.5%
- Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
- Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Mt St Mary's: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
No model-implied value is published for this player: fewer than 300 on-court possessions in every season, or the team’s games were outside the lineup audit.
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Not applicable | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | No model-implied value is published. |
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 2:04 | 3:32 | 0:33–11:26 | |
| Points | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0–2.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 40.0% | 33.3% | 0.0%–100.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Fairfield | W 69–47 | 1:38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-27 | Sacred Heart | L 69–77 | 2:26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-22 | Canisius | W 68–47 | 1:25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-20 | Niagara | W 76–63 | 4:19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | Iona | W 83–76 | 0:33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-05 | Merrimack | L 70–87 | 0:49 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-12-03 | Sacred Heart | L 80–87 | 1:45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-25 | Ohio St. | L 60–113 | 11:26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | — |
| 2025-11-23 | Western Mich. | L 60–83 | 5:02 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-19 | Maryland | L 90–95 | 2:31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-16 | Cincinnati | L 55–72 | 2:36 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-11 | Saint Francis | W 74–66 | 7:31 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2025-11-07 | Bucknell | L 62–73 | 2:51 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | — |
| 2025-11-04 | West Virginia | L 54–70 | 4:38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |