Anthony Arrington, Jr.
Mount St. Mary's · 2025–26 · 21 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season
Logged performance
393:20 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 21
- Minutes per game
- 18:44
- Points per game
- 5.5
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.1 / 1.0
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 5.5 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| Per 40 minutes | 11.8 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 3.8 | 4.4 |
| Season totals | 116 | 44 | 22 | 12 | 1 | 37 | 43 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 47–139 | 33.8% | 6.6 | 14.1 |
| 2P | 35–87 | 40.2%† | 4.1 | 8.8 |
| 3P | 12–52 | 23.1% | 2.5 | 5.3 |
| FT | 10–18 | 55.6%† | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.1% | 39.5% | 37.4% | 12.9% | 0.59 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Mt St Mary's · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $6K
- 80% range $1K to $24K
- Median share of team pool
- 3.5%
- team pool $235K, 80% range $84K to $620K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $6K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 32.0%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Mt St Mary's: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Mt St Mary's | $6Kspeculative | $1K to $24K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -1.5 | -2.7 to -0.3 | Sufficient evidence | -1.8 | +0.3 | +1.7range +1.4 to +2.0 | 1,305 | Prior built from the box-score line only, without a prior-season value. Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 19:12 | 18:44 | 12:26–23:33 | |
| Points | 4.2 | 5.5 | 0.0–11.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 37.5% | 40.7% | 0.0%–125.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Siena | L 58–63 | 13:39 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11.1% |
| 2026-03-01 | Fairfield | W 69–47 | 23:10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 43.8% |
| 2026-02-27 | Sacred Heart | L 69–77 | 21:39 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 30.0% |
| 2026-02-22 | Canisius | W 68–47 | 16:55 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 40.0% |
| 2026-02-20 | Niagara | W 76–63 | 20:35 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 62.5% |
| 2026-02-13 | Rider | W 65–55 | 14:49 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 28.6% |
| 2026-02-07 | Iona | W 83–76 | 16:30 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 125.0% |
| 2026-02-05 | Merrimack | L 70–87 | 20:32 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-01 | Manhattan | W 72–65 | 19:15 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 45.0% |
| 2026-01-30 | Saint Peter's | L 58–66 | 20:24 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 35.7% |
| 2026-01-24 | Rider | W 71–61 | 13:11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 25.0% |
| 2026-01-22 | Quinnipiac | L 62–77 | 13:44 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 28.6% |
| 2026-01-19 | Niagara | W 68–58 | 21:59 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 71.4% |
| 2026-01-17 | Canisius | W 78–68 | 23:27 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 28.6% |
| 2026-01-11 | Siena | L 50–67 | 21:28 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 41.7% |
| 2026-01-09 | Saint Peter's | W 70–65 | 19:33 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 16.7% |
| 2026-01-04 | Quinnipiac | L 69–80 | 19:41 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 36.4% |
| 2026-01-02 | Merrimack | L 65–75 | 12:26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-29 | Iona | W 66–59 | 20:10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 64.3% |
| 2025-12-19 | Drexel | L 67–75 | 23:33 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 57.1% |
| 2025-12-13 | Loyola Maryland | W 81–73 | 16:40 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 37.5% |