Grambling

SWAC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 228 · Raw net -3.2 · Tempo 69.4 · 31 Division I games · Through 2026-03-10

Record: 12–19; 12 wins
AdjNet: -9.4β; rank 297 of 365
AdjO: 98.4β; rank 343 of 365
AdjD: 107.8β; rank 164 of 365
AdjT: 68.5β
SOS: -7.6β; rank 353 of 363
NCSOS: 3.9β
WAB: -14.5β; rank 309 of 363
RR: -3.2β
Exp. W: 15.2β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	99.5332	102.753	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	48.8295	50.097	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	21.2357	20.812	16.7
Offensive rebound %	30.3188	32.5280	30.6
FTA / FGA %	41.144	40.0302	35.0
Shooting
3P%	32.3265	32.7100	33.9
2P%	48.9285	50.5118	51.7
FT%	72.9174	72.0156	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	38.1	35.2	39.5
Assists / FGM %	51.7	52.4	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	7.6	13.3	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	29.0	26.8	31.4
2-pointers %	47.5	50.9	48.8
Free throws %	23.5	22.4	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.6
Top Three Share of Minutes: 46%
Bench Share of Minutes: 32%
Players with Logged Minutes: 14

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-06	Iowa St.	L 62–102	74.8	Away	0–1
11-09	Howard	W 73–70	64.8	Away	1–1
11-13	Southern Miss.	W 75–70	69.7	Home	2–1
11-18	San Diego	L 68–78	74.0	Away	2–2
11-21	California Baptist	L 59–72	64.5	Away	2–3
11-24	UC Riverside	L 74–83	69.2	Away	2–4
12-02	Tulane	L 63–65	61.7	Away	2–5
12-08	Southern Miss.	L 60–68	68.8	Away	2–6
12-18	Norfolk St.	W 80–68	74.2	Neutral	3–6
12-19	Hampton	W 81–72	66.6	Neutral	4–6
12-23	Ohio St.	L 63–89	66.9	Away	4–7
01-03	Prairie View	W 76–72	74.7	Home	5–7
01-05	Texas Southern	W 84–67	69.8	Home	6–7
01-10	Bethune-Cookman	L 65–74	75.0	Away	6–8
01-12	Florida A&M	L 84–91	72.3	Away	6–9
01-17	Southern U.	L 53–71	69.8	Home	6–10
01-31	Jackson St.	W 69–66	66.0	Away	7–10
02-02	Alcorn	W 74–50	62.9	Away	8–10
02-04	Ark.-Pine Bluff	L 64–67	67.5	Home	8–11
02-07	Alabama St.	W 57–47	63.1	Home	9–11
02-09	Alabama A&M	L 58–66	66.6	Home	9–12
02-14	Texas Southern	L 79–82	70.4	Away	9–13
02-16	Prairie View	L 63–68	70.5	Away	9–14
02-21	Southern U.	L 73–87	74.6	Away	9–15
02-23	Mississippi Val.	W 83–62	78.9	Home	10–15
02-26	Bethune-Cookman	L 71–76	76.1	Home	10–16
02-28	Florida A&M	L 59–66	67.4	Home	10–17
03-03	Alabama A&M	L 63–77	63.8	Away	10–18
03-05	Alabama St.	W 65–63	70.8	Away	11–18
03-09	Mississippi Val.	W 77–52	66.2	Neutral	12–18
03-10	Jackson St.	L 65–68	68.6	Neutral	12–19

Roster · 14 players

Player logs in 31 of 31 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Roderick Coffee III	29	35:16	82.5%	326	136	128	54	3	78	59	59–135	43.7%	45–120	37.5%	73–96	76.0%	49.6%	54.8%	37.6%	5	34:52 −0:24	87.2%	10.6 −0.6
Derrius Ward	31	30:46	76.9%	336	100	76	30	9	71	60	59–131	45.0%	50–148	33.8%	68–87	78.2%	48.0%	53.0%	31.2%	5	33:33 +2:48	83.9%	11.0 +0.2
Jamil Muttilib	31	27:37	69.1%	384	107	16	42	15	38	64	76–129	58.9%	53–165	32.1%	73–89	82.0%	52.9%	57.6%	30.3%	5	32:41 +5:03	81.7%	17.0 +4.6
Rickey Ballard	31	22:08	55.3%	213	84	29	36	8	27	80	16–32	50.0%	45–124	36.3%	46–62	74.2%	53.5%	58.1%	39.7%	5	21:55 −0:12	54.8%	4.8 −2.1
Antonio Munoz	26	25:26	53.3%	331	92	50	18	11	71	63	110–222	49.5%	1–14	7.1%†	108–164	65.9%	47.2%	53.7%	69.5%	4	23:13 −2:13	46.4%	9.0 −3.7
Devyn Franklin	31	18:41	46.7%	142	125	21	15	9	34	72	49–104	47.1%	1–17	5.9%†	41–59	69.5%	41.7%	48.3%	48.8%	5	23:25 +4:44	58.5%	5.2 +0.6
Jimel Lane	26	22:07	46.4%	198	117	26	24	12	42	50	63–135	46.7%	8–33	24.2%†	48–61	78.7%	44.6%	50.8%	36.3%	5	17:01 −5:05	42.5%	4.4 −3.2
Randarius Jones	19	15:26	23.6%	92	56	10	4	2	22	36	35–72	48.6%†	0–0	—	22–27	81.5%	48.6%†	54.8%†	37.5%†	—	—	—	—
Mekhi Fitts	21	10:00	16.9%	58	46	6	4	6	19	37	20–33	60.6%†	1–2	50.0%†	15–24	62.5%†	61.4%†	63.7%†	68.6%†	4	12:15 +2:15	24.5%	5.3 +2.5
Saliou Seye	15	7:12	8.7%	27	21	2	4	6	11	32	12–20	60.0%†	0–4	0.0%†	3–13	23.1%†	50.0%†	45.4%†	54.2%†	1	2:36 −4:36	1.3%	2.0 +0.2
Richard AmaefuleUnder 100 minutes	13	7:04	7.4%	13	9	0	2	1	10	14	4–12	33.3%†	0–1	0.0%†	5–6	83.3%†	30.8%†	41.6%†	46.2%†	3	6:44 −0:21	10.1%	1.0 0.0
PJ EdwardsUnder 100 minutes	13	6:15	6.5%	4	9	3	2	1	3	15	2–5	40.0%†	0–8	0.0%†	0–0	—	15.4%†	15.4%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Chancellor PerkinsUnder 100 minutes	16	3:39	4.7%	15	6	2	2	0	5	3	3–8	37.5%†	3–4	75.0%†	0–0	—	62.5%†	62.5%†	0.0%†	4	3:47 +0:08	7.6%	0.5 −0.4
Nazar MahmoudFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	1	5:22	0.4%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0–0	—	0–0	—	1–2	50.0%†	—	56.8%†	—	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	31 games			2140	1012	370	not published	84	456	not published	508–1038	48.9%	207–640	32.3%	503–690	72.9%	48.8%	54.0%	41.1%
Sum of players				2140	908	369	237	83	432	585	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+104	+1	not published	+1	+24	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $180K; 80% Range $69K to $485K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $180K to $185K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 4 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Roderick Coffee III	80.5%	$61K	$19K to $205K	31.1%	$61K to $62K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Derrius Ward	77.5%	$19K	$2K to $62K	13.6%	$18K to $19K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jamil Muttilib	70.2%	$7K	$1K to $37K	5.6%	$7K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Rickey Ballard	56.3%	$19K	$2K to $65K	11.6%	$19K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Antonio Munoz	52.2%	$11K	$1K to $40K	8.1%	$11K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Devyn Franklin	47.5%	$9K	$1K to $33K	6.7%	$8K to $9K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jimel Lane	45.8%	$8K	$1K to $32K	6.4%	$8K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Randarius Jones	25.1%	$10K	$2K to $33K	5.8%	$10K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mekhi Fitts	16.2%	$4K	$1K to $15K	3.1%	$4K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Saliou Seye	8.6%	$2K	$1K to $7K	1.1%	$2K in all four	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Richard Amaefule	7.4%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
PJ Edwards	7.0%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Chancellor Perkins	5.2%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Nazar Mahmoud	0.6%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$180K	$69K to $485K	100%	$180K to $185K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Grambling State University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,482,689	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$1,482,689
Athletics department expenses	$14,809,144
Athletics department revenue	$14,809,144

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 31 games, 2,150 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,140	2,209
Field goals made	715	759
Field goals attempted	1,678	1,715
3-pointers made	207	197
3-pointers attempted	640	603
Free throws made	503	494
Free throws attempted	690	686
Offensive rebounds	312	337
Defensive rebounds	700	718
Total rebounds	1,012	1,055
Assists	370	398
Blocks	84	138
Turnovers	456	447
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 237.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 585.
Minutes (derived)	6,200	not published

31 of 31 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,140	2,140	0	±10.7	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	715	715	0	±3.6	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,678	1,678	0	±8.4	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	207	207	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	640	640	0	±3.2	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	503	503	0	±2.5	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	690	690	0	±3.5	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,012	908	+104	±81.0	0
Assists	Reconciled	370	369	+1	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	84	83	+1	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	456	432	+24	±13.7	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	237	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	585	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,200	6,182	+18.3	±124.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Roderick Coffee III	80.5%	+2.2range +1.1 to +3.5Sufficient evidence
Derrius Ward	77.5%	-0.3range -1.2 to +0.7Sufficient evidence
Jamil Muttilib	70.2%	-1.9range -3.4 to -0.5Sufficient evidence
Rickey Ballard	56.3%	+0.2range -1.4 to +2.0Sufficient evidence
Antonio Munoz	52.2%	-0.7range -2.2 to +0.9Sufficient evidence
Devyn Franklin	47.5%	-0.9range -2.0 to +0.3Sufficient evidence
Jimel Lane	45.8%	-0.9range -2.0 to +0.1Sufficient evidence
Randarius Jones	25.1%	+0.5range -0.4 to +1.5Sufficient evidence
Mekhi Fitts	16.2%	-0.6range -1.6 to +0.5Sufficient evidence
Saliou Seye	8.6%	-2.1range -2.7 to -1.5Limited evidence
Richard Amaefule	7.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
PJ Edwards	7.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Chancellor Perkins	5.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Nazar Mahmoud	0.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +8.9range +8.0 to +9.7Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 96.0% of on-court time. 4 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 4.0%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 1.7%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value