Derrius Ward
Grambling · 2025–26 · 31 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
953:34 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 31
- Minutes per game
- 30:46
- Points per game
- 10.8
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 3.2 / 2.5
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 10.8 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| Per 40 minutes | 14.1 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| Season totals | 336 | 100 | 76 | 30 | 9 | 71 | 60 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 109–279 | 39.1% | 9.0 | 11.7 |
| 2P | 59–131 | 45.0% | 4.2 | 5.5 |
| 3P | 50–148 | 33.8% | 4.8 | 6.2 |
| FT | 68–87 | 78.2% | 2.8 | 3.6 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.0% | 53.0% | 53.0% | 31.2% | 1.07 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Grambling · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $19K
- 80% range $2K to $62K
- Median share of team pool
- 13.6%
- team pool $180K, 80% range $69K to $485K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $18K to $19K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $1K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 77.5%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Grambling: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Grambling | $19Kspeculative | $2K to $62K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -0.3 | -1.2 to +0.7 | Sufficient evidence | -1.1 | +0.8 | +4.8range +4.2 to +5.4 | 2,896 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Coppin St | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.6 | -1.8 to +0.5 | Sufficient evidence | -0.3 | -0.3 | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.8 | 880 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 33:33 | 30:46 | 13:57–40:00 | |
| Points | 11.0 | 10.8 | 0.0–24.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 53.6% | 47.2% | 0.0%–110.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Jackson St. | L 65–68 | 35:12 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 56.3% |
| 2026-03-09 | Mississippi Val. | W 77–52 | 24:23 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 4-7 | 110.0% |
| 2026-03-05 | Alabama St. | W 65–63 | 30:41 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 10.0% |
| 2026-03-03 | Alabama A&M | L 63–77 | 37:33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 44.4% |
| 2026-02-28 | Florida A&M | L 59–66 | 39:57 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6-17 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 47.1% |
| 2026-02-26 | Bethune-Cookman | L 71–76 | 39:59 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9-21 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 52.4% |
| 2026-02-23 | Mississippi Val. | W 83–62 | 22:46 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 57.1% |
| 2026-02-21 | Southern U. | L 73–87 | 27:58 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 41.7% |
| 2026-02-16 | Prairie View | L 63–68 | 40:00 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 42.3% |
| 2026-02-14 | Texas Southern | L 79–82 | 27:22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-09 | Alabama A&M | L 58–66 | 36:51 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 18.8% |
| 2026-02-07 | Alabama St. | W 57–47 | 32:51 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 58.3% |
| 2026-02-04 | Ark.-Pine Bluff | L 64–67 | 34:33 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-02 | Alcorn | W 74–50 | 30:03 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 70.0% |
| 2026-01-31 | Jackson St. | W 69–66 | 36:11 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 42.9% |
| 2026-01-17 | Southern U. | L 53–71 | 24:59 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 44.4% |
| 2026-01-12 | Florida A&M | L 84–91 | 39:59 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 53.8% |
| 2026-01-10 | Bethune-Cookman | L 65–74 | 29:25 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 30.8% |
| 2026-01-05 | Texas Southern | W 84–67 | 28:51 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 100.0% |
| 2026-01-03 | Prairie View | W 76–72 | 29:28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 25.0% |
| 2025-12-23 | Ohio St. | L 63–89 | 30:04 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 45.5% |
| 2025-12-19 | Hampton | W 81–72 | 27:01 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 71.4% |
| 2025-12-18 | Norfolk St. | W 80–68 | 29:37 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 44.4% |
| 2025-12-08 | Southern Miss. | L 60–68 | 30:55 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 30.0% |
| 2025-12-02 | Tulane | L 63–65 | 35:54 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 65.0% |
| 2025-11-24 | UC Riverside | L 74–83 | 13:57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-21 | California Baptist | L 59–72 | 25:27 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 80.0% |
| 2025-11-18 | San Diego | L 68–78 | 30:01 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 42.3% |
| 2025-11-13 | Southern Miss. | W 75–70 | 30:40 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 20.0% |
| 2025-11-09 · NCAA | Howard | W 73–70 | 29:06 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-06 | Iowa St. | L 62–102 | 21:50 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 58.3% |