Algosys College Basketball

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Utah St.

MWC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 18 · Raw net 16.0 · Tempo 68.2 · 34 Division I games · Through 2026-03-22

All seasons
Record
28–6
28 wins
AdjNet
18.6β
rank 23 of 365
AdjO
120.2β
rank 19 of 365
AdjD
101.6β
rank 40 of 365
AdjT
68.3β
SOS
5.4β
rank 76 of 363
NCSOS
1.9β
WAB
5.2β
rank 20 of 363
RR
1.7β
Exp. W
26.3β

Scouting Report

CategoryOffenseDefenseD-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.119.320103.365108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%56.51449.37851.4
TO / 100 poss.15.06620.41616.7
Offensive rebound %32.89632.628630.6
FTA / FGA %38.78338.627635.0
Shooting
3P%34.414734.421133.9
2P%59.8947.84151.7
FT%71.123572.921272.5
Style
3PA / FGA %40.641.239.5
Assists / FGM %60.249.152.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %8.99.89.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %29.833.531.4
2-pointers %50.644.448.8
Free throws %19.622.219.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size
9.0
Top Three Share of Minutes
44%
Bench Share of Minutes
37%
Players with Logged Minutes
12

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

DateOpponentResultPoss.SiteRecord
11-07VCUW 80–7776.3Neutral1–0
11-12Weber St.W 83–7371.0Home2–0
11-15UTEPW 75–5168.1Home3–0
11-21TulaneW 96–7568.8Neutral4–0
11-23DavidsonW 94–6070.4Neutral5–0
11-29Montana St.W 84–81 1OT77.4Home6–0
12-04South Fla.L 61–7470.7Away6–1
12-07CharlotteW 79–5364.8Away7–1
12-13Illinois St.W 83–7866.9Neutral8–1
12-20Colorado St.W 100–5863.7Home9–1
12-30Fresno St.W 72–6376.0Away10–1
01-03San Jose St.W 96–7864.4Home11–1
01-06Air ForceW 99–6266.1Away12–1
01-10Boise St.W 93–6865.4Away13–1
01-14NevadaW 71–6265.7Home14–1
01-17Grand CanyonL 74–8465.8Away14–2
01-20UNLVL 76–8668.3Home14–3
01-23Colorado St.W 65–6162.1Away15–3
01-28WyomingW 94–6265.8Home16–3
01-31San Diego St.W 71–6675.2Home17–3
02-04New MexicoW 86–6672.8Away18–3
02-07WyomingW 85–8367.7Away19–3
02-10Fresno St.W 91–7870.0Home20–3
02-14MemphisW 99–7571.6Home21–3
02-18Boise St.W 75–5660.2Home22–3
02-21NevadaL 77–8067.4Away22–4
02-28Grand CanyonW 74–6963.6Home23–4
03-03UNLVL 65–9270.3Away23–5
03-07New MexicoW 94–9069.2Home24–5
03-12UNLVW 80–6069.8Neutral25–5
03-13NevadaW 79–6673.1Neutral26–5
03-14San Diego St.W 73–6265.3Neutral27–5
03-20VillanovaW 86–7668.1—28–5
03-22ArizonaL 66–7864.4—28–6

Roster · 12 players

Player logs in 34 of 34 team games

MinutesPer 40 MinutesShootingLast Five Team Games
PlayerGMPGTeam Min%PtsRebAstStlBlkTOPF2P2P%3P3P%FTFT%eFG%TS%FTA/FGAGMPGMin%Pts/G
Mason Falslev3432:2980.9%20.07.13.82.50.31.92.7156–27357.1%45–11738.5%106–14075.7%57.3%61.2%35.9%532:49 +0:2082.0%16.4 +0.1
MJ Collins3430:5877.1%22.43.22.11.10.11.42.0122–19761.9%75–21435.0%120–14881.1%57.1%61.9%36.0%534:57 +3:5987.4%16.8 −0.5
Drake Allen3325:4662.3%12.74.67.23.10.63.03.865–11656.0%27–8133.3%59–9562.1%53.6%56.5%48.2%530:09 +4:2375.4%10.6 +2.4
Adlan Elamin3319:3647.4%13.06.22.01.40.81.53.551–8460.7%25–8429.8%33–4180.5%52.7%56.4%24.4%524:46 +5:1061.9%8.4 +2.0
Karson Templin3418:5747.2%18.79.01.61.61.92.05.984–14956.4%21–6035.0%70–10467.3%55.3%59.1%49.8%518:30 −0:2746.3%6.0 −2.9
Kolby King3418:3546.3%15.97.23.21.50.11.72.936–5664.3%41–10539.0%56–7574.7%60.6%64.7%46.6%512:29 −6:0631.2%5.2 −2.2
Garry Clark3416:2941.1%17.010.31.51.01.01.65.597–13174.0%1–714.3%†41–7653.9%71.4%69.4%55.1%514:07 −2:2335.3%7.6 +0.6
Elijah Perryman3413:5234.5%12.44.48.62.10.83.93.838–7451.4%14–5028.0%28–3580.0%47.6%52.4%28.2%59:00 −4:5222.5%0.8 −3.5
Zach Keller3413:3133.7%10.45.71.50.50.21.76.438–6459.4%†8–1650.0%†20–3655.6%62.5%†62.6%†45.0%†515:59 +2:2740.0%3.8 +0.3
Tucker Anderson2311:3219.4%10.63.92.41.10.60.53.610–1952.6%†14–4332.6%†8–1172.7%†50.0%†52.4%†17.7%†39:16 −2:1613.9%2.0 −1.0
Jordy Barnes164:565.8%4.14.64.62.00.01.56.12–633.3%†1–119.1%†1–250.0%†20.6%†22.4%†11.8%†11:30 −3:260.8%0.0 −0.5
Luke Kearney113:002.4%24.23.62.42.40.01.24.83–475.0%†4–1428.6%†2–2100.0%†50.0%†53.0%†11.1%†11:30 −1:300.8%0.0 −1.8
Team, games with logs · per 40 team minutes34 games81.334.117.32.910.2702–117359.8%276–80234.4%544–76571.1%56.5%60.0%38.7%
Sum of players81.330.417.38.62.99.818.8Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players0.0+3.70.00.0+0.5

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool
$850K
80% Range $385K to $1.90M
Tier
Mid and high major
low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4
$800K to $895K
Scenario medians
Players with Figures
12
2 floor only
Players in possession-share order
PlayerPoss. ShareSpeculative Best Guess80% RangeRange GraphicMedian % of Team PoolScenarios Z1 to Z4Floor PartEvidence and Flags
Mason Falslev81.7%$175K$77K to $405K19.7%$165K to $185K$7KSufficient evidence
MJ Collins77.2%$185K$79K to $450K20.7%$175K to $195K$7KSufficient evidence
Drake Allen63.0%$115K$50K to $270K13.6%$110K to $120K$7KSufficient evidence
Adlan Elamin50.6%$61K$21K to $150K8.0%$57K to $64K$7KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Karson Templin48.0%$74K$30K to $180K9.3%$70K to $79K$7KSufficient evidence
Kolby King46.8%$50K$16K to $125K6.6%$46K to $52K$7KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Garry Clark38.4%$70K$30K to $165K8.3%$67K to $74K$7KSufficient evidence
Zach Keller33.9%$24K$6K to $74K3.3%$23K to $26K$7KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Elijah Perryman33.4%$36K$11K to $92K4.7%$33K to $38K$7KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tucker Anderson18.2%$19K$6K to $50K2.5%$18K to $20K$7KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jordy Barnes6.1%$7K$3K to $17K0.8%$6K to $7K$7KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Luke Kearney2.5%$7K$3K to $17K0.8%$6K to $7K$7KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool—$850K$385K to $1.90M100%$800K to $895K—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Utah State University (NCAA Division I-FBS)
MeasureSchool-Reported AmountNote
Men's basketball revenue$5,717,996Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses$5,717,996
Athletics department expenses$48,349,839
Athletics department revenue$48,349,839

Team Totalsβ

Season per 40 minutes, 34 games, 2,326 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Per 40 uses 1365 game minutes, 5 per overtime period. Definitions

StatisticTeamOpponents
Points81.370.4
Field goals made28.723.5
Field goals attempted57.955.5
3-pointers made8.17.9
3-pointers attempted23.522.9
Free throws made15.915.6
Free throws attempted22.421.4
Offensive rebounds10.711.3
Defensive rebounds23.421.9
Total rebounds34.133.3
Assists17.311.5
Blocks2.93.4
Turnovers10.213.9
StealsNo team figure. Players sum to 293.
Personal foulsNo team figure. Players sum to 640.
Minutes (derived)200.0

34 of 34 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

StatisticStatusTeam Total, Logged GamesSum of PlayersResidualToleranceTeam Total, Games Without Logs
PointsReconciled2,7762,7760±13.90
Field goals madeReconciled9789780±4.90
Field goals attemptedReconciled1,9751,9750±9.90
3-pointers madeReconciled2762760±2.00
3-pointers attemptedReconciled8028020±4.00
Free throws madeReconciled5445440±2.70
Free throws attemptedReconciled7657650±3.80
Offensive reboundsNo player split
Defensive reboundsNo player split
Total reboundsResidual shown1,1631,037+126±93.00
AssistsReconciled5895890±2.90
BlocksReconciled99990±2.00
TurnoversResidual shown349333+16±10.50
StealsNo team figure293
Personal foulsNo team figure640
Minutes (derived)Reconciled6,8256,799+25.7±136.50

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
PlayerPoss. ShareNet and RangeβRange Graphic
Mason Falslev81.7%+5.0range +4.0 to +6.1Sufficient evidence
MJ Collins77.2%+5.6range +4.0 to +7.1Sufficient evidence
Drake Allen63.0%+4.2range +2.9 to +5.4Sufficient evidence
Adlan Elamin50.6%+2.5range +1.3 to +3.4Sufficient evidence
Karson Templin48.0%+3.3range +2.0 to +4.8Sufficient evidence
Kolby King46.8%+1.9range +0.6 to +3.1Sufficient evidence
Garry Clark38.4%+4.1range +2.8 to +5.2Sufficient evidence
Zach Keller33.9%+0.4range -0.8 to +1.3Sufficient evidence
Elijah Perryman33.4%+1.6range +0.5 to +2.6Sufficient evidence
Tucker Anderson18.2%+0.7range -0.6 to +2.3Sufficient evidence
Jordy Barnes6.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Luke Kearney2.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions
+12.8range +11.7 to +13.8Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 98.3% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.7%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value