MJ Collins
Utah St. · 2025–26 · 34 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season
Logged performance
1052:51 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 34
- Minutes per game
- 30:58
- Points per game
- 17.3
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.5 / 1.6
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 17.3 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Per 40 minutes | 22.4 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Season totals | 589 | 85 | 56 | 29 | 3 | 36 | 52 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 197–411 | 47.9% | 12.1 | 15.6 |
| 2P | 122–197 | 61.9% | 5.8 | 7.5 |
| 3P | 75–214 | 35.0% | 6.3 | 8.1 |
| FT | 120–148 | 81.1% | 4.4 | 5.6 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.1% | 61.9% | 52.1% | 36.0% | 1.56 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Utah St · Mid and high major · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $185K
- 80% range $79K to $450K
- Median share of team pool
- 20.7%
- team pool $850K, 80% range $385K to $1.90M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $175K to $195K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $7K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 77.2%
- Sufficient evidence
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Utah St: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Utah St | $185Kspeculative | $79K to $450K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +5.6 | +4.0 to +7.1 | Sufficient evidence | +3.6 | +2.0 | +8.3range +7.2 to +9.4 | 3,273 | Prior built from the box-score line only, without a prior-season value. Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 34:57 | 30:58 | 20:45–41:27 | |
| Points | 16.8 | 17.3 | 4.0–40.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 50.3% | 56.6% | 20.0%–94.7% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Arizona | L 66–78 | 37:09 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 35.7% |
| 2026-03-20 | Villanova | W 86–76 | 35:22 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 5-9 | 62.5% |
| 2026-03-14 | San Diego St. | W 73–62 | 37:20 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8-15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 66.7% |
| 2026-03-13 | Nevada | W 79–66 | 30:47 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 33.3% |
| 2026-03-12 | UNLV | W 80–60 | 34:05 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7-15 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 53.3% |
| 2026-03-07 | New Mexico | W 94–90 | 29:17 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7-14 | 4-10 | 9-9 | 64.3% |
| 2026-03-03 | UNLV | L 65–92 | 23:51 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 20.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Grand Canyon | W 74–69 | 31:59 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 45.5% |
| 2026-02-21 | Nevada | L 77–80 | 22:13 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 40.9% |
| 2026-02-18 | Boise St. | W 75–56 | 29:49 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 78.6% |
| 2026-02-14 | Memphis | W 99–75 | 31:30 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10-14 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 75.0% |
| 2026-02-10 | Fresno St. | W 91–78 | 26:22 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 54.2% |
| 2026-02-07 | Wyoming | W 85–83 | 36:27 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 10-14 | 62.5% |
| 2026-02-04 | New Mexico | W 86–66 | 33:12 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 45.8% |
| 2026-01-31 | San Diego St. | W 71–66 | 34:27 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-14 | 2-9 | 4-5 | 28.6% |
| 2026-01-28 | Wyoming | W 94–62 | 20:45 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 60.0% |
| 2026-01-23 | Colorado St. | W 65–61 | 33:55 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 53.3% |
| 2026-01-20 | UNLV | L 76–86 | 34:50 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 38.5% |
| 2026-01-17 | Grand Canyon | L 74–84 | 32:33 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 42.3% |
| 2026-01-14 | Nevada | W 71–62 | 32:45 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 44.4% |
| 2026-01-10 | Boise St. | W 93–68 | 26:36 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 80.8% |
| 2026-01-06 | Air Force | W 99–62 | 23:10 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 64.3% |
| 2026-01-03 | San Jose St. | W 96–78 | 30:25 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 7-8 | 72.7% |
| 2025-12-30 | Fresno St. | W 72–63 | 33:20 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 56.3% |
| 2025-12-20 | Colorado St. | W 100–58 | 21:46 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 72.2% |
| 2025-12-13 | Illinois St. | W 83–78 | 35:27 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 61.5% |
| 2025-12-07 | Charlotte | W 79–53 | 26:35 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 53.8% |
| 2025-12-04 | South Fla. | L 61–74 | 30:52 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 42.3% |
| 2025-11-29 | Montana St. | W 84–81 | 41:27 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 7-8 | 72.7% |
| 2025-11-23 | Davidson | W 94–60 | 29:21 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14-19 | 8-12 | 4-4 | 94.7% |
| 2025-11-21 | Tulane | W 96–75 | 34:08 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 85.0% |
| 2025-11-15 | UTEP | W 75–51 | 32:25 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 64.3% |
| 2025-11-12 | Weber St. | W 83–73 | 24:58 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 38.9% |
| 2025-11-07 | VCU | W 80–77 | 33:43 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 60.0% |