Algosys College Basketball

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Marshall

SB · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 139 · Raw net 2.2 · Tempo 70.7 · 31 Division I games · Through 2026-03-08

All seasons
Record
18–13
18 wins
AdjNet
-0.3β
rank 178 of 365
AdjO
111.7β
rank 99 of 365
AdjD
112.0β
rank 269 of 365
AdjT
70.1β
SOS
-2.5β
rank 247 of 363
NCSOS
0.4β
WAB
-7.1β
rank 153 of 363
RR
0.8β
Exp. W
17.2β

Scouting Report

CategoryOffenseDefenseD-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.113.873111.6264108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%54.84250.311751.4
TO / 100 poss.16.617216.320116.7
Offensive rebound %31.912733.831630.6
FTA / FGA %29.232541.131335.0
Shooting
3P%36.83433.616433.9
2P%54.67250.311051.7
FT%73.017072.619472.5
Style
3PA / FGA %44.339.639.5
Assists / FGM %56.546.052.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %13.18.29.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %37.330.631.4
2-pointers %46.446.548.8
Free throws %16.322.919.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size
9.0
Top Three Share of Minutes
47%
Bench Share of Minutes
35%
Players with Logged Minutes
12

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

DateOpponentResultPoss.SiteRecord
11-03MassachusettsW 78–7281.6Away1–0
11-08ToledoW 85–7371.4Away2–0
11-12ElonW 96–8976.5Home3–0
11-15VirginiaL 78–10475.8Away3–1
11-20Ark.-Pine BluffW 98–7076.7Home4–1
11-23MercyhurstW 69–6063.1Home5–1
11-26LipscombL 67–9077.9Home5–2
12-03UNCWL 69–7062.4Away5–3
12-06OhioL 81–8872.6Away5–4
12-10Western Ky.W 77–6168.5Home6–4
12-13Wright St.W 76–7463.2Home7–4
12-20TroyL 63–7069.8Away7–5
12-31Georgia St.W 84–8074.7Home8–5
01-03App StateW 88–8170.3Home9–5
01-07James MadisonW 66–6461.9Away10–5
01-10Georgia St.L 73–8173.5Away10–6
01-14Coastal CarolinaL 83–8569.3Home10–7
01-17James MadisonW 77–7268.4Home11–7
01-22ULMW 115–6074.0Home12–7
01-28Texas St.L 68–7268.9Away12–8
01-31Arkansas St.W 70–6163.5Away13–8
02-04Southern Miss.W 81–7766.3Home14–8
02-07Miami (OH)L 74–9070.5Home14–9
02-11Old DominionW 81–7970.6Away15–9
02-14Ga. SouthernL 87–10177.5Away15–10
02-16South AlabamaW 84–8064.7Home16–10
02-19App StateW 94–9366.5Away17–10
02-21Coastal CarolinaL 75–7975.3Away17–11
02-24Old DominionW 97–8872.1Home18–11
02-27Ga. SouthernL 82–9971.7Home18–12
03-08Ga. SouthernL 78–8272.4Neutral18–13

Roster · 12 players

Player logs in 31 of 31 team games

MinutesPer GameShootingLast Five Team Games
PlayerGMPGTeam Min%PtsRebAstStlBlkTOPF2P2P%3P3P%FTFT%eFG%TS%FTA/FGAGMPGMin%Pts/G
Jalen Speer3132:4982.0%15.94.05.41.10.12.42.575–18341.0%89–24436.5%76–9282.6%48.8%52.7%21.5%534:17 +1:2885.7%20.6 +4.7
Noah Otshudi3032:2078.2%14.53.33.50.90.02.82.3142–28949.1%21–6930.4%88–10484.6%48.5%53.9%29.1%434:58 +2:3869.9%15.8 +1.3
Wyatt Fricks3129:2173.4%15.55.61.30.81.51.23.1132–18770.6%50–14335.0%68–10167.3%62.7%64.4%30.6%531:13 +1:5278.1%17.0 +1.5
Wilson Dubinsky3118:5847.4%5.13.21.30.50.00.51.69–3129.0%39–10039.0%24–3177.4%51.5%55.0%23.7%520:38 +1:4051.6%3.0 −2.1
Caleb Hollenbeck3117:1042.9%5.01.40.90.20.00.41.55–1338.5%47–12338.2%5–1241.7%†55.5%55.2%8.8%57:31 −9:4018.8%2.8 −2.2
Landen Joseph3017:0341.2%7.92.62.01.20.21.21.646–8454.8%37–9140.7%33–4671.7%58.0%60.4%26.3%527:21 +10:1868.4%14.2 +6.3
Matt Van Komen2121:2236.2%7.87.80.60.22.61.72.166–9172.5%†0–0—32–4178.0%72.5%†75.2%†45.1%†————
Erich Harding3114:1335.6%3.82.80.50.30.60.72.446–7363.0%†0–20.0%†25–5248.1%61.3%†59.8%†69.3%†513:16 −0:5733.2%2.4 −1.4
Shamarrie Hugie2512:2024.9%4.42.40.50.40.10.71.527–5152.9%†12–2941.4%†20–3262.5%56.3%†58.5%†40.0%†523:04 +10:4457.7%8.2 +3.8
Drew Fuquay287:2116.6%2.81.70.20.20.40.31.624–3568.6%†5–1241.7%†16–2272.7%†67.0%†69.7%†46.8%†411:52 +4:3123.7%5.0 +2.2
Bryce Slay238:1615.3%1.91.00.50.40.10.31.33–1421.4%†9–2634.6%†11–1478.6%†41.3%†47.7%†35.0%†29:06 +0:499.1%1.0 −0.9
Kai Spears144:325.1%1.10.90.40.40.00.11.24–1040.0%†0–10.0%†8–988.9%†36.4%†53.5%†81.8%†32:25 −2:073.6%0.0 −1.1
Team, games with logs · per game31 games80.536.416.24.811.7579–106154.6%310–84336.8%406–55673.0%54.8%58.0%29.2%
Sum of players80.432.516.26.14.711.220.4Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players+0.1+3.80.0+0.0+0.5

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool
$325K
80% Range $120K to $865K
Tier
Low and other
low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4
$295K to $340K
Scenario medians
Players with Figures
12
1 floor only
Players in possession-share order
PlayerPoss. ShareSpeculative Best Guess80% RangeRange GraphicMedian % of Team PoolScenarios Z1 to Z4Floor PartEvidence and Flags
Jalen Speer84.2%$56K$18K to $155K17.7%$50K to $58K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Noah Otshudi78.3%$13K$2K to $66K6.0%$11K to $13K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Wyatt Fricks75.0%$63K$20K to $185K18.4%$57K to $66K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Wilson Dubinsky47.9%$46K$15K to $145K13.5%$41K to $48K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Caleb Hollenbeck43.8%$16K$3K to $56K6.5%$15K to $17K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Landen Joseph40.5%$17K$3K to $55K6.6%$15K to $17K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Matt Van Komen37.1%$50K$16K to $170K14.2%$45K to $52K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Erich Harding36.8%$9K$2K to $37K3.8%$8K to $9K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Shamarrie Hugie24.1%$6K$1K to $22K2.0%$5K to $6K$3KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Bryce Slay13.9%$6K$2K to $19K2.1%$5K to $6K$3KLimited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Drew Fuquay13.2%$5K$2K to $18K2.0%$5K to $6K$3KLimited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kai Spears5.1%$3K$1K to $7K0.8%$2K to $3K$3KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool—$325K$120K to $865K100%$295K to $340K—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Marshall University (NCAA Division I-FBS)
MeasureSchool-Reported AmountNote
Men's basketball revenue$3,593,971Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses$3,593,971
Athletics department expenses$47,042,862
Athletics department revenue$47,042,862

Team Totalsβ

Season per game, 31 games, 2,192 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

StatisticTeamOpponents
Points80.578.9
Field goals made28.726.4
Field goals attempted61.460.5
3-pointers made10.08.0
3-pointers attempted27.223.9
Free throws made13.118.1
Free throws attempted17.924.9
Offensive rebounds11.212.9
Defensive rebounds25.223.8
Total rebounds36.436.7
Assists16.212.1
Blocks4.82.8
Turnovers11.711.5
StealsNo team figure. Players sum to 189.
Personal foulsNo team figure. Players sum to 633.
Minutes (derived)200.0

31 of 31 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

StatisticStatusTeam Total, Logged GamesSum of PlayersResidualToleranceTeam Total, Games Without Logs
PointsReconciled2,4942,491+3±12.50
Field goals madeReconciled889888+1±4.40
Field goals attemptedReconciled1,9041,901+3±9.50
3-pointers madeReconciled310309+1±2.00
3-pointers attemptedReconciled843840+3±4.20
Free throws madeReconciled4064060±2.00
Free throws attemptedReconciled5565560±2.80
Offensive reboundsNo player split
Defensive reboundsNo player split
Total reboundsResidual shown1,1271,009+118±90.20
AssistsReconciled5025020±2.50
BlocksReconciled148147+1±2.00
TurnoversResidual shown363348+15±10.90
StealsNo team figure189
Personal foulsNo team figure633
Minutes (derived)Reconciled6,2006,186+13.9±124.00

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
PlayerPoss. ShareNet and RangeβRange Graphic
Jalen Speer84.2%+1.5range +0.5 to +2.3Sufficient evidence
Noah Otshudi78.3%-1.5range -2.5 to -0.3Sufficient evidence
Wyatt Fricks75.0%+2.1range +0.9 to +3.6Sufficient evidence
Wilson Dubinsky47.9%+2.7range +1.2 to +4.0Sufficient evidence
Caleb Hollenbeck43.8%-0.1range -1.4 to +1.4Sufficient evidence
Landen Joseph40.5%+0.2range -1.2 to +1.5Sufficient evidence
Matt Van Komen37.1%+3.9range +2.3 to +5.2Sufficient evidence
Erich Harding36.8%-1.1range -2.1 to -0.1Sufficient evidence
Shamarrie Hugie24.1%-1.8range -2.7 to -0.8Sufficient evidence
Bryce Slay13.9%-0.8range -1.7 to +0.0Limited evidence
Drew Fuquay13.2%-0.7range -1.7 to +0.1Limited evidence
Kai Spears5.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions
+10.1range +9.1 to +11.0Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

11 valued players hold 99.0% of on-court time. 1 without a value (under 300 possessions) holds 1.0%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 5.4%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value