East Carolina

AAC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 299 · Raw net -8.8 · Tempo 69.2 · 30 Division I games · Through 2026-03-08

Record: 10–20; 10 wins
AdjNet: -7.5β; rank 271 of 365
AdjO: 102.7β; rank 295 of 365
AdjD: 110.2β; rank 228 of 365
AdjT: 69.4β
SOS: -0.1β; rank 170 of 363
NCSOS: -1.1β
WAB: -12.6β; rank 272 of 363
RR: -0.4β
Exp. W: 10.4β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	102.1303	110.9242	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	46.4346	52.3229	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	17.1213	16.2206	16.7
Offensive rebound %	33.479	32.5282	30.6
FTA / FGA %	39.274	32.2110	35.0
Shooting
3P%	29.3351	34.9244	33.9
2P%	47.5323	52.2209	51.7
FT%	70.0274	72.2169	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	31.1	38.8	39.5
Assists / FGM %	47.3	54.6	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	10.8	8.1	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	22.8	31.8	31.4
2-pointers %	54.4	50.0	48.8
Free throws %	22.8	18.2	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.3
Top Three Share of Minutes: 50%
Bench Share of Minutes: 31%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-04	Ga. Southern	W 92–89	80.4	Home	1–0
11-08	Richmond	L 72–87	73.9	Away	1–1
11-18	UNCW	L 60–85	67.0	Away	1–2
11-21	Charleston So.	L 65–77	70.8	Home	1–3
11-25	Michigan St.	L 56–89	72.0	Neutral	1–4
11-27	St. Bonaventure	L 58–67	70.8	Neutral	1–5
12-02	UMES	W 68–56	59.1	Home	2–5
12-06	UNC Greensboro	L 78–82	69.5	Home	2–6
12-11	App State	L 54–67	65.2	Home	2–7
12-14	Buffalo	W 73–70	68.6	Home	3–7
12-17	Presbyterian	W 74–53	68.5	Home	4–7
12-22	North Carolina	L 51–99	76.2	Away	4–8
12-31	Tulane	L 70–79	65.9	Home	4–9
01-07	Temple	L 67–75	65.2	Away	4–10
01-11	UAB	L 85–87 1OT	83.4	Home	4–11
01-14	South Fla.	L 71–82	74.1	Away	4–12
01-18	Charlotte	L 70–73	65.9	Home	4–13
01-21	Wichita St.	L 60–77	65.0	Away	4–14
01-23	North Texas	W 63–59	64.3	Away	5–14
01-28	Rice	L 77–83	70.1	Home	5–15
02-01	Fla. Atlantic	W 76–75	67.1	Away	6–15
02-07	Temple	L 73–81	63.7	Home	6–16
02-11	UTSA	W 88–72	71.0	Home	7–16
02-14	Rice	W 85–75	66.5	Away	8–16
02-18	Wichita St.	L 89–92 2OT	88.1	Home	8–17
02-21	Charlotte	L 56–68	65.3	Away	8–18
02-25	UTSA	W 82–81	67.5	Away	9–18
03-01	Memphis	W 84–68	73.5	Home	10–18
03-05	Tulsa	L 66–93	66.7	Home	10–19
03-08	UAB	L 83–90	76.2	Away	10–20

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 30 of 30 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Jordan Riley	30	37:15	92.0%	708	181	74	58	16	70	55	213–479	44.5%	33–108	30.6%	183–257	71.2%	44.7%	50.6%	43.8%	5	38:30 +1:15	96.3%	23.0 −0.6
Giovanni Emejuru	30	32:30	80.3%	376	276	16	25	51	54	77	128–218	58.7%	0–1	0.0%†	120–196	61.2%	58.4%	61.6%	89.5%	5	32:13 −0:17	80.5%	9.4 −3.1
Corey Caulker	30	30:42	75.8%	236	71	115	22	1	45	61	41–123	33.3%	41–125	32.8%	31–40	77.5%	41.3%	44.4%	16.1%	5	34:47 +4:05	87.0%	14.4 +6.5
Isaiah Mbeng	30	22:27	55.4%	135	62	78	25	1	51	46	23–47	48.9%	24–93	25.8%	17–26	65.4%	42.1%	44.6%	18.6%	5	15:08 −7:19	37.8%	2.4 −2.1
Demitri Gardner	18	27:52	41.3%	200	41	17	14	6	28	24	45–97	46.4%	26–61	42.6%	32–37	86.5%	53.2%	57.4%	23.4%	5	31:59 +4:07	80.0%	10.6 −0.5
Reid Cason	30	15:08	37.4%	116	101	9	17	30	27	65	44–72	61.1%†	1–8	12.5%†	25–38	65.8%	56.9%†	60.0%†	47.5%†	5	16:06 +0:58	40.3%	6.2 +2.3
Tybo Bailey	19	23:21	36.5%	123	42	15	14	0	24	36	15–47	31.9%	20–71	28.2%	33–48	68.8%	38.1%	44.2%	40.7%	—	—	—	—
Eli DeLaurier	22	15:34	28.2%	111	53	8	7	6	24	59	40–71	56.3%†	4–28	14.3%†	19–21	90.5%†	46.5%†	51.3%†	21.2%†	4	17:15 +1:40	34.5%	5.3 +0.2
Luke Davis	26	12:10	26.0%	68	81	12	6	6	12	30	25–47	53.2%†	1–6	16.7%†	15–19	78.9%†	50.0%†	55.4%†	35.8%†	5	11:51 −0:18	29.6%	4.0 +1.4
Patrick D'Arcy	20	6:42	11.0%	22	11	3	5	0	0	14	1–2	50.0%†	6–26	23.1%†	2–2	100.0%†	35.7%†	38.1%†	7.1%†	3	5:47 −0:55	8.7%	0.0 −1.1
Vito Perkovic	18	6:30	9.6%	37	25	1	1	1	1	10	7–22	31.8%†	6–23	26.1%†	5–5	100.0%†	35.6%†	39.2%†	11.1%†	2	3:02 −3:29	3.0%	0.0 −2.1
Jayshayne WoodardFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	12:19	4.1%	12	5	5	1	2	5	4	2–3	66.7%†	1–5	20.0%†	5–8	62.5%†	43.8%†	52.1%†	100.0%†	—	—	—	—
Ladontae FeltonFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	3	2:07	0.5%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0–1	0.0%†	0–1	0.0%†	2–2	100.0%†	0.0%†	34.7%†	100.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	30 games			2146	1087	353	not published	121	359	not published	584–1229	47.5%	163–556	29.3%	489–699	70.0%	46.4%	51.3%	39.2%
Sum of players				2146	949	353	195	120	341	482	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+138	0	not published	+1	+18	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $910K; 80% Range $395K to $2.05M
Tier: Mid and high major; low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $710K to $1.00M; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Jordan Riley	92.4%	$230K	$71K to $695K	22.8%	$180K to $255K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Giovanni Emejuru	81.6%	$88K	$6K to $285K	13.4%	$70K to $99K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Corey Caulker	75.7%	$100K	$8K to $295K	13.7%	$81K to $115K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaiah Mbeng	55.0%	$26K	$4K to $130K	4.2%	$20K to $29K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Demitri Gardner	44.3%	$61K	$7K to $195K	8.2%	$49K to $69K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Reid Cason	39.0%	$68K	$11K to $215K	8.1%	$53K to $76K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tybo Bailey	34.8%	$33K	$5K to $115K	5.1%	$27K to $38K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Eli DeLaurier	28.7%	$26K	$4K to $95K	4.1%	$21K to $29K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Luke Davis	25.0%	$64K	$17K to $225K	6.3%	$49K to $70K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Patrick D'Arcy	9.9%	$15K	$5K to $42K	2.1%	$12K to $17K	$7K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Vito Perkovic	9.0%	$24K	$8K to $74K	2.6%	$19K to $26K	$7K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jayshayne Woodard	4.0%	$7K	$3K to $16K	0.8%	$5K to $7K	$7K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Ladontae Felton	0.5%	$7K	$3K to $16K	0.8%	$5K to $7K	$7K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$910K	$395K to $2.05M	100%	$710K to $1.00M	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, East Carolina University (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$4,299,003
Men's basketball expenses	$4,288,223
Athletics department expenses	$64,764,468
Athletics department revenue	$68,011,262

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 30 games, 2,101 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,146	2,331
Field goals made	747	830
Field goals attempted	1,785	1,824
3-pointers made	163	247
3-pointers attempted	556	707
Free throws made	489	424
Free throws attempted	699	587
Offensive rebounds	372	345
Defensive rebounds	715	742
Total rebounds	1,087	1,087
Assists	353	453
Blocks	121	99
Turnovers	359	341
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 195.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 482.
Minutes (derived)	6,075	not published

30 of 30 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,146	2,146	0	±10.7	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	747	747	0	±3.7	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,785	1,785	0	±8.9	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	163	163	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	556	556	0	±2.8	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	489	489	0	±2.4	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	699	699	0	±3.5	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,087	949	+138	±87.0	0
Assists	Reconciled	353	353	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	121	120	+1	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	359	341	+18	±10.8	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	195	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	482	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,075	6,052	+23.0	±121.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Jordan Riley	92.4%	+0.3range -0.8 to +1.4Sufficient evidence
Giovanni Emejuru	81.6%	-1.0range -2.1 to +0.4Sufficient evidence
Corey Caulker	75.7%	-0.7range -1.6 to +0.4Sufficient evidence
Isaiah Mbeng	55.0%	-2.3range -3.9 to -0.8Sufficient evidence
Demitri Gardner	44.3%	-0.6range -1.6 to +0.3Sufficient evidence
Reid Cason	39.0%	-0.2range -1.2 to +0.9Sufficient evidence
Tybo Bailey	34.8%	-1.2range -2.5 to +0.1Sufficient evidence
Eli DeLaurier	28.7%	-1.5range -2.7 to -0.1Sufficient evidence
Luke Davis	25.0%	+0.3range -0.8 to +1.5Sufficient evidence
Patrick D'Arcy	9.9%	-1.0range -1.4 to -0.5Limited evidence
Vito Perkovic	9.0%	-0.2range -0.9 to +0.7Limited evidence
Jayshayne Woodard	4.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Ladontae Felton	0.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +8.7range +7.9 to +9.7Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

11 valued players hold 99.1% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.9%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 3.8%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value