Algosys College Basketball

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Richmond

A-10 · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 127 · Raw net 2.9 · Tempo 68.5 · 31 Division I games · Through 2026-03-11

All seasons
Record
14–17
14 wins
AdjNet
1.9β
rank 141 of 365
AdjO
110.6β
rank 120 of 365
AdjD
108.7β
rank 190 of 365
AdjT
68.6β
SOS
-0.4β
rank 180 of 363
NCSOS
-8.0β
WAB
-9.5β
rank 214 of 363
RR
-2.9β
Exp. W
16.9β

Scouting Report

CategoryOffenseDefenseD-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.111.2118108.4177108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%52.711752.021651.4
TO / 100 poss.14.33317.711016.7
Offensive rebound %25.034131.020230.6
FTA / FGA %36.913335.118035.0
Shooting
3P%37.12832.710433.9
2P%50.523354.529951.7
FT%75.27671.512572.5
Style
3PA / FGA %42.645.639.5
Assists / FGM %54.548.252.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %7.37.79.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %35.634.731.4
2-pointers %43.645.948.8
Free throws %20.819.419.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size
10.4
Top Three Share of Minutes
38%
Bench Share of Minutes
42%
Players with Logged Minutes
14

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

DateOpponentResultPoss.SiteRecord
11-08East CarolinaW 87–7273.9Home1–0
11-11William & MaryW 90–8677.3Home2–0
11-19VMIW 87–5466.1Home3–0
11-22Gardner-WebbW 102–6774.9Home4–0
11-27FurmanL 72–7369.0Neutral4–1
11-28CharlotteW 71–6665.8Neutral5–1
12-03BelmontW 84–7673.8Away6–1
12-06Old DominionW 86–7775.4Home7–1
12-13Southern Ill.W 93–84 1OT87.3Home8–1
12-17ElonL 70–7366.2Away8–2
12-20The CitadelW 80–5664.7Home9–2
12-28Charleston So.L 72–7772.3Home9–3
12-31George WashingtonL 85–9965.5Home9–4
01-04FordhamW 83–7563.0Away10–4
01-07St. BonaventureW 89–8069.7Away11–4
01-11Saint Joseph'sL 65–6769.7Home11–5
01-14La SalleW 74–5366.0Home12–5
01-17Saint LouisL 63–8869.4Away12–6
01-21Rhode IslandL 68–6968.7Home12–7
01-24George WashingtonL 69–8566.9Away12–8
01-27VCUL 69–7760.7Away12–9
01-31DavidsonL 54–7957.8Home12–10
02-07Rhode IslandL 77–8268.0Away12–11
02-10George MasonW 82–7070.1Home13–11
02-14VCUL 67–7869.9Home13–12
02-18DavidsonL 63–6563.8Away13–13
02-21St. BonaventureW 99–9473.4Home14–13
02-28Loyola ChicagoL 66–6972.0Away14–14
03-03DaytonL 60–6561.8Home14–15
03-07DuquesneL 77–7965.9Away14–16
03-11Loyola ChicagoL 67–7562.5Neutral14–17

Roster · 14 players

Player logs in 31 of 31 team games

MinutesPer GameShootingLast Five Team Games
PlayerGMPGTeam Min%PtsRebAstStlBlkTOPF2P2P%3P3P%FTFT%eFG%TS%FTA/FGAGMPGMin%Pts/G
Will Johnston3127:4168.9%9.92.92.20.50.10.91.842–10340.8%57–15337.3%51–5986.4%49.8%54.3%23.0%528:48 +1:0772.0%10.6 +0.7
AJ Lopez3126:1965.5%13.72.31.31.00.50.91.790–17651.1%41–10240.2%123–14386.0%54.5%62.5%51.4%531:24 +5:0578.5%15.8 +2.1
Aiden Argabright3023:2456.4%10.82.02.01.10.00.82.252–11346.0%27–7735.1%139–16882.7%48.7%61.4%88.4%526:16 +2:5265.7%10.8 0.0
Mike Walz3121:3253.6%7.86.42.30.50.71.52.062–11553.9%29–7638.2%32–4374.4%55.2%57.9%22.5%524:07 +2:3560.3%9.0 +1.2
Mikkel Tyne3019:1246.3%6.11.21.40.80.01.01.924–6338.1%41–10439.4%11–1764.7%†51.2%52.2%10.2%519:31 +0:1948.8%7.6 +1.5
Collin Tanner2818:2441.4%5.83.10.70.50.00.61.343–7656.6%18–6129.5%21–2875.0%51.1%53.9%20.4%525:16 +6:5263.1%8.2 +2.4
Jaden Daughtry3015:4838.1%9.02.90.60.80.11.41.579–14654.1%24–5147.1%40–6759.7%58.4%59.6%34.0%412:53 −2:5425.8%7.3 −1.8
David Thomas3013:5533.5%4.31.00.50.60.10.51.125–5347.2%24–5543.6%7–887.5%†56.5%57.8%7.4%49:57 −3:5819.9%3.0 −1.3
Apostolos Roumoglou2615:1932.0%2.93.31.20.50.50.40.815–2365.2%†14–5724.6%3–475.0%†45.0%†45.9%†5.0%†313:02 −2:1719.6%2.7 −0.2
Jonathan Beagle2314:4227.1%5.74.51.60.50.11.02.146–8554.1%†0–20.0%†40–6759.7%52.9%†56.7%†77.0%†111:01 −3:415.5%2.0 −3.7
Jaylen Robinson309:5623.9%2.51.40.90.40.30.51.830–4566.7%†1–520.0%†11–3432.4%63.0%†57.0%†68.0%†512:52 +2:5732.2%1.0 −1.5
Will Harper III1310:2210.8%3.61.70.50.30.00.51.48–2236.4%†5–1338.5%†16–1984.2%†44.3%†54.2%†54.3%†28:39 −1:438.7%1.5 −2.1
Bryson McGlothin24:200.7%0.00.50.00.50.00.01.00–10.0%†0–10.0%†0–0—0.0%†0.0%†0.0%†————
Kirby Mooney24:140.7%1.00.50.50.50.01.51.01–250.0%†0–10.0%†0–0—33.3%†33.3%†0.0%†————
Team, games with logs · per game31 games76.532.614.02.39.8517–102350.5%281–75837.1%494–65775.2%52.7%57.3%36.9%
Sum of players76.529.514.06.82.39.317.8Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players0.0+3.10.00.0+0.5

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool
$890K
80% Range $390K to $2.00M
Tier
Mid and high major
low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4
$875K to $930K
Scenario medians
Players with Figures
14
2 floor only
Players in possession-share order
PlayerPoss. ShareSpeculative Best Guess80% RangeRange GraphicMedian % of Team PoolScenarios Z1 to Z4Floor PartEvidence and Flags
Will Johnston69.3%$67K$8K to $195K9.6%$66K to $70K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
AJ Lopez66.5%$65K$7K to $190K9.4%$63K to $67K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Aiden Argabright56.2%$125K$49K to $320K13.6%$125K to $135K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mike Walz54.7%$105K$35K to $265K11.8%$100K to $110K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mikkel Tyne46.6%$33K$5K to $110K5.0%$33K to $35K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Collin Tanner41.9%$48K$9K to $135K6.6%$47K to $50K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaden Daughtry37.7%$115K$45K to $340K12.1%$115K to $125K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
David Thomas33.4%$39K$8K to $110K5.5%$38K to $41K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Apostolos Roumoglou32.3%$64K$22K to $170K7.2%$63K to $67K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jonathan Beagle26.5%$84K$33K to $240K8.6%$82K to $87K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaylen Robinson22.7%$21K$5K to $65K3.0%$21K to $22K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Will Harper III10.7%$14K$5K to $37K1.9%$14K in all four$6KLimited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kirby Mooney0.7%$6K$2K to $15K0.7%$6K in all four$6KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Bryson McGlothin0.7%$6K$2K to $15K0.7%$6K in all four$6KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool—$890K$390K to $2.00M100%$875K to $930K—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Richmond (NCAA Division I-FCS)
MeasureSchool-Reported AmountNote
Men's basketball revenue$7,487,840Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses$7,487,840
Athletics department expenses$50,598,031
Athletics department revenue$50,598,031

Team Totalsβ

Season per game, 31 games, 2,132 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

StatisticTeamOpponents
Points76.574.5
Field goals made25.725.7
Field goals attempted57.557.7
3-pointers made9.18.6
3-pointers attempted24.526.3
Free throws made15.914.5
Free throws attempted21.220.3
Offensive rebounds8.510.8
Defensive rebounds24.225.5
Total rebounds32.636.3
Assists14.012.4
Blocks2.32.5
Turnovers9.812.2
StealsNo team figure. Players sum to 212.
Personal foulsNo team figure. Players sum to 551.
Minutes (derived)200.8

31 of 31 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

StatisticStatusTeam Total, Logged GamesSum of PlayersResidualToleranceTeam Total, Games Without Logs
PointsReconciled2,3712,3710±11.90
Field goals madeReconciled7987980±4.00
Field goals attemptedReconciled1,7811,7810±8.90
3-pointers madeReconciled2812810±2.00
3-pointers attemptedReconciled7587580±3.80
Free throws madeReconciled4944940±2.50
Free throws attemptedReconciled6576570±3.30
Offensive reboundsNo player split
Defensive reboundsNo player split
Total reboundsResidual shown1,012916+96±81.00
AssistsReconciled4354350±2.20
BlocksReconciled71710±2.00
TurnoversResidual shown305288+17±9.20
StealsNo team figure212
Personal foulsNo team figure551
Minutes (derived)Reconciled6,2256,211+13.5±124.50

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
PlayerPoss. ShareNet and RangeβRange Graphic
Will Johnston69.3%-0.1range -1.2 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
AJ Lopez66.5%-0.1range -1.5 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
Aiden Argabright56.2%+1.8range +0.5 to +3.4Sufficient evidence
Mike Walz54.7%+1.3range +0.3 to +2.5Sufficient evidence
Mikkel Tyne46.6%-0.9range -2.2 to +0.4Sufficient evidence
Collin Tanner41.9%+0.2range -1.1 to +1.2Sufficient evidence
Jaden Daughtry37.7%+2.9range +1.2 to +4.5Sufficient evidence
David Thomas33.4%+0.1range -1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence
Apostolos Roumoglou32.3%+1.4range +0.4 to +2.6Sufficient evidence
Jonathan Beagle26.5%+2.9range +1.7 to +4.2Sufficient evidence
Jaylen Robinson22.7%-0.6range -1.8 to +0.6Sufficient evidence
Will Harper III10.7%-0.4range -1.2 to +0.3Limited evidence
Kirby Mooney0.7%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Bryson McGlothin0.7%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions
+10.1range +9.2 to +11.0Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

12 valued players hold 99.7% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.3%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 2.1%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value