UNC Greensboro

SC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 279 · Raw net -7.6 · Tempo 68.5 · 32 Division I games · Through 2026-03-08

Record: 13–19; 13 wins
AdjNet: -9.8β; rank 303 of 365
AdjO: 107.2β; rank 197 of 365
AdjD: 117.0β; rank 346 of 365
AdjT: 68.6β
SOS: -4.0β; rank 288 of 363
NCSOS: 0.0β
WAB: -13.5β; rank 289 of 363
RR: 1.2β
Exp. W: 11.8β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	110.5127	118.1348	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	52.0146	56.2347	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	15.063	13.7343	16.7
Offensive rebound %	28.1258	29.0105	30.6
FTA / FGA %	42.032	30.676	35.0
Shooting
3P%	35.679	38.0356	33.9
2P%	51.0212	55.6319	51.7
FT%	70.4256	70.781	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	40.2	46.6	39.5
Assists / FGM %	47.1	49.8	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	5.9	9.2	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	32.2	39.6	31.4
2-pointers %	45.7	44.3	48.8
Free throws %	22.1	16.1	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.4
Top Three Share of Minutes: 44%
Bench Share of Minutes: 31%
Players with Logged Minutes: 14

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-04	Kansas St.	L 64–93	80.0	Away	0–1
11-08	Elon	L 90–92 1OT	74.5	Home	0–2
11-12	NC State	L 64–110	74.2	Away	0–3
11-15	Austin Peay	L 63–69	73.0	Home	0–4
11-20	Queens (NC)	L 94–101	68.0	Away	0–5
11-23	Youngstown St.	W 68–62	72.3	Neutral	1–5
11-25	Delaware	L 60–73	64.1	Neutral	1–6
11-26	Miami (OH)	L 71–82	72.7	Neutral	1–7
12-02	UNC Asheville	L 77–82	65.0	Neutral	1–8
12-06	East Carolina	W 82–78	69.5	Away	2–8
12-16	N.C. A&T	L 65–71	65.3	Home	2–9
01-01	Chattanooga	W 77–72	67.0	Home	3–9
01-03	Samford	W 89–82	65.3	Home	4–9
01-07	Wofford	L 85–97	69.2	Away	4–10
01-10	ETSU	L 60–86	71.8	Away	4–11
01-15	The Citadel	W 69–66 1OT	68.6	Home	5–11
01-17	Mercer	L 92–102	73.7	Home	5–12
01-21	VMI	W 85–78	66.1	Away	6–12
01-23	Furman	L 66–89	63.6	Home	6–13
01-29	Mercer	L 77–95	72.8	Away	6–14
01-31	The Citadel	L 66–71 1OT	67.7	Away	6–15
02-04	Western Caro.	W 81–78	66.9	Home	7–15
02-08	Furman	W 67–64	63.0	Away	8–15
02-11	VMI	W 92–71	69.2	Home	9–15
02-14	Wofford	W 99–89	70.2	Home	10–15
02-18	Western Caro.	L 77–91	70.5	Away	10–16
02-21	ETSU	L 75–87	66.9	Home	10–17
02-26	Chattanooga	W 85–80	76.7	Away	11–17
02-28	Samford	L 78–87	72.6	Away	11–18
03-06	VMI	W 84–70	67.4	Neutral	12–18
03-07	Wofford	W 75–72	65.6	Neutral	13–18
03-08	Furman	L 75–81	65.6	Neutral	13–19

Roster · 14 players

Player logs in 32 of 32 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Justin Neely	32	33:00	81.5%	565	366	76	28	6	76	71	160–281	56.9%	15–47	31.9%†	200–256	78.1%	55.6%	64.1%	78.0%	5	28:03 −4:57	70.1%	16.2 −1.5
KJ Younger	32	28:42	70.9%	482	139	34	28	6	40	70	98–182	53.8%	60–175	34.3%	106–150	70.7%	52.7%	57.0%	42.0%	5	29:50 +1:08	74.6%	18.2 +3.1
Donald Whitehead, Jr.	32	26:21	65.1%	316	47	73	21	1	35	59	52–122	42.6%	47–158	29.7%	71–103	68.9%	43.8%	48.6%	36.8%	5	21:27 −4:54	53.6%	8.2 −1.7
Valentino Pinedo	30	27:09	62.9%	213	152	40	28	33	33	95	87–143	60.8%	0–0	—	39–78	50.0%	60.8%	60.1%	54.5%	5	31:37 +4:28	79.0%	7.8 +0.7
Noah Norgaard	32	25:22	62.7%	248	65	50	18	2	39	55	39–90	43.3%	46–125	36.8%	32–45	71.1%	50.2%	52.8%	20.9%	5	28:17 +2:55	70.7%	8.6 +0.8
Lilian Marville	30	26:20	61.0%	284	59	67	20	0	40	42	49–120	40.8%	45–89	50.6%	51–68	75.0%	55.7%	59.4%	32.5%	5	29:30 +3:10	73.7%	12.0 +2.5
Clinton Efinda	31	14:36	34.9%	131	45	20	9	2	16	40	19–45	42.2%	24–62	38.7%	21–27	77.8%	51.4%	55.1%	25.2%	5	15:39 +1:04	39.1%	5.2 +1.0
Domas Kauzonas	31	9:53	23.7%	87	51	8	4	6	21	58	38–69	55.1%†	0–0	—	11–26	42.3%	55.1%†	54.1%†	37.7%†	5	6:30 −3:23	16.3%	2.4 −0.4
Assane Mandian	22	7:26	12.6%	46	21	3	8	2	8	11	6–11	54.5%†	10–27	37.0%†	4–4	100.0%†	55.3%†	57.8%†	10.5%†	4	3:49 −3:37	7.6%	0.5 −1.6
Landon King	19	7:10	10.5%	38	8	5	5	2	6	12	5–13	38.5%†	9–29	31.0%†	1–5	20.0%†	44.0%†	43.0%†	11.9%†	1	0:00 −7:10	0.0%	0.0 −2.0
Clyde Bailey IIUnder 100 minutes	12	5:47	5.4%	17	5	4	3	0	3	4	2–4	50.0%†	3–8	37.5%†	4–5	80.0%†	54.2%†	59.9%†	41.7%†	3	6:23 +0:37	9.6%	0.7 −0.8
Antwann JonesFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	6	9:31	4.4%	13	13	2	2	1	5	6	3–10	30.0%†	2–6	33.3%†	1–2	50.0%†	37.5%†	38.5%†	12.5%†	—	—	—	—
Chane BynumUnder 100 minutes	14	2:35	2.8%	12	13	3	1	0	1	5	2–8	25.0%†	2–10	20.0%†	2–2	100.0%†	27.8%†	31.8%†	11.1%†	3	0:52 −1:43	1.3%	0.0 −0.9
Braylen BowmanFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	0:55	0.3%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0–0	—	0–2	0.0%†	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	1	0:00 −0:55	0.0%	0.0 0.0
Team, games with logs · season totals	32 games			2452	1098	388	not published	62	332	not published	560–1098	51.0%	263–738	35.6%	543–771	70.4%	52.0%	56.4%	42.0%
Sum of players				2452	985	386	175	61	323	528	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+113	+2	not published	+1	+9	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $205K; 80% Range $73K to $555K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $185K to $245K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 4 floor only

The widest scenario range, $89K to $660K, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Justin Neely	81.3%	$42K	$8K to $155K	19.9%	$39K to $51K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
KJ Younger	71.4%	$21K	$2K to $85K	13.2%	$19K to $26K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Donald Whitehead, Jr.	66.1%	$9K	$1K to $46K	7.6%	$8K to $11K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Noah Norgaard	63.4%	$11K	$1K to $50K	8.9%	$10K to $14K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Valentino Pinedo	60.6%	$34K	$6K to $135K	15.5%	$31K to $41K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Lilian Marville	59.2%	$11K	$1K to $51K	8.2%	$10K to $13K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Clinton Efinda	35.7%	$9K	$1K to $34K	6.3%	$8K to $11K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Domas Kauzonas	25.1%	$3K	$1K to $14K	1.1%	$3K to $4K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Assane Mandian	12.6%	$8K	$2K to $31K	3.7%	$8K to $10K	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Landon King	10.9%	$3K	$1K to $10K	1.7%	$3K in all four	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Antwann Jones	5.4%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K to $2K	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Clyde Bailey II	4.9%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K to $2K	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Chane Bynum	3.0%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K to $2K	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Braylen Bowman	0.3%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K to $2K	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$205K	$73K to $555K	100%	$185K to $245K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of North Carolina at Greensboro (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,645,465	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,645,465
Athletics department expenses	$16,157,987
Athletics department revenue	$16,577,252

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 32 games, 2,219 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,452	2,621
Field goals made	823	926
Field goals attempted	1,836	1,954
3-pointers made	263	346
3-pointers attempted	738	911
Free throws made	543	423
Free throws attempted	771	598
Offensive rebounds	318	319
Defensive rebounds	780	813
Total rebounds	1,098	1,132
Assists	388	461
Blocks	62	101
Turnovers	332	303
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 175.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 528.
Minutes (derived)	6,475	not published

32 of 32 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,452	2,452	0	±12.3	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	823	823	0	±4.1	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,836	1,836	0	±9.2	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	263	263	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	738	738	0	±3.7	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	543	543	0	±2.7	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	771	771	0	±3.9	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,098	985	+113	±87.8	0
Assists	Reconciled	388	386	+2	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	62	61	+1	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Reconciled	332	323	+9	±10.0	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	175	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	528	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,475	6,459	+16.3	±129.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Justin Neely	81.3%	+0.4range -1.0 to +1.7Sufficient evidence
KJ Younger	71.4%	-0.7range -1.8 to +0.9Sufficient evidence
Donald Whitehead, Jr.	66.1%	-1.6range -2.7 to -0.6Sufficient evidence
Noah Norgaard	63.4%	-1.3range -2.2 to -0.2Sufficient evidence
Valentino Pinedo	60.6%	+0.3range -1.1 to +2.1Sufficient evidence
Lilian Marville	59.2%	-1.4range -2.6 to -0.0Sufficient evidence
Clinton Efinda	35.7%	-0.8range -1.7 to +0.0Sufficient evidence
Domas Kauzonas	25.1%	-3.1range -4.7 to -1.7Sufficient evidence
Assane Mandian	12.6%	+0.5range -0.6 to +1.5Limited evidence
Landon King	10.9%	-1.6range -2.9 to -0.6Limited evidence
Antwann Jones	5.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Clyde Bailey II	4.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Chane Bynum	3.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Braylen Bowman	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +8.4range +7.7 to +9.3Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 97.3% of on-court time. 4 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 2.7%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 4.7%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value