Oakland

Horz · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 207 · Raw net -1.7 · Tempo 71.1 · 31 Division I games · Through 2026-03-04

Record: 15–16; 15 wins
AdjNet: 0.2β; rank 174 of 365
AdjO: 113.7β; rank 75 of 365
AdjD: 113.5β; rank 302 of 365
AdjT: 70.6β
SOS: 2.1β; rank 104 of 363
NCSOS: 15.2β
WAB: -7.6β; rank 172 of 363
RR: -0.1β
Exp. W: 15.1β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	114.764	116.4339	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	52.7116	54.7320	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	14.749	15.1284	16.7
Offensive rebound %	31.3151	34.4324	30.6
FTA / FGA %	38.199	24.64	35.0
Shooting
3P%	34.7130	34.3206	33.9
2P%	53.0126	57.0342	51.7
FT%	75.179	72.6190	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	34.0	41.7	39.5
Assists / FGM %	54.9	66.3	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	9.8	11.7	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	26.5	33.8	31.4
2-pointers %	52.2	52.2	48.8
Free throws %	21.4	14.0	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 7.7
Top Three Share of Minutes: 48%
Bench Share of Minutes: 27%
Players with Logged Minutes: 11

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Michigan	L 78–121	77.7	Away	0–1
11-07	Purdue	L 77–87	69.9	Away	0–2
11-12	Houston	L 45–78	62.0	Away	0–3
11-17	UCF	L 83–87	72.6	Away	0–4
11-21	Eastern Mich.	L 91–97	74.3	Away	0–5
11-24	Lamar University	W 83–68	70.9	Neutral	1–5
11-25	Montana	W 95–87	77.6	Away	2–5
12-03	Purdue Fort Wayne	W 101–92	77.0	Home	3–5
12-06	Toledo	W 98–97	78.1	Home	4–5
12-13	UNI	L 63–75	72.9	Away	4–6
12-17	Northern Ky.	W 82–77	72.7	Away	5–6
12-20	Michigan St.	L 70–79	68.0	Neutral	5–7
12-29	Wright St.	L 73–88	70.8	Away	5–8
01-01	Youngstown St.	W 85–83	65.8	Away	6–8
01-04	Robert Morris	W 96–73	68.3	Home	7–8
01-09	Cleveland St.	W 97–74	74.8	Home	8–8
01-11	Wright St.	L 84–94	73.2	Home	8–9
01-15	Milwaukee	W 73–60	74.5	Away	9–9
01-18	Green Bay	W 88–63	64.0	Away	10–9
01-21	IU Indy	L 85–103	71.3	Home	10–10
01-24	Detroit Mercy	W 95–87	69.1	Away	11–10
01-28	Purdue Fort Wayne	W 74–65	69.4	Away	12–10
02-01	Northern Ky.	W 76–65	76.3	Home	13–10
02-04	Cleveland St.	L 78–91	71.3	Away	13–11
02-12	Youngstown St.	L 82–86	69.8	Home	13–12
02-15	Robert Morris	L 69–93	66.1	Away	13–13
02-20	Green Bay	L 68–73	63.1	Home	13–14
02-22	Milwaukee	W 81–70	65.4	Home	14–14
02-25	IU Indy	W 86–74	72.6	Away	15–14
02-28	Detroit Mercy	L 89–95	72.1	Home	15–15
03-04	Northern Ky.	L 84–85	73.0	Home	15–16

Roster · 11 players

Player logs in 31 of 31 team games

Team roster, per 40 minutes
Column groups	Minutes			Per 40 Minutes							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Brody Robinson	31	36:12	90.5%	19.5	3.1	7.4	1.5	0.0	2.9	1.9	62–134	46.3%	75–203	36.9%	198–247	80.2%	51.8%	61.4%	73.3%	5	36:59 +0:47	92.5%	22.0 +4.4
Tuburu Naivalurua	31	32:20	80.8%	17.5	7.5	2.5	1.4	1.3	1.3	3.2	149–277	53.8%	18–53	34.0%	87–121	71.9%	53.3%	57.3%	36.7%	5	31:34 −0:46	78.9%	16.4 +2.2
Ziare Wells	31	26:47	66.9%	14.6	6.7	2.6	2.0	0.4	1.7	1.7	98–189	51.9%	23–60	38.3%	38–54	70.4%	53.2%	55.5%	21.7%	5	29:09 +2:22	72.9%	7.8 −2.0
Isaac Garrett	27	29:04	63.3%	19.0	9.9	3.2	1.5	1.4	2.5	4.3	135–242	55.8%	6–23	26.1%†	85–106	80.2%	54.3%	59.8%	40.0%	5	26:51 −2:13	67.1%	11.8 −2.0
Brett White	31	24:01	60.0%	14.7	5.3	1.1	0.9	0.8	0.6	2.9	18–32	56.3%	69–192	35.9%	30–42	71.4%	54.2%	56.3%	18.8%	5	28:34 +4:33	71.4%	10.2 +1.4
Michael Houge	27	26:36	57.9%	18.9	8.2	1.2	1.1	0.6	2.6	4.5	131–236	55.5%	4–18	22.2%†	65–90	72.2%	53.9%	57.7%	35.4%	5	20:49 −5:48	52.0%	7.4 −5.2
Khoi Thurmon	31	11:29	28.7%	8.9	2.8	4.4	2.0	0.2	3.0	3.5	27–69	39.1%†	3–15	20.0%†	16–26	61.5%	37.5%†	41.4%†	31.0%†	5	9:02 −2:27	22.6%	0.8 −1.7
Warren Marshall IV	28	11:50	26.7%	10.8	5.7	0.6	1.6	2.2	1.4	3.9	29–41	70.7%†	6–27	22.2%†	13–22	59.1%†	55.9%†	57.3%†	32.4%†	5	15:52 +4:02	39.7%	5.2 +2.0
Nassim MashhourFew games	9	26:58	19.6%	13.3	4.3	2.1	1.8	0.2	1.3	3.8	11–22	50.0%†	17–45	37.8%†	8–9	88.9%†	54.5%†	57.1%†	13.4%†	—	—	—	—
Nate DeerFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	9	2:57	2.1%	0.0	6.0	1.5	0.0	0.0	1.5	1.5	0–3	0.0%†	0–0	—	0–2	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	66.7%†	—	—	—	—
MJ YeagerFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	7	2:35	1.5%	13.3	2.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	6.6	4.4	0–0	—	2–6	33.3%†	0–0	—	50.0%†	50.0%†	0.0%†	1	1:23 −1:12	0.7%	0.0 −0.9
Team, games with logs · per 40 team minutes	31 games			81.6	34.8	15.6	not published	3.7	10.5	not published	660–1245	53.0%	223–642	34.7%	540–719	75.1%	52.7%	57.4%	38.1%
Sum of players				81.6	30.8	15.6	7.2	3.7	9.9	15.4	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0.0	+4.0	0.0	not published	0.0	+0.5	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $215K; 80% Range $78K to $575K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $200K to $260K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 11; 2 floor only

The widest scenario range, $96K to $695K, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Brody Robinson	90.8%	$42K	$13K to $125K	19.5%	$40K to $51K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tuburu Naivalurua	81.4%	$23K	$3K to $73K	13.1%	$21K to $28K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ziare Wells	66.6%	$27K	$7K to $80K	13.2%	$25K to $32K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaac Garrett	63.8%	$24K	$4K to $82K	12.5%	$22K to $29K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brett White	59.1%	$35K	$11K to $115K	14.9%	$33K to $42K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Michael Houge	57.9%	$18K	$3K to $55K	9.9%	$16K to $21K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Khoi Thurmon	28.9%	$5K	$1K to $18K	2.3%	$4K to $5K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Warren Marshall IV	26.9%	$6K	$1K to $23K	3.8%	$6K to $8K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nassim Mashhour	20.9%	$10K	$3K to $32K	4.8%	$9K to $12K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nate Deer	2.1%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.9%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
MJ Yeager	1.5%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.9%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$215K	$78K to $575K	100%	$200K to $260K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Oakland University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,854,803	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,854,803
Athletics department expenses	$17,319,517
Athletics department revenue	$17,319,517

Team Totalsβ

Season per 40 minutes, 31 games, 2,205 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Per 40 uses 1240 game minutes, 5 per overtime period. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	81.6	82.8
Field goals made	28.5	30.9
Field goals attempted	60.9	65.1
3-pointers made	7.2	9.3
3-pointers attempted	20.7	27.2
Free throws made	17.4	11.6
Free throws attempted	23.2	16.0
Offensive rebounds	11.0	12.5
Defensive rebounds	23.7	24.2
Total rebounds	34.8	36.7
Assists	15.6	20.5
Blocks	3.7	4.7
Turnovers	10.5	10.7
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 223.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 478.
Minutes (derived)	200.0	not published

31 of 31 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,529	2,529	0	±12.6	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	883	883	0	±4.4	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,887	1,887	0	±9.4	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	223	223	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	642	642	0	±3.2	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	540	540	0	±2.7	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	719	719	0	±3.6	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,078	954	+124	±86.2	0
Assists	Reconciled	485	485	0	±2.4	0
Blocks	Reconciled	115	115	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	324	307	+17	±9.7	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	223	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	478	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,200	6,177	+23.5	±124.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Brody Robinson	90.8%	+1.2range +0.0 to +2.4Sufficient evidence
Tuburu Naivalurua	81.4%	-0.1range -1.3 to +1.3Sufficient evidence
Ziare Wells	66.6%	+0.8range -0.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence
Isaac Garrett	63.8%	+0.6range -1.3 to +2.4Sufficient evidence
Brett White	59.1%	+1.8range +0.3 to +3.2Sufficient evidence
Michael Houge	57.9%	+0.3range -1.0 to +1.2Sufficient evidence
Khoi Thurmon	28.9%	-1.9range -3.2 to -0.5Sufficient evidence
Warren Marshall IV	26.9%	-0.9range -2.2 to +0.4Sufficient evidence
Nassim Mashhour	20.9%	+0.9range -0.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidence
Nate Deer	2.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
MJ Yeager	1.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +9.9range +9.0 to +11.0Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

9 valued players hold 99.3% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.7%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value