Algosys College Basketball

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Oakland

Horz · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 207 · Raw net -1.7 · Tempo 71.1 · 31 Division I games · Through 2026-03-04

All seasons
Record
15–16
15 wins
AdjNet
0.2β
rank 174 of 365
AdjO
113.7β
rank 75 of 365
AdjD
113.5β
rank 302 of 365
AdjT
70.6β
SOS
2.1β
rank 104 of 363
NCSOS
15.2β
WAB
-7.6β
rank 172 of 363
RR
-0.1β
Exp. W
15.1β

Scouting Report

CategoryOffenseDefenseD-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.114.764116.4339108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%52.711654.732051.4
TO / 100 poss.14.74915.128416.7
Offensive rebound %31.315134.432430.6
FTA / FGA %38.19924.6435.0
Shooting
3P%34.713034.320633.9
2P%53.012657.034251.7
FT%75.17972.619072.5
Style
3PA / FGA %34.041.739.5
Assists / FGM %54.966.352.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %9.811.79.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %26.533.831.4
2-pointers %52.252.248.8
Free throws %21.414.019.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size
7.7
Top Three Share of Minutes
48%
Bench Share of Minutes
27%
Players with Logged Minutes
11

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

DateOpponentResultPoss.SiteRecord
11-03MichiganL 78–12177.7Away0–1
11-07PurdueL 77–8769.9Away0–2
11-12HoustonL 45–7862.0Away0–3
11-17UCFL 83–8772.6Away0–4
11-21Eastern Mich.L 91–9774.3Away0–5
11-24Lamar UniversityW 83–6870.9Neutral1–5
11-25MontanaW 95–8777.6Away2–5
12-03Purdue Fort WayneW 101–9277.0Home3–5
12-06ToledoW 98–9778.1Home4–5
12-13UNIL 63–7572.9Away4–6
12-17Northern Ky.W 82–7772.7Away5–6
12-20Michigan St.L 70–7968.0Neutral5–7
12-29Wright St.L 73–8870.8Away5–8
01-01Youngstown St.W 85–8365.8Away6–8
01-04Robert MorrisW 96–7368.3Home7–8
01-09Cleveland St.W 97–7474.8Home8–8
01-11Wright St.L 84–9473.2Home8–9
01-15MilwaukeeW 73–6074.5Away9–9
01-18Green BayW 88–6364.0Away10–9
01-21IU IndyL 85–10371.3Home10–10
01-24Detroit MercyW 95–8769.1Away11–10
01-28Purdue Fort WayneW 74–6569.4Away12–10
02-01Northern Ky.W 76–6576.3Home13–10
02-04Cleveland St.L 78–9171.3Away13–11
02-12Youngstown St.L 82–8669.8Home13–12
02-15Robert MorrisL 69–9366.1Away13–13
02-20Green BayL 68–7363.1Home13–14
02-22MilwaukeeW 81–7065.4Home14–14
02-25IU IndyW 86–7472.6Away15–14
02-28Detroit MercyL 89–9572.1Home15–15
03-04Northern Ky.L 84–8573.0Home15–16

Roster · 11 players

Player logs in 31 of 31 team games

MinutesPer GameShootingLast Five Team Games
PlayerGMPGTeam Min%PtsRebAstStlBlkTOPF2P2P%3P3P%FTFT%eFG%TS%FTA/FGAGMPGMin%Pts/G
Brody Robinson3136:1290.5%17.62.86.71.30.02.61.762–13446.3%75–20336.9%198–24780.2%51.8%61.4%73.3%536:59 +0:4792.5%22.0 +4.4
Tuburu Naivalurua3132:2080.8%14.26.12.01.11.11.12.5149–27753.8%18–5334.0%87–12171.9%53.3%57.3%36.7%531:34 −0:4678.9%16.4 +2.2
Ziare Wells3126:4766.9%9.84.51.71.30.31.21.298–18951.9%23–6038.3%38–5470.4%53.2%55.5%21.7%529:09 +2:2272.9%7.8 −2.0
Isaac Garrett2729:0463.3%13.87.22.31.11.01.83.1135–24255.8%6–2326.1%†85–10680.2%54.3%59.8%40.0%526:51 −2:1367.1%11.8 −2.0
Brett White3124:0160.0%8.83.20.60.50.50.41.718–3256.3%69–19235.9%30–4271.4%54.2%56.3%18.8%528:34 +4:3371.4%10.2 +1.4
Michael Houge2726:3657.9%12.65.40.80.70.41.73.0131–23655.5%4–1822.2%†65–9072.2%53.9%57.7%35.4%520:49 −5:4852.0%7.4 −5.2
Khoi Thurmon3111:2928.7%2.50.81.30.60.10.91.027–6939.1%†3–1520.0%†16–2661.5%37.5%†41.4%†31.0%†59:02 −2:2722.6%0.8 −1.7
Warren Marshall IV2811:5026.7%3.21.70.20.50.60.41.129–4170.7%†6–2722.2%†13–2259.1%†55.9%†57.3%†32.4%†515:52 +4:0239.7%5.2 +2.0
Nassim Mashhour926:5819.6%9.02.91.41.20.10.92.611–2250.0%†17–4537.8%†8–988.9%†54.5%†57.1%†13.4%†————
Nate Deer92:572.1%0.00.40.10.00.00.10.10–30.0%†0–0—0–20.0%†0.0%†0.0%†66.7%†————
MJ Yeager72:351.5%0.90.10.00.00.00.40.30–0—2–633.3%†0–0—50.0%†50.0%†0.0%†11:23 −1:120.7%0.0 −0.9
Team, games with logs · per game31 games81.634.815.63.710.5660–124553.0%223–64234.7%540–71975.1%52.7%57.4%38.1%
Sum of players81.630.815.67.23.79.915.4Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players0.0+4.00.00.0+0.5

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool
$215K
80% Range $78K to $575K
Tier
Low and other
low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4
$200K to $260K
Scenario medians
Players with Figures
11
2 floor only

The widest scenario range, $96K to $695K, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
PlayerPoss. ShareSpeculative Best Guess80% RangeRange GraphicMedian % of Team PoolScenarios Z1 to Z4Floor PartEvidence and Flags
Brody Robinson90.8%$42K$13K to $125K19.5%$40K to $51K$2KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tuburu Naivalurua81.4%$23K$3K to $73K13.1%$21K to $28K$2KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ziare Wells66.6%$27K$7K to $80K13.2%$25K to $32K$2KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaac Garrett63.8%$24K$4K to $82K12.5%$22K to $29K$2KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brett White59.1%$35K$11K to $115K14.9%$33K to $42K$2KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Michael Houge57.9%$18K$3K to $55K9.9%$16K to $21K$2KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Khoi Thurmon28.9%$5K$1K to $18K2.3%$4K to $5K$2KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Warren Marshall IV26.9%$6K$1K to $23K3.8%$6K to $8K$2KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nassim Mashhour20.9%$10K$3K to $32K4.8%$9K to $12K$2KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nate Deer2.1%$2K$1K to $6K0.9%$2K in all four$2KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
MJ Yeager1.5%$2K$1K to $6K0.9%$2K in all four$2KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool—$215K$78K to $575K100%$200K to $260K—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Oakland University (NCAA Division I without football)
MeasureSchool-Reported AmountNote
Men's basketball revenue$2,854,803Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses$2,854,803
Athletics department expenses$17,319,517
Athletics department revenue$17,319,517

Team Totalsβ

Season per game, 31 games, 2,205 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

StatisticTeamOpponents
Points81.682.8
Field goals made28.530.9
Field goals attempted60.965.1
3-pointers made7.29.3
3-pointers attempted20.727.2
Free throws made17.411.6
Free throws attempted23.216.0
Offensive rebounds11.012.5
Defensive rebounds23.724.2
Total rebounds34.836.7
Assists15.620.5
Blocks3.74.7
Turnovers10.510.7
StealsNo team figure. Players sum to 223.
Personal foulsNo team figure. Players sum to 478.
Minutes (derived)200.0

31 of 31 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

StatisticStatusTeam Total, Logged GamesSum of PlayersResidualToleranceTeam Total, Games Without Logs
PointsReconciled2,5292,5290±12.60
Field goals madeReconciled8838830±4.40
Field goals attemptedReconciled1,8871,8870±9.40
3-pointers madeReconciled2232230±2.00
3-pointers attemptedReconciled6426420±3.20
Free throws madeReconciled5405400±2.70
Free throws attemptedReconciled7197190±3.60
Offensive reboundsNo player split
Defensive reboundsNo player split
Total reboundsResidual shown1,078954+124±86.20
AssistsReconciled4854850±2.40
BlocksReconciled1151150±2.00
TurnoversResidual shown324307+17±9.70
StealsNo team figure223
Personal foulsNo team figure478
Minutes (derived)Reconciled6,2006,177+23.5±124.00

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
PlayerPoss. ShareNet and RangeβRange Graphic
Brody Robinson90.8%+1.2range +0.0 to +2.4Sufficient evidence
Tuburu Naivalurua81.4%-0.1range -1.3 to +1.3Sufficient evidence
Ziare Wells66.6%+0.8range -0.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence
Isaac Garrett63.8%+0.6range -1.3 to +2.4Sufficient evidence
Brett White59.1%+1.8range +0.3 to +3.2Sufficient evidence
Michael Houge57.9%+0.3range -1.0 to +1.2Sufficient evidence
Khoi Thurmon28.9%-1.9range -3.2 to -0.5Sufficient evidence
Warren Marshall IV26.9%-0.9range -2.2 to +0.4Sufficient evidence
Nassim Mashhour20.9%+0.9range -0.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidence
Nate Deer2.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
MJ Yeager1.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions
+9.9range +9.0 to +11.0Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

9 valued players hold 99.3% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.7%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value