Xavier

BE · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 227 · Raw net -3.2 · Tempo 71.2 · 33 Division I games · Through 2026-03-12

Record: 15–18; 15 wins
AdjNet: 3.7β; rank 117 of 365
AdjO: 113.0β; rank 80 of 365
AdjD: 109.2β; rank 208 of 365
AdjT: 70.9β
SOS: 7.5β; rank 46 of 363
NCSOS: 0.4β
WAB: -5.4β; rank 115 of 363
RR: 1.7β
Exp. W: 13.3β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	109.2149	112.4278	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	51.8155	54.1302	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	13.921	15.5249	16.7
Offensive rebound %	26.5311	29.5136	30.6
FTA / FGA %	28.1341	32.6119	35.0
Shooting
3P%	36.539	34.8236	33.9
2P%	49.8264	55.3315	51.7
FT%	72.9175	70.367	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	40.6	36.9	39.5
Assists / FGM %	62.2	63.3	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	10.3	10.3	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	35.8	29.3	31.4
2-pointers %	47.6	53.2	48.8
Free throws %	16.5	17.5	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 7.9
Top Three Share of Minutes: 47%
Bench Share of Minutes: 28%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Marist	W 66–62	67.5	Home	1–0
11-06	Le Moyne	W 74–69	68.7	Home	2–0
11-10	Santa Clara	L 68–87	71.6	Home	2–1
11-14	Iowa	L 62–81	70.2	Away	2–2
11-18	Old Dominion	W 99–69	74.5	Home	3–2
11-21	Georgia	L 77–78	72.8	Neutral	3–3
11-23	West Virginia	W 78–68	67.9	Neutral	4–3
11-28	A&M-Corpus Christi	W 88–67	75.0	Home	5–3
12-01	Saint Francis	W 96–74	77.6	Home	6–3
12-05	Cincinnati	W 79–74	73.7	Home	7–3
12-12	Missouri St.	W 75–57	63.4	Home	8–3
12-17	Creighton	L 57–98	73.8	Home	8–4
12-20	Georgetown	W 80–77	74.5	Away	9–4
12-31	UConn	L 67–90	72.6	Home	9–5
01-03	DePaul	L 77–86	68.7	Away	9–6
01-07	Marquette	L 65–66	70.6	Away	9–7
01-10	Providence	W 97–84	80.0	Home	10–7
01-14	Butler	W 89–75	72.9	Home	11–7
01-21	Creighton	L 93–94	72.6	Away	11–8
01-24	St. John's (NY)	L 83–88	76.5	Home	11–9
01-28	Seton Hall	L 68–86	72.5	Away	11–10
01-31	DePaul	W 68–66	63.8	Home	12–10
02-03	UConn	L 60–92	68.4	Away	12–11
02-09	St. John's (NY)	L 82–87 1OT	82.8	Away	12–12
02-14	Marquette	W 96–88	72.1	Home	13–12
02-17	Villanova	L 89–92 1OT	78.8	Home	13–13
02-21	Butler	L 75–80	67.9	Away	13–14
02-25	Providence	L 84–94	69.5	Away	13–15
02-28	Georgetown	W 91–84	71.4	Home	14–15
03-03	Seton Hall	L 68–77	63.4	Home	14–16
03-07	Villanova	L 78–91	71.0	Away	14–17
03-11	Marquette	W 89–87	76.6	Neutral	15–17
03-12	UConn	L 68–93	64.4	Neutral	15–18

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 33 of 33 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Malik Messina-Moore	33	32:54	81.6%	360	98	124	35	4	48	71	67–147	45.6%	50–157	31.8%	76–95	80.0%	46.7%	52.1%	31.3%	5	33:58 +1:04	84.9%	11.0 +0.1
Filip Borovicanin	33	31:09	77.3%	358	245	139	39	17	59	77	96–201	47.8%	37–106	34.9%	55–63	87.3%	49.3%	53.5%	20.5%	5	33:17 +2:08	83.2%	15.8 +5.0
Tre Carroll	32	31:41	76.3%	570	184	83	24	40	71	58	176–306	57.5%	45–135	33.3%	83–117	70.9%	55.2%	57.9%	26.5%	4	26:13 −5:28	52.5%	13.0 −4.8
Jovan Milicevic	33	26:08	64.8%	408	130	47	22	20	42	107	74–162	45.7%	67–156	42.9%	59–81	72.8%	54.9%	57.7%	25.5%	5	29:57 +3:49	74.9%	13.6 +1.2
Roddie Anderson III	33	23:27	58.2%	359	110	74	44	5	44	67	90–201	44.8%	38–121	31.4%	65–90	72.2%	45.7%	49.6%	28.0%	5	25:36 +2:08	64.0%	11.6 +0.7
All Wright	33	22:28	55.7%	247	52	65	17	1	20	66	48–96	50.0%	38–90	42.2%	37–44	84.1%	56.5%	60.1%	23.7%	5	18:32 −3:56	46.3%	6.6 −0.9
Isaiah Walker	32	16:54	40.7%	149	87	22	17	2	10	39	30–56	53.6%	23–56	41.1%	20–25	80.0%	57.6%	60.6%	22.3%	5	21:53 +4:59	54.7%	5.8 +1.1
Pape N'Diaye	29	9:16	20.2%	58	68	7	7	28	5	45	13–26	50.0%†	9–21	42.9%†	5–9	55.6%†	56.4%†	56.9%†	19.1%†	5	10:38 +1:22	26.6%	2.4 +0.4
Anthony Robinson	26	10:04	19.7%	61	63	8	9	14	16	42	19–35	54.3%†	0–0	—	23–53	43.4%	54.3%†	52.3%†	151.4%†	3	6:55 −3:10	10.4%	2.3 0.0
Mier PanoamFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	7	5:29	2.9%	6	6	5	0	1	3	3	2–7	28.6%†	0–1	0.0%†	2–5	40.0%†	25.0%†	29.4%†	62.5%†	—	—	—	—
Ian SabourinFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	6	0:51	0.4%	7	1	0	0	0	0	0	0–0	—	2–2	100.0%†	1–2	50.0%†	150.0%†	121.5%†	100.0%†	1	0:50 −0:02	0.4%	1.0 −0.2
Henry TholeFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	0:50	0.3%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1–1	100.0%†	0–0	—	1–2	50.0%†	100.0%†	79.8%†	200.0%†	1	0:50 0:00	0.4%	0.0 −0.6
Michael WolfFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	0:50	0.3%	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	0–0	—	0–1	0.0%†	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	33 games			2586	1133	575	not published	132	330	not published	616–1238	49.8%	309–846	36.5%	427–586	72.9%	51.8%	55.2%	28.1%
Sum of players				2586	1045	575	214	132	318	577	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+88	0	not published	0	+12	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $2.80M; 80% Range $1.55M to $4.80M
Tier: Big East and Gonzaga; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $2.65M to $3.10M; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 4 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Malik Messina-Moore	82.3%	$380K	$125K to $750K	15.1%	$360K to $420K	$21K	Sufficient evidence
Filip Borovicanin	78.1%	$760K	$360K to $1.80M	25.5%	$720K to $835K	$21K	Sufficient evidence
Tre Carroll	76.7%	$400K	$160K to $775K	15.0%	$385K to $445K	$21K	Sufficient evidence
Jovan Milicevic	65.6%	$300K	$93K to $605K	12.0%	$285K to $335K	$21K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Roddie Anderson III	57.9%	$97K	$14K to $315K	4.4%	$92K to $105K	$21K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
All Wright	56.0%	$235K	$39K to $545K	9.4%	$225K to $255K	$21K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaiah Walker	40.0%	$120K	$21K to $295K	5.1%	$115K to $135K	$21K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Pape N'Diaye	20.4%	$105K	$40K to $215K	4.2%	$100K to $115K	$21K	Sufficient evidence
Anthony Robinson	19.3%	$99K	$34K to $210K	3.9%	$94K to $110K	$21K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mier Panoam	2.7%	$21K	$10K to $40K	0.8%	$20K to $23K	$21K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Ian Sabourin	0.4%	$21K	$10K to $40K	0.8%	$20K to $23K	$21K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Henry Thole	0.3%	$21K	$10K to $40K	0.8%	$20K to $23K	$21K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Michael Wolf	0.3%	$21K	$10K to $40K	0.8%	$20K to $23K	$21K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$2.80M	$1.55M to $4.80M	100%	$2.65M to $3.10M	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Xavier University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$16,016,940
Men's basketball expenses	$11,742,338
Athletics department expenses	$31,800,090
Athletics department revenue	$31,800,090

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 33 games, 2,368 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,586	2,661
Field goals made	925	968
Field goals attempted	2,084	2,028
3-pointers made	309	260
3-pointers attempted	846	748
Free throws made	427	465
Free throws attempted	586	661
Offensive rebounds	329	337
Defensive rebounds	804	911
Total rebounds	1,133	1,248
Assists	575	613
Blocks	132	127
Turnovers	330	367
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 214.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 577.
Minutes (derived)	6,650	not published

33 of 33 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,586	2,586	0	±12.9	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	925	925	0	±4.6	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	2,084	2,084	0	±10.4	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	309	309	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	846	846	0	±4.2	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	427	427	0	±2.1	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	586	586	0	±2.9	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Reconciled	1,133	1,045	+88	±90.6	0
Assists	Reconciled	575	575	0	±2.9	0
Blocks	Reconciled	132	132	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	330	318	+12	±9.9	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	214	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	577	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,650	6,628	+22.1	±133.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Malik Messina-Moore	82.3%	+0.9range -0.1 to +1.9Sufficient evidence
Filip Borovicanin	78.1%	+3.2range +1.8 to +4.2Sufficient evidence
Tre Carroll	76.7%	+1.1range +0.1 to +2.2Sufficient evidence
Jovan Milicevic	65.6%	+0.8range -0.4 to +1.9Sufficient evidence
Roddie Anderson III	57.9%	-1.4range -2.5 to -0.5Sufficient evidence
All Wright	56.0%	+0.4range -1.2 to +2.2Sufficient evidence
Isaiah Walker	40.0%	-0.4range -1.9 to +0.9Sufficient evidence
Pape N'Diaye	20.4%	+0.8range -0.1 to +1.6Sufficient evidence
Anthony Robinson	19.3%	+0.6range -0.4 to +1.9Sufficient evidence
Mier Panoam	2.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Ian Sabourin	0.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Henry Thole	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Michael Wolf	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.2range +9.4 to +11.0Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

9 valued players hold 99.2% of on-court time. 4 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.8%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value