UT Arlington

WAC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 180 · Raw net -0.0 · Tempo 66.5 · 30 Division I games · Through 2026-03-13

Record: 16–14; 16 wins
AdjNet: -0.1β; rank 175 of 365
AdjO: 102.3β; rank 304 of 365
AdjD: 102.4β; rank 49 of 365
AdjT: 66.2β
SOS: 0.1β; rank 158 of 363
NCSOS: 3.5β
WAB: -7.2β; rank 160 of 363
RR: 0.9β
Exp. W: 15.1β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	100.6319	100.730	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	47.2332	47.429	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	20.7354	18.094	16.7
Offensive rebound %	34.949	30.1166	30.6
FTA / FGA %	42.524	40.9311	35.0
Shooting
3P%	29.1353	26.91	33.9
2P%	48.8289	50.9132	51.7
FT%	72.3196	70.260	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	30.7	32.3	39.5
Assists / FGM %	46.5	48.9	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	9.4	9.5	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	21.4	21.1	31.4
2-pointers %	54.0	55.7	48.8
Free throws %	24.6	23.2	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 9.5
Top Three Share of Minutes: 43%
Bench Share of Minutes: 39%
Players with Logged Minutes: 12

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-08	New Mexico	L 56–74	72.1	Away	0–1
11-15	Missouri St.	W 67–49	68.2	Home	1–1
11-18	Evansville	W 84–76	68.6	Away	2–1
11-21	Campbell	L 67–71	73.3	Neutral	2–2
11-22	Weber St.	W 74–73	66.4	Away	3–2
11-29	SFA	W 66–61	61.8	Home	4–2
12-02	Arkansas St.	L 63–83	72.6	Away	4–3
12-11	UTRGV	W 58–50	57.7	Away	5–3
12-17	Stanford	L 60–76	67.5	Away	5–4
12-22	Oral Roberts	W 69–57	67.2	Away	6–4
12-29	Tarleton St.	L 63–69	65.8	Home	6–5
01-01	California Baptist	W 63–51	63.8	Home	7–5
01-03	Southern Utah	W 86–77	72.9	Away	8–5
01-10	Abilene Christian	W 82–72	66.0	Home	9–5
01-15	Utah Tech	W 56–52	67.8	Away	10–5
01-17	Utah Valley	L 74–86	69.3	Away	10–6
01-21	Tarleton St.	W 71–64	67.3	Home	11–6
01-29	Southern Utah	W 80–61	70.4	Home	12–6
01-31	California Baptist	L 77–87 1OT	78.0	Home	12–7
02-05	Utah Tech	L 84–87 2OT	76.4	Away	12–8
02-07	Utah Valley	L 60–81	58.9	Away	12–9
02-12	Abilene Christian	L 63–67	67.2	Away	12–10
02-14	Southern Utah	L 73–78	69.8	Home	12–11
02-19	Utah Tech	W 63–50	61.2	Home	13–11
02-21	Utah Valley	L 54–66	66.6	Home	13–12
02-26	California Baptist	L 56–68	62.9	Away	13–13
03-05	Tarleton St.	W 65–60	60.5	Away	14–13
03-07	Abilene Christian	W 64–57	65.4	Away	15–13
03-12	Southern Utah	W 69–63	71.3	Neutral	16–13
03-13	Utah Valley	L 65–67	62.4	Neutral	16–14

Roster · 12 players

Player logs in 30 of 30 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Raysean Seamster	30	30:18	74.8%	354	188	58	39	21	65	73	127–242	52.5%	14–54	25.9%	58–100	58.0%	50.0%	52.1%	33.8%	5	26:57 −3:20	67.4%	8.4 −3.4
Marcell McCreary	30	30:04	74.2%	381	153	46	46	7	54	51	73–139	52.5%	48–151	31.8%	91–107	85.0%	50.0%	56.5%	36.9%	5	23:12 −6:53	58.0%	7.8 −4.9
Casmir Chavis	30	27:09	67.0%	310	73	96	34	10	68	81	87–223	39.0%	14–48	29.2%†	94–119	79.0%	39.9%	47.9%	43.9%	5	31:10 +4:01	77.9%	14.4 +4.1
Bahsil Laster	30	19:09	47.3%	208	82	29	17	4	47	45	38–92	41.3%	7–39	17.9%†	111–141	78.7%	37.0%	53.9%	107.6%	5	23:23 +4:14	58.5%	9.8 +2.9
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	29	17:35	42.0%	134	60	17	12	8	30	48	26–48	54.2%	21–66	31.8%	19–28	67.9%	50.4%	53.0%	24.6%	4	9:43 −7:52	19.4%	2.8 −1.9
Cameron Jackson	29	17:19	41.3%	115	113	14	11	14	26	56	49–80	61.3%†	0–0	—	17–33	51.5%	61.3%†	60.8%†	41.3%†	5	10:21 −6:59	25.9%	2.8 −1.2
Tyran Mason	30	16:24	40.5%	182	98	13	17	2	23	42	53–105	50.5%	14–43	32.6%†	34–50	68.0%	50.0%	53.5%	33.8%	5	20:24 +4:00	51.0%	7.4 +1.3
Jordan Lowery	30	15:26	38.1%	132	38	36	17	1	28	40	25–60	41.7%	18–61	29.5%	28–34	82.4%	43.0%	48.5%	28.1%	5	27:06 +11:40	67.8%	7.2 +2.8
Miles Goodman	28	13:14	30.5%	89	69	3	8	12	22	63	33–70	47.1%†	3–9	33.3%†	14–27	51.9%	47.5%†	49.0%†	34.2%†	5	15:33 +2:19	38.9%	2.2 −1.0
Amari Reed	28	10:46	24.8%	76	67	2	13	20	20	49	29–50	58.0%†	0–0	—	18–32	56.3%	58.0%†	59.3%†	64.0%†	5	12:27 +1:42	31.1%	1.2 −1.5
Jayden Smoot	21	10:25	18.0%	51	37	8	6	4	12	15	9–16	56.3%†	6–27	22.2%†	15–19	78.9%†	41.9%†	49.6%†	44.2%†	1	8:00 −2:25	4.0%	2.0 −0.4
Alex BossinakisFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	2	0:52	0.1%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0–1	0.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	30 games			2032	1070	323	not published	105	419	not published	549–1126	48.8%	145–498	29.1%	499–690	72.3%	47.2%	52.7%	42.5%
Sum of players				2032	978	322	220	104	395	563	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+92	+1	not published	+1	+24	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $220K; 80% Range $82K to $590K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $210K to $245K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 1 floor only

The widest scenario range, $91K to $655K, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Marcell McCreary	74.9%	$40K	$13K to $120K	17.5%	$38K to $45K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Raysean Seamster	74.5%	$34K	$10K to $100K	15.8%	$32K to $37K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Casmir Chavis	69.3%	$29K	$9K to $85K	14.0%	$28K to $32K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Bahsil Laster	46.8%	$26K	$8K to $82K	11.4%	$25K to $29K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	40.8%	$5K	$1K to $23K	2.8%	$5K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tyran Mason	40.8%	$9K	$1K to $38K	5.7%	$9K to $11K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cameron Jackson	39.1%	$14K	$3K to $45K	7.4%	$13K to $16K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jordan Lowery	36.7%	$11K	$2K to $36K	6.2%	$10K to $12K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Miles Goodman	32.1%	$5K	$1K to $20K	2.6%	$4K to $5K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Amari Reed	25.6%	$18K	$6K to $55K	7.4%	$17K to $20K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jayden Smoot	19.4%	$5K	$1K to $19K	3.2%	$5K to $6K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Alex Bossinakis	0.2%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$220K	$82K to $590K	100%	$210K to $245K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, The University of Texas at Arlington (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,484,568	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,484,568
Athletics department expenses	$18,699,446
Athletics department revenue	$18,699,446

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 30 games, 2,019 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,032	2,033
Field goals made	694	709
Field goals attempted	1,624	1,645
3-pointers made	145	143
3-pointers attempted	498	532
Free throws made	499	472
Free throws attempted	690	672
Offensive rebounds	350	310
Defensive rebounds	720	654
Total rebounds	1,070	964
Assists	323	347
Blocks	105	107
Turnovers	419	364
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 220.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 563.
Minutes (derived)	6,075	not published

30 of 30 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,032	2,032	0	±10.2	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	694	694	0	±3.5	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,624	1,624	0	±8.1	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	145	145	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	498	498	0	±2.5	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	499	499	0	±2.5	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	690	690	0	±3.5	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,070	978	+92	±85.6	0
Assists	Reconciled	323	322	+1	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	105	104	+1	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	419	395	+24	±12.6	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	220	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	563	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,075	6,059	+15.7	±121.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Marcell McCreary	74.9%	+1.4range +0.3 to +2.6Sufficient evidence
Raysean Seamster	74.5%	+1.1range -0.2 to +2.2Sufficient evidence
Casmir Chavis	69.3%	+0.9range -0.1 to +1.9Sufficient evidence
Bahsil Laster	46.8%	+1.7range +0.6 to +2.6Sufficient evidence
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	40.8%	-1.9range -3.0 to -0.7Sufficient evidence
Tyran Mason	40.8%	-0.5range -2.4 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
Cameron Jackson	39.1%	+0.5range -0.5 to +1.4Sufficient evidence
Jordan Lowery	36.7%	+0.1range -0.9 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
Miles Goodman	32.1%	-1.5range -2.5 to -0.7Sufficient evidence
Amari Reed	25.6%	+2.0range +1.0 to +3.2Sufficient evidence
Jayden Smoot	19.4%	-0.5range -1.5 to +0.6Sufficient evidence
Alex Bossinakis	0.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.0range +9.1 to +10.9Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

11 valued players hold 100.0% of on-court time. 1 without a value (under 300 possessions) holds 0.0%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value