UC San Diego

BW · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 86 · Raw net 5.7 · Tempo 69.7 · 32 Division I games · Through 2026-03-12

Record: 21–11; 21 wins
AdjNet: 3.1β; rank 128 of 365
AdjO: 106.8β; rank 205 of 365
AdjD: 103.7β; rank 72 of 365
AdjT: 68.3β
SOS: -2.1β; rank 230 of 363
NCSOS: -0.4β
WAB: -5.1β; rank 109 of 363
RR: 0.9β
Exp. W: 20.1β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	106.8210	101.034	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	52.6124	48.448	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	16.5165	16.8168	16.7
Offensive rebound %	26.1320	27.037	30.6
FTA / FGA %	31.2277	29.349	35.0
Shooting
3P%	32.8242	31.545	33.9
2P%	55.056	49.372	51.7
FT%	69.3291	71.8143	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	42.3	43.9	39.5
Assists / FGM %	55.5	56.9	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	7.6	10.3	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	32.9	35.3	31.4
2-pointers %	50.1	46.9	48.8
Free throws %	17.0	17.8	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.6
Top Three Share of Minutes: 44%
Bench Share of Minutes: 32%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-08	Houston Christian	W 78–60	69.4	Home	1–0
11-12	Fresno St.	W 78–73	71.1	Away	2–0
11-15	Idaho	W 75–67	69.9	Home	3–0
11-24	Temple	W 91–76	68.4	Neutral	4–0
11-25	Bradley	W 87–77	69.9	Neutral	5–0
11-26	Towson	W 87–73	64.1	Neutral	6–0
12-02	Nevada	L 70–76	64.3	Away	6–1
12-06	Long Beach St.	W 80–74	67.8	Away	7–1
12-14	Tulane	W 93–67	78.0	—	8–1
12-16	LMU (CA)	W 67–57	70.9	Away	9–1
12-19	San Diego	L 80–82	67.4	Home	9–2
01-01	Cal Poly	L 65–67	66.4	Away	9–3
01-03	Hawaii	W 83–73	67.6	Home	10–3
01-08	Cal St. Fullerton	L 71–88	69.5	Home	10–4
01-10	UC Riverside	W 69–66	64.7	Away	11–4
01-15	CSUN	L 79–84	72.4	Home	11–5
01-17	CSU Bakersfield	W 83–62	71.2	Away	12–5
01-22	UC Davis	W 80–74	74.4	Away	13–5
01-24	UC Irvine	L 59–61	70.2	Home	13–6
01-29	UC Santa Barbara	L 48–62	65.6	Home	13–7
01-31	CSUN	L 64–81	75.2	Away	13–8
02-05	Long Beach St.	W 77–74	74.6	Home	14–8
02-08	Hawaii	L 67–72	74.2	—	14–9
02-12	UC Davis	W 68–51	70.3	Home	15–9
02-14	UC Riverside	W 72–66	71.0	Home	16–9
02-21	UC Irvine	W 71–69	63.3	Away	17–9
02-26	CSU Bakersfield	W 84–72	71.4	Home	18–9
02-28	Cal Poly	W 80–64	70.2	Home	19–9
03-05	Cal St. Fullerton	L 71–75	69.8	Away	19–10
03-07	UC Santa Barbara	W 64–63	62.4	Away	20–10
03-11	Cal Poly	W 72–69	73.2	Neutral	21–10
03-12	CSUN	L 70–80	72.6	Neutral	21–11

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 32 of 32 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Tom Beattie	32	31:44	79.3%	341	170	112	43	6	47	52	89–154	57.8%	41–127	32.3%	40–70	57.1%	53.6%	54.7%	24.9%	5	33:26 +1:42	83.6%	12.4 +1.7
Leo Beath	32	30:15	75.6%	372	162	50	37	15	50	60	85–176	48.3%	46–144	31.9%	64–85	75.3%	48.1%	52.0%	26.6%	5	32:44 +2:29	81.8%	9.8 −1.8
Alex Chaikin	32	25:07	62.8%	305	67	36	16	9	37	56	21–58	36.2%	71–179	39.7%	50–63	79.4%	53.8%	57.6%	26.6%	5	29:43 +4:36	74.3%	7.2 −2.3
Hudson Mayes	32	24:09	60.4%	354	180	55	30	9	40	65	116–204	56.9%	11–31	35.5%†	89–112	79.5%	56.4%	62.3%	47.7%	5	29:35 +5:26	73.9%	16.0 +4.9
Bol Dengdit	32	23:27	58.6%	345	159	56	17	15	59	51	106–187	56.7%	24–80	30.0%	61–98	62.2%	53.2%	55.6%	36.7%	5	22:59 −0:28	57.5%	8.4 −2.4
Aidan Burke	32	21:15	53.1%	195	81	45	24	6	21	73	37–52	71.2%	32–103	31.1%	25–34	73.5%	54.8%	57.4%	21.9%	5	9:14 −12:01	23.1%	2.4 −3.7
Emanuel Prospere II	26	22:12	45.1%	212	97	82	44	6	54	71	76–136	55.9%	7–34	20.6%†	39–65	60.0%	50.9%	53.4%	38.2%	5	14:59 −7:13	37.5%	6.8 −1.4
Jaden Vance	22	12:46	22.0%	101	44	14	16	9	23	23	28–54	51.9%†	10–29	34.5%†	15–19	78.9%†	51.8%†	55.3%†	22.9%†	5	20:01 +7:15	50.0%	6.2 +1.6
Trap Johnson	22	9:20	16.0%	58	27	3	2	0	5	23	9–14	64.3%†	10–33	30.3%†	10–15	66.7%†	51.1%†	54.1%†	31.9%†	—	—	—	—
Dimitrije Vukicevic	23	7:25	13.3%	65	40	12	5	3	14	27	27–42	64.3%†	0–1	0.0%†	11–22	50.0%†	62.8%†	61.7%†	51.2%†	4	8:02 +0:38	16.1%	2.8 −0.1
Cade Pendleton	17	7:40	10.2%	29	21	9	2	4	1	13	3–7	42.9%†	7–32	21.9%†	2–3	66.7%†	34.6%†	36.0%†	7.7%†	—	—	—	—
Ryder ElisaldezFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	8	2:57	1.8%	3	1	2	0	0	2	8	0–0	—	1–1	100.0%†	0–0	—	150.0%†	150.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Christopher CoxFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	0:42	0.2%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0–1	0.0%†	1–1	100.0%†	0–0	—	75.0%†	75.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	32 games			2383	1169	476	not published	82	368	not published	597–1085	55.0%	261–795	32.8%	406–586	69.3%	52.6%	55.7%	31.2%
Sum of players				2383	1050	476	236	82	353	522	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+119	0	not published	0	+15	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $295K; 80% Range $110K to $760K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $290K to $300K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Tom Beattie	80.5%	$64K	$21K to $180K	20.6%	$63K to $66K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Leo Beath	75.8%	$34K	$9K to $96K	13.1%	$33K to $34K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Alex Chaikin	63.9%	$25K	$5K to $80K	10.4%	$25K to $26K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Hudson Mayes	60.2%	$26K	$6K to $79K	10.4%	$25K to $26K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Bol Dengdit	59.3%	$28K	$8K to $83K	10.9%	$28K to $29K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Aidan Burke	51.9%	$22K	$5K to $68K	9.0%	$22K to $23K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Emanuel Prospere II	45.2%	$43K	$14K to $135K	13.3%	$42K to $44K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaden Vance	22.4%	$8K	$2K to $26K	3.5%	$8K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Trap Johnson	15.5%	$5K	$1K to $16K	2.0%	$5K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dimitrije Vukicevic	13.7%	$6K	$2K to $18K	2.4%	$6K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cade Pendleton	9.6%	$4K	$1K to $13K	1.7%	$4K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ryder Elisaldez	1.9%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Christopher Cox	0.2%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$295K	$110K to $760K	100%	$290K to $300K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of California-San Diego (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$3,633,627	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$3,633,627
Athletics department expenses	$36,538,768
Athletics department revenue	$36,538,768

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 32 games, 2,232 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,383	2,255
Field goals made	858	794
Field goals attempted	1,880	1,913
3-pointers made	261	265
3-pointers attempted	795	840
Free throws made	406	402
Free throws attempted	586	560
Offensive rebounds	292	325
Defensive rebounds	877	828
Total rebounds	1,169	1,153
Assists	476	452
Blocks	82	112
Turnovers	368	375
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 236.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 522.
Minutes (derived)	6,400	not published

32 of 32 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,383	2,383	0	±11.9	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	858	858	0	±4.3	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,880	1,880	0	±9.4	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	261	261	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	795	795	0	±4.0	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	406	406	0	±2.0	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	586	586	0	±2.9	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,169	1,050	+119	±93.5	0
Assists	Reconciled	476	476	0	±2.4	0
Blocks	Reconciled	82	82	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	368	353	+15	±11.0	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	236	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	522	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,400	6,381	+18.7	±128.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Tom Beattie	80.5%	+2.4range +1.4 to +3.4Sufficient evidence
Leo Beath	75.8%	+0.8range -0.0 to +1.8Sufficient evidence
Alex Chaikin	63.9%	+0.5range -0.6 to +1.7Sufficient evidence
Hudson Mayes	60.2%	+0.7range -0.4 to +1.9Sufficient evidence
Bol Dengdit	59.3%	+1.1range +0.1 to +2.1Sufficient evidence
Aidan Burke	51.9%	+0.8range -0.7 to +2.1Sufficient evidence
Emanuel Prospere II	45.2%	+3.0range +1.7 to +4.4Sufficient evidence
Jaden Vance	22.4%	+0.1range -0.9 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
Trap Johnson	15.5%	-0.7range -1.6 to -0.1Sufficient evidence
Dimitrije Vukicevic	13.7%	-0.0range -0.9 to +0.9Limited evidence
Cade Pendleton	9.6%	-0.2range -0.7 to +0.3Limited evidence
Ryder Elisaldez	1.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Christopher Cox	0.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.6range +9.8 to +11.5Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

11 valued players hold 99.6% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.4%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 4.7%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value