Alex Chaikin
UC San Diego · 2025–26 · 32 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
803:47 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 32
- Minutes per game
- 25:07
- Points per game
- 9.5
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.1 / 1.1
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 9.5 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Per 40 minutes | 15.2 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| Season totals | 305 | 67 | 36 | 16 | 9 | 37 | 56 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 92–237 | 38.8% | 7.4 | 11.8 |
| 2P | 21–58 | 36.2%† | 1.8 | 2.9 |
| 3P | 71–179 | 39.7% | 5.6 | 8.9 |
| FT | 50–63 | 79.4% | 2.0 | 3.1 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.8% | 57.6% | 75.5% | 26.6% | 0.97 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
UC San Diego · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $25K
- 80% range $5K to $80K
- Median share of team pool
- 10.4%
- team pool $295K, 80% range $110K to $760K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $25K to $26K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 63.9%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
UC San Diego: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | UC San Diego | $25Kspeculative | $5K to $80K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +0.5 | -0.6 to +1.7 | Sufficient evidence | +0.9 | -0.4 | +5.0range +4.3 to +5.7 | 2,565 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Lafayette | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +1.7 | +0.3 to +3.3 | Sufficient evidence | +1.6 | +0.1 | +4.2range +3.5 to +5.1 | 2,666 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 29:43 | 25:07 | 9:34–33:02 | |
| Points | 7.2 | 9.5 | 0.0–22.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 28.4% | 51.4% | 0.0%–100.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | CSUN | L 70–80 | 29:07 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-11 | Cal Poly | W 72–69 | 32:52 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 37.5% |
| 2026-03-07 | UC Santa Barbara | W 64–63 | 26:05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-05 | Cal St. Fullerton | L 71–75 | 29:42 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Cal Poly | W 80–64 | 30:51 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 54.5% |
| 2026-02-26 | CSU Bakersfield | W 84–72 | 28:47 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 61.1% |
| 2026-02-21 | UC Irvine | W 71–69 | 29:37 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 65.0% |
| 2026-02-14 | UC Riverside | W 72–66 | 24:59 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 37.5% |
| 2026-02-12 | UC Davis | W 68–51 | 12:51 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-08 | Hawaii | L 67–72 | 32:08 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-5 | 40.9% |
| 2026-02-05 | Long Beach St. | W 77–74 | 31:59 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 61.1% |
| 2026-01-31 | CSUN | L 64–81 | 32:26 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 33.3% |
| 2026-01-29 | UC Santa Barbara | L 48–62 | 32:41 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026-01-24 | UC Irvine | L 59–61 | 30:38 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 37.5% |
| 2026-01-22 | UC Davis | W 80–74 | 33:02 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 79.2% |
| 2026-01-17 | CSU Bakersfield | W 83–62 | 27:20 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 70.0% |
| 2026-01-15 | CSUN | L 79–84 | 30:03 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7-14 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 71.4% |
| 2026-01-10 | UC Riverside | W 69–66 | 21:07 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 62.5% |
| 2026-01-08 | Cal St. Fullerton | L 71–88 | 25:27 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 45.5% |
| 2026-01-03 | Hawaii | W 83–73 | 29:26 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 8-9 | 92.9% |
| 2026-01-01 | Cal Poly | L 65–67 | 23:43 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-13 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 57.7% |
| 2025-12-19 | San Diego | L 80–82 | 9:34 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-16 | LMU (CA) | W 67–57 | 17:42 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 37.5% |
| 2025-12-14 | Tulane | W 93–67 | 19:41 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 75.0% |
| 2025-12-06 | Long Beach St. | W 80–74 | 22:47 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 66.7% |
| 2025-12-02 | Nevada | L 70–76 | 19:32 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 60.0% |
| 2025-11-26 | Towson | W 87–73 | 17:00 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 75.0% |
| 2025-11-25 | Bradley | W 87–77 | 17:59 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-24 | Temple | W 91–76 | 24:33 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 75.0% |
| 2025-11-15 | Idaho | W 75–67 | 15:26 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 35.7% |
| 2025-11-12 | Fresno St. | W 78–73 | 22:05 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 75.0% |
| 2025-11-08 | Houston Christian | W 78–60 | 22:37 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 36.4% |