Towson

CAA · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 165 · Raw net 1.0 · Tempo 63.8 · 32 Division I games · Through 2026-03-09

Record: 17–15; 17 wins
AdjNet: 1.3β; rank 154 of 365
AdjO: 105.3β; rank 241 of 365
AdjD: 104.0β; rank 75 of 365
AdjT: 64.8β
SOS: 0.6β; rank 140 of 363
NCSOS: 3.8β
WAB: -7.5β; rank 167 of 363
RR: 0.1β
Exp. W: 16.9β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	104.7254	103.772	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	46.5345	48.551	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	15.9130	15.1275	16.7
Offensive rebound %	36.024	29.1117	30.6
FTA / FGA %	30.4299	29.350	35.0
Shooting
3P%	29.4350	30.931	33.9
2P%	47.8314	50.096	51.7
FT%	68.9300	69.328	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	34.9	41.4	39.5
Assists / FGM %	38.9	46.0	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	10.0	7.6	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	27.0	32.7	31.4
2-pointers %	54.6	50.0	48.8
Free throws %	18.4	17.3	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.4
Top Three Share of Minutes: 47%
Bench Share of Minutes: 33%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Loyola Maryland	W 67–56	65.2	Neutral	1–0
11-08	Houston	L 48–65	65.0	Away	1–1
11-14	Norfolk St.	W 51–41	59.4	Home	2–1
11-18	James Madison	L 75–81	61.5	Away	2–2
11-24	Rhode Island	W 62–55	61.3	Neutral	3–2
11-25	Liberty	W 72–69	63.2	Neutral	4–2
11-26	UC San Diego	L 73–87	64.1	Neutral	4–3
12-03	Cornell	W 93–80	68.8	Home	5–3
12-07	UCF	L 61–86	64.1	Away	5–4
12-16	Kansas	L 49–73	63.7	Away	5–5
12-22	Sacred Heart	W 72–47	65.1	Home	6–5
12-29	William & Mary	L 70–84	69.8	Away	6–6
12-31	Hampton	L 62–63	60.4	Away	6–7
01-03	Monmouth	L 48–62	63.4	Home	6–8
01-08	Hofstra	L 67–78	67.0	Home	6–9
01-10	Northeastern	W 87–78	68.8	Away	7–9
01-15	Col. of Charleston	W 61–52	67.7	Home	8–9
01-19	Drexel	W 59–58	62.9	Home	9–9
01-22	Elon	W 72–59	59.1	Away	10–9
01-24	N.C. A&T	L 73–80	71.2	Away	10–10
01-29	UNCW	L 73–82	64.2	Home	10–11
01-31	Hampton	W 82–50	65.7	Home	11–11
02-07	Hofstra	L 49–71	61.8	Away	11–12
02-12	Stony Brook	W 69–57	63.4	Home	12–12
02-15	Monmouth	L 71–72	65.0	Away	12–13
02-22	Drexel	L 62–68	66.1	Away	12–14
02-26	Elon	W 58–56	61.6	Home	13–14
02-28	Campbell	W 71–67	59.2	Home	14–14
03-03	Stony Brook	W 69–57	61.2	Away	15–14
03-07	Hampton	W 74–68	67.9	Neutral	16–14
03-08	Col. of Charleston	W 81–56	60.4	Neutral	17–14
03-09	Hofstra	L 65–68 1OT	60.9	Neutral	17–15

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 32 of 32 team games

Team roster, per game
Column groups	Minutes			Per Game							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Dylan Williamson	32	36:58	92.1%	14.7	2.5	3.3	0.8	0.1	1.7	1.0	99–231	42.9%	79–236	33.5%	35–48	72.9%	46.6%	48.1%	10.3%	5	38:12 +1:13	93.2%	18.2 +3.5
Tyler Tejada	31	35:58	86.8%	17.9	5.4	2.2	0.8	0.4	1.7	1.6	149–299	49.8%	42–144	29.2%	132–150	88.0%	47.9%	54.6%	33.9%	5	40:05 +4:07	97.8%	24.4 +6.5
Jack Doumbia Jr.	30	24:15	56.6%	11.0	5.7	1.8	1.1	0.5	2.1	2.2	114–233	48.9%	5–38	13.2%†	86–131	65.6%	44.8%	50.1%	48.3%	5	25:23 +1:08	61.9%	10.6 −0.4
Caleb Embeya	32	21:05	52.5%	3.5	5.9	0.5	0.9	0.5	0.8	3.1	37–75	49.3%†	0–0	—	38–64	59.4%	49.3%†	54.3%†	85.3%†	5	18:56 −2:08	46.2%	2.4 −1.1
Tyler Coleman	31	19:49	47.8%	4.8	3.5	0.2	0.7	0.3	0.8	1.9	46–94	48.9%	10–28	35.7%†	28–41	68.3%	50.0%	53.6%	33.6%	5	21:02 +1:14	51.3%	1.2 −3.6
Jaquan Womack	30	18:52	44.0%	6.8	3.9	0.5	0.7	0.4	0.9	1.8	52–115	45.2%	23–80	28.7%	30–48	62.5%	44.4%	47.0%	24.6%	5	18:56 +0:04	46.2%	7.8 +1.0
Mor Seck	32	14:40	36.5%	2.8	3.7	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.8	2.0	38–75	50.7%†	0–0	—	12–28	42.9%	50.7%†	50.4%†	37.3%†	5	21:07 +6:27	51.5%	2.0 −0.8
Tyler Schmidt	30	13:44	32.1%	2.7	1.4	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.3	1.3	18–32	56.3%†	13–54	24.1%	6–7	85.7%†	43.6%†	45.5%†	8.1%†	3	3:44 −10:00	5.5%	0.7 −2.0
Chike Ndefo	30	11:54	27.8%	2.5	2.7	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.6	1.2	28–59	47.5%†	0–7	0.0%†	20–45	44.4%	42.4%†	44.3%†	68.2%†	5	5:55 −5:58	14.4%	1.6 −0.9
Ryan Conway	22	9:32	16.3%	3.0	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.5	1–3	33.3%†	20–59	33.9%	4–6	66.7%†	50.0%†	51.1%†	9.7%†	5	12:16 +2:44	29.9%	3.4 +0.4
Abdou SambFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	6	5:46	2.7%	0.7	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	1.3	2–5	40.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	40.0%†	40.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Jaiden ColeFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	6	5:34	2.6%	1.8	0.5	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.0	2–2	100.0%†	1–11	9.1%†	4–5	80.0%†	26.9%†	36.2%†	38.5%†	—	—	—	—
Ryan SkerryFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	9	1:01	0.7%	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0–2	0.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	1	1:25 +0:24	0.7%	0.0 0.0
Team, games with logs · per game	32 games			67.1	38.2	9.5	not published	3.3	10.2	not published	586–1225	47.8%	193–657	29.4%	395–573	68.9%	46.5%	50.3%	30.4%
Sum of players				67.1	34.0	9.5	5.8	3.3	9.6	16.0	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0.0	+4.2	0.0	not published	0.0	+0.6	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $260K; 80% Range $97K to $675K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $245K to $270K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 3 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Dylan Williamson	92.5%	$64K	$22K to $180K	23.0%	$61K to $66K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tyler Tejada	86.9%	$33K	$7K to $99K	14.8%	$31K to $34K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jack Doumbia Jr.	55.7%	$39K	$13K to $120K	13.8%	$37K to $40K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Caleb Embeya	52.6%	$16K	$3K to $54K	7.9%	$15K to $16K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tyler Coleman	48.4%	$8K	$1K to $35K	4.5%	$8K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaquan Womack	44.5%	$22K	$6K to $68K	9.1%	$21K to $23K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mor Seck	36.7%	$18K	$5K to $56K	7.5%	$17K to $18K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tyler Schmidt	32.9%	$10K	$2K to $34K	5.0%	$10K to $11K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Chike Ndefo	27.5%	$10K	$2K to $31K	4.8%	$10K to $11K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ryan Conway	16.4%	$10K	$3K to $29K	3.8%	$9K to $10K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Abdou Samb	2.7%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaiden Cole	2.6%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Ryan Skerry	0.7%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$260K	$97K to $675K	100%	$245K to $270K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Towson University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,567,095	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,567,095
Athletics department expenses	$29,350,327
Athletics department revenue	$29,350,327

Team Totalsβ

Season per game, 32 games, 2,049 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	67.1	66.4
Field goals made	24.3	23.8
Field goals attempted	58.8	56.6
3-pointers made	6.0	7.3
3-pointers attempted	20.5	23.4
Free throws made	12.3	11.5
Free throws attempted	17.9	16.6
Offensive rebounds	13.4	10.2
Defensive rebounds	24.8	23.8
Total rebounds	38.2	34.0
Assists	9.5	11.0
Blocks	3.3	2.9
Turnovers	10.2	9.7
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 186.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 513.
Minutes (derived)	200.8	not published

32 of 32 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,146	2,146	0	±10.7	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	779	779	0	±3.9	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,882	1,882	0	±9.4	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	193	193	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	657	657	0	±3.3	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	395	395	0	±2.0	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	573	573	0	±2.9	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,223	1,089	+134	±97.8	0
Assists	Reconciled	303	303	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	106	106	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	325	306	+19	±9.8	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	186	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	513	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,425	6,405	+19.7	±128.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Dylan Williamson	92.5%	+1.8range +0.9 to +2.8Sufficient evidence
Tyler Tejada	86.9%	+0.6range -0.6 to +1.6Sufficient evidence
Jack Doumbia Jr.	55.7%	+1.9range +0.5 to +3.2Sufficient evidence
Caleb Embeya	52.6%	-0.1range -1.2 to +1.0Sufficient evidence
Tyler Coleman	48.4%	-1.3range -2.7 to +0.2Sufficient evidence
Jaquan Womack	44.5%	+0.9range -0.4 to +2.2Sufficient evidence
Mor Seck	36.7%	+0.9range -0.7 to +2.4Sufficient evidence
Tyler Schmidt	32.9%	-0.1range -1.5 to +1.0Sufficient evidence
Chike Ndefo	27.5%	+0.2range -1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence
Ryan Conway	16.4%	+0.8range -0.3 to +2.3Sufficient evidence
Abdou Samb	2.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Jaiden Cole	2.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Ryan Skerry	0.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.1range +9.0 to +10.9Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 98.8% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.2%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value