Marquette

BE · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 193 · Raw net -0.9 · Tempo 70.1 · 32 Division I games · Through 2026-03-11

Record: 12–20; 12 wins
AdjNet: 5.2β; rank 99 of 365
AdjO: 108.8β; rank 162 of 365
AdjD: 103.6β; rank 67 of 365
AdjT: 69.9β
SOS: 7.1β; rank 54 of 363
NCSOS: 1.3β
WAB: -8.1β; rank 183 of 363
RR: -2.4β
Exp. W: 14.4β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	106.0229	106.9130	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	50.5215	50.6131	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	16.0144	19.338	16.7
Offensive rebound %	29.7216	34.7331	30.6
FTA / FGA %	32.8243	32.0104	35.0
Shooting
3P%	31.7298	32.7105	33.9
2P%	52.7144	51.5168	51.7
FT%	67.5332	76.1346	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	42.2	39.5	39.5
Assists / FGM %	58.1	60.2	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	8.4	10.1	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	32.6	30.9	31.4
2-pointers %	49.5	49.6	48.8
Free throws %	18.0	19.4	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.7
Top Three Share of Minutes: 45%
Bench Share of Minutes: 29%
Players with Logged Minutes: 15

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	UAlbany	W 80–53	76.6	Home	1–0
11-05	Southern U.	W 100–82	79.6	Home	2–0
11-09	Indiana	L 77–100	75.5	Neutral	2–1
11-12	Little Rock	W 89–49	66.9	Home	3–1
11-15	Maryland	L 82–89	77.1	Home	3–2
11-19	Dayton	L 71–77 1OT	80.5	Home	3–3
11-22	Central Mich.	W 85–71	71.1	Home	4–3
11-28	Oklahoma	L 74–75	63.2	Neutral	4–4
12-02	Valparaiso	W 75–72 1OT	77.0	Home	5–4
12-06	Wisconsin	L 76–96	78.4	Away	5–5
12-13	Purdue	L 59–79	65.1	Away	5–6
12-17	Georgetown	L 69–78	64.3	Home	5–7
12-20	Creighton	L 63–84	77.0	Away	5–8
12-30	Seton Hall	L 73–79	71.3	Home	5–9
01-04	UConn	L 57–73	68.5	Away	5–10
01-07	Xavier	W 66–65	70.6	Home	6–10
01-10	Villanova	L 73–76	63.2	Home	6–11
01-13	St. John's (NY)	L 68–92	74.6	Away	6–12
01-16	DePaul	L 75–80	64.7	Away	6–13
01-19	Providence	W 105–104 1OT	81.5	Home	7–13
01-23	Butler	L 76–87	70.2	Away	7–14
01-27	Creighton	W 86–62	69.0	Home	8–14
01-31	Seton Hall	L 64–69	62.3	Away	8–15
02-07	Butler	W 70–55	66.9	Home	9–15
02-10	Villanova	L 74–77	70.1	Away	9–16
02-14	Xavier	L 88–96	72.1	Away	9–17
02-18	St. John's (NY)	L 70–76	68.5	Home	9–18
02-24	Georgetown	W 76–60	65.2	Away	10–18
03-01	DePaul	L 51–62	63.2	Home	10–19
03-04	Providence	W 78–56	71.0	Away	11–19
03-07	UConn	W 68–62	67.2	Home	12–19
03-11	Xavier	L 87–89	76.6	Neutral	12–20

Roster · 15 players

Player logs in 32 of 32 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Chase Ross	32	32:56	81.4%	456	133	110	72	7	70	75	115–234	49.1%	38–129	29.5%	112–155	72.3%	47.4%	52.9%	42.7%	5	33:03 +0:07	82.6%	12.8 −1.4
Nigel James Jr.	32	29:18	72.4%	526	110	157	61	10	89	71	155–298	52.0%	42–121	34.7%	90–130	69.2%	52.0%	55.2%	31.0%	5	32:45 +3:27	81.9%	18.2 +1.8
Royce Parham	31	28:46	68.9%	387	152	29	22	25	42	61	109–172	63.4%	34–102	33.3%	67–103	65.0%	58.4%	60.6%	37.6%	4	33:27 +4:41	66.9%	13.0 +0.5
Ben Gold	31	27:16	65.3%	249	179	29	23	14	20	58	53–80	66.3%	37–140	26.4%	32–49	65.3%	49.3%	51.5%	22.3%	5	27:07 −0:09	67.8%	6.8 −1.2
Adrien Stevens	32	25:57	64.1%	254	82	51	45	6	32	69	35–61	57.4%	54–144	37.5%	22–31	71.0%	56.6%	58.1%	15.1%	5	31:47 +5:50	79.5%	11.4 +3.5
Damarius Owens	30	15:27	35.8%	143	77	22	17	6	21	31	31–57	54.4%	16–59	27.1%	33–46	71.7%	47.4%	52.5%	39.7%	5	20:56 +5:30	52.3%	5.4 +0.6
Caedin Hamilton	32	12:56	31.9%	93	92	20	14	12	26	57	33–76	43.4%†	0–2	0.0%†	27–40	67.5%	42.3%†	48.6%†	51.3%†	5	9:19 −3:36	23.3%	2.4 −0.5
Zaide Lowery	11	23:04	19.6%	89	32	19	12	1	13	20	20–45	44.4%†	13–44	29.5%†	10–12	83.3%†	44.4%†	47.2%†	13.5%†	—	—	—	—
Tre Norman	30	8:04	18.7%	65	41	22	16	0	22	29	21–42	50.0%†	1–9	11.1%†	20–31	64.5%	44.1%†	50.3%†	60.8%†	5	8:25 +0:21	21.0%	2.2 0.0
Michael Phillips II	28	7:56	17.2%	60	37	6	5	9	9	42	2–13	15.4%†	17–46	37.0%†	5–14	35.7%†	46.6%†	46.0%†	23.7%†	5	7:49 −0:07	19.6%	2.0 −0.1
Sean JonesFew games	8	21:07	13.0%	50	11	31	8	0	12	20	6–20	30.0%†	9–28	32.1%†	11–16	68.8%†	40.6%†	45.4%†	33.3%†	—	—	—	—
Josh Clark	23	5:31	9.8%	31	44	0	4	8	1	11	14–30	46.7%†	0–0	—	3–13	23.1%†	46.7%†	43.4%†	43.3%†	3	1:47 −3:44	2.7%	0.7 −0.7
Braeden BrennFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	3	0:30	0.1%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1–1	100.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	100.0%†	100.0%†	0.0%†	1	0:20 −0:10	0.2%	0.0 −0.7
Casey O'MalleyFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	0:22	0.1%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0–1	0.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	2	0:10 −0:13	0.2%	0.0 0.0
Jonah LucasFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	0:22	0.1%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	2	0:10 −0:13	0.2%	0.0 0.0
Team, games with logs · season totals	32 games			2405	1095	497	not published	98	364	not published	595–1130	52.7%	261–824	31.7%	432–640	67.5%	50.5%	53.8%	32.8%
Sum of players				2405	991	497	299	98	358	545	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+104	0	not published	0	+6	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $3.40M; 80% Range $1.85M to $5.90M
Tier: Big East and Gonzaga; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.15M to $4.00M; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 15; 3 floor only

The widest scenario range, $2.20M to $6.90M, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Chase Ross	82.3%	$620K	$275K to $1.35M	17.9%	$580K to $735K	$21K	Sufficient evidence
Nigel James Jr.	74.9%	$475K	$140K to $1.05M	14.6%	$445K to $565K	$21K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Royce Parham	70.0%	$420K	$130K to $860K	12.9%	$390K to $495K	$21K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ben Gold	66.4%	$425K	$150K to $885K	13.2%	$395K to $505K	$21K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Adrien Stevens	65.4%	$475K	$175K to $1.00M	14.0%	$445K to $560K	$21K	Sufficient evidence
Damarius Owens	36.1%	$130K	$23K to $320K	4.6%	$125K to $155K	$21K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Caedin Hamilton	31.5%	$150K	$39K to $315K	5.1%	$140K to $175K	$21K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tre Norman	18.8%	$56K	$16K to $145K	2.0%	$53K to $67K	$21K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Zaide Lowery	17.4%	$91K	$32K to $185K	3.1%	$87K to $110K	$21K	Sufficient evidence
Michael Phillips II	16.8%	$115K	$45K to $240K	3.6%	$105K to $135K	$21K	Sufficient evidence
Sean Jones	11.1%	$55K	$20K to $115K	1.9%	$51K to $65K	$21K	Limited evidence
Josh Clark	9.2%	$81K	$39K to $155K	2.4%	$76K to $96K	$21K	Limited evidence
Braeden Brenn	0.1%	$21K	$10K to $42K	0.7%	$20K to $25K	$21K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Casey O'Malley	0.1%	$21K	$10K to $42K	0.7%	$20K to $25K	$21K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Jonah Lucas	0.1%	$21K	$10K to $42K	0.7%	$20K to $25K	$21K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.40M	$1.85M to $5.90M	100%	$3.15M to $4.00M	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Marquette University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$25,734,325
Men's basketball expenses	$20,053,484
Athletics department expenses	$44,620,329
Athletics department revenue	$44,620,329

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 32 games, 2,269 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,405	2,425
Field goals made	856	852
Field goals attempted	1,954	1,932
3-pointers made	261	250
3-pointers attempted	824	764
Free throws made	432	471
Free throws attempted	640	619
Offensive rebounds	355	393
Defensive rebounds	740	840
Total rebounds	1,095	1,233
Assists	497	513
Blocks	98	114
Turnovers	364	438
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 299.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 545.
Minutes (derived)	6,475	not published

32 of 32 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,405	2,405	0	±12.0	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	856	856	0	±4.3	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,954	1,954	0	±9.8	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	261	261	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	824	824	0	±4.1	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	432	432	0	±2.2	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	640	640	0	±3.2	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,095	991	+104	±87.6	0
Assists	Reconciled	497	497	0	±2.5	0
Blocks	Reconciled	98	98	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Reconciled	364	358	+6	±10.9	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	299	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	545	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,475	6,454	+20.8	±129.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Chase Ross	82.3%	+1.7range +0.6 to +3.2Sufficient evidence
Nigel James Jr.	74.9%	+1.3range -0.3 to +2.7Sufficient evidence
Royce Parham	70.0%	+0.9range -0.3 to +2.2Sufficient evidence
Ben Gold	66.4%	+1.5range -0.2 to +2.7Sufficient evidence
Adrien Stevens	65.4%	+1.7range -0.1 to +3.2Sufficient evidence
Damarius Owens	36.1%	-0.2range -1.6 to +1.0Sufficient evidence
Caedin Hamilton	31.5%	+0.3range -0.7 to +1.4Sufficient evidence
Tre Norman	18.8%	-1.0range -2.1 to -0.3Sufficient evidence
Zaide Lowery	17.4%	+0.3range -0.5 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
Michael Phillips II	16.8%	+1.1range -0.1 to +2.3Sufficient evidence
Sean Jones	11.1%	-0.3range -1.3 to +0.7Limited evidence
Josh Clark	9.2%	+1.4range +0.6 to +2.1Limited evidence
Casey O'Malley	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Jonah Lucas	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Braeden Brenn	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.6range +9.7 to +11.4Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

12 valued players hold 100.0% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.0%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 4.1%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value